Chapter 5 Guinea Dominique Bangoura Introduction Security sector governance (SSG) is not well known in Guinea because few studies have been carried out on the concept. It is still a taboo subject reserved for the military, the uniformed corps, or even the president of the republic himself. The principal reasons for this lack of knowledge and suspicion are political: they go back to the dictatorship of Sekou Toure, who ruled the country with an iron fist from 1958 to 1984 and then the authoritarian military regime of General President Lansana Conté, from 1984 to 2008. In order to understand current issues and challenges in this area a review of the historical, political and geopolitical contexts of the sector is required. This chapter therefore begins by providing a historical analysis of developments in the Guinean security sector and how these have contributed to the current state of SSG. It then focuses on issues of security sector management and oversight. Finally, this chapter considers challenges to a process of security sector reform (SSR) in Guinea before providing a brief update on events since the time of writing of this chapter. The military and security under Sekou Toure Guinea has the singular honour of being the first and only Francophone West African country to have claimed its independence on 2 October 1958, after the historic ‘No’ in the 28 September referendum proposed by General de Gaulle. In marking the break with France, President Sekou Toure declared at the time: ‘It is better to live free in poverty than enslaved in opulence’.1 Influenced by socialism, he turned to the Soviet bloc to make up for the departure of the former colonial authority From that time, Sekou Toure established a government of absolute power and an extremely repressive police regime. The system was based on 96 Dominique Bangoura the single party, the Parti démocratique de Guinée (PDG) which was supposed to represent a united front against imperialist ambitions and also work for national unity and state construction. According to Siradiou Diallo, the party, which was designed as the steering body, the driving force and the instrument for controlling national life, was placed at the top of the pyramid of government. All other institutions, including the army and the militia, were subordinate to the party and only represented organs of implementation, instruments in the service of the party, which was the cornerstone, the heart and the brain from which all parts of the social body were irradiated and around which the life of the country gravitated.2 Thus, the PDG was named the party-state, in line with its totalitarian and omnipresent nature. Sekou Toure used the party and the police system to influence people's minds, keep citizens under surveillance and sow the seeds of fear and terror. The country turned inwards, obliging thousands of opponents and intellectuals to seek exile in neighbouring countries or in the West, while the general population suffered from shortages. During this period of dictatorship, the military remained strongly linked to the political apparatus: following the model of ‘militants in uniform’ which was common in socialist countries and was adopted by Sekou Toure, the military became subordinate to the PDG. The president mistrusted the army and decided not to provide it with the means of acting beyond simply defending his regime, while also making sure that soldiers lived in miserable conditions. The Guinean leader set up political committees called military unity committees, thus reproducing within each army unit the organisational structure of the party. These political bodies were in competition with the military chain of command. The excessive politicisation of the army led to indiscipline because on the basis of politics, any soldier could question orders from a superior officer, or even humiliate such an officer. Sekou Toure himself was paranoid about his own security and constantly denounced often imaginary plots supposedly organised from outside with the support of foreign powers. The military like the rest of the population were often victims of purges, leading to bloodshed. The following may be cited among the victims in the military: Major Keita Mamoudou, executed in 1965 during the so-called ‘traders’ conspiracy; Colonel Kaman Diaby, deputy army chief of staff and dozens of his companions, executed in 1969 as part of the Fodeba Keita ‘affair’; General Keita Noumandian, joint army chief of staff; Colonel Diallo Mamadou; Majors Barry Siradiou, Camara Diouma and Zoumanigui Kékoura, executed Guinea 97 in 1971 during what was described as the ‘plot’ by ‘the imperialist and nazi SS fifth column’ and Captain Lamine Kouyaté and Lieutenant Diallo Assane, who were arrested in 1976 during the ‘Peulh conspiracy’ and died of starvation at camp Boiro at the same time as Diallo Telli, former secretary general of the Organisation of African Unity. In 1977, the death of the latter while in prison led to strong reactions in the international community and showed a clear picture of the harsh reality of this country. The People's militia was established by Sekou Toure as his ultimate protective shield, to provide close security. It also served as a deterrent force for the military. Its mission was to maintain law and order alongside the police, but in reality it was in charge of keeping watch over the military and the population. Police officers, gendarmes, soldiers and civilians were frequently victims of acts of violence committed by this political force. Members of the militia were from the poorer social categories and were sent to Cuba for training. Well trained and armed, they came back with the rank of officer and in turn trained young recruits at the Kwame Nkrumah camp. Towards the end of his life, Sekou Toure’s militia was a counterbalance to the military in terms of numbers: 10,000 men on either side. However, the militia was better endowed in all ways. Sekou Toure died suddenly on 26 March 1984, leaving a country that was totally drained, with the prisons full, hundreds of victims who had died under torture and countless disappeared. The military, represented by Lansana Conté, took over power a week later on 3 April 1984. The military and security under Lansana Conté Lansana Conté, who was the embodiment of the loyalty that Sekou Toure had been seeking, took over the leadership of the Military Committee for National Recovery (CMRN). This was the start of a new era for relations between civilians and the military since the country was no longer run by a civilian but by a soldier with combat experience. Indeed, Colonel Lansana Conté had served in the colonial army in Algeria. When Guinea attained independence, he came back home and had been slowly climbing up the ranks of the military hierarchy. Having held the rank of deputy joint army chief of staff for several years, he was chosen from among his peers to take over leadership of the country. Apart from the fact that this put an end to civilian control of the military, the period that started with the new leader of the country was in many ways similar to the former regime in terms of governance. 