Teacher’s Edition The Trials and Hardships of Hong Kong Economy A. Learning objectives 1. To understand some indicators that reflects the economic condition of Hong Kong, such as unemployment rate 2. To understand that Hong Kong is a small but open economy and the economy is affected by both internal and external factors 3. To understand how Hong Kong government and residents, in the past decade, responded to the difficulties and challenges posed by the economic downturn 4. To understand some of the economic problems faced by Hong Kong and their impacts 5. To acquire the skills of reading and analysing data, as well as interpreting the economic condition from the figures 6. To learn to view from other people’s perspectives so as to develop empathy towards others 7. To reflect how to prepare for the future by understanding the economic condition of Hong Kong B. Prior knowledge General Studies in primary school Strands 4: Community and Citizenship Core elements Goods, facilities and services in the community Different kinds of work in society People who work to satisfy our needs and maintain harmonious society Exchange of goods and services to meet our needs and the needs of others The differences among people, and the need to respect the rights of others Communicating and getting along with others in the community The early history of Hong Kong Major features of Hong Kong economy Factors affecting the economic development of Hong Kong The benefits for Hong Kong of trading with other parts of the world Some current and relevant social issues in the community Suggestions for extension: investigating how government policy affects the economic development of Hong Kong and the economic relationships between the mainland of China and the HKSAR 1 6: Global Understanding and the Information Era Reasons for people to exchange information, goods and services Major current international events and their meanings to us The interdependence of different parts of the world C. Suggested no. of lessons: 4 D. Suggested learning activities Lesson 1-2 1. Divide students in groups to work on【Activity 1】 so as to provide students a basic idea about Hong Kong economy in the past decade. 2. Ask students to analyze the figures in【Activity 2】and answer the questions. Discuss the questions in class so that students can learn about the relationship between the trend of unemployment rate and the economic condition of Hong Kong in recent years. After answering the questions for each phase, students read the major events of the respective phases to enhance their understanding of the economic condition in that decade. 3. Explain to students that unemployment rate is an important indicator in reflecting economic condition. Teacher can also tell students that they will reflect on the impacts brought by the economic events in the next lesson. Lesson 3-4 1. Summarize the discussion of the last two lessons. 2. Distribute materials of【Activity 3】. Students read the materials and discuss the questions in groups and then present their findings to the class. It is expected that students can understand the difficulties and challenges Hong Kong government and residents faced in the past decade and how they responded and reflected from the experience. 3. Conclude the lesson with emphasis on the characteristics of Hong Kong economy. That is, Hong Kong is a small but open economy. Its economic condition is affected by both internal and external factors. According to the experience in last decade, Hong Kong can always turn crises to opportunities when the government and society work and try their best together to brave the challenges and difficulties. 2 The Trials and Hardships of Hong Kong Economy Activity 1 1. Please write down the years in which the events below happened/will happen. The group which finishes the task most quickly and has the most accurate answers will be the champion. Calendars of major events Year 1. Hong Kong will host East Asian Games 2009 2. 9-11 terror attacks on USA 2001 3. Mr. Tung Chee-hwa resigned from the post of Chief Executive of the HKSAR 2005 4. During the outbreak of SARS, the government ordered to quarantine the residents of Block E, Amoy Garden 2003 3 5. Re-unification of Hong Kong with China 1997 6. During Asian Financial Crisis, Hong Kong dollar faced speculative 1998 pressure. It was the first time for the Hong Kong Monetary Authority to buy a large amount of shares in stock and futures markets, in order to repel the speculators who controlled the currency market. 7. Wen Jiabao, the Premier of People's Republic of China, and Mr 2003 Tung Chee-hwa, the Chief Executive of the HKSAR, hosted the ceremony of signing the 《 Mainland and Hong Kong Closer Economic Partnership Arrangement》(CEPA) 8. World Trade Organization (WTO) Hong Kong Ministerial 2005 Conference 4 9. Grand opening of Hong Kong Disneyland 2005 10. The mainland of China formally launched the “Individual Visit 2003 Scheme”. The number of mainland visitors to Hong Kong rose sharply. 11. David Beckham, the British soccer player, followed the Spanish 2003 soccer team Real Madrid to visit Hong Kong and to play a friendly match. Remarks: Teacher can freely replace events expect events 2,4,6,7,10 as they are the background information for Activity 2 and 3. Teacher can also find other suitable events from Hong Kong Yearbook if needed. For students with high ability, teacher can encourage them to suggest other events for discussion. 