2. One criticism of reading comprehension tests is that while they may measure reading comprehension, they also measure other factors not related to reading comprehension. A reading comprehension (RC) test on a major college entrance exam provides short English prose passages, and the examinees answer a set of multiple-choice items about the passage. To see if particular items measure something other than RC, investigators gave the RC test without the reading passages to a random sample of psychology students. The investigators reasoned that if questions were measuring knowledge or memory rather than just RC, students would answer questions at a higher rate than chance (20%, since there were 5 choices for each question.) Suppose that on one question, 30 out of 100 examinees answered the question correctly. Is this sufficient evidence that students are using more than just reading comprehension to answer this question? Test the relevant hypothesis using a = .05 . 2. A manufacturer of gunpowder has developed a new powder that is designed to produce a muzzle velocity equal to 3000 feet per second. Eight shells are loaded with the charge and muzzle velocities measured. The resulting velocities are as follows: 3005 2925 2935 2965 2995 3005 2935 2905 Do the data present sufficient evidence to indicate that the average velocity differs from 3000 feet per second? Conduct test of hypothesis at =.05. 1. A machine is set to produce bolts with a mean length of 1 inch. Bolts that are too long or too short do not meet the customer’s specifications and must be rejected. To avoid producing too many rejects, the bolts produced by the machine are sampled from time to time and tested as a check to see whether the machine is still operating properly. Suppose fifty bolts have been sampled, and x =1.02 and s=.04. Do the data provide sufficient evidence to conclude that the machine is producing bolts with a mean length not equal to 1 inch? Use =.01. 2. In a test of the effectiveness of a device that is supposed to increase gasoline mileage in automobiles, 12 cars were run over a prescribed course both with and without the device. The mileages are given below. Is there evidence that the device is effective. Conduct hypothesis test at =.05. Car 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Without Device 21 30 29.8 27.3 27.7 33.1 18.8 26.2 With Device 20.6 29.9 30.7 26.5 26.7 32.8 21.7 28.2 9 10 11 12 28 18.9 29.3 21 28.9 19.9 32.4 22 3. Rapid drainage of floodwater is crucial to prevent damage during heavy rains. Several designs for a drainage canal were considered for a certain city. Each design was tested four times, to determine how long it took to drain the water in a reservoir. The following table presents the drainage times, in minutes. Type 1 41.4 43.4 50.0 41.2 Type 2 38.7 48.3 51.1 38.3 Type 3 32.6 33.7 34.8 22.5 Type 4 26.3 30.9 33.3 23.8 Type 5 44.9 47.2 48.5 37.1 4. Ionizing radiation is being given increasing attention as a method for preserving horticultural products. A study reports that 153 of 180 irradiated garlic bulbs were marketable (no external sprouting, rotting, or softening) 240 days after treatment, whereas only 117 of 180 untreated bulbs were marketable after this length of time. Does this data suggest that ionizing radiation is beneficial as far as marketability is concerned? Use =.05. 4) The University of Idaho uses thousands of fluorescent light bulbs each year. The brand of bulb it currently uses has a mean life of 900 hours. A manufacturer claims that its new brand of bulbs, which cost the same as the brand the university currently uses, has a mean life of more than 900 hours. The university has decided to purchase the new brand if, when tested, the test evidence supports the manufacturer’s claim at =.01. Suppose sixty-four bulbs were tested with the following results: s= 80 hours x = 930 hours Will the University of Idaho purchase the new brand of fluorescent bulbs? Conduct test of hypothesis at =.05. Example An assertiveness training course has just been added to the services offered by a counseling center. To measure its effectiveness, ten students are given a test at the beginning of the course and again at the end. A high score on the test implies high assertiveness. Do the data provide sufficient evidence to conclude that people are more assertive after taking the course? =.05 Before Course 50 62 51 41 63 56 49 67 42 57 After Course 65 68 52 43 60 70 48 69 53 61 Example Opinion polls often provide information on how different groups’ opinions vary on controversial issues. A random sample of 102 registered voters was taken from the Supervisor of Election’s roll. Each of the registered voters was asked the following two questions: 1. What is your political party affiliation? 2. Are you in favor of increased arms spending? The results are summarized in the table below. Opinion Favor No favor Democrat 16 24 Party Republican 21 17 None 11 13 Example Three different brands of automobile batteries, each one having 42-month warranty, were included in a study of battery lifetime. A random sample of batteries of each brand was selected and lifetime (in months) was determined, resulting in the following data. Brand 1: 45 Brand 2: 39 Brand 3: 50 38 44 46 52 50 43 47 54 48 45 48 57 42 46 44 43 40 48 2. Two antibiotics are to be compared. Cultures from 387 out 450 patients treated with antibiotic A showed antibacterial activity while cultures from 278 out of 350 patients treated with antibiotic B showed similar activity. Is there sufficient evidence to conclude a difference in the proportion of active cultures for the two antibiotics? Use =.05. 