Extension of trade theory Professional Development Course in Knowledge Enrichment for Senior Secondary Economics Teachers Outline of Lecture 5 – Macroeconomics: Extension of trade theory Topics covered: I. Comparative advantage and its relation to globalization (production possibility frontier, terms of trade, gain from trade) II. Comparative advantage and its relation to globalization (analysis of the effects of trade protection on efficiency using supply and demand, using China as example) I. Comparative advantage and its relation to globalization (production possibility frontier, terms of trade, gain from trade) The Global Circular Flow The Determinants of Trade Teaching advice This topic may be difficult to teach and very difficult for students to understand and accept. Be prepared for a skeptical reaction from students who have been told that free international trade is detrimental to a country. For various historical, cultural, and political reasons, free trade has few defenders outside of the economics profession. Point out that international trade issues are not different from trading as it applies to individuals within a community or between states and regions within a country. The gains from trade between countries occur for the same reasons that we observe gains from trade between individuals. Pick a state adjacent to yours. Ask students why we do not seem to worry about “importing” goods from other states the same way we do about importing goods from other countries. 1 Extension of trade theory Definition of world price: the price of a good that prevails in the world market for that good. Illustration of comparative advantage and gains from trade with the aid of production possibilities frontier - Constant cost analysis Absolute Advantage - Definition of absolute advantage: the comparison among producers of a good according to their productivity. Opportunity Cost and Comparative Advantage Definition of opportunity cost: whatever must be given up to obtain some items. Definition of comparative advantage: the comparison among producers of a good according to their opportunity cost. Comparative Advantage and Trade When specialization in a good occurs (assuming there is a comparative advantage), total output will grow. As long as the opportunity cost of producing the goods differs across the two individuals, both can gain from specialization and trade. Production Possibilities Frontier Y PPF 0 X 2 Extension of trade theory Illustration of comparative advantage and gains from trade with the aid of production possibilities frontier - Increasing cost analysis Differences in labor, labor skills, physical capital, land and technology between countries cause productive differences, leading to gains from trade. These productive differences are represented as differences in production possibilities frontiers, which represent the productive capacities of nations. Increasing cost analysis Consumption point A: Consumption point Y Food Production B: Production point Indifference Curve Lines along which the market value of output is constant. A Import Food Import of Y B Lines along which the Production point market value of output is constant. Isovalue line PPF X Production Cloth Cloth Exports Export of X Note: Indifference Curve (analysis) is not required in Economics Curriculum (S4-S6) 3 Extension of trade theory II. Comparative advantage and its relation to globalization (analysis of the effects of trade protection on efficiency using supply and demand, using China as example) Teaching advice Be prepared for students to argue that trade cannot be good for everyone. More than likely at least one of your students will know an individual who lost his or her job when a factory closed and moved to another country. Take this opportunity to point out that this individual is one of the “losers”, but remind the class that the gains from trade exceed the losses, so the well-being of society is increased. The Winners and Losers from Trade If the world price of Good X is higher than the domestic price, the Country will export Good X. Once free trade begins, the domestic price will rise to the world price. International Trade in an Exporting Country Price of Good X Domestic supply Price after trade World price Price before trade Exports 0 Domestic quantity demanded 4 Domestic quantity supplied Domestic demand Quantity of Good X Extension of trade theory How Free Trade Affects Welfare in an Exporting Country Price of Good X Price after trade Exports A Domestic supply World price D B Price before trade C Domestic demand Quantity of Good X 0 The Gains and Losses of an Exporting Country Before Trade After Trade Change Consumer Surplus A+ B A -B Producer Surplus C B+C+D + (B + D) A+ B+ C A+ B+ C + D +D Total Surplus The area D shows the increase in total surplus and represents the gains from trade. If the world price of Good X is lower than the domestic price, the Country will import Good X. Once free trade begins, the domestic price will fall to the world price. International Trade in an Importing Country Price of Good X Domestic supply Price before trade World price Price after trade Imports 0 Domestic quantity supplied Domestic quantity demanded 5 Domestic demand Quantity of Good X Extension of trade theory How