Supercell Storms METR 4433: Mesoscale Meteorology Spring 2016 Semester Adapted from Materials by Drs. Kelvin Droegemeier, Frank Gallagher III and Ming Xue School of Meteorology University of Oklahoma 1 2 3 Supercell Thunderstorms A very large storm with one principal updraft Quasi-steady in physical structure – Continuous updraft – Continuous downdraft – Persistent updraft/downdraft couplet Rotating Updraft --- Mesocyclone Lifetime of several hours Highly three-dimensional in structure 4 Supercell Thunderstorms Potentially the most dangerous of all the convective types of storms Potpourri of severe and dangerous weather – High winds – Large and damaging hail – Frequent lightning – Large and long-lived tornadoes 5 Supercell Thunderstorms Form in an environment of strong winds and high shear – Provides a mechanism for separating the updraft and downdraft 6 7 Structure of a Supercell Storm 8 9 Schematic Diagram of a Supercell Storm (C. Doswell) 10 11 12 Structure of a Supercell Storm Mesocyclone 13 Supercell Structure Forward Flank Downdraft Tornado Rear Flank Downdraft Flanking Line/ Gust Front Mesocyclone Gustnado Inflow © 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems 14 Perturbation Pressure Field Hydrostatic High In Cold Pool Inflow Low 15 3D Flow in a supercell 16 Animation of a Numerically Simulated Supercell Storm https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Egu mU0Ns1YI R. Wilhelmson, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 17 A Supercell on NEXRAD Doppler Radar Hook Echo 18 A Supercell on NEXRAD Doppler Radar Hook Echo 19 Where is the Supercell? 20 Where is the Supercell? 21 Supercell Types Classic Low-precipitation High-precipitation 22 Low Precipitation (LP) Supercells Little or no visible precipitation Clearly show rotation Cloud base is easily seen and is often small in diameter Radar may not indicate rotation in the storm although they may have a persistent rotation LP storms are frequently non-tornadic LP storms are frequently non-severe 23 LP Supercell Side View Schematic © 1993 American Geophysical Union -- From: Church et al., The Tornado 24 LP Supercell Top View Schematic © 1993 American Geophysical Union -- From: Church et al., The Tornado 25 LP Supercell © 1995 Robert Prentice 26 LP Supercell © 1995 Robert Prentice 27 Another LP Supercell © 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems 28 A Tornadic LP Supercell 26 May 1994 -- Texas Panhandle 29 © 1998 Prentice-Hall, Inc. -- From: Lutgens and Tarbuck, The Atmosphere, 7th Ed. High Precipitation (HP) Supercells Substantial precipitation in mesocyclone May have a recognizable hook echo on radar (many do not, however) Reflectivities in the hook are comperable to those in the core Most common form of supercell May produce torrential, flood-producing rain Visible sign of rotation may be difficult to detect -- Easily detected by radar 30 HP Supercells © 1993 American Geophysical Union -- From: Church et al., The Tornado 31 HP Supercells © 1993 American Geophysical Union -- From: Church et al., The Tornado 32 HP Supercell Heaviest Precipitation (core) Kansas Woods County, Oklahoma Oklahoma 4 OCT 1998 2120 UTC KTLX 33 Heaviest Precipitation (core) Twenty minutes later ….. Kansas Oklahoma HP Supercell 4 OCT 1998 2150 UTC KTLX Developing Cells 34 Classic Supercells Traditional conceptual model of supercells Usually some precipitation but not usually torrential Reflectivities in the hook are usually less than those in the core Rotation is usually seen both visually and on radar 35 Classic Supercells © 1993 American Geophysical Union -- From: Church et al., The Tornado 36 Classic Supercells © 1993 American Geophysical Union -- From: Church et al., The Tornado 37 Classic Supercell Heaviest Precipitation (core) Hook 38 Hybrids Class distinctions are much less obvious in the real world! Visibly a storm may look different on radar than it does in person -- makes storms difficult to classify Supercells often evolve from LP Classic HP. There is a continuous spectrum of storm types. 