98 Dominique Bangoura There are three distinct periods in Lansana Conté’s regime.3 The first of these, the exceptional regime, started on 3 April 1984 and ran to 23 December 1990. The CMRN banned the single party, dissolved political institutions and suspended the 1982 Constitution. Between 1984 and 1990, no institutional reforms were implemented. Power was in the hands of the president and the CMRN and most decisions were taken by presidential decree. The president appointed a prime minister in the person of Colonel Diarra Traore, who had helped him take over power. However, following a crisis of confidence between the two men the head of state abolished this position. Feeling disgraced, Diarra Traore attempted a coup in July 1985. He failed and was executed. The second period marks the establishment of the democratic process and lasted from December 1990 to the end of 1995. Under the pressure of protest movements by school pupils and students, trade unions and political groupings, the country on 23 December 1990 adopted by referendum a new constitution introducing a multi-party system and respect of human rights and public freedoms. The democratic process was put in place, but the opposition was unable to impose the organisation of a national conference similar to other African Francophone countries. Although political liberalisation had occurred, it was solidly controlled by the existing regime. The first presidential and legislative elections took place in 1993 and 1995: Lansana Conté and his party, the Parti de l’Unité et du Progrès (PUP) won those elections, but the results were highly disputed because of the lack of transparency and the occurrence of many irregularities. The third period, from 1996, marks the return of authoritarianism. It has been accompanied by lasting political violence in the country. In February 1996, the regime of Lansana Conté was threatened by a mutiny that broke out within the army for corporatist reasons. To save his own life and avoid a coup d’état, the general gave in to all the demands. This grave crisis ended in a bloody repression within the army. A brief period of political calm appeared possible with the appointment of a technocrat, Sydia Toure, as prime minister with the task of giving the national economy a new start. The truce was however broken just before the presidential elections in 1998 when Alpha Conde, a member of the National Assembly and one of the principal opposition leaders was illegally arrested and imprisoned.4 Insecurity in the sub-regions After various incidents of internal protest both on the part of the military and civilian forces, the regime was further weakened in 2000-2001 by a rebellion Guinea 99 in the southern part of the territory.5 In addition to the erosion of power and Guinea's isolation on the sub-regional scene, the regime was further destabilised by armed groups linked to the rebels in Liberia and Sierra Leone. Lansana Conté, who at the beginning of the 1990s had sent Guinean contingents to join the ECOMOG troops to fight the rebellion by Charles Taylor and his allies, now suffered the effects of his past political choices. The regime nevertheless resisted and attempted to counter the attacks by strengthening its military capacity and responding. Issues and challenges To sum up, ever since independence in 1958, Guinea has constantly experienced political violence. After Sekou Toure's dictatorship, Lansana Conté's authoritarianism led to a deep and generalised political, social, economic, as well as military crisis. The country has never had the possibility of holding free or credible and transparent elections, be they presidential, legislative or local. In November 2001 the government hardened its stance by adopting by referendum a constitutional amendment abolishing the limitation on terms of office. Lansana Conté could therefore stand for election in December 2003, December 2010 and so on. Guinea certainly is endowed with enormous human and material resources. But under what conditions can the country flourish? Is it possible to envisage another form of governance, a new conception of power and government, a republican army and security forces that respect human rights? Is it possible to envisage security sector reform? In 2006 and 2007, for the first time in the history of the country, civil society, in particular trade unions, decided to fight en masse against the deterioration of the living and working conditions of the general population. Three major strike movements took place on the initiative of the main trade union federations: from 27 February to 3 March 2006, from 8 to 16 June 2006 and from 10 to 27 January 2007. The leitmotiv during the strikes, the demonstrations and the ‘dead city’ operations was a constant call for change. Guineans fought to bring about social and political change. They paid a high price, in bloodshed, to achieve this. The repression by the armed and security forces against the youth was extremely violent. And yet, the right to join a trade union, the right to go on strike and the right to resist oppression are enshrined in the constitution under articles 18 and 19. After bitter negotiations, the last strike led to the tripartite agreements of 27 January 2007, which were signed by trade unions, employers and government. However, despite the appointment of a ‘consensus’ prime minister in the 100 Dominique Bangoura person of Lansana Kouyate following pressure from trade unions and civil society, no change was obtained because state institutions (national assembly, supreme court, government and the old military