IDEA Attractive sinks, or how individual behavioural decisions determine source—sink dynamics Abstract Miguel Delibes,1 Pablo Ferreras2 and Pilar Gaona1 1 Department of Applied Biology, Estacio‘ n Biolo‘ gica de Donaana, CSIC, Apdo. 1056, 41080 Sevilla, Spain. E-mail: mdelibes@ebd.csic.es 2 Instituto de Investigacio‘ n en Recursos Cinege‘ ticos, CSICUCLM, Calle Libertad, 7 A, 13004 Ciudad Real, Spain. Gundersen et al. (2001, Source-sink dynamics: how sinks affect demography of sources. Ecol. Lett., 4, 14—21.) suggested that sinks can severely affect the demography of populations in source habitats. We propose this is a common result when animals lack cues associated with reduced fitness inside sinks and consequently select habitat inappropriately. These attractive sinks can result either from undetected risks of mortality (as in the experiment of Gundersen et al. 2001) or from undetected poor breeding probabilities (due to bioaccumulation of pesticides, for instance). Thus, individual habitat choice is a key process underlying source—sink dynamics. Keywords Attractive sinks, deceptive sources, demography, dispersal, ecological traps, habitat selection, metapopulations, risk detection, source—sink dynamics. Gundersen et al. (2001) have shown that sinks can seriously affect the demography of sources: in the presence of an experimental sink patch, source populations of root voles (Microtus oeconomus) failed to increase over the breeding season as did the control populations. According to the initial models of source—sink dynamics (e.g. Pulliam 1988) this was a rather unexpected result, since the sinks should be replenished by the surplus of sources, which should be barely or no affected. Gundersen et al. (2001) explained their findings as a result of high spatially density-dependent dispersal rates from source to sink patches. However, density-dependent export of individuals from sources to sinks is assumed by the traditional theory of source—sink dynamics, without predicting a serious effect on source demography. We think density-dependent dispersal per se was not the key process underlying the effects observed by Gundersen et al. (2001), but that the perception individuals had from the sink and the consequent behavioural decisions to settle there, influenced dispersal rates. Some time ago it was recognized that sinks could affect the demography of sources and even threaten their persistence (as in the experiment of Gundersen et al. 2001), when animals or plants suffered passive dispersal, i.e. when they did not select sinks, but were moved towards there by external forces (e.g. winds or water currents; Holt 1993). This evidence suggests that habitat selection should be an important mechanism determining the dynamics of source—sink systems. Most source—sink models assume that animals dispersing actively are able to recognize, and if possible avoid, substandard (sink) habitats, where mortality exceeds recruitment. Thus, they should first select the source and only poorer competitors will occupy the sink (Dias 1996). But, what happens if animals fail to properly select habitat? In the models by Pulliam & Danielson (1991), the whole population (source + sink) may become extinct when habitat sampling is incomplete and site-selection ability is consequently low. Doak (1995) explored source—sink models assuming that individuals did not perceive differences in habitat quality and thus moved solely on the basis of relative densities in each habitat. In this case, some combinations of mobility rates and proportions and qualities of good and bad habitats turn the whole source—sink population into a sink. Quoting these and some other analyses, Hoopes & Harrison (1998) concluded that relaxing the assumption that dispersing individuals select habitat optimally (i.e. accepting they can move inappropriately from better to worse habitat) made the sink habitat lose its positive role and caused the population to decline. More recently we have proposed that habitat selection is a key factor underlying source—sink dynamics: when individuals avoid sink habitat (as usually happens) the source subpopulation is not depressed by the sink; however, when animals choose habitat in a maladaptive way, because they are unable to distinguish sink from source habitat or even they prefer the sink, the whole population may become extinct (Delibes et al. 2001). This means that, everything being the same (size and demographic parameters of sources and sinks, distance among them, etc.), the dynamics of source—sink systems will be completely