NPS PROJECT SUMMARY Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit Cooperative Agreement Modification FUNDING AGENCY: National Park Service, Great Lakes Inventory and Monitoring Network MODIFICATION NO.: [CESU info only] COOPERATIVE AGREEMENT NO.: H1200040002 FUNDING AMOUNT: $12,033 INVESTIGATORS’ Contact Information: Don L. Stevens, Jr., Director, Program on Designs and Models for Aquatic Resource Surveys, Statistics Department, 44 Kidder Hall, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331. Phone 541-737-3587; Email stevens@science.oregonstate.edu - or stevedon@onid.orst.edu PROJECT TITLE: Design and Statistical Consultation EFFECTIVE DATES: August 20, 2004 through November 30, 2005 PROJECT ABSTRACT: The National Park Service is engaged in a highly collaborative effort to design an overall sampling framework for monitoring natural resources at nine National Park Service units across four states in the Great Lakes region. In addition to designing a sampling framework, we are developing monitoring protocols for five high-ranking indicators. Both the sampling framework and the monitoring protocols must be designed with a high degree of statistical insight and rigor to ensure our efforts provide valid and interpretable information for managers of the nine parks. It is critical that the National Park Service engage biostatisticians with current knowledge on monitoring theory, design, and data analysis. The objectives of this cooperative agreement are to: 1. Get initial input from OSU statisticians who have a working knowledge of several viable sampling frameworks for monitoring; 2. Develop a joint, NPS/OSU critical review of the final recommended framework(s) being advanced by the Natural Resources Research Institute for the Network’s Sampling Design and Protocol Development project; 3. Develop joint, NPS/OSU critical reviews of proposed sampling designs for five individual monitoring protocols. Tasks and deliverables: 1. Dr. Don Stevens will attend two collaborative meetings with investigators associated with the Sampling Design and Protocol Development project (the first is tentatively set for late August 2004). Dr. Stevens will present a summary of the EMAP method and other viable sampling strategies for general discussion by the group. 2. Dr. Stevens will review, and critique for statistical integrity, the draft sampling framework(s) that are the result of work by the Natural Resources Research Institute. Dr. Stevens will initiate the written review and collaborate and co-author the review with the Great Lakes Network quantitative ecologist. The result will be a written critique of the sampling framework that examines co-location of sampling sites, sample intensity and dispersion, and statistical power as it pertains to answering monitoring questions for the nine parks across the Network. 3. Dr. Stevens will review and critique for statistical integrity, the five draft sampling protocols that are the result of work by collaborators under the greater Sampling Design and Protocol Development project. Dr. Stevens will initiate the written reviews and collaborate and co-author the reviews with the Great Lakes Network quantitative ecologist. The result will be five written critiques which take in to account the appropriate use of the overall framework (i.e. some protocols may not fit the recommended framework), examines sample intensity and dispersion, considers statistical power, and appropriate use of statistical procedures for analysis of the long-term data sets. Agency Representative: Agency Administration Investigator: Partner Admin. Contact: Representative Ron Hiebert, NPS Don L. Stevens, Jr., Director, Denise Lach, Civil Research Coordinator Lynell Wright Program on Designs and Engineering, Oregon State CPCESU Budget Analyst Models for Aquatic Resource University, Corvallis, OR Northern Arizona University Intermountain Region – Budget & Surveys, Statistics Department, 97331 Phone 541-737-5471 P.O. Box 5765 Finance 44 Kidder Hall, Oregon State denise.lach@oregonstate.ed Flagstaff, AZ 86011-5765 P.O. Box 25287 University, Corvallis, OR 97331. u Tel: (928) 523-0877 12795 W. Alameda Parkway Phone 541-737-3587 Fax: (928) 520-8223 Denver, CO 80225-0287 stevens@science.oregonstate.e Ron.Hiebert@nau.edu Tel: (303) 969-2654 du Fax: (303) 969-2794 Lynell_Wright@nps.gov List of Key Words: Statistics, sampling design, monitoring Key Official from National Park - Include contact information @ Specific Park or NPS Office: Bill Route, Coordinator, Great Lakes Inventory and Monitoring Network, 2800 Lakeshore Drive E, Ashland, WI 54806. Phone 715-682-0631 ext21. Email: bill_route@nps.gov Annual Report Received: Final Report Received: Publications on File: This Modification is subject to all the provisions included in the Cooperative Agreement, dated 6/18/04 Attach any supporting material as necessary. Attachments: 1) Scope of Work outlining this project. 2) Summary Task Agreement for the Sampling Design and Protocol Development project that will be critiqued by Dr. Stevens under this project.