STA 6207 – Exam 1 – Fall 2009 PRINT Name _____________________ All Questions are based on the following 2 regression models, where SIMPLE REGRESSION refers to the case where p=1, and X is of full column rank (no linear dependencies among predictor variables). Model 1 : Yi 0 1 X i1 p X ip i i 1,..., n i ~ NID 0, 2 Model 2 : Y Xβ ε X n p' β p'1 ε ~ N 0, 2 I d a' x d x' Ax a 2Ax ( A symmetric) E Y' AY trAVY μ Y ' Aμ Y dx dx Cochran’s Theorem: Suppose Y is distributed as follows with nonsingular matrix V: Y ~ N μ, 2 V r V n the n if AV is idempotent : Given: 1 1 1. Y' 2 A Y is distribute d non - central 2 with : (a) df r ( A) and (b) Noncentral ity parameter : μ' Aμ 2 2 __________________________________________________________________________________________ 1. For model 2, derive the least squares estimate for 2 n ^ 2. For model 2, obtain SS(Model) Y i and SS(Residua l) ei2 in matrix form (quadratic forms in i 1 i 1 Y). Obtain the distributions of the two sum of squares (be specific with regard to their family of distributions, degrees of freedom, and non-centrality parameters). n 3. A firm has 2 types of expenditures that can varied in their marketing plan: advertising and in-store promotion. A regression model is fit, relating Y=weekly sales to levels of these expense variables (X1=advertising, X2=in-store promotion). The model fit is: E(Y) = X1+2X2. Set up the K’ matrix and m vector for testing: (a) whether mean sales are 500 when no advertising or in-store promotion is conducted, and (b) the effects of increasing X1 and X2 by 1 unit have the same effect on mean sales. That is, H0A: 0=500 H0B: . 4. For simple regression with model 1, we get: n n ^ X X ^ Yi and Y 1 Yi 1 i COV 1 , Y ??? S XX i 1 i 1 n 5. Use the following output to obtain the quantities given below: X 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 5 10 0 5 10 P 0.5833 0.3333 0.0833 0.2500 0.0000 -0.2500 Y 4 6 9 7 10 12 2 2 2 8 8 8 0.3333 0.3333 0.3333 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0833 0.3333 0.5833 -0.2500 0.0000 0.2500 0.2500 0.0000 -0.2500 0.5833 0.3333 0.0833 (X'X)^-1 0.8796 -0.0500 -0.0926 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.3333 0.3333 0.3333 -0.0500 0.0100 0.0000 -0.2500 0.0000 0.2500 0.0833 0.3333 0.5833 -0.0926 0.0000 0.0185 Beta-hat 2.7222 0.5000 0.5556 X'Y 48 290 270 Y'Y Y'PY Y'(I-P)Y Y'(J/n)Y Y'(P-J/n)Y 426.00 425.67 0.33 384.00 41.67 Total Corrected: Sum Of Squares ________________ Degrees of Freedom ___________ Regression: Sum Of Squares ________________ Degrees of Freedom ___________ Residual: Sum Of Squares ________________ Degrees of Freedom ___________ S2 ____________________ ^ s 1 _________________ Testing H0: F-stat Num df _______ Den df _________ Predicted Value for Y2: Based on: ^ X ___________________________ PY____________________________________ ^ s Y 2 ________________________ se2 ________________________