Economics HW: News Report Rita Cheung (4) & Jamie Keung (9) F.4C House prices continue upward move UK house price inflation picked up in September, according to the Department of Communities & Local Government. Prices rose by 0.8% in September, pushing the annual rate of house price inflation up from 7.7% to 8%. The cost of the average UK property rose from £197,631 to £198,552 between August and September, the DCLG said. Annual house price inflation rates rose in England, Scotland and Wales, but fell slightly, from a very high level, in Northern Ireland. Wales saw the strongest growth spurt, with annual price inflation rising from 7% to 10.3% in September. In England, the rate increased to 7.2% from 6.6%, while in Scotland it edged up from 12.7% to 12.9%. But in Northern Ireland, which has seen strong price growth this year, annual inflation fell from 26.6% to 23.6%. House price inflation rose in seven of the nine English regions and fell in the East and South East of England. The buoyant London market continued to lead the way, with annual house price inflation hitting 9%. Expectations exceeded House price growth in 2006 has exceeded most analysts expectations, due to shortage of supply and strong economic growth. Last week, the Bank of England raised UK interest rates from 4.75% to 5% to help quell inflationary pressures. But according to Howard Archer, chief UK economist at Global Insight, the interest rate hike may not take the heat out of the housing market. "Current elevated mortgage activity and a shortage of supply in many areas (especially London and the South East) means that house prices could well see further significant increases in the near term," Mr. Archer said. But over the long term Mr. Archer added that he expected house price inflation to cool, due to the fact that property is becoming unaffordable to many. News from: BBC News Date: Thursday, 7 December 2006 Economics HW: News Report Rita Cheung (4) & Jamie Keung (9) F.4C Pictures about the news: House prices are still rising across the UK Changes in house prices Summary: There was house price inflation in United Kingdom, this means that there’s a huge and permanent increase in the house price. This caused a supply shortage of house in some of the areas in UK, also it created pressure to banks, and therefore the Bank of England raised UK interest rates. Explanation: 1. In 2006, there’s a strong economic growth in UK, the salary of people increased. Houses are superior goods, due to the increase in people’s salary, the demand for houses increased. This caused a right-shifting of demand curve and the equilibrium price of house increased. Fig. 1 Economics HW: News Report Rita Cheung (4) & Jamie Keung (9) F.4C 2. People’s demand for houses still kept on increasing in spite the increase in house price (new market price), this is because people expected that the house price will keep on increasing, so people buy more house and plan to sell it in the future and gain profit (“buy low sell high”). The demand for houses is greater than the supply of houses, the new market price is still lower than the equilibrium price, there’s a shortage of supply of houses / excess demand for houses in some areas in UK. Price of Houses Market of Houses S D2 New Market Price D1 Old Market Price Shortage of supply 0 Q1 QS QD Quantity Fig. 2 3. When people buy a house, most of them need to lend money from the bank (mortgage) because the sum of money of buying a house is huge. When the demand for houses increased, the number of people mortgaging their property to the bank increased, this gives pressure to the bank as the bank might not have enough current funds. The demand for loan is greater than the supply of loan by the bank, therefore, there’s an excess demand for loan, and the market price of loan (interest) is lower than the equilibrium price of loan (interest). In order to restore equilibrium, the bank will increase the interest rate to reduce the demand for loans. Economics HW: News Report Rita Cheung (4) & Jamie Keung (9) F.4C Interest rate of Loans Market of Loans S D New Market Price Old Market Price Excess Demand 0 QS QE QD Quantity Fig. 3 The End