39 Supercell Evolution -- Early Phase Side View Top View Heaviest Precipitation © 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems 40 Supercell Evolution Early Phase – Initial cell development is essentially identical to that of a short-lived single cell storm. – Radar reflectivity is vertically stacked – Motion of the storm is generally in the direction of the mean wind – Storm shape is circular (from above) and symmetrical – Key ingredients » Conditional instability » Source of lift and vertical motion » Warm, moist air 41 Supercell Evolution -- Middle Phase Side View Top View Heaviest Precipitation © 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems 42 Supercell Evolution Middle Phase – As the storm develops, the strong wind shear alters the storm characteristics from that of a single cell – The reflectivity pattern is elongated down wind -- the stronger winds aloft blow the precipitation – The strongest reflectivity gradient is usually along the SW corner of the storm – Instead of being vertical, the updraft and downdraft become separated 43 Supercell Evolution Middle Phase – After about an hour, the radar pattern indicates a “weak echo region” (WER) – This tells us that the updraft is strong and scours out precipitation from the updraft – Precipitation aloft “overhangs” a rain free region at the bottom of the storm. – The storm starts to turn to the right of the mean wind into the supply of warm, moist air 44 Supercell Evolution -- Mature Phase Side View Top View Hook Heaviest Precipitation © 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems 45 Supercell Evolution Mature Phase – After about 90 minutes, the storm has reached a quasi-steady mature phase – Rotation is now evident and a mesocyclone (the rotating updraft) has started – This rotation (usually CCW) creates a hook-like appendage on the southwest flank of the storm 46 Supercell Evolution -- Mature Phase Hook Echo 47 Supercell Evolution Mature Phase – The updraft increases in strength and more precipitation, including hail, is held aloft and scoured out of the updraft – As the storm produces more precipitation, the weak echo region, at some midlevels, becomes “bounded” – This bounded weak echo region (BWER), or “vault,” resembles (on radar) a hole of no precipitation surrounded by a ring of precipitation 48 Supercell Evolution -- Mature Phase Slice 4 km Bounded Weak Echo Region © 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms 49 Splitting Storms If the shear is favorable, both circulations may continue to exist. In this case the storm will split into two new storms. We will look at this in greater detail later. 50 Splitting Storms © 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms 51 Movie of Splitting Courtesy NCAR 52 Left Mover Splitting Storms Split Right Mover © 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems 53 Updraft The updraft is the rising column of air in the supercell It generally is located on the front or right side of the storm Entrainment is small in the core of the updraft Updraft speeds may reach 50 m s-1!!! Radar indicates that the strongest updrafts occur in the middle and upper parts of the storm 54 Updraft Factors affecting the updraft speed – Vertical pressure gradients » Small effect but locally important » Regions of local convergence can result in local areas of increased pressure gradients – Turbulence – Buoyancy » The more unstable the air, the larger the buoyancy of the parcel as they rise in the atmosphere » The larger the temperature difference between the parcel and the environment, the greater the buoyancy and the faster the updraft 55 Structure of a Supercell Storm MesoCyclone 56 57 Mesocyclone A cyclonic vortex marking the updraft of a supercell storm Usually 2-10 km in diameter Vertically coherent for a few km, sometimes extending throughout a significant depth of the storm Vertical vorticity on the order of 10-2 s-1 Visually manifest as the wall cloud Different mechanisms for mid-level and low-level formation 58 The Wall Cloud MesoCyclone 59 The Wall Cloud MesoCyclone 60 Wall Cloud Cyclonic rotation and strong rising motion often are visible within the wall cloud The squared-off lowering results from low pressure inside of the rotating updraft: as air approaches the vortex laterally, toward, it condenses – just like air that rises vertically toward lower pressure condenses to form clouds L 61 The Wall Cloud 62 The Wall Cloud 63 The Wall Cloud 64 3D Storm Simulation Courtesy Lou Wicker, NSSL http://kkd.ou.edu/METR_4803_Spring_2005/Wicker_Movie.mov 65 Some Storms Produce Mesocyclone Families: Cyclic