4.3 Public Opinion Do Now: What is an opinion and how is it formed? This slide is a placeholder for a Polleverwhere.com poll slide. Use the instructions included in the documents section to create a poll using the following question. Agree or Disagree: Same-Sex Marriage should not be illegal. Agree Disagree This slide is a placeholder for a Polleverwhere.com poll slide. Use the instructions included in the documents section to create a poll using the following question. Abortion is evil and should not be legal, right? Agree Disagree This slide is a placeholder for a Polleverwhere.com poll slide. Use the instructions included in the documents section to create a poll using the following question. Should capital punishment (death penalty) be outlawed by the federal government? Yes No This slide is a placeholder for a Polleverwhere.com poll slide. Use the instructions included in the documents section to create a poll using the following question. Should the federal government, through an act of congress, make illegal in every circumstance, the policy of killing those convicted of certain serious crimes? Yes No This slide is a placeholder for a Polleverwhere.com poll slide. Use the instructions included in the documents section to create a poll using the following question. Should dangerous weapons, like deadly assault rifles, be made illegal? Yes No This slide is a placeholder for a Polleverwhere.com poll slide. Use the instructions included in the documents section to create a poll using the following question. Should assault rifles be outlawed? Yes No This slide is a placeholder for a Polleverwhere.com poll slide. Use the instructions included in the documents section to create a poll using the following question. Same-Sex Marriages should be allowed by law True False This slide is a placeholder for a Polleverwhere.com poll slide. Use the instructions included in the documents section to create a poll using the following question. Should abortion be allowed by law? Yes No Public Opinion: “The attitudes held by a significant number of people on matters of government and politics.” Public Opinion How is it formed? •Family •Peer Groups •Media Mass Media •Internet •Television •Magazines •Newspapers •Books Mass Media Are you affected by mass media? Measuring Public Opinion How can we measure public opinion? Anecdotal evidence and Polling Polling Poll Types •Straw Poll •Exit Poll •Tracking Polls •Push Poll •Scientific Polling Scientific Polling •Define your universe •Construct a proper sample •Create clear, unbiased questions •Carefully examine poll results and extrapolate opinion Universe Whose opinion are you trying to measure? Sample As you cannot poll all of these people, pick an unbiased selection of them to represent the whole. Unbiased Questions Bias: deviation of the expected value of a statistical estimate from the quantity it estimates: systematic error introduced into sampling or testing by selecting or encouraging one outcome or answer over others Political scientists must make sure their questions do not steer participants to a particular answer but that they actually measure the true opinion of their universe Avoiding Bias •Vague Questions •Complicated Grammar •Loaded Words •Leading Questions •Double Barrel Questions •Double Negatives •Mutual Exclusion in Answers •Exhaustive Categories •Response Sets Vague Words/Questions People will interpret vague words/questions in different manners and skew the data. Questions should be pointed and clear. “Agree or disagree: Healthcare is good.” Complicated Grammar The use of a sentence structure that is not short, concise and simple. “Should airplanes, when flying over water or land, be allowed to expel their waste, solid or liquid, as needed, without notifying any possibly affected parties?” Loaded Words Words that carry a connotation along with their meaning: “Tree Hugger” vs. “Environmentalist” “Beast” vs. “Animal” “Vermin” vs. “Rodent” “Mighty” vs. “Powerful” Leading Questions Questions that, in some way, lead respondents to a certain answer. “Don’t you agree that…” “Isn’t it true that…” “Shouldn’t…” Double Barrel Questions Questions that are really asking two questions at the same time: “Should students receive shorter tests and more time to take them?” “Should felons and non-felons receive more jail time for misdemeanors?” Double Negatives Using a negative statement in your question will create a double negative for responders who respond negatively: “Do you agree or disagree? Teachers should not be punished for hitting students.” Mutual Exclusion All answer sets should be mutually exclusive, participants should not be able to fall into multiple categories: “What is your age?” 10-20 20-30 30-40 VS 10-19 20-29 30-39 Exhaustive Answer Sets Every respondent should be able to fit into at least one answer set: “What is your age?” 10 or less 11-20 21-30 30 or older Response Sets Avoid groups of questions that are all arranged with one ideology on one side and the other opposite; mix up the order. 4.3 Assignment Use the worksheet to create your own poll questions. On the back explain how you believe the results would differ between one of your biased questions and your unbiased question.