Comparing a 20m and 30m GSMT for 5 driving science themes 2.1. Large Scale Structure 2.2. Galaxy Formation 2.3. Resolved Stellar Populations 2.4. Planet Formation Environments 2.5. High Dynamic Range Science Matt Mountain (a personal view) AURA New Initiatives Office Signal to Noise (S/N) gain for groundbased telescopes For background or sky noise limited observations: S a N Telescope Diameter (D) B . Delivered Image Diameter (q) Speed = Time to given S/N a D2 q . B For detector noise limited observations: S/N a Telescope Diameter (D)2 . Speed = Time to given S/N a D4 . Where: is the product of the system throughput and detector QE B is the instantaneous background flux AURA New Initiatives Office Theme 1: Baryonic Structure at High Redshift The 3-D Structure of the diffuse IGM can be probed using “tomography” via multiple sightlines through the survey volume 100Mpc (5Ox5O), 27AB mag (L* z=9), dense sampling 30m GSMT 1.5 yr Gemini 50 yr NGST 140 yr AURA New Initiatives Office Theme 1: Large Scale Structure • In the seeing limited, sky noise limited regime • S/N gain of a 30m is 1.5 (30/20), as q is fixed for a fixed number of fibers 100Mpc (5Ox5O), 27AB mag (L* z=9), dense sampling 20m GSMT 2.25 yr Gemini 50 yr NGST 140 yr • Or a 20m will need 2.25 times more fibers (and 1.5 times the FOV) to complete survey in the same time as on a 30m • If R ~ 15,000 – 20,000 spectroscopy is detector noise limited • S/N gain of a 30m is 2.25, or a 20m will need 5 times as many fibers to complete a survey in the same time as a 30m and 2.25 times the FOV AURA New Initiatives Office Theme 2: Tomography of Individual Galaxies out to z ~3 • Determine the gas and stellar dynamics within individual galaxies • Quantify variations in star formation rate – Multiple IFU spectra [R ~ 2,000 – 10,000] 30m GSMT 6 hour, 10s limit at R=2,000 0.1”x0.1” IFU pixel (sub-kpc scale structures) J 26.1 H 25.3 K 23.7 (updated 7/22/02) AURA New Initiatives Office Theme 2: Tomography of Individual Galaxies out to z ~3 • For a fixed IFU pixel scale of 0.1 arcsec, the S/N gain of a 30m will be 1.5, or it will take 2.25 times longer on a 20m to complete the same data cube to the same S/N 20m GSMT 6 hour, 10s limit at R=2,000 0.1”x0.1” IFU pixel (sub-kpc scale structures) J 25.6 H 24.8 K 23.3 (D mag ~ 0.44 magnitudes for R~2,000) (D mag ~ 0.88 magnitudes for R~10,000) This will require an MCAO system of comparable complexity to a 30m, the DM’s (~4,000 actuators) are ~ a factor of 2 away of what is available today AURA New Initiatives Office Theme 3: Resolved Stellar Populations 20” M 32 (Gemini/Hokupaa) GSMT with MCAO NGST 30m MCAO simulation AURA New Initiatives Office Theme 3: Stellar Populations • For point sources, a 30m will have a S/N gain of 2.25 times that of a 20m • In the confusion limited regime, a 30m will have an additional ~ D advantage due to the enhanced contrast ratio • For this Theme, the S/N gain of a 30m over a 20m will be ~ a factor of 3.37 or the same project will take 11 times longer to complete on a 20m since the MCAO FOV is “fixed” at ~ 2 arcmin. 30m 20m AURA New Initiatives Office Theme 4: Probing Planet Formation with High Resolution Infrared Spectroscopy Planet formation studies in the infrared (5-30µm): Probe forming planets in inner disk regions Residual gas in cleared region low t emission Rotation separates disk radii in velocity High spectral resolution high spatial resolution S/N=100, R=100,000, > 4m Gemini out to 0.2kpc sample 30m GSMT 1.5kpc NGST X ~ 10’s ~100’s 8-10m telescopes with high resolution (R~100,000) spectrographs can detect the formation of Jupiter-mass planets in disks around nearby stars (d~100pc). AURA New Initiatives Office Theme 4: Origins of Planetary Systems • In the diffraction limited, background dominated regime, • The S/N gain of a 30m over a 20m is x 2.25, or • The same survey will take 5 times longer on a 20m S/N=100, R=100,000, > 4m Gemini out to 0.2kpc sample 20m GSMT ~ 1 kpc ~ 10’s ~30’s i.e. for a fixed survey time, a 30m samples 3 times the volume of a comparable survey on a 20m NGST X AURA New Initiatives Office Theme 5: High Dynamic Range Science Fisher et al 2002 30m The angular resolution of a GSMT should be able to detect and resolve the thermal emission from large planets in such systems as b Pic b Pic. 10m and 18m AURA New Initiatives Office Theme 5: High Dynamic Range Science • For high dynamic range (high Strehl) , background limited imaging, the contrast ratio gain of a 30m is 5 times that of a 20m (energy concentration a D4 ) • Or the same observation to an equivalent contrast ratio will take 25 times longer on a 20m (hence the tremendous gain of a 100m OWL for this science theme) AURA New Initiatives Office Defining “Cost Effectiveness” Define cost effectiveness = Number of Observations / $ = 1/Tto given S/N / $ = Speed gain / $ Costs: – 30m estimated* to be between $600M - $700M – 20m using D2.7 is unrealistic at $200M - $230M • No allowance for development costs (e.g AO) • Many fixed costs reasonably insensitive to D (20m<D<30m) (e.g. site preparation, computing infrastructure, project office) – 20m would more realistically cost ~ $300M - $350M * CELT and GSMT studies AURA New Initiatives Office Relative Cost Effectiveness 30m/20m Science Program Ratio of Speed Gain for fixed S/N 30m/20m Cost Effectiveness of 30m (assuming $ a D) Large Scale Structure (seeing limited) 2.25 1.1 Large Scale Structure (detector noise limited) 5 2.5 2.25 1.1 11 5.5 Origins of Planetary Systems 5 2.6 High Dynamic Range 25 12.5 Tomography of Galaxies Resolved Stellar Populations AURA New Initiatives Office Relative Cost Effectiveness 30m/20m (assuming $ a D2.7 ) Science Program Ratio of Speed Gain Cost Effectiveness of 30m for fixed S/N (assuming $ a D2.7) 20m/30m Large Scale Structure (seeing limited) 2.25 0.75 Large Scale Structure (detector noise limited) 5 1.7 2.25 0.75 11 3.7 5 1.7 25 8.4 Tomography of Galaxies Resolved Stellar Populations Origins of Planetary Systems High Dynamic Range AURA New Initiatives Office