2. Which of the above events are related to the volatile economic condition in recent years in Hong Kong? Please support your answer with reasons. _____________________________________ _____________________________________ _____________________________________ _____________________________________ _____________________________________ Sources of photos: Hong Kong Yearbook 1997, 2003 & 2005 5 Activity 2 The Ten Years of Economic Turmoil We often come across unemployment rate as an economic data from the news. In fact, unemployment rate is one of the important indicators to reflect the economic condition of Hong Kong. From the trends of unemployment rate and the economic performance in the last fourteen years, we can see the close relationship between the two. Read Diagram 1 and answer the questions. Diagram 1 (Note) Source: “Half-yearly Economic Report 2007 & Updated Economic Forecasts for 2007”. Press Conference Presentation, 17th August 2007, HKSAR. http://www.hkeconomy.gov.hk/en/pdf/07q2_ppt.pdf Note: 03Q2 in the diagram represents second quarter of 2003. The figure (3.8) below 03Q2 represents the unemployment rate at that time. 6 A. The Period Between 1993 – 1999 1. Between 1993 and the Re-unification of Hong Kong with China, how was the level of the overall unemployment rate? What was the range of the unemployment rate at that time? Between 1993 and the Re-unification of Hong Kong with China, the overall unemployment _______________________________ rate was low and was between 1.4% and 3.8%. _______________________________ 2. From mid-1997 to the end of 1999, what happened to the overall unemployment rate? From mid 1997 to the end of 1999, the overall unemployment rate increased continuously. _______________________________ _______________________________ 3. Following question 2, what was the highest overall unemployment rate at that period? How is it different from the highest unemployment rate before the Re-unification of Hong Kong with China? What does the difference tell about the economic condition of Hong Kong at that time? The highest overall unemployment rate at that period was approximately 6.3%. The rate was _______________________________ about 2.5% (6.3-3.8%) higher than that before the Re-unification of Hong Kong with China. _______________________________ This shows that the economic condition of Hong Kong worsened. _______________________________ _______________________________ 4. Suggest an event from Activity 1 that is related to the economic condition mentioned in question 3. Support your answer with reasons. The economic condition mentioned in question 3 is closely related to the Asian Financial _______________________________ Crisis as many businesses closed at that time and made many people unemployed. _______________________________ 5. At the end of 1999, what was the unemployment rate of lower-skilled workers? How is the rate different from that of the professional and managerial staff? The unemployment rate of lower-skilled_________________ workers was around 6.5%. It is higher than that of _____________ professional and managerial staff by about 3.7% (6.5-2.8%). ____________________________ __ 7 Major Events A lesson learnt from the Asian Financial Crisis EXPERIENCE can be a harsh teacher and 1998 gave us all plenty of lessons. Hong Kong had its poorest economic result for more than 20 years, slipping into recession in the second quarter. On July 1, 1997, Hong Kong had returned seamlessly to China. The next day, the Thai Government devalued its Baht. In the 18 months that followed (to end-1998), the Asian crisis became a crisis with global implications. Governments fell, leaders changed and poverty descended on millions of people. In August, during a concerted attack on our currency and equities markets, the government was forced to intervene to stop a contrived manipulation which could have brought Hong Kong to its knees. The incursion was a matter of survival to preserve local community confidence, protect the integrity of the linked exchange rate to the US$ as well as restore a level-playing field to the stock and money markets. The crisis had a profound effect on Hong Kong. The figures for 1998 tell the tale. Real GDP contracted by around 5 per cent (compared with 5.3 per cent real growth in 1997), property prices dropped by 50 per cent, and rents were down by about the same amount. Stock market prices and turnover dropped sharply. Unemployment more than doubled to 5.7 per cent, wages fell, small businesses closed and consumer demand went into reverse. Other factors compounded the distress. A liquidity crunch (caused mainly by the repatriation of tens of billions of dollars to Japan) and sustained speculative attacks on the Hong Kong currency and stock markets were just some extraordinary problems that Hong Kong dealt with during a particularly fierce 'Year of the Tiger'. Source: Hong Kong Yearbook 1998 8 B. The Period Between 2000 and 2002 6. What happened to Hong Kong’s overall unemployment rate between 2000 and 2002? What was the highest overall unemployment rate in that period? The overall unemployment rate first dropped and then bounced back between 2000 and _____________________________ 2002. During that time, the overall unemployment rate peaked at around 7.7%. _____________________________ 7. Following the above question, how is the highest overall unemployment rate at that time different from that at the end of 1999? What does the difference tell us about the economic condition of Hong Kong at that time? The highest overall unemployment rate at that time is higher than that at the end of 1999 _____________________________ by 1.4% (7.7-6.3%). This shows that the economic condition of Hong Kong at that time _____________________________ _____________________________ deteriorated. 