Mesocyclogenesis Burgess et al. 1982 66 Cyclic Mesocyclogenesis: Conceptual Model from Numerical Simulation Adlerman, Droegemeier, and Davies-Jones 1999 67 Cyclic Mesocyclogenesis: Conceptual Model from Numerical Simulation & Adlerman, Droegemeier, and Davies-Jones 1999 68 Comparison With Observations Computer Simulation Mobile Doppler Radar Courtesy J. Wurman 69 Supercell Downdrafts The same forces that affect updrafts also help to initiate, maintain, or dissipate downdrafts: – Vertical PGF – Buoyancy (including precipitation loading) – Turbulence Downdraft wind speeds may exceed 40 m s-1 70 Supercell Downdrafts We shall examine two distinct downdrafts associated with supercell thunderstorms: – Forward Flank Downdraft (FFD) – Rear Flank Downdraft (RFD) 71 Forward Flank Downdraft Associated with the heavy precipitation core of supercells. Air in the downdraft originates within the column of precipitation as well as below the cloud base where evaporational cooling is important. Forms in the forward flank (with respect to storm motion) of the storm. FFD air spreads out when it hits the ground and forms a gust front. 72 Rear Flank Downdraft Forms at the rear, or upshear, side of the storm. Result of the storm “blocking” the flow of ambient air. Maintained and enhanced by the evaporation of anvil precipitation. Enhanced by mid-level dry air entrainment and associated evaporational cooling. Located adjacent to the updraft. 73 Supercell Downdrafts Forward Flank Downdraft Rear Flank Downdraft Inflow © 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems 74 Rear Flank Downdraft Forms at the rear, or upshear, side of the storm. Result of the storm “blocking” the flow of ambient air. Maintained and enhanced by the evaporation of anvil precipitation. Enhanced by mid-level dry air entrainment and associated evaporational cooling. Located adjacent to the updraft. 75 Supercell Downdrafts Forward Flank Downdraft Rear Flank Downdraft Inflow © 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems 76 Formation of the RFD Imagine a river flowing straight in a smooth channel. The water down the center flows smoothly at essentially a constant speed. The pressure down the center of the channel is constant along the channel. 77 Formation of the RFD Let us now place a large rock in the center of the channel. The water must flow around the rock. A region of high pressure forms at the front edge of the rock -- Here the water moves slowly -- Stagnation Point 78 Formation of the RFD This happens in the atmosphere also! The updraft acts a an obstruction to the upper level flow. 79 Formation of the RFD The RFD descends, with the help of evaporatively cooled air, to the ground. When it hits the ground, it forms a gust front. Upper-level Flow Updraft RFD FFD Mid-level Flow Gust Front Inflow 80 Supercell Updraft Rotation In order for supercells to rotate, there must be some type of rotation already available in the environment. We shall consider several different ways of creating vertical vorticity or rotation about a vertical axis: 81 Vorticity Dynamics Must consider 3D equations of motion Can neglect Coriolis force Vector Form or or 82 Vorticity Dynamics or 83 Vorticity Dynamics Recall the definition of vorticity as the curl of the 3D velocity vector (del x V): 84 Vorticity Dynamics Taking del x momentum equation gives 85 Vorticity Dynamics 0 86 Vorticity Dynamics Rearranging gives 87 Vorticity Dynamics Rearranging gives 88 Vorticity Dynamics Tilting term can be written w v w u t x z y z 89 Vertical Wind Shear Up Westerly Winds Increase in Speed with height North East 90 Vorticity Dynamics Tilting term can be written 0 w v w u t x z y z 91 Vertical Wind Shear Up Westerly Winds Increase in Speed with height North w u East t y z 92 Development of Mid-Level Rotation Up North East 93 Tilting In order to create vertical rotation from horizontal rotation, we must tilt the horizontal rotation into the vertical. 94 Tilting In thunderstorms, this tilting is achieved by the updraft. Updraft 95 Development of Mid-Level Rotation + or Cyclonic Thunderstorm Up - or Anti-Cyclonic North w u East t y z 96 Tilting Viewed from above, we see a pair of counter-rotating vortices: “Positive Rotation” “Negative Rotation” 97 Tilting Vortex Tube Updraft Play Movie © 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms 98 Development of Mid-Level Rotation In this simple example, the updraft has no NET rotation because the vortex pair straddles the updraft + w>0 In most supercells, the updraft is dominantly cyclonic. Why? The answer lies in the STORM-RELATIVE winds. 