BNDES: Financing the Brazilian development UN Group Meeting - “Rethinking the Role of National Development Banks” Demian Fiocca Vice President – BNDES December, 2 2005 www.bndes.gov.br 1 Macroeconomic Performance GDP Growth rates crisis % year 5,0% 3,0% 1,0% 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 -1,0% -3,0% -5,0% Source: IBGE In the last years, economic growth was frequently interrupted by financial and Balance of Payments stress that affected aggregate demand. www.bndes.gov.br 2 Macroeconomic Performance A new development cycle From 1995 to 2001 the current account deficits didn´t foster investments. Now, invesments grow along with domestic savings. Source:IPEADATA www.bndes.gov.br 3 Macroeconomic Performance Public investment has fallen... Investiment as % of GDP 25 20 15 18,9 19,5 17,7 18,8 10 5 3,7 2,7 2,7 1,8 0 1970-79 Source: Brazilian Planning Ministry www.bndes.gov.br 1980-89 Public Sector 1990-99 2000-03 Private Sector 4 Investments are necessary … as a consequence, infrastructure investments dropped over the last 20 years Yearly infrastructure growth in the selected sectors (%) 23.9 Railways 16.0 9.8 Power Generation 9.8 4.1 -0.3 1951/1963 www.bndes.gov.br 4.9 1.0 -1.6 1964/1980 Paved Roads 3.8 -0.5 1981/1993 1.5 1994/2002 5 Growth and Long Term Finance … credit can help infrastructure… Credit/GDP ratio is growing but it is still low in comparison to other economies www.bndes.gov.br 1990 1997 2003 U.S.A. 103,3 132,5 173,6 U.K. 112,2 116,4 141,3 Germany 93,3 110,1 117,4 France 91,3 82,0 87,8 Japan 170,1 175,0 104,6 China 79,5 95,0 135,5 South Korea 81,2 113,2 119,9 India 24,0 22,8 30,5 Brazil 23,1 33,0 33,2 Chile 47,7 62,1 75,0 Mexico 17,1 21,3 18,1 6 BNDES Highlights Founded on June 20, 1952 100% owned by the Federal Government Latin America’s largest development bank Key instrument for the Federal Government Policies Brazil’s main provider of long-term financing Brazilian Export Bank Equity investor through BNDESPAR www.bndes.gov.br 7 BNDES: A historical perspective 1950 Infrastructure (Energy and Transport) Steel 1960 Heavy Industry - Consumer Goods Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises Technologic Development 1970 Import Substitution Petrochemicals, Pulp & Paper, Steel Capital Goods 1980 Energy Agribusiness Competitive Integration 1990 Private Infrastructure and Exports Privatization : Management of Privatization Program Urban and Social Development Today Industry - Infrastructure - Exports Social Inclusion – Development of Capital Markets www.bndes.gov.br 8 BNDES and Multilateral Institutions Adequate return Good asset quality indicators Economic Indicators BNDES US$ million Net Assets Net Worth Net Income Disbursements Capitalization ROA ROE Non performing Loans www.bndes.gov.br IDB (31/12/04) (31/12/04) 61,769 5,317 511 13,748 8,18% 0.95% 14.11% 0,64% 67,346 18,511 1,176 3,768 27.49% 1.72% 6.60% 0,43% World Bank (30/06/04) 229,213 35,463 (2,404) 10,024 15,47% -1,04% -6.55% 0.59% 9 BNDES: Funding FAT - Worker Assistance Fund Permanent financing or quasi-equity Foreign Funding Government Agencies and Multilateral Institutions IDB, JBIC, World Bank, KfW. Market Funding Bonds, Loans, Structured Notes (ABS) www.bndes.gov.br 10 Funding 2004 – Cash Flow Excellent source of funding without budgetary effects. FAT- Worker Assistance Fund 13% Sale of Assets 9% Treasury Agent 5% Others 3% Return on Investment 70% Source: BNDES Financial Area www.bndes.gov.br 11 Annual Disbursements R$ Billion 40,1 38,2 US$ Billion 35,1 33,9 25,6 23,4 12,6 2000 13,7 12,8 11,7 10,9 2001 2002 13,7 2003 2004 out/05 Converted to US dollar on the disbursement dates www.bndes.gov.br 12 Credit Market in Brazil The BNDES responds for 19% of the total credit in the economy Other directed resources Leasing e Public Sector 7% 16% 19% BNDES www.bndes.gov.br 58% Free resources 13 Credit Market in Brazil BNDES credit has a counter-cyclical effect Source: Brazilian Central Bank Free Credit grew more than BNDES Financing www.bndes.gov.br 14 Credit Market in Brazil Source: Brazilian Central Bank BNDES participation increases during the downturn periods of credit/GNP ratio www.bndes.gov.br 15 BNDES Selected Goals BNDES credit analysis takes into consideration factors beyond the financial return of the project, seeking the promotion of economic and social development. Spread reductions: 1,0 p.p. to less developed regions 0,5 p.p. to higher priority sectors 3,5 p.p. to MSMEs Special programs (railways, capital equipment) Variable upside required: Equity and Quasi-equity participation www.bndes.gov.br 16 Disbursements according to operation type BNDES works in association with commercial banks % 46 2000 2001 Direct Operations 46 55 54 59 54 45 46 ouct/2005 39 47 1999 52 1998 1997 62 54 41 2004 61 53 2003 48 2002 38 Indirect Operations Source: BNDES Financial Area www.bndes.gov.br 17 Disbursements Characteristics Private firms absorb 98% of the BNDES disbursements 91 77 78 91 97 98 23 9 1996 94 98 1997 1998 3 2 3 4 6 6 2 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005* Public firms www.bndes.gov.br 94 22 9 1995 97 96 Private firms 18 18 Disbursements of the BNDES by Sectors of Activity Focus on infrastructure and industry 30% 30% 35% 11% 37% 14% 12% 7% 38% 8% 7% 17% 10% 5% 5% 52% 2001 Industry 46% 48% 40% 2002 2003 2004 Trade and Services Converted to dollar on the disbursements date 9www.bndes.gov.br Farming and Forestry 48% 2005 Infrastructure Remark: Excludes secondary market transactions Source: BNDES Financial Area 19 Disbursements by Firm Size Large number of operations with MSMEs Number of Operations 7,062 8,424 US$ Million 2,624 9,793 1,310 87,435 Micro and Small Medium Large Micro and Small Medium Large Excludes secondary market transactions www.bndes.gov.br 20 Disbursements by Firm Size Support to MSMEs and create jobs 3,291 2,387 2,470 2,021 1,794 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 October Converted to dolar on the disbursements date www.bndes.gov.br 21 Job Creation – BNDES Effects Firms supported by the BNDES presented a much higher growth of formal job creation than firms not supported. www.bndes.gov.br 22 Job Creation – BNDES Effects Effect is stronger in the smaller firms www.bndes.gov.br 23 The Brazilian Development Bank www.bndes.gov.br www.bndes.gov.br 24