guard) put up resistance and the opposition political parties gave in. The long awaited change did not come about after Lansana Conté either. In violation of the 2007 agreements, the latter removed Lansana Kouyate from office on 20 May 2008 and appointed a loyal follower, Ahmed Tidiane Souare, in his place. How then can one expect a peaceful and democratic future for this country? How can one imagine the role of the armed and security forces in these conditions? The security apparatus and its environment The security forces comprise the military, law enforcement and the intelligence services. The Guinean army was set up on 1 November 1958 with volunteers from the colonial army who arrived from units based in France, Indochina, the French Sudan (Senegal-Mali), Madagascar, Dahomey, Syria, Algeria and Morocco.6 At the time France did not hesitate to destroy archives, heavy and light weapons, equipment and buildings, rather than transfer them or even make its military camps available to the new national army.7 Under Sekou Toure, the military was deprived of resources, training and equipment; some of its non-commissioned officers (NCOs) and officers were trained in eastern bloc countries and Cuba where they were provided with Soviet equipment. As the victim of many purges, the military remained traumatised, poorly organised and poorly managed. Under Lansana Conté, the Guinean military comprised about 14,000 men. It is made up of the army, the air force, the navy and the gendarmerie.8 In theory, the mission of the military is to defend territorial integrity, contribute to internal security and contribute to peacekeeping in the subregion and throughout the world. To this end, it takes part in operations within the framework of the appropriate sub-regional and international organisations (ECOWAS, UN, etc.). There is a two year military service system. The army represents the largest component of the Guinean military forces. It is 9,700-man strong and has two types of units; the territorial units situated in each of the four military regions (Kindia, Labé, Kankan and N’Zérékoré) and the specialised autonomous units in the special zone of Conakry. These are the independent battalion of airborne troops, the Guinea 101 armoured battalion, the presidential security battalion and the Conakry security battalion. The most famous specialised units are the presidential guard,9 made up of the ‘red berets’ which are under the authority of the president and the chief of joint staff and are based at the presidency, as well as the Rangers, an elite battalion trained by the Americans at the high point of the war against Charles Taylor. The army is equipped with heavy and light tanks (T34), rocket launchers (Stalin organs), machine gun carriers, towed guns and armoured cars. The navy (400 men) provides surveillance of territorial waters and the exclusive economic zone, participates in defending the Guinean coasts and controlling maritime smuggling, as well as providing maritime police services. It has a general staff and two buildings for ground forces (marines and coast artillery defence). The coastline is divided into four maritime operational regions (Conakry, Benty, Boffa and Kamsar). The air force (800 men) guarantees air space security, provides coverage and support to ground troops and participates in operational defence of the territory, as well as international missions. The principal air force base is in Conakry, with secondary bases in the interior. It owns Soviet transport and fighter planes, but is currently poorly equipped and only has two helicopters purchased from Ukraine.10 It has taken part in a number of external operations in Sierra Leone and Liberia. The gendarmerie was also set up in 1958. Officially, it is in charge of ensuring public security, maintaining law and order and enforcing laws and protecting individuals and their property. In its operations, it is under the authority of the joint army chief of staff and is headed by a colonel. The gendarmerie falls under the responsibility of the ministry of national defence. It comprises two subdivisions: the territorial gendarmerie, spread out in brigades in the interior of the country and the mobile gendarmerie, which is made up of three operational squadrons stationed in Conakry. Like the other army corps, it has participated in peacekeeping operations in Africa. It is under the command of a colonel, the chief of staff. It is made up of about 2,500 men. Training for the Guinean army is provided by the Joint Forces Military Academy (EMIA) in Conakry. The EMIA is the national officers’ academy, which is located at Camp Alpha Yaya Diallo, 15 km from the city centre. Between 1961 and 1965 three classes were trained, including Lansana Conté and the principal military leaders of the country. It was closed down in 1965 and was only able to open once again in 1994 with the assistance of French military cooperation. The initial training cycle lasts for three years, with courses in both general and military subjects. Admission to 102 Dominique Bangoura the EMIA is through a competitive exam for candidates holding a certificate validating 2 years of university education. In addition to the armed forces there are other security forces in Guinea, such as the national police force and in particular its mobile intervention and security company (CMIS), as well as the intelligence services, which fall under the authority of the ministry of security. Military cooperation with France and the United States After the break with France in 1958, Guinea fell into the ideological and strategic camp of the eastern bloc countries and their allies. It was not until diplomatic relations were effectively restored in 1976 and indeed until 17 April 1985, that a military cooperation agreement could be signed between Conakry and Paris. Since then, the French military cooperation mission has been involved in several projects to support schools, logistics, transmission, the gendarmerie and military health. In 2005, considerable efforts were undertaken to train trainers. Guinea also requested French support for projects to open the national NCOs Academy at Maneah, as well as the national signals school.11 Starting from 1999, when relations between the (socialist) French government and Guinea had deteriorated following the Alpha Conde case, President Lansana Conté sought to