SESSION IV
Using census data to analyse
international migration trends
Strengthening collection and use of
international migration data for development
African Institute for Economic Development and Planning (IDEP),
Dakar, Senegal, 8 –11 September 2015
Data availability from 2010 census round
Percentage of countries with data on sex, age and origin since 2010 census round
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Africa
Total & Sex
Age
Origin
Asia
Europe
Latin America Northern
& Caribbean America
Oceania
Source: Trends in International Migrant Stock: The 2015 Revision
South-South migration is as
common as South-North migration
International migrant stock, 2013 (millions)
North
North
81.9million (35%)
South
United Nations, Population Division/DESA
2013
82.3 million (36%)
13.7 million (6%)
53.7 million (23%)
South
Source: Trends in International Migrant Stock: The 2013 Revision
Migrant stock as percentage over total
population in Africa (1990-2015)
International migrant stock, 1990-2015 (millions)
Proportion of international migrants in total population
25
20
20
17
16
16
2.5%
1.9%
1.6%
1.7%
1990
2000
2010
2015
15
10
5
0
United Nations, Population Division/DESA
About 80% of migrants in A are from A
About 50% of migrants from A live in A
Africa as destination
Africa as source
82
49
Region of birth ≠ region of destination
Region of birth = region of destination
United Nations, Population Division/DESA
The proportion of young migrants (<20)
among all migrants is highest in Africa
Migrant stock under age 20, 2013 (percentage)
United Nations, Population Division/DESA
Source: Trends in International Migrant Stock: The 2013 Revision
Refugees as a percentage of the
international migrant stock - 2013
More than 30 per cent
Between 5 and 30 per cent
Less than 5 per cent
Source: Trends in International Migrant Stock: The 2013 Revision
One in every nine tertiary educated persons
born in Africa resides in OECD countries
Source: UN-DESA and OECD, 2013. World Migration in Figures
Senegal as origin - 2013
1 to 1,000
1,000 to 10,000
More than 10,000
Changes in the stock of
migrants 2005-2010 (Africa)
Migrant stock in Africa (‘000)
65+
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
-1000
2005
2010
16,358
17,125
F - 2005
M - 2005
-500
0
500
1000
65+
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
-1,000 -500
F - 2010
M - 2010
0
500
1,000
Cohort analysis of international
migrants in Africa
International migrant stock 2005
Deaths during 2005-2010
Returns based on age distribution
Gross change during 2005-2010
New migrants during period
Stock 2010
thousands
16,358
906
5,728
767
7,401
17,125
Percent
35.0
4.7
45.2
Data availability
Country
Latest available data
(to Population Division)
Census dates
Algeria
Census 1987, 1998, 2008
No data
Benin
Census 1992, 2002, 2013
Latest available data from 2002
Burkina Faso
Census 1996, 2006
Latest available data from 2006
(no data on origin)
Côte d'Ivoire
Census 1988, 1998, 2014
Latest available data from 1998
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya
Census 1995, 2006
Latest available data from 2006
(no data on origin)
Mali
Census 1987, 1998, 2009
Latest available data from 2009
Mauritania
Census 1988, 2000, 2013
Latest available data from 2000
Morocco
Census 1994, 2004, 2014
Latest available data from 2014
Niger
Census 1988, 2001, 2012
Latest available data from 2001
Senegal
Census 1988, 2002, 2013
Latest available data from 2013
(no data on origin)
Togo
Census 1981, 2010
Latest available data from 2010
International migrant stock
summary for 11 participating countries, 2015
1990
International migrants
(x 1,000)
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
3,771
4,238
4,257
4,587
5,037
5,458
Refugees (x 1,000)
443
684
350
199
214
349
Refugees (%)
11.7
16.1
8.2
4.3
4.3
6.4
Female (%)
46.5
45.9
45.1
44.3
44.3
44.3
Origin of international migrants by major
area – 2013 (in participating countries)
2%
5%
Africa
13%
Asia
Europe
LAC
N. America
Oceania
80%
Other
Destination for international migrants – 2013
(from participating countries)
2%
Africa
Asia
48%
47%
Europe
Latin America and
the Caribbean
Northern America
Oceania
3%
International migrants in Europe by
major area of origin (rev. 2013)
2.0
0.4
1.3
12.1
Africa
Asia
6.2
Europe
25.7
52.3
Latin America and
the Caribbean
Northern America
Oceania
Others
Changes in working age population
(15-59) and youth (15-29), 2015 - 2050