Bumpy Road to Zero: Tackling Ebola in Sierra Leone John William Raine OBE Presentation to Geographical Association 7th April 2016 Overview… 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. What is it? Where did it happen? How was it tackled? Who took part? Did it work? Bring it all together – SellaKafta case study Links to national curriculum Conclusion What? The Ebola virus First discovered in 1976 near the Ebola River in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. The Ebola virus Signs and symptoms Where? West Africa Sierra Leone Human Development Report 2015 The start of the journey Cases of Ebola 2014 The start of the bumpy road Humanitarian crisis or Public Health Emergency? • • • • • • • Control Education – Social Mobilisation Infection Prevention Control Immunisation Survivor Support Prevent National Ebola Response centre District Ebola Response centres MOHS V NERC JIATF (MOD/DfID) Funding Actors Logistics Locate • • • • • • • Treat Case Management Isolation facilities Treatment facilities Interim Observation Centres Laboratories Ambulances Psychosocial Support Contain • • • • • • 117 – Emergency Line Active Case Search Community Event Based surveillance Social Mobilisation Byelaws Safe Dignified Burials • swabbing Quarantine Contact Tracing Security Gene Sequencing Livelihoods Support Actors: international to local Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 •International Donors •DfID, USAid, Private Trusts •UN Agencies •WHO, WFP, UNICEF, World Bank, IOM, (IFRC) •International NGOs •Save the children, GOAL, ACF, MSF, World Vision, Concern, CAFOD •Consortia •SMAC, SMART, ERC •Local NGOs •Caritas Makeni, WESOFOD, Focus 100, Church organizations Actors: International to local Fuel paid for via Caritas, funded by CAFOD, funded by World Vision funded by DfID Vehicle donated by UNICEF using DfID funding Driver paid by MoHS Risk pay paid for by World Bank or DfID Vehicle serviced by local mechanics paid for by World Vision Food for driver provided by GOAL as part of ERC funded by DfID DERC – The reality 1. Life Support – FOB and MRE 2. Day 1 - chaos a. No systems or processes b. Too few staff – not paid c. Fleet beyond repair d. No command and control e. No communications f. No computers/Wi-Fi g. No strategy 3. RSLAF – Pillar Leads 4. Rapid procurement of vehicles 5. Rapid scale up of staffing 6. Emergency funding for salaries 7. Massive logistics operation 8. Commence build ETCs/CCCs Port Loko DERC 01/11/2014 1. % live and dead body alerts resolved < 24hrs Alerts 33 43 Alerts Processed Genuine Alerts Conversion Rate 33 30 (3F) 91% 43 42 (1F) 97% 2. % persons visited meeting case definition Live Alerts 13 Visits 15 13 15 No’ meeting CD Pending Conversion Rate 10 (3F) 0 76% 14 (1F) 0 93% 3. % persons meeting case definition transferred to holding centre Total No’ 10 14 Transferred Pending Conversion Rate 10 0 100% 14 0 100% 5. % corpses buried < 24 hrs from notification DB Alerts No. Buried Pending Conversion Rate 20 20 0 100% 28 28 0 100% 4. % persons with +EVD blood test transferred to treatment centre No of patients Transferred 2 2 6 6 Pending Conversion Rate 0 100% 0 100% The Bumpy Road Epi Curve by date of symptom onset 16 Feb, 2015 Confirmed Probable Suspect ROTIFUNK (KB) 17- M PLK: 500077 DATE ONSET: 31 Jan ‘15 DATE REPORT: 2 Feb ’15 NOTES: LUNGI (KB) 29 years- M PLK: 500093 DATE ONSET: unknown DATE REPORT: 3 Feb ’15 NOTES: 30- M PLK: 50084 DATE ONSET: 1 Feb ‘15 DATE REPORT: 2 Feb ’15 NOTES: 1 mo. - M PLK: 11502 STATUS: Dead – 5 Jan ‘15 DATE ONSET: 5 Jan ‘15 LAB RESULT: Positive NOTES: Relative Survivor? 