develop military cooperation with increased support from the United States. Conakry and Washington had worked together to fight against the ex-rebel Charles Taylor. Starting in September 2000, incursions by Liberian and Sierra Leonean rebels provided a new opportunity for the Guinean military to rearm its troops, diversify its weaponry, increase its numbers and modernise its equipment. The country called on France and the United States, which came to its assistance. Guinea nevertheless continued to maintain close relations with its former allies Russia and Ukraine. The defence budget increased significantly, but its management was shrouded in secrecy. By the end of the first quarter of 2001, Lansana Conté had overcome these armed attacks and emerged strengthened from this ordeal. He made clever use of the feeling of national unity. Nevertheless, neither the opposition political parties nor the national assembly demanded any accounts from the government. And yet, independent sources of information as a counter balance to the propaganda by the regime and a parliamentary enquiry might have shed light on the circumstances surrounding the numerous losses of human lives among the young volunteers sent to the front. One example is the case of a local militia Guinea 103 made up of more than 2000 young people, for the most part unemployed, who were allegedly hastily enrolled in the Forecariah region and armed with rifles; many of them never returned.12 Also, some oversight of military spending might have made it possible to learn more about this period.13 Generally speaking, figures related to military spending and the percentage of GNP or GDP allocated to defence are a carefully guarded secret. Probably the only person who knows the truth is President Conté. He has had control over the sector ever since taking over power in 1984 and it has not been possible to have any form of transparency throughout his terms of office. Since the events of 2000-2001, defence and security cooperation with external partners has been intensified both bilaterally (American International Military Education and Training Programme, French Reinforcement of African Peacekeeping Capacities Programme, etc.) and multilaterally (European Union), in particular for military training and exercises, capacity building for the government of Guinea and good governance in these sectors. A divided army Although the army is the main pillar of the Lansana Conté regime, it is undermined by its internal contradictions and divisions. It is often the theatre of personal rivalries, generational conflict and ethnic tensions. According to Mamadou Aliou Barry, there appear to be three groups of officers that neutralise each other. The first group is made up of the older generals, colonels and lieutenant-colonels who experienced the colonial period and the Sekou Toure regime. They are from different ethnic groups and due to their rivalry are incapable of deciding on any common action. The second group is made up of subordinate officers who were promoted at the time when the new regime took over power. They belong to the same ethnic group as President Conté who knows that he can count on them. They are seen as the undeserving beneficiaries of the regime's generosity. Although their professionalism is often questioned, they nevertheless occupy positions as prefect, sub prefect, or governor. The third group is made up of young officers who have often been trained in the major military academies of France, the United States or Morocco. They are from other ethnic groups in the country, are viewed with suspicion by the regime and are not allowed to advance in rank. Some have considered overthrowing the existing regime, but they are closely watched, in particular by the second group. This category was most affected by the waves of arrests in November 2003.14 104 Dominique Bangoura The military is thus paralysed by its mode of functioning. As is the case for many African militaries,15 training and career development for Guinean soldiers is not linked to their competence, since recruitment and advancement are based on ethnic affiliation or allegiance to the existing regime. Often assigned to protecting the existing regime whose discourse of national unity is only an illusion, the military finds itself in a situation of hidden crisis. The spirit of service to the republic that should exist in any army is absent and patriotism, where it does exist, is more akin to a sense of ethnic belonging.16 Finally, there are huge disparities within the military; whereas high ranking officers who are closest to the circles of power enjoy great opulence, the rank and file live in poverty. With the engagement of Guinean contingents in the conflicts in Liberia (600 men), Sierra Leone (800) and Guinea Bissau (200), soldiers were able to compare their living and working conditions with those of other soldiers. The military suffered heavy losses. This situation led to lasting frustration and discontent. This unease, compounded by the impoverishment of the institution, was demonstrated during the mutinies of 2 and 3 February 1996. Under the pressure of the bombings, the president gave in to the demands of the mutineers. However, he did not keep his promises and the issue of unpaid arrears in military wages that was mentioned in the ‘Bulletin rouge’ still arises. Even worse, General Lansana Conté carried out purges in the camps. Since then, the corporatist demands of the soldiers are regularly brought up. These movements sometimes take the form of mutinies (in particular in May 2007 and 2008), attempted coups (late 2003), rumoured coups (2006), or the supposed imminent change of power or death of the president (2006). Each time, demands are initially material, but soon move to the political domain. And yet, in spite of all the problems, the military remains the most privileged national entity. It enjoys the benevolent attention of the president of the republic. While most of the country’s principal infrastructure is in total decline, the military is benefiting from sustained efforts with the support of French and American military cooperation. New recruits have been taken on in recent years, whereas there have been no such recruitments in the civil service. The military can purchase rice at unbeatable prices. Compared to civilians, it enjoys numerous advantages. If Lansana