Ag. Policy Talk

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An Historical Perspective

• Peter Berck

• Agricultural and Resource Economics and

Policy

Copyright 1998 by Peter Berck

Four Types of Program

• Give Away Land, Trees, Minerals, and

Grazing

• Direct Support of Prices through Marketing

Orders, Target Prices and Loan Rate

• Build Infrastructure: Railroads, Dams,

Electric Lines

• Create Financial Institutions: PCA, Land

Bank, Crop Insurance

Railroad land grants(1850)

• checkerboard pattern, square miles alternating

• gives railroad near monopoly on land nearby

• 131 million acres

• Railroads sold much of it very quickly and not for much

• Railroads had to carry mail and military at reduced rates

Homestead act (1862)--

– Live and work on 160 acres of 5 years; pay

$10-$25; get title

– farm making costs quite large, even with free land; speculators pre-empted (bought at $1.25 acre?) and resold

70 million acres from 1868-1879

– 100 million acres from 1898 to 1917

Land Grant Colleges

• Morrill Act 1862 land to establish Colleges

• Hatch Act 1890 money for research

• made ag more productive

• got people the hell out of agriculture

(Gisser)

– 1890 42% of workers in Ag.

– 1930 it was 22%; Now, less than 2%

Reclamation act (1902)

• Build Water Projects

– users to pay operating costs

– government to pay interest on capital costs

• Benefits owners of large tracts in CA

– 160 acre limitation, evaded

– power subsidy not accounted for (border prices)

– prices didn’t cover O&M in CA

Farm Credit

• Federal Farm Loan Act(1916)

– Cooperatives of farmers borrowed from 12

Land Banks, which borrowed by selling bonds in national markets.

• Farm Credit Act (1933)

– Provided Production Credit Associations money to lend for short-term purposes.

– Compare this to Gramlin? Banks and more generally to experience in LDCs.

Taylor Grazing Act(1934)

• 80 million acres to begin with.

• Fees for grazing thought to be too low in north

• Grazing causes pollution

• See LaFrance

Depression

• Farm depression preceded crash of 29.

• No welfare program-no checks in mail

– works projects admin-

– civilian conservation corps

– rise of Robert Moses and west side highway

• Rural Electrification

• COOPS

– sexton, parliament for writings

– if there is one store in town and one elevator in town, do you want to own it?

Agricultural Adjustment Act

(1933)

– marketing orders

• generic advertising

• prorate: not entirely conspiracy to raise prices

• also response to chaotic markets

– "the plum deal" incredibly short seasons

– day to day price variance

– support programs

• non-recourse loans by

Commodity Credit

Corportation

• acreage reduction (set aside)

• had antecedent in govt. attempt to stabilize through futures

Loan Rate

P

L

Demand

Q

D

Gov’t Purchases

Supply

Lost

Cons.

Additional

Producer

Costs

Q

L

P

L

D(p)

Loan Rate Algebra

• X = S (P

L

) - D(P

L

)

– gov’t purchase

• G = P

L

X

– gov’t cost

S(p)

Q

D

Q

L

Dead Weight Loss

DWL

 

Q

Q

E

D

D

1

( q ) dq

  Q

Q

E

L

S

1

( q ) dq

P

W

X

• Q

D

= D(P

L

)

• Q

L

= S(P

L

)

• X = S (P

L

) - D(P

L

)

• d(DWL)/dP

L

= ???

Set Aside

• Suppose S(p) is decreased by setting aside a percent of the land: a

S(p).

– Not quite true: worst land set aside

– Set aside goes unused: also not quite true

Added Cost from Set Aside a

S(p)

P

L

D(p)

S(p)

Hoosac Mills Decision of ‘36

• made AAA of 33 illegal- 9 Old Men

• government got around by tying to conservation, also voluntary ’36

• Ag. Marketing Agreement Act of ’37: Milk

Marketing Orders

• AAA of ’38 Crop Insurance

Dust Bowl

• high plains blew

• N.Y. and Washington dark at noon

• Oakies and Arkies

– tractored out?

– blown out

• no rain-- surpluses avoided

• mould board plow

– see AJAE cover

– plowed deep, loosened soil

– now use every other year cropping to concentrate moisture

– no till farming

The War till Johnson

• Wars

– demand high, restricted labor

– II, Marshall Plan,

Korea

• Then surpluses.

– 1.4 billion bu. Of wheat and 2.0 bu. Of corn in Oct. of 61

– Compulsory wheat supply management rejected in ’63 referendum of farmers.

– Farm Bureau beat

Kennedy. Farms Rep.

Cause?

They Saw It Coming

• H. A. Wallace foresaw the whole thing.

Original sec. knew economics.

• Brannan Tried to shift to an income guarantee

• Rausser (Spec. Asst. to R. Reagan) advocated decoupling

– ‘87 Economic Report of President

Target Price-Deficiency Payment

P c

P

T

Demand

Supply

Treasury Outlay D.W.L.

Deficiency

Payment

Q

T

Agriculture and Consumer

Protection Act of 1973

• Target Price/Deficiency Payment

• Excess demand--market price high enough

• Russian Wheat Deal

• target price foreshadowed in previous act

‘85 act; base acreage and base creep

– deficiency payment limitation to $50,000 per farm

– set asides required to get deficiency payments

– generic commodity certificates: sell surplus on market

– 50 percent plant = 90% deficiency payment

– decoupling

And Even Newer Programs

• Export Enhancement a.k.a. Dumping

– Not GATT legal; almost gone

• Conservation Reserve

– erodable land is bid into reserve

– conservation cover for 10 years

– size of Maine

– increased bird population by hundreds of millions

No more "farmers"

– bimodal farm size-big and very little

• 1.6 million < $40,000 gross sales; 10% gross inc.

• .5 million; $40 and $250; 41% of income

• .1 million; > $250,000; 48% income

• this is from Economic Report of President

• doesn’t add up

• .1 million farmers get 32% of government aid

Modern Agriculture

– trees are great for part timers

– wheat particularly subject to returns to scale

– tax laws matter a lot for part-timers and cattle

– dairy and chickens are an industry. machines, computers.

– flowers depend on marketing/ Israeli coop

• Federal Agriculture

Improvement and

Reform Act of 1996

• Deficiency Payment

Replaced by Fixed

Payout

• No need to grow program crop

FAIR

• Export Enhancement

Expenditures Below

GATT Max

• Save Milk: At the Max

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