APACHE CORPORATION Analysis of Recent Financial Performance University of Houston Energy Risk Management Bill Ramsey, Teressa Barner, Scott Randall October 22, 2003 AGENDA APACHE and Peers Global Economy Superindependent E&P Industry APACHE/Peer Ratio Comparisons Going Forward 2 APACHE and Peers APACHE • Super Independent as defined by Herold’s • Financially successful over past several years • Houston based Peers - Anadarko and Kerr-McGee • Chosen based on similarity of 5 operating metrics • Picked one larger company and one smaller • Apache and Anadarko are Full Cost whereas Kerr-McGee is Successful Efforts • Kerr-McGee has a chemicals segment that contributes ~1% of earnings 3 Global Economy Forecast turnaround in 2004 - led by U.S. Energy consumption highly correlated to growth - industrial feedstocks and fuel Oil prices expected to decrease due to production from non-OPEC countries NG prices expected to fluctuate between $4.50 and $5.00 per MMBTU 4 Superindependent E&P Does very little “green field” development Lower cost structures • Develop fields that are no longer economical for the majors Replaces reserves primarily through acquisition • Requires strong balance sheet 5 Reserve Replacement Ability $MM Working Capital Debt to Equity 400 200 0 -200 -400 -600 -800 -1000 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% 1999 2000 2001 2002 1Q2003 2Q2003 1999 Year Apache Anadarko 2000 2001 2002 1Q2003 2Q2003 Year Kerr-McGee Apache Anadarko Kerr-McGee Condition of balance sheet very significant in ability to acquire reserves Apache demonstrates ability to take quick advantage of opportunities Apache has no issues servicing debt and is in prime condition for taking on more 6 Reserve Ratios EOY Proved Reserves / Well 800 600000 600 500000 400 BOE % of Production 5-Year Rolling Average O&G Reserves Replacement Ratio 200 400000 300000 200000 0 100000 -200 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 1999 Year 2000 2001 2002 Year Apache Anadarko Kerr-McGee Anadarko yearly Apache yearly Kerr-McGee yearly Apache Anadarko Kerr-McGee Apache has had very consistent reserve replacement In 2002 Kerr-McGee sold reserves Apache’s low reserves/well should indicate that they are not very efficient at lifting 7 Cost Analysis Lifting Costs / BOE (ex. DDAR) Finding Costs / BOE (inc. Purchases) 20 6 5 $/BOE $/BOE 15 10 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 1999 Year Apache Anadarko 2000 2001 2002 Year Kerr-McGee Apache Anadarko Kerr-McGee Apache has advantage in Finding Costs- Peer Group benchmark for 5 year median is $5.99/BOE Apaches advantage in Lifting Costs seems to eroding 8 Apache’s Strategic Advantage Value Added of Reserves Ratio S,G & A / BOE Produced 5.00 $ / BOE 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 1999 2000 2001 2002 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 1999 Anadarko 2001 2002 1Q2003 2Q2003 Year Year Apache 2000 Kerr-McGee Apache Anadarko Kerr-McGee Apache’s stated strategy is value added growth as opposed to growth at all cost Flatter management structure yields lower SG&A costs 9 Strategy Results Profit Margin ROCE 40% 25% 30% 20% 20% 15% 10% 10% 0% 5% -10% 0% -20% -5% 1999 2000 2001 2002 1Q2003 2Q2003 1999 Year Apache Anadarko 2000 2001 2002 Year Kerr-McGee Apache Anadarko Kerr-McGee Yields higher ROCE and PM since they obtain greater value from each BOE PM and ROCE more constant due also to stable overhead cost control 2002 and 2003 metrics have dropped slightly due to lower gas prices 10 Our Past Has Been Impressive Growth based on the following advantages: • Ability to execute on our strategy: Exploit our Asset base • Efficient Operations (low finding and development costs using proven technologies) Disciplined Acquisitions yielding high reserve value added ratios Geographic focus leading to cost control and purchasing power • Strong Balance Sheet-evidenced by low debt/equity ratios 11 Lower Oil and Gas Price Outlook Plays to Our Strategy • Short Term: Crude and Natural Gas Futures Strip through Cal ’04 is backwardated1 • Medium Term: 3 different scenarios illustrate price declines 2 Future Oil and Gas Scenario* Medium Term World Oil Prices ($/bbl) Medium Term Natural Gas Price ($/mcf) Low 23.4 3.2 Base 24 3.3 High 24.5 3.6 1 10/21/03 2 This will increase Acquisition Opportunities as Competitors Shed their Assets to Survive! : Nymex- WTI Kushing and NG Henry Hub US Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2003 12 Our Future is Bright Our balance sheet and operational strengths allow us to execute by: • Increasingly Efficient Acquisitions • Continuous exploitation of New Assets through extensions, discoveries and improved recovery • Relentless Focus, Cost Control and Purchasing Power 13 “Building to Last” Apache Corporation 14