Conté has been able to escape unscathed after each military threat and save his regime, it is because he is a master in the art of ‘divide and rule’. What other explanation could there be for his longevity? Indeed, he applied the same method to the political clans at the head of state (in Guinea 105 particular in the presidency and in government), which are tearing each other to pieces in an atmosphere reminiscent of the end of an era. Indiscipline in the military and competition between the armed and security forces In this atmosphere of confusion, it is not surprising to note that in addition to a flagrant lack of cooperation, there is strong competition among the different armed and security forces in the country. Could there be collaboration and coordination among these forces under such circumstances? As illustrated by a number of events, this hardly seems likely: On 21 and 23 May 2008, discontented soldiers carried out acts of violence and brutality similar to the earlier mutiny in May 2007, killing many civilians outside their barracks. Demands included payment of arrears in allowances and wages (the famous ‘Bulletin rouge’); amnesty for the mutineers; freedom for their colleagues who had been detained since the January 2007 events; promotions and a reduction in the price of rice. Shortly before that, under the government of L. Kouyate, they had had to accept to pay 60% of the market price for a bag of rice (as opposed to 10% in the past). The first part of the arrears in allowances (1 million Guinean francs) was paid at the beginning of 2008 and the second part (the same amount) was paid after an agreement was signed with the ministry of defence, which was to pay them a total of 7 million Guinean francs. However, the delay in payment of the balance of 5 million for the allowances promised led to dissatisfaction in several camps and ended with the deputy army chief of staff, General Moussa Sampil being ‘taken hostage’ when he came to negotiate with the mutineers. During this protest movement, which was led mainly from the Camp Alpha Yaya Diallo, the spokesperson of the mutineers, Claude Pivi, alias ‘Coplan’ distinguished himself with a display of indiscipline, disobedience to the military hierarchy and disdain for the minister of defence.17 Once again, as in May 2007, in an attempt to end the crisis, president Conté decided to sacrifice the second minister of defence in just one year, General Baïlo Diallo,18 and removed him from office on 27 May 2008. And as usual, he promised to pay the amounts demanded by the soldiers and free those who had been held for a year on the island of Kassa, close to Conakry. The measures taken by the head of state inspired the security forces. On 16 June 2008, it was the turn of the police to follow the ‘example’ of the military. Discontented policemen, who were demanding the payment of their 106 Dominique Bangoura allowances and their promotions,19 fired gunshots into the air and seized and held several officers including the national director of police, Sekou Mohamed Bangoura. Next, it was the turn of the customs service. The military clamped down on the police protests, leading to bloodshed. On 17 June, with the police protests continuing, the gendarmerie was requisitioned to regulate traffic in the capital city. That morning, military trucks from the Alpha Yaya Diallo camp in the suburbs of Conakry were seen moving towards the city. A violent confrontation took place when they arrived at the headquarters of CMIS, which had become the epicentre of the police protest movement.20 This confrontation between the military and the police led to about ten deaths and a number of seriously injured in both camps. The soldiers wrecked the area and ransacked the premises. On 27 June the police buried their dead. They were torn between mourning and humiliation, while the army chief of staff only described the acts as ‘unfortunate incidents’. Soon after he took up his position, the new minister of security and civil protection, Mohamed Damba, appointed by A. Tidiane Souare, took one of his first decisions and granted the promotions demanded. The other points were to be negotiated. These movements of protest and demand among the ranks of the armed and security forces are further proof of the poor living and working conditions of men in uniform; of the fact that rules on recruitment and advancement are not applied and of indiscipline in the barracks. The general public does not understand why these forces attacked the civilians that they are supposed to protect and are shocked by such acts. They are convinced that all Guineans share the same poor conditions. The citizens also counted their dead and condemned the rapes and plundering. They could not understand why all these forces did not join the trade unions and civil society during the three major strike movements in 2006 and 2007, which had been massively followed by the public, private and informal sectors. On the contrary, at the time the military, the presidential guard and the police engaged in a violent repression of demonstrators, in particular the youth. The chasm between civilians and those in uniform therefore widened further between 2006-2008. Guinea 107 Security sector management and oversight The constitutional framework In Guinea, the 1990 constitution has never been revised to bring about reform. On the contrary, several articles were amended by the November 2001 referendum, marking a regression in democratic terms since there are no longer any limitations on the number of presidential terms of office, their duration and the age of candidates. Due to the authoritarianism of the Conté regime, this constitution which stipulated a presidential regime has degenerated in practice into a regime where the president holds absolute power. Under article 41 of the constitution, the president of the republic is the guarantor of national independence and territorial integrity. He is responsible for national defence. He presides over the higher council for national defence. He is the head of the armed forces. He makes appointments to all military positions. Anything related to defence is his responsibility. This is why for many years (following the events of February 1996) he jointly held the positions of head of state and minister of national defence. In April 2007 when Lansana Kouyate formed his government