different according to the perception individuals have of the quality of sink habitat, and their consequent behavioural decisions (in the limit, the so-called matrix”” or no-habitat”” would be extreme sink habitat, easily recognized and therefore never used). The results of Gundersen et al. (2001) coincide with the predictions of Doak (1995) and ourselves (Delibes et al. 2001) when sinks are not recognized as such. In the experimental conditions of Gundersen et al. (2001), source and sink habitats were exactly the same (the sink was a sink only because all the immigrants were removed periodically by humans). In this case, voles must be unable to evaluate the risk of mortality in the sink, because they do not perceive there any of the cues used as indicators of risk in their evolutionary history (e.g. the odour of a weasel or some frustrated attack of a raptor). We called these sinks leading to maladaptive habitat selection attractive sinks (or deceptive sources) (Delibes et al. 2001). In addition, inappropriate (maladaptive) habitat choice has recently and independently been proposed as generating source—sink dynamics by Remes (2000). This author makes several references to field—forest ecotones as attractive, but dangerous, ecological traps”” for birds, a term commonly used in the literature since Gates & Gysel (1978). Gundersen et al. (2001) also suggest their results could be related to the difficulty of dispersing animals in recognizing mortality sinks, as they would be different from the usual sinks ruled by scarce resources and low recruitment rates. We agree that mortality risk may be less well assessed than poor breeding conditions (see Gaona et al. 1998), but this is not always the case. Deceptive sources (i.e. unrecognizable demographic sinks) can also appear when animals can not evaluate the probability of breeding failure, as it usually happens with pesticides. For instance, industrial PCBs affect reproduction in many mammals and are suspected to be the cause of pseudohermaphroditism in polar bears (Wiig et al. 1998). But, as the journalist Doug Mellgren (1998) wrote, polar bears fear nothing they can see in their icy domain, but they cannot see polychlorinated biphenyls.”” Thus, bears could be attracted to the highly polluted Norwegian islands of Svalbard, which should be deceptive sources ruled by low recruitment rate. Again, this should be the case of some ecotones acting as ecological traps”” for birds, for instance when a high density of brood parasites seriously affects the host population breeding success (e.g. Trine 1998). In summary, the matter is not the type of sinks (either ruled by high mortality or low recruitment rates) but the behavioural decisions of the animals, depending on the agreement between the cues they use as indicators of habitat quality and the current fitness reward obtained (Remes 2000). ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS E. Revilla, A. Rodr’iguez and B.J. Danielson helped to improve the manuscript. This research was supported by project IFD1997-0789 of the Spanish National Plan of Research and Development. REFERENCES Delibes, M., Gaona, P. & Ferreras, P. (2001). Effects of an attractive sink leading into maladaptive habitat selection. Am. Naturalist, 158, 277—285. Dias, P.C. (1996). Sources and sinks in population biology. Trends Ecol. Evol, 11, 326—330. Doak, D.F. (1995). 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Blackwell Science Ltd, Oxford, UK, pp. 135—151. Mellgren, D. (1998). PCBs now genetically damaging polar bears in Norwegian islands. [WWW document]. URL: http://www.rense. com/earthchanges/polarb.htm Pulliam, H.R. (1988). Sources, sinks and population regulation. Am. Naturalist, 132, 652—661. Pulliam, H.R. & Danielson, B.J. (1991). Sources, sinks, and habitat selection: a landscape perspective on population dynamics. Am. Naturalist, 137, 550—566. Remes , V. (2000). How can maladaptive habitat choice generate source—sink population dynamics? Oi/€os, 91, 579—582. Trine, C.L. (1998). Wood thrush population sinks and implications for the scale of regional conservation strategies. Conservation Biol., 12, 576—585. Wiig, 0., Derocher, A.E., Matthew, M.C. & Skaare, J.U. (1998). Female pseudohermaphrodite polar bears at Svalbard. J. Wildlife Dis, 34, 792—796. BIOSKETCH Miguel Delibes conducts research on the ecology and conservation of mammals, mainly carnivores. The challenge of conserving endangered carnivores in reserves surrounded by mortality sinks generated his interest on source—sink dynamics. ©2001 Blackwell Science Ltd/CNRS