Matakuliah Tahun : Keuangan Internasional : 2009 Purchasing Power Parity and Real Exchange Rates Pertemuan 8 Soal 1 • Exercise (Question 6) If the actual exchange rate for the euro value of the British pound is less than the exchange rate that would satisfy absolute PPP, which of the currencies is overvalued and which is undervalued ? Why ? Bina Nusantara University 3 Soal 1 The terminology of “overvalued” and “undervalued” refers to the relationship of the exchange rate to the PPP theory. If the actual exchange rate of euros per pound is less than the PPP prediction, the euro is overvalued and the pound is undervalued. We know this is the correct answer because if the actual exchange rate were to move to the PPP prediction, the euro would have to weaken, and the pound would correspondingly have to strengthen, on the foreign exchange market. The weakening of the euro would correct its overvaluation, and the strengthening of the pound would correct its undervaluation. Bina Nusantara University Soal 2 • Exercise (Problem 3) Suppose that the price level in Canada is CAD 16,600, the price level in France is EUR 20,750, and the spot exchange rate is EUR 1.57/CAD. a. What is the internal purchasing power of the Canadian Dollar ? b. What is the internal purchasing power of the euro in France ? c. What is the implied exchange rate of EUR/CAD that satisfies absolute PPP ? d. Is the Canadian dollar overvalued or undervalued relative to the euro ? e. What amount of appreciation or depreciation of the Canadian dollar would be required to return the actual exchange rate to its PPP value ? Bina Nusantara University 5 Soal 2 a. What is the internal purchasing power of the Canadian dollar? It is probably best to calculate the purchasing power of CAD10,000. If we divide this amount by the price level in Canada of CAD16,600, we find b. What is the internal purchasing power of the euro in France? Performing a similar calculation to the one in part a., we find c. What is the implied exchange rate of EUR/CAD that satisfies absolute purchasing power parity? The implied PPP exchange rate equates the internal purchasing power of the CAD to its external purchasing power. This implies that the PPP exchange rate is the ratio of the French price level in euros to the Canadian price level in Canadian dollars: Bina Nusantara University 6 Soal 2 d. Is the Canadian dollar overvalued or undervalued relative to the euro? Because the actual exchange rate of EUR1.57/CAD is greater than the PPP exchange rate, the Canadian dollar is overvalued on the foreign exchange market because it would have to weaken considerably to move from EUR1.57/CAD to EUR1.25/CAD. e. What amount of appreciation or depreciation of the Canadian dollar would be required to return the actual exchange rate to its PPP value? The exchange rate moves from the actual value of EUR1.57/CAD to the PPP value of EUR1.25/CAD for a percentage change of 1.25/1.57 – 1 = - 0.2038. This is a 20.38% depreciation of the Canadian dollar. Bina Nusantara University 7 Soal 3 • Home Work Soal 3, merupakan tugas perorangan yaitu setiap mahasiswa diwajibkan untuk menjawab pertanyaan (Question dan Problem) yang ada disetiap akhir bagian masing-masing chapter. Tugas ini dikumpulkan sebelum perkuliahan pertemuan berikutnya dimulai. Mahasiswa menjawab Question 2, 11 dan Problem 7 yang ada di halaman 293 - 294 Bina Nusantara University 8