and probably also due to his age and ill health, President Conté ‘gave way’ to General Arafan Camara. He personally chaired the handing over ceremony21 at the Almamy Samory Touré camp.22 However, he removed General Arafan Camara from office in May 2007 during the mutiny and replaced him with General Baïlo Diallo. Since the dismissal of Prime Minister Lansana Kouyate and the arrival in the prime minister’s office of Ahmed Tidiane Souare, who is close to the Conté regime, there has nevertheless been a major innovation; for the first time, a civilian has been appointed minister of defence. His name is Almamy Kabele Camara, an economist by training. Some military personnel who are used to having one of their own in this position will probably find it difficult to adapt to this change. The principle of subordination of the military to civilian authority will be difficult to enforce. Nevertheless, in his inaugural speech, the new minister tried to reassure them, indicating that he was ready to listen. He announced a training and modernisation programme; recalled the major principles to be respected, namely strict recruitment practices and discipline in the ranks and spoke about the need for reconciliation between civilians and the military.23 These initial remarks could make it appear that reform of the armed forces is imminent; it must not be forgotten, however, that the government is still under the leadership of Lansana Conté. And as the latter has often recalled: ‘I am the boss, the others are subordinates’.24 108 Dominique Bangoura Indeed, no prime minister has ever been able to carry out the envisaged reforms to term and all of them have been dismissed,25 with the notable exception of François Lonseny Fall who resigned in April 200426 when the head of state rejected his programme of economic and judicial reform. Separation of powers In Guinea, the democratic principle of separation of powers is enshrined in the 1990 constitution. It is part of the presidential regime, which in theory comprises four essential characteristics: 1) indivisibility of the executive power, which is exercised and embodied by the head of state and president of the republic, who is also the head of government under whose authority ministers do not have any intrinsic autonomy; 2) election of the president of the republic through direct universal suffrage, which grants him his legitimacy; 3) mutual independence of the president and parliament; and 4) independence of the judiciary. In principle, each branch of power carries out its functions fully and does not intervene in the functions of the others. In practice, however, these principles are not observed. First of all, the head of state exercises the executive power absolutely; he appoints prime ministers, (a function not stipulated in the constitution) who are thus easy to dismiss. Even Lansana Kouyate, the only one to have been appointed prime minister and head of government27 under pressure from trade unions and civil society after the 27 January 2007 agreements, was dismissed in 2008. Secondly, since Lansana Conté took over power, none of the elections held, whether presidential (1993, 1998, 2003), legislative (1995, 2002) or local (2000, 2005), have been free, credible and transparent. The same may be said of the November 2001 constitutional referendum. All the results of these elections have been disputed by opposition parties and by observers. All the appeals brought before the courts have been rejected by the Supreme Court whose president, Lamine Sidime (one of the authors of the 1990 constitution) is loyal to Lansana Conté. Thirdly, the national assembly is dominated by the ruling PUP party and those affiliated with the president. Fourthly, the president of the republic is the first to interfere in judicial affairs. Proof of this was shown in December 2006 when Lansana Conté went in person to free his friend Mamadou Sylla, the president of the employers’ association, from prison where he was being held for corruption and embezzlement of public funds. This forceful and intolerable act was the straw that broke the camel’s back and trade unions and civil society protested strongly, starting off the demonstrations that resulted in the events of January-February 2007. Guinea 109 Parliamentary and judicial oversight Under such conditions, the principle of civilian democratic oversight or oversight by the legislative or indeed the judicial power can hardly be effective. In order to understand the position of the national assembly in the Conté regime better, a few reminders are necessary. The parliamentary elections that took place in 2002 brought about strong divisions in the opposition and most opposition parties boycotted the elections, with the exception of the Union pour le Progrès et le Renouveau (UPR), the Union pour le Progrès de la Guinée (UPG) and the Parti du Peuple de Guinée (PPG). Officially, the UPR, led by Siradiou Diallo, obtained 20 seats (out of 114) and is represented in the National Assembly; the UPG, led by JeanMarie Dore, obtained 3 seats but refused to sit in protest while the PPG, led by Pascal Tolno, failed to win any seats. The Rassemblement du Peuple Guinéen (RPG), led by Alpha Conde, opted for the boycott, as did the Union des Forces Démocratiques de Guinée (UFDG), led by Mamadou Ba (recently replaced by Cellou Dalein Diallo) and the Union des Forces Républicaines (UFR), led by Sydia Toure. As a result they have no representatives in the assembly. Consequently, since 2002, only the UPG, led by Ousmane Bah has had seats in the assembly alongside personalities of the regime. Furthermore, the speaker of the national assembly is yet another Lansana Conté stalwart. He is very unpopular in Guinea for having served both the Sekou Toure regime and the current one. The term of office of members of the national assembly ended in July 2007 and has been extended. The parliamentary elections have already been postponed several times. The former prime minister, Lansana Kouyate, seemed in no hurry to organise these elections because having himself arrived at his position without the backing of a political party, he feared being dismissed by the president after such a vote and the election of a parliamentary majority. One of the major achievements of this period was the adoption by members of the national assembly of the law setting up the independent