China Medical Insurance market and Swiss Re Value Proposition Kelvyn Young 10 April 2008 Private sector participation is gaining popularity in healthcare 100% Private insurance Government involvement, % -> 0% Insurance component, % -> Healthcare systems of 191 WHO members 50% 50% Out-of-pocket Social insurance 100% Tax financing 0% Note: The original data is taken from WHO World Health Statistics 2007. Government involvement is measured as “general government expenditure”, which include social health insurance, as % of total health expenditure (THE). Insurance component is measured by the % of health spending financed by social health insurance and private prepaid plans. When reporting the data to WHO, there may be inconsistencies in definitions among 191 member countries. Slide 2 Source: Swiss Re Economic Research & Consulting Evolution of medical insurance business Insurability / Infrastructure Integrated state and private offering Hospital cash Critical illness Increasingly mature market and sophisticated buyers Regulatory burden, little incentive Risk not insurable No opportunity USA market Asia market Life only Stay away Administration Slide 3 Full reimburse -ment Managed care Underwriting, product devt Source: Swiss Re Economic Research & Consulting; Swiss Re L&H Active claims management Insurer’s involvement World top 10 health underwriters World top health underwriters by net premiums earned USD bn 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Top 10 US companies UnitedHealth Group Wellpoint Inc. Kaiser Foundation* 1 Humana Inc. Aetna Inc.* Cigna Corp.* HCSC Group Independence Blue Cross Top non US companies Health Net Inc. Highmark Inc. Axa* Ergo BUPA Allianz* *Kaiser data refers to revenue, not NPE, Cigna: includes disability & life business, Aetna: includes group life, disability & LTC, AXA: includes all health lines, including disability, Allianz: German health business only. Source: Company financial statements, Conning, Swiss Re Economic Research & Consulting Slide 4 7 Overview: Healthcare in China Healthcare expenditure: 4.7% of China’s GDP (1) 2004: more than RMB 759 billion (USD95 billion) 2007: estimated to be more than RMB 1,000 billion (USD 137 billion) (2) 52% directly paid by households 6% of which by commercial health insurance A national priority Slide 5 Social health insurance now a reality, but offers basic coverage: – 1998: basic medical insurance system for urban employees (180 m people covered end 2007) – 2003: rural cooperative medical system for rural residents (730 million people covered end 2007) – 2010(3) : target for universal coverage Significant work on improving hospital administration and delivery 1. WHO 2005 2. Swiss Re Economic Research & Consulting 3 . Premier Wen Jiabao Medical insurance in China: large-scale potential Growing demand and affordability 70% of affluent and upper mass customers (estimated at 41 million households by 2010) would consider commercial medical insurance (1) 15% of the 70% would consider expensive next-generation products priced at RMB 7,400 (USD 1,000) p.a. Consumers want better services As affluence grows, customers seek better services, such as: – Shorter waiting time – Cashless services – Better pre- and post-admission follow-ups, etc Opportunities for introduction of new generation products Market potential for commercial health insurance (including critical illness) Slide 6 RMB 489 billion (USD 67 billion) in annual premiums 1. Shanghai and Qingdao survey 2006 2. Swiss Re Economic Research & Consulting (2) Just how large is China’s potential? Health insurance premium income USD Bn, excluding Critical Illness (RMB46bn) 6.3 6 5 4 (RMB19bn) 3 2007 and 2015, affluent population will increase their demand for supplement scheme on top of social health insurance which will keep expanding. Actual figures in-between vary year by year. 2.2 1.9 1.0 1 0.3 0.3 2000 2001 1.0 0.5 0 Slide 7 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Source: McKinsey, Swiss Re Economic Research & Consulting 2015, China GDP will reach USD8.4 trillion, (excluding exchange rate effect). Of the 5% spent on health, if 1.5% is funded via private medical insurance (excluding critical illness), the market will still reach USD6.3bn (CAGR: 12%) Between 2.6 2 By 2015 Health business volume 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Total health insurance – includes large proportion of long term or short term CI business, accident medex etc, A few companies sell Long term care and Income protection, but premium volume is very small Volume increased from 2004 to 2006, small growth during year 2007. Loss ratio is low for CI and individual PMI which mainly includes hospital cash and hospital reimbursement. Group medical business experience is worse then Slide 8 individual Unit Million Year 2007 2006 2005 2004 Volume 38,416.61 37,690.27 31,230.19 25,987.71 Total claim paid 11,686.46 12,509.92 10,791.60 8,910.32 30% 33% 35% 34% Loss ratio Market share for the whole life and health business Main player 2007 2006 2005 2004 China life 40% 45% 44% 47% Ping An 16% 17% 16% 17% CPIC 10% 9% 10% 11% New china life 7% 7% 6% 6% Taikang 7% 5% 5% 6% 79% 83% 81% 86% Total source: CIRC yearly published data Contributions & funds for Basic medical insurance system Contribution Employer Fund Additional fund Basic Fund Employee individual account Decision to establish a basic medical insurance system for urban enterprise employee state council 1998 Guidance on participating basic medical insurance for urban flexible work force Ministry of Social Labour and Security[2003] no.10 Slide 9 Cover within the different funds Basic Fund 1. Inpatient but limits 2. Outpatient treatment of cancer (radiotherapy, chemotherapy), renal dialysis 3. Emergency room fees leading to an inpatient claim Additional Fund 1. Outpatient above a deductible 2. Inpatient above the basic funds benefits Individual Account 1. Covers the gaps of the basic and additional funds Slide 10 Summary of outpatient and inpatient cover Expenses above the deductible: Paid by additional fund • With co pay • Payment may be subject to upper limit - depends on local regulation • Deductible • Self-pay or paid with individual account inpatient expenses outpatient expenses Slide 11 • Paid by additional fund with co pay • • With or without Upper limit • Paid by basic fund • With co pay • Payment subject to Maximum limit • Deductible • Self-pay or paid with individual account SHI – Urban Scheme - Overview Inpatient 1. Employer pays approx 8% - Employee pay 2% 2. Deductible: from 600 -2000 RMB, for example Beijing 1300 RMB 3. The amount may differ by hospital grade, employment status or even DOB 4. 