2-M PLK: 500081 DATE ONSET: 1 Feb ‘15 DATE REPORT: 2 Feb ’15 NOTES: 1y 8mo. - F PLK: 500080 DATE ONSET: 1 Feb ‘15 DATE REPORT: 2 Feb ’15 NOTES Kaffu Bullom y ?-F PLK: Unknown DATE ONSET: STAUS: Dead ~ 21 Jan ‘15 at LGH DATE REPORT: Unknown LAB RESULT: Not tested NOTES: Secret Burial ? U 25 years- F PLK: 500083 DATE ONSET: 1 Feb ‘15 DATE REPORT: 2 Feb ‘15 NOTES: Wet patient and admitted with 2 child PLK: 500329 DATE ONSET: 1 Feb ‘15 DATE REPORT: 2 Feb ’15 NOTES: 30 - M PLK: 50077 DATE ONSET: unknown DATE REPORT: 2 Feb ’15 NOTES: 1y 8mo. PLK: 500082 DATE ONSET: 1 Feb ‘15 DATE REPORT: 2 Feb ‘15 NOTES: Son I PLK: 500330 DATE ONSET: 31 Jan ‘15 DATE REPORT: 2 Feb ’15 NOTES: F -F PLK: 500100 DATE ONSET: unknown DATE REPORT: 3 Feb ’15 NOTES: 75 yearsPLK: 500076 DATE ONSET: 1 Feb ‘15 DATE REPORT: 2 Feb ’15 NOTES: 25- F PLK: 500328 DATE ONSET: 2 Feb ‘15 DATE REPORT: 2 Feb ’15 NOTES: 30 years- F PLK: 500087 DATE ONSET: unknown DATE REPORT: 3 Feb ’15 NOTES: 27 years- M PLK: 500078 DATE ONSET: 1 Feb ‘15 DATE REPORT: 2 Feb ’15 NOTES: y 3-F PLK: 500332 DATE ONSET: 31 Jan ‘15 DATE REPORT: 2 Feb ’15 NOTES: CIF shows Fever Yes – 36.4 23 - F PLK: 500334 DATE ONSET: 30 Jan ‘15 DATE REPORT: 2 Feb ‘15 NOTES: Visited Lungi General Hospital 1 Feb ‘15 – IV fluids and discharged. Alert pending lab results 34 - M PLK: 500352 DATE ONSET: Unknown DATE REPORT: 2 Feb ‘15 NOTES: Positive case Not tested Draft as of 3 Feb 2015 – Several CIFs yet to be analyzed Bringing it all together National Ebola Response Centre (NERC) KAMBIA DERC - EVENT STORYBOARD Date of Update: 09 Sept 15 CP Village – Sella-Kafta Chiefdom – Tonko Limba District – Kambia 005 – Update 11 Magburaka Kambia CP Massessebe Village H/R QHH VQF CP ICP CP 1. Households in quarantine: 227 (amended after discussion IOT keep Hse 1 on the list) 2. Individuals in quarantine: (Total 847) a. 843 in Sella Kafta i. 824 in Sella Kafta (including 36 HR contacts). ii. 6 preg woman and 6 HR children in OICC. iii. 1 in Kambia Gov Hosp. EVD Neg and being monitored. iv. 5 EVD+ and 1 contact in the ETC. b. 1 in Kalamba, c. 2 in Mile 14. d. 1 in Kassirie Mathatoi 3. Missed Contact: Kadiatu Kamara (HR Contact) Local responses Question 1 – Salone has 1 new case of Ebola in Tonkolili. Do U believe dis is a TRUE case or a FAKE case for other reasons? Local responses Question 2 – Please tell us the reason U think the case is Fake. REPLY 1-Political conspiracy, 2-Financial conspiracy, 3-Other reason. Financial Political 14% 49% 37% Other Conclusion 1. Ebola is a potentially fatal VHF – first appeared in West Africa December 2013 2. Unrecognised at first – allowed to secure a foothold in Sierra Leone, Guinea, Liberia 3. Spread through Sierra Leone facilitated by a mobile population, good roads infrastructure and porous borders 4. Dealt with as a public health emergency – using conventional public health tools 5. Interventions hampered by indigenous customs and practices 6. Response evolved quickly – but the bumpy road to zero proved bumpier than most imagined 7. Huge international ‘no regrets’ response provided scale with complexity – UK/WHO led 8. Proud to be part of such an immense team effort that saw