Context Project Question Analytical Model Project Design When Mission and Market Forces Intersect: A study of NAIS member schools navigating an economic recession Limitations Findings Recommendations Matt Rush Barry Gilmore Peabody College at Vanderbilt Questions Note: This presentation must be played for all content to be visible. Comparatively, then, independent schools are a small feature within the educational landscape as a whole. Indeed, there are now as many as 1.4 million students in United States charter schools (NCES, 2010) and these schools themselves make up 5% of all public schools The Context ofschools Independent Schools (see Figure 1.2). Magnet and home-schooling make up 3% of the public school Context Project Question Analytical Model Figure 1.1: Percentage of Each Type of School in the United States Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Source: National Center for Education Statistics Questions Context The Context of Independent Schools Project Question Nashville Area Independent Schools (NAIS members) Nashville Area Private Schools (non-NAIS members) Analytical Model Project Design Battle Ground Academy (BGA) Currey Ingram Academy Ensworth School Franklin Road Academy (FRA) Harding Academy Harpeth Hall Montgomery Bell Academy (MBA) Oak Hill School St. Paul Christian School University School Nashville (USN) Christ Presbyterian Academy Davidson Academy David Lipscomb Campus School Ezell-Harding Christian School Father Ryan Lighthouse Christian School Nashville Christian School Pope John Paul II St. Bernard Academy St. Cecilia Academy Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions Context The Context of Independent Schools Project Question What is NAIS? The National Association of Independent Schools (NAIS) represents more than 1,700 schools and associations of schools in the United States and abroad, over 1,400 of which are non-profit, private K12 schools nationwide. NAIS’s mission is to be “the national voice of independent schools and the center for collective action on their behalf” and the organization further exists to “represent and sustain schools that are selfdetermining in mission and program, free from government control, and governed by independent boards” (NAIS website). Analytical Model Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions Context Project Question Project Question Analytical Model How did the recession impact financial processes and operations at independent schools? Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions SCHOOL BACKGROUND AND CONTEXT Context Project Question RECESSION Analytical Model SCHOOL REVIEW OF POTENTIALLY AFFECTED AREAS Project Design Limitations RESPONSES AND DECISIONS Findings Recommendations OUTCOMES Questions Context NAIS Database Survey (Heads and Business Mgrs.) Project Question School Site Visits Analytical Model Project Design 1,300 schools 2,661 emails Limitations Matched data 2005-2010 988 responses (37%) Recommendations 1,149 schools Enrollment, tuition, salary, etc. Findings School responses and decisions Questions Context Project Question School Site Visits Analytical Model Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions Context Project Question Database: Self-reported Analytical Model Survey: Incomplete responses Project Design Limitations Site visits: Generalizability Findings Recommendations Questions Context Waiting Another Year How Far South is South? Project Question Analytical Model Unanticipated Enrollment Trends Initial Planning for the Recession Project Design Leadership Community Building on a Solid Foundation Continued Growth Limitations Doing More With Less Findings Recommendations Where Schools Stayed the Course Where Schools Made Adjustments Questions Context 1. Conservative planning How Far South is South? 2. Keeping families Initial Planning for the Recession “When it looked like things were heading south, I don’t think any on site of us knew exactly how far south ‘south’ was, or how fast.” (Business Manager, Global Collegiate School) Project Question Analytical Model Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions Context Conservative planning Project Question “We did budget for the year after the recession as if we were going to lose 20 students. We also created a third budget asking everyone who had a budget, ‘Where can you cut?’ We asked to cut back 2-3% overall and then we said, if you could cut 5%, where would you do it?” (Business Manager, Wooded Acres) Analytical Model Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions INITIAL PLANNING Keeping families on site Context Project Question Analytical Model Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions INITIAL PLANNING 1. Extended admissions season Waiting Another Context 2. Decrease levels “More parents chose to wait a year Year at entry grade Project Question 3. Increase at other Analytical Model Unanticipated Enrollment Trends due to the public schools in the area and the recession.” grade levels (Parent, Southeast Prep) Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions Overall enrollment trends Context Project Question Analytical Model Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions ENROLLMENT TRENDS Context Project Question Analytical Model Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions ENROLLMENT TRENDS 1. No program cuts “The education and programs are Building on a Solid 2. SmallFoundation cuts in operationsmost important to people here. They are the foundation, not any new buildings themselves.” 3. Similar annual giving goals (Academic Dean, Boarding Day Where Schools Stayed Academy) the Course Context Project Question Analytical Model 4. Continued capital goals Project Design 5. Moderate attention to endowment Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions No program cuts Context Project Question Analytical Model Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions WHERE SCHOOLS STAYED THE COURSE Similar annual giving goals Context Project Question No statistically significant difference in total giving dollars (parents or alumni) Analytical Model Project Design Percentage of giving, 2005-2010: Parents: -5% (p<.0001) Alums: -8% (p<.0001) Takeaway: Fewer parents and alumni gave, but those who did give made larger donations WHERE SCHOOLS STAYED THE COURSE Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions Continued capital goals Context Project Question Analytical Model Only 199 of 967 (20.5%) respondents reported that they had to postpone a capital campaign as a financial adjustment since the fall of 2008. Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions WHERE SCHOOLS STAYED THE COURSE 1. Increased financial aid Context “We’re trying to do more with Doing More 2. Modest salary increases less…to find ways to create a Project Question With Less meaningful, exciting experience 3. Modest tuition increases for school children that made kids and families want to stay.” Where Schools (Head of School, The Episcopal Made Adjustments 4. Deferred physical plant maintenance School) Analytical Model Project Design 5. Increased online services Limitations 6. Re-examined marketing Findings 7. New constituencies 8. Re-examined parent organizations 9. Increased accountability Recommendations Questions Increased financial aid Context Project Question Analytical Model Project Design Limitations Findings Source: Survey of Heads and Business Managers Response to the statement, “Over the past three years, the school saw increased demands for financial aid from formerly full paying families” Recommendations Questions WHERE SCHOOLS MADE ADJUSTMENTS Increased financial aid Context Project Question Analytical Model Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Source: NAIS Database Mean change in FA students: 91 (2005), 109 (2010), p<.05 Questions WHERE SCHOOLS MADE ADJUSTMENTS Increased tuition Context Project Question Analytical Model Source: Survey of Heads and Business Managers Project Design Limitations Findings Rank of Tuition Among Important Factors for a School to Address During the Recession Recommendations Questions WHERE SCHOOLS MADE ADJUSTMENTS Increased tuition Context Project Question Analytical Model Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions WHERE SCHOOLS MADE ADJUSTMENTS New constituencies Context Project Question Analytical Model Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions WHERE SCHOOLS MADE ADJUSTMENTS New constituencies Context Project Question “The question that one might ask is whether we are compromising the input, the quality of students we are getting…but we have another question we ask ourselves in terms of inclusion— what kind of differentiated public we want at the school.” (Division Head, GCS) Analytical Model Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions WHERE SCHOOLS MADE ADJUSTMENTS “We were going to be a calm Leadership oasis in a storm…I spent the fall talking about the fact that we Community want to create an oasis for our children.” Continued Growth (Head of School, Southeast Prep) Context Project Question Analytical Model Project Design “The administrative team gets along well. But they're also leading in a direction that works for all of us. Everything is more purpose driven than it was.” (Teacher, RCDS) Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions WHERE SCHOOLS MADE ADJUSTMENTS Leadership: A Calm Oasis in a Storm Context Project Question Relationships matter (the human relations frame) (Bolman and Deal, 2003; Elmore, 2000; Sergiovanni, 1989; Leithwood and Duke, 1998) Analytical Model Project Design In tough times, leaders become stewards (Heifetz and Laurie, 2011; Murphy, 2011) Leaders make partners out of teachers (Bolman and Deal, 2003; Ginsberg and Moulton, 2011; Heifetz and Linsky, 2002) Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions WHERE SCHOOLS MADE ADJUSTMENTS “The community is really something that Leadership we are willing to invest in in order to maintain because that’s the strength of the Community school…it is the strength of the school.” (Director of Advancement, Global Continued CollegiateGrowth School) Context Project Question Analytical Model Project Design “The school is at a watershed moment, where we are now deciding what our identity is going to be going forth. But the unspoken benefits of our international student program have been tremendous.” (IB Director, RCDS) Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions WHERE SCHOOLS MADE ADJUSTMENTS Community: The Strength of the School Context Project Question Mission driven community: Parent involvement matters (Putnam, 1993; Coleman and Hoffer, 1987; Sergiovanni, 1994; Crowson, 1998; Bauch and Goldring, 1998) Analytical Model Project Design Market-driven community: Customer service is key (Oplatka and Helmsley-Brown, 2004; West and Noden, 1998) Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions WHERE SCHOOLS MADE ADJUSTMENTS “If you aren’t growing, you’re dying. Our Leadership school has taken advantage of the economy and continued to launch capital campaigns, to Community raise money for ongoing athletic programs, for arts, and land expansion.” Continued Growth (Assistant Head of Upper School, RCDS) “Sometimes, the most beautiful flowers grow in manure. Some of the best professional development we can have is from each other. And so it was not that professional development stopped… the way we delivered it stopped. Focusing it to be internal helped the community to grow.” (Teacher, Global Collegiate School) Context Project Question Analytical Model Project Design Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions WHERE SCHOOLS MADE ADJUSTMENTS Continued Growth: Growing, Not Dying Context Project Question Schools can learn from tough times (organizational learning) Analytical Model (Leithwood, Leonard, and Sharratt, 1998; Senge, 1994) Crisis learning (adaptive change) Project Design (Kim, 1998; Agyris, 1977) Limitations Lean thinking (budget lessons) (Brandt, 2003; Womack and Jones, 1996) Findings Physical growth (capital campaigns) (Rigby, 2001; Gulati, 2010) Recommendations Program growth (internal review) (Kambil, 2008) WHERE SCHOOLS MADE ADJUSTMENTS Questions 1. Independent vs. private schools Context 2. Enrollment shifts Project Question 3. Effects of/on teacher retention, teacher workload, class size, life cycle Analytical Model Project Design Further Research Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions 1. Financial aid and admissions Context 2. Student populations Project Question 3. Parent organizations Analytical Model 4. Data from non-independent schools Project Design 5. More data NAIS from independent schools Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions 1. Plan for financial aid and admissions Context 2. Plan early and prudently Project Question 3. Consider new populations Analytical Model 4. Continue to set goals 5. Invest inNAIS social media members Project Design 6. Watch entry grade enrollment Limitations 7. Promote organizational learning Findings 8. Benchmark thoughtfully Recommendations 9. Focus on community 10. Stay true to the mission Questions Context Project Question Analytical Model Project Design Questions? Limitations Findings Recommendations Questions