national electoral commission (CENI) in May 2007. At the same time they adopted three other laws governing the status of political parties, the modalities for subsidies to be granted to such parties and amendments to the electoral code. The text on the CENI nevertheless contains a number of uncertainties and has led to strong concerns about the independence of this commission vis-à-vis the government, in the electoral process.28 On several occasions, the president of the commission, Ben Sekou Sylla, who is also the head of the national council of civil society organisations (CNOSCG), has 110 Dominique Bangoura drawn attention to the functional and operational difficulties that plague this fledgling institution. It is also important to note the behaviour of the speaker of the national assembly and the president of the Supreme Court during the time when the president of the republic was ill. The head of state was suffering from several serious diseases. He had been treated in Morocco and Cuba and was transported urgently to Switzerland on two occasions in 2006. Terrible rumours about his state of health circulated at different times. In addition to the erosion of power after 24 years in office, Lansana Conté has become very unpopular and Guineans came out onto the streets in 2006 and 2007 to demand change in both the political and social spheres. In spite of this, he was not ready to resign nor to retire (for him, a general does not retire; he carries on to the end) and his term of office was supposed to run until December 2010. In the face of this situation, which had worsened as a result of the infighting at the summit of state, a series of contradictory decrees and the deterioration of the living conditions of the population, the national assembly and the Supreme Court remained totally passive. They did nothing to implement article 34 of the constitution relating to a power vacuum, which stipulates that following a death or resignation or any definitive cause, this is noted by the Supreme Court on information by the speaker of the national assembly. The heads of these two institutions were incapable of declaring that there was a vacuum of power in spite of the pressure from the street, the letter from trade unions29 and the appeals from several opposition political parties, etc.30 In the light of the foregoing, it is clear that in Guinea there is no culture of free democratic debate within the national assembly, especially with regard to defence and security issues. And yet, under the terms of the constitution (article 59) and its own rules of procedure, the assembly passes laws on defence, law enforcement, the status of the military, etc. It also adopts the finance law (article 61) and the state budget (including the ‘Bulletin rouge’). Through its committee on defence, it may initiate parliamentary enquiries or fact-finding missions. However, this control remains limited and superficial. On 27 September 2006 at the start of the legislative session, the speaker of the national assembly made a lengthy speech looking at both past events and future prospects and indeed was quite critical about the situation of the country. However, not once were the expressions ‘armed forces’, ‘security forces’, or ‘defence’ ever pronounced and no mention was made of reform in this sector although the speech was supposed to review all the required reforms.31 Guinea 111 Now that the minister of defence is a civilian, maybe in future the question and answer sessions between members of the national assembly and competent ministers will be more open. Better results in the area of parliamentary oversight may only however be possible after the next parliamentary elections and the election of new members of the national assembly with the arrival of several opposition parties, which are preparing for this task. There is another substantial issue that arises with relation to parliamentary and judicial oversight in Guinea. This is the issue of the investigations into the massacres of 2006 and 2007, which took place during the repression by the armed and security forces against demonstrators. International and regional organisations, as well as development partners have all unanimously condemned these acts of violence and the summary executions. Guinean and international human rights organisations have also called for independent investigations. According to eyewitness accounts of the events of June 2006, there were more than 90 deaths and hundreds of seriously injured in particular among the youth. An investigation report drafted by a group of Guinean human rights NGOs and associations on the acts of violence perpetrated between January and February 2007 speaks about 186 deaths, 1188 injured, 940 arrests followed by detention and torture, rape, plundering and burning.32 Those who fired their guns were essentially from the presidential guard, the gendarmerie and the mobile intervention and security company, which is a part of the police force. Apart from the chief of staff General Kerfalla Camara, who has passed away, those in charge of these forces are still in their positions or have been transferred and are enjoying total impunity. According to the International Crisis Group, the refusal to recognise the seriousness of the crimes committed by the armed and security forces is an indication of the enormous efforts that the national enquiry commission will have to undertake to shed light on these events and set up the necessary processes to bring those responsible to book.33 On 18 May 2007, the national assembly adopted a draft bill presented by the Minister of Justice34 establishing an independent national enquiry commission charged with investigating the massacres.35 The question is whether this commission, which according to article 1 is required to investigate the crimes, offences and serious human rights violations committed during the strikes of June 2006 and January-February 2007, will be able to do its work independently within the current context where the judicial system has been undermined by corruption and its close ties to government.36 The commission is made up of 19 members, mostly judges 112 Dominique Bangoura and lawyers, who were appointed on 21 September 2007 by decree of Prime Minister Lansana Kouyate37 and swore an oath of office on 31 December before the court of appeal of Conakry. However, three