Looking awesome in my tuxedo today! HUB Quiz update: OPTIONAL. Complete quiz by 10pm Thursday and it will replace another lower daily grade. • Please read the board carefully! Current Climate change effects in the Antarctic • Better known as the Penguin Activity What we know for sure about climate change: • Mechanism of the greenhouse effect • CO2 at the beginning of the Industrial revolution: 280ppm • CO2 today: 398ppm • CO2 increases .5%/year • Since 1860 global mean temp has increased .6-.7oC (1.1-1.4oF) IPCC: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change • UN group of scientists representing almost every • • • • country Jan 2007 – issued report on climate change. Absolute agreement on anthropogenic cause of current climate change. “Warming of the climate system is unequivocal” “There is very high confidence that the net effect of human activities since 1750 has been one of warming.” What effects of these changes are we already seeing? CO levels currently 2 • • • • Mauna Loa Observatory - Hawaii CO2 at beginning of Industrial revolution: 280 ppm Current CO2 levels: 398ppm (watch the movie – when is CO2 highest? Where??? Why???) The poles are experiencing more intense change • Winter temps rising faster than summer temps • Average temperature change is double the change at lower latitudes. • 3-4oC in 50 years (5 - 7oF) The importance of ice cover: • The albedo effect: • Incoming radiant energy hits a white surface and is reflected – it bounces without being converted to infrared energy Today: determine relationships AND relationships between some abiotic factors: • Air temperature • Sea ice extent • Winter snow Make a prediction: Predict the relationship between one of the biotic factors and one of the abiotic factors in this activity • Biotic: krill, chinstrap • penguins, adelie penguins Abiotic: air temperature, sea ice extent, winter snow Expert groups: Complete Part I • examine data set • Summarize key information provided about your biotic or abiotic factor • You have 15 minutes Home Group: • Go get: big paper, glue, 6 different cards, colored pencils • Make a concept map which shows relationships between abiotic and biotic factors. • Include cards, arrows, explanations • When you are sure about the relationships, glue them down So how did that prediction work out for you? • Describe something you learned about the effects of climate change from doing this activity. Soooo . . . . . What does the penguin activity show you? • Feedback loops play a role in climate change (identify them) • Complexity of a system makes prediction difficult (give an example) • Biodiversity loss – populations may not be able to adapt quickly enough • A “little” change (.7 oC/1oF) is a big deal Awkward segue!!! Goals of this course: • 1. Environmental literacy • 2. preparation for AP test • 3. Build college skills Power up! • www.ipcc.ch • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change