3. The paper “Undergraduate Marijuana Use and Anger” (J. Of Psychol. (1988):343-347) reported that the mean and standard deviation on an anger expression scale were x =42.72 and s=6.05, respectively, for a sample of n=47 frequent marijuana users. Suppose that the population mean score for nonusers is 41.5. Do the data indicate that frequent users have a mean anger expression score that is higher than for nonusers? Use=.05. Report p-value. Example Are the educational aspirations of students related to family income? This question was investigated in the article “Aspirations and Expectations of High School Youth” (Int. J. of Comp. Soc. (1975): 25). The accompanying 4 X 3 table resulted from classifying 273 students according to expected level of education and family income. Does the data indicate that education aspirations and family income are not independent? Conduct test using = .05. ____________________________________________________________________ Income Aspired Level Low Middle High Some High School 9 11 9 High School Graduate 44 52 41 Some College 13 23 12 College Graduate 10 22 27 6. Twenty volunteers at a cold research institute caught a cold after after having been exposed to various cold viruses. Ten of the volunteers were randomly selected to receive tablets containing 1 gram of vitamin C. These tablets were taken four times a day. The control group, consisting of the other 10 volunteers, was given placebo tablets that looked and tasted exactly like the vitamin C ones. This was continued for each volunteer until a doctor, who did not know whether one volunteer was receiving vitamin C or the placebo, decided that the volunteer was no longer suffering from the cold. The length of time the cold lasted was then recorded. At the end of the experiment, the following data resulted: Treated With Vitamin C 5.5 6.0 7.0 6.0 7.5 7.5 5.5 7.0 6.5 6.0 Treated With Placebo 6.5 6.0 8.5 7.0 6.5 7.5 6.5 7.5 6.0 8.0 Is there sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean time for patients treated with vitamin C is less than the mean time for the patients treated with placebo? Use =.05. Questions 9 to 13: A gambler wanted to test whether or not a die was fair. He rolled the die 180 times and got the results shown below. For example, the number “1” appeared on 40 rolls. Die Result Frequency 1 40 2 40 3 30 4 30 5 20 6 20 Total 180 3. An experiment was conducted to compare the mean number of tapeworms in the stomachs of sheep that had been treated for worms against the mean number in those that were untreated. A sample of 14 worm-infected lambs was randomly divided into two groups. Seven were injected with the drug and the remainder were left untreated. After a six-month period, the lambs were slaughtered and the following worm counts were recorded: Drug-treated sheep Untreated Sheep 18 40 43 54 28 26 50 63 16 21 32 37 13 39 Test a hypothesis that there is no difference in the mean number of worms between treated and untreated lambs. Assume that the drug cannot increase the number of worms and hence use the alternative hypothesis that the mean for treated lambs is less than the mean for untreated lambs. Use =.05. 6. In previous presidential elections in a given locality, 50% of the registered voters were Republicans, 40% were Democrats, and 10% were registered as independents. Prior to the upcoming election, a random sample of 200 registered voters showed that 90 were registered as Republicans, 80 as Democrats, and 30 as independents. Is there sufficient evidence to conclude that the distribution of registered voters in the population is different from that in previous election years. Conduct hypothesis test using =.01. 8. Replacement of paint on highways and streets represents a large investment of funds by state and local governments each year. A new, cheaper brand of paint is tested for durability after one month’s time by reflectometer readings. For the new brand to be acceptable, it must have a mean reflectometer reading greater than 19.6. The sample data, based on 35 randomly selected readings, show x =19.8 and s=1.5. Is there sufficient evidence to conclude that the new brand is acceptable? Conduct hypothesis test using =.05. 5. A staff member of an emergency medical service wishes to determine whether the number of accidents is equally distributed during the week. A week was selected at random, and the following data were obtained. Test the hypothesis that the number of accidents is equally distributed throughout the week, at =.05. Day # of accidents Monday 28 Tuesday 32 Wednesday 15 Thursday 14 Friday 38 Saturday 43 Sunday 19 EXAMPLE The paper "Orchard Floor Management Utilizing Soil-Applied Coal Dust for Frost Protection" reported the following values for soil heat flux of eight plots covered with coal dust. 34.7 35.4 34.7 37.7 32.5 28.0 18.4 24.9 Conduct the following test of hypothesis Ho: = 29 (the mean soil heat flux for plots covered only with grass) vs Ha: > 29? Carry out a hypothesis test at =.05. Example A study was conducted to help determine who takes advantage of sales and specials at food stores that advertise in newspapers. Shoppers were asked whether they usually check the advertisements before shopping and which of the following income brackets they fit into: annual income below $5,000, between $5,000 and $15,000, between $15,000 and $25,000, between $25,000 and $35,000, or over $35,000. The data are given below. Test to see if income level affects whether a shopper checks food store advertisements. Use =.05. Yes No Less than 5 33 3 5 to < 15 62 8 15 to < 25 31 19 25 to < 35 14 15 35 and over 6 14 An experiment is conducted to compare the starting salaries of male and female college graduates who find jobs. Pairs are formed by choosing a male and a female with the same-major and similar grade point averages. Suppose a random sample of ten pairs is formed in this manner and the starting salary of each person is conducted. Pair 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Male $14,300 16,500 15,400 13,500 18,500 12,800 14,500 16,200 Female $13,800 16,600 14,800 13,500 17,600 13,000 14,200 15,100 9 10 13,400 14,200 13,200 13,500 1. In a sample of 88 adults selected randomly from one town, it is found that 6 of them have been exposed to a particular strain of the flu. At the 0.01 significance level, test the claim that the proportion of all adults in the town that have been exposed to this strain of the flue differs from the nationwide proportion of .08. Example A development engineer is interested in determining if varying the cotton content in a synthetic fiber affects the tensile strength. % Cotton 15 7 20 12 25 14 30 19 35 7 Observed Tensile Strength 7 15 11 17 12 18 18 18 19 25 22 19 10 11 15 9 18 19 23 11 Example A law student believes that the proportion of registered Republican in favor of additional tax incentives is greater than the proportion of registered democrats in favor of such incentives. The student acquired independent random samples of 200 republicans and 200 Democrats and found that 109 Republicans and 86 Democrats in favor of additional tax incentives. Example The accompanying two-way table was constructed using data in the paper “Television Viewing and Physical Fitness in Adults” (Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport (1990): 315-320). The author hoped to determine whether time spent watching television is related to cardiovascular fitness. Subjects were asked about their television-viewing time (per day, rounded to the nearest hour) and were classified as physically fit if they scored in the excellent or very good category on a step test. (10 pts.) 0 1-2 3-4 5 or more Physically Fit 35 101 28 4 Not Physically Fit 147 629 222 34 Example State DMV records indicate that of all vehicles undergoing emissions testing during the previous year, 70% passed on the first try. A random sample of 200 cars tested in a particular county during the current year yields 160 that passed on the initial test. Does this suggest that the population proportion for this county during the current year differs from the previous statewide proportion? Conduct hypothesis test using .05. Example Criminologists have long debated whether there is a relationship between weather and violent crime. The author of the paper “Is there a Season for Homicide?” (Criminology (1988): 287-296) classified 1361 homicides according to season, resulting in the accompanying data. Does this data support the theory that the homicide rate is not the same over the four seasons? Test the relevant hypotheses using =.05. _____________________________________________________ Season Winter Spring Summer Fall 328 334 372 327 EXAMPLE Some investigators think that the concentration (mg/ml) of a particular antigen in supernatant fluids could be related to the onset of meningitis in infants. The accompanying data is typical of that given in plots appearing in the paper “Type-Specific Capsular Antigen is Associated with virulence in Late-Onset Group B Streptococcal Type III Disease” (Infection and Immunity(1984):124-129) Asymptomatic infants Infants with late onset sephis Infants with late onset meningitis 1.56 1.51 1.21 1.06 1.78 1.34 .87 1.45 1.95 1.39 1.13 2.00 .71 1.87 2.27 .87 1.89 .88 .95 1.07 1.67 1.51 1.72 2.57 Example An experimenter wished to determine whether there is a relationship between hair color and eye color. One hundred people were randomly selected and the eyes and hair of each person were judged to be light or dark. A summary of the number of people in each of the four categories is shown in the table. Do the data provide sufficient evidence to indicate a relationship between eye and hair color? Test using =.05. Light Eyes Dark Eyes Light Hair 31 14 Dark Hair 21 34 Example The Los Angeles Times (Oct. 17, 1984) reported the color distribution for plain M&M’s was: 40% brown, 20% yellow, 20% orange, 10% green, and 10% tan. Each piece of candy in a random sample of 100 plain M&M’s was classified according to color, resulting in the given data. Using =.05, determine if the data suggests that the published color distribution is incorrect. Frequency Brown 45 Yellow 13 Orange 17 Green 7 Tan 18 Example In a recent survey of county high school students (n1=100 males and n2=100 females), 58 of the males and 46 of the females sampled said they consume alcohol on a regular basis. Example Bowker and Lieberman (1972) gave the results for tests of two thermostats used in irons that were made by an old supplier and a new supplier. Twenty three thermostats from each supplier were tested at a setting of 550 F. The actual temperature, measured with a thermocouple, are given below. Do the data provide evidence of differences in the mean temperatures for the thermostats from the two suppliers? Conduct test at =.05. new 530.3 549.4 551.7 old 559.7 554.8 544.6 549.9 536.7 538.8 559.1 538.6 565.4 550.0 554.7 569.1 559.3 544.0 566.3 556.9 558.8 543.3 555.0 551.1 554.9 554.9 536.1 550.7 551.1 538.8 554.5 538.4 552.9 555.0 558.4 560.3 534.7 545.0 538.0 563.1 553.8 564.6 553.0 548.3 535.1 544.8 548.7