5. 6. 7. Slide 12 Copayment of the basic fund: from 3% to 30% depending on the hospital grade, employment status or amount of actual medical expenses Upper limit of the basic fund: From 24000 (Taiyuan) to 145000 (Guangzhou) Maximum amount paid by additional fund: No limit set for some cities such as Shanghai, Hangzhou, For other cities the limits vary from 100,000 to 300,000 RMB (Wuhan & Chongqing) Copayment from additional fund: from 2% to 25% SHI Overview 1. Outpatient Only some developed areas provide supplementary outpatient coverage, e.g. Beijing Shanghai: with deductible 1542 for active work or 771 for retiree (varying by DOB), no SA, Copayment 30%-100% for actively work and 20%-55% for retiree 2. Slide 13 One company has designed their own out-patient product for those areas where there is no O/P SHI coverage QI_BU Product features in the current market In Patient Product D- rider cover above additional fund payment. Usually provides additional 100 - 200,000 RMB Product Crider Out Patient Product F – rider Additional fund 40%-50% co pay Cover co pay Maximum RMB20,000 Additional Top up Fund of 100,000 RMB Cover co pay 30% co pay on this 100,000 Product A– basic Cover co pay Covers SHI co pay but still have to pay small out of pocket co pay of between 10-15% up to max RMB70,000 Product B –rider cover deductible 1300 Slide 14 Product E –rider Covers deductible but also has co pay on this The example above is based on the features of the Beijing market The features are typical of some companies, most however only have two sub-products, one is for Inpatient and the other is for outpatient Hospital Providers in China Slide 15 1. Around 300,000 medical providers in the China mainland 2. 4 kinds of medical structures in China mainland: government, joint ventures, foreign owned and private. Approx 90% hospitals are government hospitals 3. Governmental hospitals in China belong to different systems: Ministry of Health (MOH), Ministry of Education (MOE), Army, City, the state etc. Most hospitals are not commercial or service oriented and have no service procedure and thus it can be difficult to build networks 4. Hospitals are divided into 3 grades: grade 3 (best), grade 2 and grade 1. Grade 3 hospitals are found in big cities. Hospitals with the name of “ Peoples’ Hospital” are usually the highest graded hospital 5. Hospitals are graded on the evaluation of the hardware but not service What’s standing in the way? Key challenges in China Current Status Slide 16 Network Management Lack of hospital networks that offer better patient services and efficient medical utilisation Claims Management Limited claims management capabilities leading to inability to contain claim ratios Profitability Poor profitability, particularly on group business due to price competition and unsophisticated data analysis Risk Management Undeveloped and fragmented. Lack of sufficiently skilled and experienced insurance expertise Swiss Re’s business model goes beyond the traditional reinsurance model Success in medical (re)insurance demands the ability to operate and exert influence across the medical management and insurance value chains Professional approaches to product management, claims management and medical provider management are all key success factors Swiss Re will work, together with its partner organisations, to develop the key components of the value chain that do not currently feature in the local medical insurance markets Sales and marketing Administration Medical management Underwriting Customer acquisition Product / benefit design Customer service / retention Claims Mgt. (adjudication) Payment processing Building provider network Provider cost Mgt. Pharma. cost Mgt. Case / disease Mgt. = current gaps Slide 17 Prestige Health: Full-service capabilities Prestige Health Medical Insurers Policyholder services - Distribution & sales Network management - Premium collection Claims management - Policyholder administration Data capture - Customer service Experience analysis Swiss Re Beijing Branch Beijing 2 April 2008 Chee Kok POH CEO, Prestige Health Slide 18 Product development, pricing and reinsurance capacity Medical Service Provider 1 Medical Service Provider 2 Medical Service Provider 3 Medical Service Provider 4 Medical Service Provider n Prestige Health benefits chain: people, hospitals, insurers & the State Slide 19 Consumers: Hospitals: Insurers: the State: Better services and more affordable products Widens customer base, offers patients better services and enhance hospital’s reputation More confidence over insurance cost and profitability thereby offering more competitive products Contributes to sustainable medical insurance industry growth and promotes better use of hospital resource Swiss Re’s strategy to help clients succeed Slide 20 Core team in place plus strong local teams Team totally dedicated to growing and developing PMI market Claims Management strategy to ensure control of key aspects of the risk Engage with regulators and governments to assist with development of the market Provide clients with tools for success Helping clients with data analytics and the full suite of risk management solutions Help clients to grow their business via innovative product ideas Appendix 1. MedeGuide Slide 23 Slide 24