Profile of the Mexican Economy Background Information Key Macro Data Aspects of Development Currency unit Peso Exchange rate system Floating $18k Policy interest rate Inflation (%) Latest annual GDP Growth (%) Latest HDI ranking 74/187 3.75% Income inequality HDI ranking 67/187 2.7% Member of a Regional Trade Agreement NAFTA Pacific Alliance Gender inequality HDI ranking 74/187 Unemployment rate (% of labour force) 4.2% Current account balance (% of GDP) -2.0% < 1% Fiscal balance (% of GDP) % of population living in extreme poverty -3.5% Main corporate tax rate (Per Cent) 30% Life Expectancy at birth (years) 76.8 Govt debt (% of GDP) 48% Competitiveness rank 57/144 Yield on 10-Yr Govt Bonds (Per Cent) 5% Corruption Perception Ranking 103/17 5 Gini coefficient (Latest published estimate) 0.48 (High) Inward FDI (% of GDP) 3% Investment (% of GDP) 22% Ease of Doing Business Ranking 38/189 Remittances (% of GDP) 4% Gross national savings (% of GDP) 20% External Debt (% of GDP) 32% Aid (% of GDP) Zero GDP or GNI per capita (US $, PPP) 2.6% Contextual Background on Mexican Economy Economic Structure Development and Growth Issues / Policies Share of GDP by value added (% of GDP) 3 factors limiting development progress Primary: 4% 1/ Narrow tax base - <60% registered for tax Industrial: 34% 2/ Widespread corruption and violence Services: 62% 3/ High inequality, lack of inclusive growth Main export industries (+ major firms) 3 policies used to improve the supply-side 1/ Motor vehicles and parts 1/ Reforms to energy, telecoms, finance 2/ Oil 2/ Infrastructure investment 3/ Audio and computer equipment 3/ Stronger anti-corruption policies Key risks to sustainable growth Long term challenges facing this country 1/ Reliance on US – 75% of exports go to USA Challenge 1: Avoiding middle-income trap 2/ Large informal sector with low productivity Challenge 2: Improving governance 3/ Low investment and saving as % of GDP Challenge 3: Cut size of informal economy Main Strengths and Weaknesses for Mexico Economic / Competitive Strengths Main Weaknesses in their Economy 1/ Low unit labour costs – attractive to FDI 1/ Concerns over violence and corruption 2/ Large / growing population (market size) 2/ Heavily dependent on oil revenues 3/ Competitive currency helping exports 3/ Informal labour market – dual economy 4/ Many free trade agreements completed 4/ High levels of income/wealth inequality 5/ Low unemployment and government debt 5/ Long tail of low productivity businesses Other Notes Other Useful Contextual Knowledge • Mexico is developing a strong revealed comparative advantage in manufacturing • Unemployment is low but there is significant under-employment in a dual economy • Fast growing middle class is attractive to FDI especially from service businesses • More than 90% of Mexican overseas trade now covered by free trade agreements • Mexico has over 4 million micro businesses that employ the majority of Mexicans – few have access to equity / loan finance • Key industries have been dominated by monopolies such as Mexico Telecom and Pemex (Oil). The lack of contestability keeps prices and high and limits capital investment and innovation