8. Suggest an event from Activity 1 that is related to the economic condition mentioned in question 7. Support your answer with reasons. _____________________________ The 9-11 terrorist attacks on the USA in 2001 affected the US economy and the Hong _____________________________ Kong’s export to the USA. This worsened the economic condition of Hong Kong. _____________________________ 9. At the end of 2002, what was the unemployment rate of lower-skilled workers? How is the rate different from that of professional and managerial staff? The unemployment rate of lower-skilled workers was around 8.1%. It is higher than that of ______________________________ professional and managerial staff by about 4.9% (8.1%-3.2%) ______________________________ 9 Major Events The global economic environment showed a distinct worsening during 2001, prompted by the abrupt downturn in the US economy and with the slack spreading over to Asia and Europe. The shock impact of the tragic events in the United States on September 11 aggravated the situation. It hit badly the global travel industry and reduced the demand for trade-related and other services. The exports of services likewise slowed down towards the year-end….. With the September 11 incidents hitting severely the travel industry world-wide and the demand for trade-related and other business services in the region, exports of services likewise slowed down towards the year-end. Source: Hong Kong Yearbook 2001 10 C. The Period Between 2003 and 2007 10. What happened to the overall unemployment rate in 2003? What was the highest overall unemployment rate at that time? What does the unemployment rate tell us about the economic condition of Hong Kong at the time? The overall unemployment rate in 2003 peaked at 8.6% and reached the highest in history. ______________________________ This shows that the Hong Kong economy was at low ebb. ______________________________ 11. Suggest an event from Activity 1 that is related to the economic condition mentioned in question 10. Support your answer with reasons. Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) broke out in Hong Kong in 2003 and hit the _______________________________ economy again. _______________________________ 12. What was the overall unemployment rate in the second quarter of 2007? What does the unemployment rate tell us about the economic condition of Hong Kong at that time? The overall unemployment rate in the second quarter of 2007 was about 4.2%. It shows ______________________________ that Hong Kong economy was recovering. ______________________________ 13. In the second quarter of 2007, what was the unemployment rate of lower-skilled workers? How is the rate different from that of professional and managerial staff? The unemployment rate of lower-skilled workers was around 4.9%. It is higher than that of ______________________________ professional and managerial staff by 2.8% (4.9%-2.1%). ______________________________ 11 Advanced Questions 1. Compare the unemployment rate between lower-skilled workers and professional and managerial staff in different economic conditions in questions 5, 9 and 13. What problem does the answer reveal? Under all economic conditions, the unemployment rate of lower-skilled workers was higher _______________________________ than that of professional and managerial staff. When Hong Kong economy slumped, the gap _______________________________ widened. It reflects that structural transformation in Hong Kong economy worsens the _______________________________ unemployment situation of lower-skilled workers. _______________________________ _______________________________ 2. If you were an officer of Labour and Welfare Bureau, how would you deal with this problem? Students _______________________________ may answer the question freely. _______________________________ _______________________________ 12 Major Events Behind the Smiling Face: 296 died, 3.8 billion loss Hong Kong people have enough of it! The moment WHO announced the removal of Hong Kong from the SARS affected area list at 3 o’clock yesterday afternoon, the whole city burst into thunderous cheers. Everyone was smiling brightly and joyfully, however, these delights did not come easily. In the past three months, the epidemic (SARS) has claimed the lives of nearly 300 people in Hong Kong, and was also responsible for an economic loss of HK$ 3.8 billion. It’s yet to be known when the city will get fully recovered and regain its vigor. Since the very beginning of SARS, there have been 1,755 cumulative infected cases in Hong Kong. While most of the patients recovered, 296 of them were unfortunately killed by the virus, including six health care personnel. Ten patients are still receiving treatments in the Intensive Care Unit and fighting SARS. Apart from bringing casualties, the epidemic also hit severely the Hong Kong economy. Industries