War and the Environment War and the Environment • • • • Passive Use of Environment Collateral Effects Use of Environment as a Weapon Environmental Modification to Aid Own Operations or Impede Enemy • Eco-Terrorism • Military actions may include some or all of these components to varying degrees. The Choke Point The Choke Point Collateral Damage • • • • • No Military Intent to Cause Damage Rutting by Vehicles Cratering (Bombturbation) Fire Injury to Plants and Animals – Threat to mountain gorillas from civil war in Africa – May actually be less damaging to flora and fauna than normal commerce, development and agriculture. • Chemical Contamination • Nuclear Accidents – Accidental release of chemicals or radiation, as opposed to chemical or nuclear warfare. • Vandalism Vehicle Damage, Bosnia Battle Damage, Kuwait Battle Damage, Kuwait Vandalism Vandalism Buddhas of Bamyan Collateral Protection • • • • • Siegfried Line Former East European Frontiers Military Reservations Political Power to Resist Development Vested Interest in Preserving Realistic Training Environment Former East German Frontier Vehicle Damage, Germany Collateral Protection, California Environmental Modification to Aid Own Operations or Impede Enemy • Small-Scale: Virtually all Military Construction • Large-Scale: – Aid Own Operations • Deprive Enemy of Cover • Improve Own Mobility – Impede Enemy Operations • Impair Enemy Mobility • Deprive of Supplies Earthworks, Fort Ticonderoga St. Lawrence River, Quebec Earthworks, Quebec Alcatraz, California Environmental Modification to Aid Own Operations • Deprive Enemy of Cover or Sanctuary – South Vietnam - Defoliation • Improve Own Mobility – Tactical: • River modification - Civil War – Strategic: • German Autobahns • U.S. Interstate System • Suez and Panama Canals Island Number Ten and New Madrid, 1862 Vicksburg Canals, 1863 Red River Campaign and Bailey’s Dam, 1864 World War I and Highways • Railroads insufficient for Army’s needs • Army turned to truck convoys • Civilians found convoy routes featured such revolutionary innovations as: – Route Markings – Regular Maintenance – Snow Removal Pershing’s Map, 1922 The Interstate Highway System I-70, Glenwood Canyon, Colorado I-70, Glenwood Canyon, Colorado The Suez Canal Suez Canal • Connections between Nile and Red Sea dug in ancient times • Modern canal by Ferdinand de Lesseps 1858-1869 • Easy terrain • Principal winner: Britain enabled to extend military reach • Red Sea organisms invading Mediterranean The Suez-Panama Connection • De Lesseps took on the job of building a canal across Panama • Nobody else could have kept the project going as long as it did • 22,000 died before project abandoned in 1893 • French actually excavated about 1/3 of canal • Built railroad across Panama The Nicaragua Alternative Continental Divide, Nicaragua Volcan Momotombo Nicaragua or Panama? • French lobbied hard to have the U.S. take over their route in Panama • An ill-timed postage stamp killed the Nicaragua route • French investors in Panama bought out The Panama Canal • U.S. and Colombia sign treaty in 1901 to build canal • Colombian Senate refuses to ratify • U.S. backs separatist revolt in Panama How U.S. Succeeded • Disease control • Life support for workers to ensure long term commitment • Get a Bigger Hammer – Bigger equipment – U.S. experience with railroads New Lock Construction Gaillard (Culebra) Cut Deepening the Canal Rio Chagres Dredging Dredging Gatun Locks Gatun Dam French Trench Prepared New Channel The Future? • Largest ships cannot use the Panama Canal despite improvements • Sea Level Canal? – Panama? – Nicaragua? • Environmental Impacts? Corinth Canal, Greece Corinth Canal, Greece Corinth Canal, Greece Corinth Canal, Greece Environmental Modification to Impede Enemy • Impair Enemy Mobility • China 1938 - Breach Huang He Dikes • Chemical Warfare • Deprive of Supplies • River Diversion in Sieges • Scorched Earth Campaigns • Shenandoah Valley - Civil War • Sherman's March - Civil War • Extermination of Buffalo - Indian Wars • It is usually easier to mess things up instead of improve them, especially in war, so it is no surprise that environmental modification to impede the enemy is so prominent in military history. Herbicide Effects, Kurdistan Diversion of Huang He, 1938 Topography of China Loess in China Huang He Diversions 400 BC Present Scale of Huang He Diversions Japanese Strategy 1938 Extent of Flooding (After Todd, 1949) Military Effects of the Breach • Minor losses of Japanese troops and materiel • Few troops caught on the wrong side escaped • Chinese gain time for withdrawal and relocation of capital • Flood also protects Japanese flank • Little additional fighting in Central China • Japanese capture of Wuhan (Hankow) delayed by only a couple of months • No central authority in much of Central China • Communists gain support Flood Fatalities, 1938 Affected Population Flood Fatality Estimation • Graham, W.J., 1999, DSO-99-06, A Procedure for Estimating Loss of Life Caused by Dam Failure • Assuming poor understanding of risk downstream • Fatality rate in parentheses is recommended prediction value Flood Severity Warning Time Fatality Rate High None 30 – 100 % (75%) > 1 hour X Number still at risk None 3 – 35% (15%) > 1 hour <1 – 6% (3%) None 0 – 2 % (1%) > 1 hour <<1 % Medium Low Casualty Model Applied to 1938 • Population of Henan, Anhui and Jiangsu flooded counties = 13.2 million (Lary, 2001) • Medium severity, no warning (15%) 2 million fatalities • Medium severity, > 1 hour warning (3%) 400,000 fatalities • 844,000 fatalities = 6.4% Visualizing the Risk Use of Environment as a Weapon • Deliberate Triggering of Environmental Effect to Cause Direct Damage to Enemy Forces • Passive use of the environment as a combat multiplier is an ancient military tactic: waiting for suitable weather or moon phase, channeling the enemy into unfavorable terrain, and so on. That's not the sense implied here. Use of Environment as a Weapon • • • • • Comparatively Rare Lack of Knowledge Lack of Capability Lack of Opportunity Inefficiency Use of Environment as a Weapon • Deliberate Spread of Natural Plagues • World War I - Italian Alps • World War II - Allied "Dam Busting" Eco-Terrorism • • • • Mongols in Iraq - 1259 Hitler's Scorched Earth Order - 1945 Sea Island Oil Spill - 1991 Kuwait Oil Wells – 1991 – Pure Eco-Terrorism – Most Other Examples had Other Military Functions • Chemical Warfare • Hypothetical Doomsday Devices Eco-Terrorism • Reasons For Use: – Deterrence – Intimidation – Lower Quality of Life for Enemy – Deprive Victor of Fruits of Victory (Scorched Earth) Eco-Terrorism • Comparatively Modern • Recent Technological Capability • Recent Rise of Environmental Concern First View of Kuwait Satellite View, March 2, 1991 Rawdatain Oil Field Darkness at Noon March 24, 1991, 11 AM Turning Night into Day What’s Worse than a Burning Oil Well? Oil on the Beach