the region declared free of Ebola – but further outbreaks will occur Bumpy Road to Zero: Tackling Ebola in Sierra Leone John William Raine OBE Thank You - Questions Reported v Expected National Ebola Response Centre (NERC) KAMBIA DERC - EVENT STORYBOARD Date of Update: 09 Sept 15 Village – Sella-Kafta Chiefdom – Tonko Limba District – Kambia 005 – Update 11 Headlines: - ST(8yo) has received an EVD Pos 2nd test. - Now have 5 x EVD+ individuals within the ETC. They were all HR contacts. Magburaka Background: MK is a 50-60 yo female from Sella, Tonka Limba who was discovered to be EVD+ on the 29 Aug 15. MK is a local businesswoman (restaurant owner), who is known to have visited the Sumbaya Lumar ca. 13 Aug and attended a burial on the 17 Aug in Bayandi before falling ill on the 20 Aug. Over the following few days her condition deteriorated further before developing wet symptoms ca. 23 Aug. Treatment was provided by the village chief’s brother (herbalist) ca. 25 Aug. MK passed away on the 28 Aug when her death alert was notified and the swab test was subsequently found to be EVD+ late on 29 Aug. Update: Soc Mob have continued to reinforce Byelaws, engage with schools regarding hand washing and other general IPC measures. PSS have visited all houses with no general complaints from villagers. They showed videos of the OICC to family at House 6 and the sharing of video messages from their children will continue this evening. No issues with OICC pregnant women. All contacts seen less 2 of the 3 old women. A visual assessment completed for one lady. A survivor is now being trained to contact trace IOT ensure their temps are taken in future. The isolation facility being placed by the PHU within Sella-Kafta (for use if required during silent hours) is almost complete, it is expected to be available for use tomorrow evening. There is continued engagement with the community through Active Surveillance, today they visited yeleboya island (via boat) to meet with the ex-husband of Mayalie Turay (EVD+). He has denied leaving the island. They also met with a boyfriend of Kaiadtu who is being held under local citizen arrest. We are awaiting feedback from the visit. A total of 48 mattresses have now been delivered to children who require them. The livelihood work continues on the 199 farms, the breakdown is as follows: 65 x Sella (30 WiP, 21 completed and 14 awaiting work), 131 x Kafta (68 WiP, 35 completed and 28 awaiting work), 1 x Mile 14 – complete. 28 businesses will be paid for their loss of earnings. 4 x 2man (unarmed) RSLAF patrols continuing today through village. Recent Developments:. IOM have provided 6 monitors and 1 senior monitor to assist the RSLAF on 3 x health screening checkpoints with temp testing and general IPC. Massessebe Village Location Sella-Kafta People HR Missed Tested Ongoing Died in in Q contacts contacts EVD+ last EVD+ past 24 24 hrs hrs 816 28 0 0 0 0 Final release date from Q 19 Sept 15 S-Kafta Hse 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 19 Sept 15 S-Kafta Hse5&6 8 8 0 0 0 0 28 Sept 15 Kalangba 1 0 0 0 0 0 19 Sept 15 Mile 14 2 0 0 0 0 0 19 Sept 15 Kassirie Mathatoi 1 0 0 0 0 0 19 Sept 15 OICC 6 0 0 0 0 0 19 Sept 15 OICC (HR) 6 6 0 0 0 0 28 Sept 15 Kambia Hospital 1 0 0 0 0 0 19 Sept 15 ETC 6 0 0 1 4 0 N/A Totals 847 42 1 (HR) 1 4 0 N/A Next 24 hours: Temp tests, farming, PSS and Soc Mob engagement