Solution Term 2 [ GE 407 ] 1. [4 Points] A manufacturer is planning to purchase a press machine. There are two makes available in the market. The relevant values are: Description Purchase price, SR Annual savings Salvage value, SR Useful life, years Machine A 15,000 SR 5,000 for Year 1 to Year 4, SR 8,000 for Year 5 and 6 2,000 6 Machine B 11,000 SR 1,000 for first year and increasing by SR 1,000 per year until the end of its useful life 4,000 6 The interest rate is 15% compounded annually. Use the annual cash flow analysis to determine the better machine. Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Machine A -15,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 8,000 8,000+2,000 Machine B -11,000 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000+4,000 πΈππ΄ππ΄ = {−15,000 + 5,000(π/π΄, 15%, 4) + 8,000(π/π΄, 15%, 2)(π/πΉ, 15%, 4) + 2,000(π/πΉ, 15%, 6)}(π΄/π, 15%, 6) = {−15,000 + 5,000(2.855) + 8,000(1.626)(0.5718) + 2,000(0.4323)}(0.2642) = SR 2,001.995156 πΈππ΄ππ΅ = {−11,000 + 1,000(π/π΄, 15%, 6) + 1,000(π/πΊ, 15%, 6) + 4,000(π/πΉ, 15%, 6)}(π΄/π, 15%, 6) = {−11,000 + 1,000(3.784) + 1,000(7.937) + 4,000(0.4323)}(0.2642) = SR 647.34284 Since EUAWA > EUAWB, Machine A must be selected. 2. Two alternative mini power plants for in-site power generation are being considered. Which project is better and why? The minimum attractive rate of return is 10%. Alternatives End of year 0 Project C -150,000 Project D -105,000 1 2 38,000 39,000 27,000 27,000 3 4 40,000 41,000 27,000 27,000 End of year 0 1 2 3 4 Difference -45,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 πDifference (π) = −45,000 + 11,000(π/π΄, π, 4) + 1,000(π/πΊ, π, 4) Try π = 5%, πDifference (5%) = −45,000 + 11,000(3.546) + 1,000(5.103) = −891 < 0 Try π = 4%, πDifference (5%) = −45,000 + 11,000(3.630) + 1,000(5.267) = 197 > 0 Hence, 4% < βIRR < 5%. Since MARR > βIRR, we should accept the project with the lower initial cost, which is Project D. 3. The three estimates, namely: optimistic, most likely and pessimistic values, for a project are given below. Optimistic value Initial cost, SR Benefits at the end of 1st year, SR Benefits at the end of 2nd year, SR Benefits at the end of 3ed year, SR Benefits at the end of 4th year, SR Annual maintenance cost, SR Salvage value at the end of 4th year, SR 16,000 6,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 2,000 20,000 Most likely value 24,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 3,000 16,000 Pessimistic value 30,000 1,200 6,000 7,000 8,000 4,000 12,000 If the interest rate is 10%, should the project be accepted? Use the present worth analysis. Mean Value Initial cost 23,666.67 Benefits at the end of 1st year 5200 Benefits at the end of 2nd year 8000 Benefits at the end of 3ed year 9000 Benefits at the end of 4th year 10000 Annual maintenance cost 3000 Salvage value at the end of 4th year 16000 π = −23,666.67 + (5200 − 3000)(π/πΉ, 10%, 1) + (8000 − 3000)(π/πΉ, 10%, 2) + (9000 − 3000)(π/πΉ, 10%, 3) + (10000 − 3000)(π/πΉ, 10%, 4) + 16000(π/πΉ, 10%, 4) = −23,666.67 + (5200 − 3000)(0.9091) + (8000 − 3000)(0.8264) + (9000 − 3000)(0.7513) + (10000 − 3000)(0.6830) + 16000(0.6830) = SR 2,682.15 Since π > 0, the project can be accepted. 4. A robot is considered for installation at a plant at a cost of SR 81,000 with no salvage value. The company uses π = 6%. Annual savings and useful life are random variables with the following estimates: Annual savings, SR Probability 18,000 0.2 Useful life, years Probability 20,000 0.7 5 0.8 22,000 0.1 4 0.2 Calculate the expected present worth. Write the answer PW= -81000+18000(P/A,6%,5) = -81000+18000* 4.2124= 5176.8 PW= -81000+18000(P/A,6%,4) = -81000+18000*3.4651= 18628.2 The Present worth of all combinations is given below: Annual benefits 18,000 20,000 22,000 18,000 20,000 22,000 Probability Life Probability PW .2 .7 .1 .2 .7 .1 .8 .8 .8 .2 .2 .2 -5176.8 3248 11672.8 -18628.2 -11698 -4767.8 5 5 5 4 4 4 Joint probability .16 .56 .08 .04 .14 .02 Expected present worth Joint probability* PW -828.29 1818.88 933.82 -745.13 -1637.72 -95.36 =ο₯ = -553.8 Expected present worth = -553.8 units 5. The initial cost of a project is SR 25 million. The project will run for 10 years with no salvage value. The annual benefits are not known to the company. If the interest rate is 9%, calculate the range of values of the annual benefits that will make the project desirable. π = −25 + π₯(π/π΄, 9%, 10) = −25 + 6.418π₯ Set π = 0: −25 + 6.418π₯ = 0 π₯= 25 = 3.895 6.418 Try annual benefits=SR 4 million, π = −25 + 6.418(4) = 0.672 > 0. Hence, as long as the annual benefits are greater than SR 3.895 million, the project can be accepted.