99 Storm-Relative Winds Absolute velocity = Relative Velocity + Velocity of Coordinate System 40 mph 100 Storm-Relative Winds Absolute velocity = Relative Velocity + Velocity of Coordinate System 90 mph 40 mph 101 Storm-Relative Winds Absolute velocity = Relative Velocity + Velocity of Coordinate System 90 mph 130 mph 40 mph 102 Storm-Relative Winds Absolute velocity = Relative Velocity + Velocity of Coordinate System Relative Velocity = 90 mph Absolute Velocity = 130 mph Velocity of Coordinate System= 40 mph 103 Storm-Relative Winds Absolute velocity = Relative Velocity + Velocity of Coordinate System Environmental Wind = Storm-Relative Winds + Storm Motion Storm-Relative Winds = Environmental Wind – Storm Motion Storm Motion = 30 mph Environ = 20 mph Storm-Relative = -10 mph 104 Storm-Relative Winds Storm-Relative Winds = Environmental Wind – Storm Motion Storm Motion = 20 mph Environ = 40 mph Storm-Relative = 20 mph 105 Storm-Relative Winds Storm-Relative Winds = Environmental Wind – Storm Motion Storm Motion = 20 mph Environ = 40 mph Storm-Relative = -60 mph 106 The Only Thing that EVER Matters is the Storm-Relative Wind 107 Importance of Storm-Relative Winds Want to intensify the cyclonic vortex on the south side Vortex Tube Updraft Play Movie © 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms 108 Importance of Storm-Relative Winds Want to intensify the cyclonic vortex on the south side Vortex Tube Updraft Storm-Relative Winds Play Movie © 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms 109 Importance of Storm-Relative Winds Storm-Relative Winds Vortex Tube Updraft Play Movie © 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms 110 Importance of Storm-Relative Winds Vortex Tube Storm-Relative Winds Updraft Play Movie © 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms 111 Importance of Storm-Relative Winds Vortex Tube Storm-Relative Winds Updraft Play Movie © 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms 112 Importance of Storm-Relative Winds We obtain strong updraft rotation if the storm-relative winds are parallel to the horizontal vorticity – or perpendicular to the environmental shear vector Vortex Tube Storm-Relative Winds Updraft Play Movie © 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms 113 Vertical Wind Shear Up Westerly Winds Increase in Speed with height North East 114 Vertical Wind Shear Up Shear = V(upper) – V(lower) North East 115 Vertical Wind Shear Up Shear = V(upper) – V(lower) North East 116 Vertical Wind Shear Up Shear = V(upper) – V(lower) Shear Vector East 117 Development of Mid-Level Rotation Up Note that the vorticity vector points 90 deg to the left of the shear vector North Shear Vector East 118 Importance of Storm-Relative Winds We obtain strong updraft rotation if the storm-relative winds are parallel to the horizontal vorticity – or perpendicular to the environmental shear vector – because this leads to immediate vortex stretching of the updraft Shear Vector Vorticity Vector Storm-Relative Winds Play Movie © 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms 119 Stretching (Convergence) Term Becomes u v w w ; here 0 and 0 implies 0 x y z z t 120 Development of Mid-Level Rotation Updraft - Stretch Up North East 121 Development of Low-Level Updraft Rotation Cannot be explained by stretching at mid-levels alone because of w=0 condition at ground Clear sequence of events precedes rapid spin-up of vorticity at low levels: – Decrease in updraft intensity – Rear-flank downdraft (RFD) – Cold outflow 122 Supercell Structure Forward Flank Downdraft Tornado Rear Flank Downdraft Flanking Line/ Gust Front Mesocyclone Gustnado Inflow © 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems 123 Recall Horizontal Vorticity Generation Along Temperature Gradients Air travelling along a frontal zone will develop a horizontal rotation. 124 Role of Forward Flank Downdraft Air flowing along the cold boundary of the FFD enters the mesocyclone This horizontal vorticity is tilted at very low levels and stretched 125 3-D Depiction From Klemp (1987) 126