Free Trade Affects Welfare in an Importing Country Price of Good X Domestic supply A Price before trade B D Price after trade C World price Imports Domestic demand 0 Quantity of Good X The Gains and Losses of an Importing Country Before Trade After Trade Change Consumer Surplus A A+ B+ D + (B + D) Producer Surplus B+C C -B A+ B+ C A+ B+ C + D +D Total Surplus The area D shows the increase in total surplus and represents the gains from trade. Case Study: Cheap clothes from China China’s Adaptation and Transformation under Globalization The Path of China’s Accession to WTO Why was China so eager to join WTO? 6 Extension of trade theory The effect of a Tariff Teaching advice Divide students into groups and assign each group a section of the discussion on tariffs or quotas. For example, one group may be assigned the task of identifying changes in the welfare of domestic consumers if there is a tariff, while another may be assigned the same task with regard to domestic producers. When groups are ready, have them present their analyses to the class. This exercise will help you evaluate which students need extra help with this material. Definition of tariff: a tax on goods produced abroad and sold domestically. The Effects of a Tariff Price of Good X Domestic supply Equilibrium without trade Price with tariff Tariff Price without tariff 0 Imports with tariff Q S Q S Domestic demand Q Imports without tariff 7 D Q D World price Quantity of Good X Extension of trade theory Consumer surplus & Producer surplus before tariff Price of Good X Consumer surplus before tariff Domestic supply Producer surplus before tariff Equilibrium without trade Price without tariff Domestic demand 0 Q S Q World price D Quantity of Good X Imports without tariff Consumer surplus & Producer surplus after tariff Price of Good X Price of Good X Consumer surplus with tariff A Producer surplus after tariff Equilibrium without trade Equilibrium without trade B Price with tariff Price with tariff Tariff Price without tariff 0 Domestic supply Domestic supply Imports with tariff Q S Q S Domestic demand Q D Q D World price Price without tariff Quantity of Good X 0 Imports without tariff Tariff C G Imports with tariff Q S Q S Q Imports without tariff 8 Domestic demand D Q D World price Quantity of Good X Extension of trade theory Tariff Revenue Price of Good X Domestic supply Tariff Revenue Price with tariff Tariff E Price without tariff Imports with tariff 0 Q S Q Domestic demand S Q D Q World price D Quantity of Good X Imports without tariff The Effects of a Tariff Price of Good X Domestic supply A Deadweight Loss B Price with tariff Price without tariff 0 Tariff C D E G F Imports with tariff Q S Q S Domestic demand Q D Q D World price Quantity of Good X Imports without tariff Consumer Surplus Producer Surplus Government Revenue Total Surplus Before Tariff After Tariff Change A+ B+ C + D + E + F G None A+ B+ C + D + E + F+ G A+ B C+G E A+ B+ C + E + G - (C + D + E + F) +C +E - (D + F) The area D + F shows the fall in total surplus and represents the deadweight loss of the tariff. 9 Extension of trade theory The effect of an Import Quotas Definition of import quota: a limit on the quantity of a good that can be produced abroad and sold domestically. The Effects of an Import Quota Price of Good X Domestic supply Equilibrium without trade Domestic supply + Import supply Quota Price with quota Equilibrium with quota Price World without = price quota World price Imports with quota 0 Q S Q S Domestic demand Q D Q D Quantity of Good X Imports without quota Price of Good X Domestic supply Equilibrium without trade Domestic supply + Import supply Quota A B Price with quota Price World without = price quota 0 C Equilibrium with quota E' D G F E" World price Imports with quota Q S Q S Domestic demand Q D Q D Quantity of Good X Imports without quota Before Quota After Quota Change Consumer Surplus A + B + C + D + E’ + E’’ + F A+ B - (C + D + E’ + E’’ + F) Producer Surplus G C+G +C None E’ + E’’ + (E’ + E’’) A + B + C + D + E’ + E’’ + F + G A + B + C + E’ + E’’ + G - (D + F) License-holder surplus Total Surplus 10 Extension of trade theory Comparison of Tariff with Quota Tariff Quota Domestic price of the good Welfare of domestic consumers Welfare of domestic producers Deadweight loss (Potentially cause a larger deadweight loss than a tariff, depends on the mechanism used to allocate the import licenses.) Others Raises revenue for Creates surplus for the government license holders Comparative advantage and its relation to globalization Teaching advice This section provides a good opportunity to review what the students have learned so far about trade. You should reinforce the idea that total surplus rises when trade is introduced, but falls once trade restrictions are imposed. Globalization - The process of increasing interdependence among countries and their citizens. Economic globalization - The process of increasing economic interdependence among countries and their citizens. References: Mankiw, N G (2006), Principles of Economics, 4th edition, Thomson, South-Western. Chapter 3, 9 Case, K E, Fair, R C, (2007), Principles of Economics, 8th edition, Pearson, Prentice Hall. Chapter 35 Hong Kong Trade Development Council: http://www.hktdc.com/tc/ 11