PROPERTY MARKET RESEARCH (SGP 3113) SEM 2 2008/09 Lab Work 2 Date: 25/07/08 Instructions: This Lab work is a continuation of Lab Work 1. Question 1 Use sectoral percentage GDP from Question 1 in Lab Work 1. Using a linear-form equation, regress the percentage GDP against time period using the following general model: %GDPt = a + bT where %GDPt is percentage of gross domestic product in year t (t=1, 2, 3,…, 12); T = (where T=1, 2, 3,…, 12) is time period; a and b are regression coefficients. [Note: Make sure that you estimate 10 separate equations, one for each economic sub-sector.] Summarise your outputs as follows (please indicate t-value for each variable): Economic sub-sectors Agriculture, forestry and fishing Mining and quarrying Manufacturing Construction Electricity, gas and water Transport, storage, and communication Wholesale and retail trade, hotel and restaurant Finance, insurance and real estate and business service Government services Other services Intercept Slope Adj R2 Based on the regression slopes, discuss how the Malaysian economy has performed, by giving special attention to the construction and FIRE sub-sectors. Question 2 Using the 1996-2007’s data from Question 1 and Question 2, estimate the following general linear equation for each type of property: GDPt = + NOTt where GDPt is value of gross domestic product in year t (t=1, 2, 3,…, 12); NOT = is number of property transaction in year t (t=1, 2, 3,…, 12); and are regression coefficients. 1 Summarise your outputs as follows (please indicate t-value for each variable): Type of property Residential Commercial Industrial Agriculture Others Intercept Slope Adj R2 Discuss your results. Conduct a simple analysis for examining GDP elasticity of property transactions. What is your conclusion? [Note: refer to Basic Aspects of Property Market Research p. 88 for the concept of “elasticity”.] Reference: Hamid, Abdul, bin Hj. Mar Iman (2006). Basic Aspects of Property Market Research Skudai: Universiti Teknologi Malaysia Publisher. 2