such as tourism, transportation, food and beverage suffered substantial loss and worsened the unemployment condition. Food and beverage and retail industries were the first to be affected as their sales turnover made a dive of more than 50%. In the first two weeks of April, 25 restaurants were shut down and approximately 1,600 people lost their jobs. The latest unemployment rate reached a high of 8.3%. Mr Stephen Ip Shu-kwan, Secretary for Economic Development and Labour, pointed out that the total loss from all industries in April and May amounted to HK$ 3.8 billion. At the end of last month, Hong Kong government revised its prediction on economic growth, adjusting the ratio from 3% down to 1.5%. Those infected with SARS are not the only ones in torments, their family members might as well have to face the financial hardship. Property market was also adversely affected by SARS. The registered volume of sale and purchase of premises in Hong Kong in the past 100 days decreased by 29.9% to 4,753 cases, compared to the 11,148 cases in the same period last year; the total value dropped from HK$ 33 billion to HK$ 22.23 billion, experiencing a plunge of nearly HK$ 10.931 billion or 33.2%. Mr Patrick Chu, Vice-chairman of Hong Kong Property, said that the secondary property market suffered much more than the primary property market. As revealed by recorded transactions, the volume of transactions reduced by nearly 31% with an approximately 28% decrease on the total value. On the other hand, Mr Chu predicted that as the influence of SARS gradually faded away, Hong Kong property market would recover in the second half year… Sources: “笑容背後 痛失 296 人命 38 億元”. Apple Daily. 2003-06-24; 經濟通專訊 http://www.etnet.com.hk/news-focus/15April2003/news-focus-main.html; Hong Kong Professional Teachers’ Union http://www.hkptu.org/sarsdonate/statement.htm (Sources retrieved on 26 March 2006) 13 Activity 3 From Experience to Reflection In the past decade, Hong Kong experienced political, economic and social changes. These changes together with some international incidents left deep marks on the memory of Hong Kong people. In Activity 1 and 2, we have seen the economic impact brought by these incidents to Hong Kong. In Activity 3, we hope to be inspired through reflection on the events. Source 1 In a move to alleviate the difficulties faced by the community as the economy weathered the impact of the regional financial turmoil, the government introduced several packages during the course of 1998. These included measures to help ease the financial burden on households as well as businesses, to improve liquidity in the financial system, to stabilise the property market, and to boost tourism. Moreover, measures to enhance employment services and re-training as well as to create more jobs were taken to enable the unemployed to re-enter the labour market at an early opportunity. Source: Hong Kong Yearbook 1998 14 Source 2 …. Investment spending on machinery and equipment also turned up to a notable growth in the latter part of 2003, on the back of improved economic conditions and brighter business outlook, especially after the signing of the Closer Economic Partnership Arrangement (CEPA) between Hong Kong and the Mainland. In the external sector, inbound tourism and the travel-related sectors suffered a drastic downturn in the second quarter of 2003 upon the impact of SARS, but regained strength swiftly in the third quarter and advanced further in the fourth quarter. The remarkable turnaround was backed by a strong rebound in visitor arrivals from the Mainland, especially after the launch of the Individual Visit Scheme in late July.… Measures in Response to SARS Outbreak In response to the outbreak of SARS and to prepare for the entry of school leavers into the labour market in the summer, two employment/training packages, coordinated by the Labour Department, were introduced in May and July to create a total of 53 550 employment-related and training openings, at the cost of $1.15 billion. Of these openings, 17 000 were training places offered under the Skills Enhancement Project to provide trade-specific and generic training to employees of industries hard-hit by SARS — such as catering, retail, tourism, hotel, passenger transport, building decoration, real estate, and airport and related industries.… To help needy employers in the worst-hit industries — including the tourism, restaurants, retail and entertainment businesses — to tide over the difficult time and to preserve jobs, the Government established a low-interest Loan Guarantee Scheme, with a commitment of $3.5 billion.