Random Signals for Engineers using MATLAB and Mathcad Copyright 1999 Springer Verlag NY Example 1.8 A classical example of communication over an unreliable channel can be set up using a probabilistic model of the channel. Let us assume that two symbols A and B are sent over the channel characterized by four transition probabilities as shown in the table below. The rows of the table represent the sending signals and the columns represent the received symbols or ra and rb. The entries in the table are the channel transitional probabilities or P[ra was received | A was sent] = P raA. The unreliable channel is modeled by probabilistic transitions in the symbols {A, B} into {ra, rb}. Clearly, an ideal channel will have P[ra|A] = P[rb|B] =1 and P[ra|B] = P[rb|A] = 0. The problem we now set up uses this model: Given the model described, we would like to construct a table showing the aposteriori probabilities or P[an A was sent | received a ra] = P Ara. In addition we are given that the probability that symbol A or B is sent = P A and PB, respectively. PA=0.6; PB=0.4; Channel probabilities PraA A B PraA=0.9; PrbA=0.1; ra 0.9 0.2 PraB=0.2; rb 0.1 0.8 PrbB=0.8; SOLUTION: We must first compute the total probability of a ra and rb being received Pra= PraA*PA+PraB*PB Pra = 0.6200 Prb= PrbA*PA+PrbB*PB Prb = 0.3800 Compute the aposteriori probabilities. Aposteriori means we desire the probability that the symbol A was actually sent after we have knowledge that symbol was received. Apriori is used to mean we want to compute the probability of symbol A being sent when we do not have any receiver information. The aposteriori Probabilities are now tabulated below: PAra=PraA*PA/Pra; PArb=PrbA*PA/Prb; PBrb=PrbB*PB/Prb; [PAra PArb; PBra PBrb] ans = 0.8710 0.1290 0.1579 0.8421 PBra=PraB*PB/Pra; The sum of certain transition probabilities must sum to unity because of the way the channel model was set up. On the sending side, if an A is sent then P raA and PrbA must sum to unity because when an A is sent it must either be received as ra or rb and these conditional probabilities are mutually exclusive. Therefore, [PraA+PrbA PraB+PrbB] ans = 1 1 On the receiver side, if a ra is received either A or B must have been sent. Again these conditions are mutually exclusive. We may verify that [ PAra+PBra ans = 1.0000 PArb+PBrb] 1.0000