…Some of the Government’s special relief measures included the rates concession and waiver of water and sewage charges…. Source: Hong Kong Yearbook 2003 15 Source 3 Combating the SARS outbreak ….The Social Welfare Department has been entrusted to administer two non-government funds, namely the 'Business Community Relief Fund for Victims of SARS' and the 'We Care Education Fund' initiated by the business sector and the civil service sector respectively, and to allocate grants to eligible individuals or families…. Source: Hong Kong Yearbook 2003 Source 4 RTHK further expands service by setting up network for isolated patients to communicate with outside world Under the threat of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), most hospital inmates have to be isolated from the outside world. In order to boost the public morale against SARS and let hospital inmates feel care and support directly from their friends and relatives, RTHK, after promoting “Say Hi to Family”, will carry out the second phase of the service titled “NetCare” on Monday, 12 May in collaboration with the parochial campaign against SARS, Hong Kong United Youth Association, the Hospital Authority and Faculty of Medicine of CUHK. It is a visit scheme through videoconferencing to relieve the suffering of isolation between the inmates and their families. Source: “香港電台進一步拓展服務建立網絡助隔離病者溝通”. Press release from RTHK, 8 May 2005. http://www.rthk.org.hk/press/chi/20030508_66_78028.html (Retrieved on 26 March 2006) Source 5 A structural shift during the past decade has meant establishments in the service sectors now employ six times as many workers as themanufacturing sector.... With the continuing shift in employment, many manufacturing workers have been displaced. The Employees Retraining Board, set up in 1992, helped workers displaced from the manufacturing sector to rejoin the workforce by providing them suitable retraining…. Source: Hong Kong Yearbook 1997 16 Source 6 The Government launches the Continuing Education Fund, which provides subsidies to local residents aged 18 to 60 without a university degree to pursue continuing education so as to prepare Hong Kong's workforce for the knowledge-based economy. Source: Hong Kong Yearbook 2002 17 Answer the following questions by refering to Activity 2 and Source 1 to 6, and using your own knowledge. 1. The high overall unemployment rate in Hong Kong recorded in the three phases (1993-1999, 2000-2002 and 2003-2007) in Activity 2 was closely related to some events. Identify and categorise these events into internal and external factors, and conclude from them the characteristics of Hong Kong economy. Internal Factor: ________________________ The outbreak of SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) External Factor: _________________________ Asian financial crisAsian Financial Crisis, 9-11 terrorist attack and economic downturn in the US Characteristics of Hong Kong economy: From _______________ the above categorisation, we can conclude ________________________________ that Hong Kong is a small and open economy, whose situation is affected by both internal ________________________________ and external factors. 2. How did the HKSAR Government and/or the Central People’s Government react to the economic challenges in different phases? Illustrate your answer with examples from one of the phases in Activity 2. ________________________________ E.g. During the outbreak of SARS, the HKSAR Government provided professional and ________________________________ general retraining to employees of the most affected industries such as catering, retailing, ________________________________ tourism, hotel, transportation, building renovation, real estate, aviation and other related ones; ________________________________ and set up the low-interest loan guarantee scheme to help employers bridge over difficulties. In ________________________________ ________________________________ and sewage charges. In the same year, the Central People’s Government signed the Mainland ________________________________ and Hong Kong Closer Economic Partnership Arrangement (CEPA) with the HKSAR ________________________________ Government and implemented the “Individual Visit Scheme” for mainland tourists so as to ________________________________ addition, the HKSAR government also implemented the rates concession and waiver of water revitalize Hong Kong economy. 3. Do you think tackling difficulties in Hong Kong only by the HKSAR Government / the Central People’s Government is enough? Why? _______________________________ Students may answer the question freely. _______________________________ 4. How would you feel if you were the first Hong Kong Chief Executive who faced various challenges since 1997? How would you respond to the public’s expectation? _______________________________ Students may answer the question freely. _______________________________ 18 How I am inspired In the past decade, Hong Kong gained precious experience under tough circumstances. As the world is getting closer and the global economy develops at an ever-increasingly rapid pace, the experience deserves our deep reflection so as to help plan our future. For example: Lower-skilled workers often suffer a greater setback from unemployment than professional and managerial staff. The situation aggravates when the economy is weak; Hong Kong is a small and open economy, whose economic condition is affected by both internal and external factors; In the face of challenges, Hong Kong is always able to turn crises to opportunities and to get back on the rising track. This in fact rests very much on the solidarity and collaboration between the government and society to brave challenges and difficulties together. How do the trials and hardships Hong Kong experienced in the last decade inspire you? (e.g. your lifelong planning, views on Hong Kong development in the future and your participation in local affairs.) Students may answer the question freely. _____________________________ _____________________________ _____________________________ _____________________________ ___________________________________________ 19