months later, the commission still had neither premises nor means of functioning. In addition, some Guinean associations have appealed to the International Criminal Court. The question is to determine whether this court has competence.38 Finally, further light has to be shed on the role of the national assembly. On 12 February 2007, at the height of the crisis, President Conté declared a state of siege for twelve days,39 under the terms of article 74 of the constitution and after consultations with the speaker of the national assembly and the president of the Supreme Court. The powers of maintaining law and order that are normally attributed to the civilian authority were thus conferred on the military authority. Fundamental freedoms were suspended, a curfew was imposed throughout the national territory and armoured cars took up positions in the streets of Conakry. On 23 February, the state of siege was either to be cancelled or extended by the national assembly. President Conté therefore turned to the national assembly. Quite unexpectedly, the latter decided not to extend the state of siege. This was a great relief for the citizens of Guinea. Observers have wondered what could have led to this decision. It is most likely that assembly members from the PUP and affiliates of the presidential movement feared the repercussions from an angry population in neighbourhoods and within the country. Challenges of security sector reform There has been some little progress in the area of defence and security, but this still remains well below the expectations of the population. There is no need to recall that the general population are victims of violence and crime, not to mention deplorable living conditions (soaring inflation, unemployment, social insecurity and lack of running water and electricity). The challenges facing them are accordingly enormous. First among these is to set up a culture of democracy and observance of all manner of established rules, starting with the constitution. Such a culture inevitably requires education, training and excellence. These are almost vain words in Guinea where on the one hand, the adult literacy rate does not exceed 40% and only one out of two children is enrolled in school and on the other hand, students each year demand better living and study conditions.40 One of the after effects of Sekou Toure's dictatorship and the obscurantism under Lansana Conté has been that the elite has been decimated and that anybody Guinea 113 can now set themselves up as specialists without any real competence; anything can be ‘fiddled with’ due to the lack of professionalism and a wide spread practice of ‘wangling it’. A demonstration of this was given during the negotiations for the 27 January 2007 agreement. In January, it appeared clear that the current proposals could not produce the expected results because they were still oriented towards a continuation of the Lansana Conté regime and the post of prime minister was still not enshrined in the constitution.41 And yet most of the discussion focused on setting up a broad consensus government under the leadership of a prime minister as head of government.42 Among other things a constitutional amendment would have been necessary to guarantee this new institution. Although the balance of power remained in favour of the presidential camp, for the first time ever, civil society, in particular the CNOSCG and trade union federations had an enormous capacity to mobilise and undertake action. Indeed, the latter had moved from the field of labour demands into the field of politics, with the demand for change. It must be added that during this period, Guinea was deprived of the committed support of the international community which had adopted a wait and see attitude and was monitoring the situation from a distance, whereas a few months later, in January 2008, the international community had not hesitated to give a mandate on behalf of the African Union to the former secretary general of the United Nations, Kofi Annan, to go to the rescue of Kenya, which was wracked by post-electoral violence. One of the principal acts undertaken by this experienced mediator in Nairobi was to have the post of prime minister included in the constitution. Reform of the armed and security forces cannot take place without a reform of government and another conception of power. It is clear that no change is possible without democratic rule of law and a legitimate and accountable government. The most plausible future scenarios are those of a military government or a joint government.43 Among the former, there are three possible types of coups d'état: conservative, redemptive and by filiation. Among the second type one could envisage a civil-military transition after a civil-military putsch, with the possibility of an alliance between the speaker of the national assembly as interim head and the military. Any of these cases of a forceful takeover of power would represent a threat to the reestablishment of democratic process after Conté. Any de facto power is by definition antidemocratic and the political history of Africa since independence has shown that when the military takeover power it is never easy to ask them to step down and hand over power to civilians. Other scenarios (insurrection, 114 Dominique Bangoura rebellion) are not reassuring either, but they must not be neglected. Furthermore, the authorities have always prevented the possibility of a sovereign national conference similar to what was held in Benin, which would lead to a political transition and new institutions. Finally, the scenario of a negotiated constitutional transition seems to be the ideal, because it includes observance of constitutional provisions (civilian) in case of a vacuum of power, while at the same time limiting the powers of the interim president for the benefit of a transition prime minister who would organise free, credible and transparent presidential elections because he himself would not be a candidate. Such a transition scheme could provide sufficient guarantees for obtaining a democratic electoral process. It should include a review of the constitution in order to restore the articles amended in November 2001; enshrine the post of prime minister in the constitution; limit the powers of the interim president; extend the duration of the interim period; and amend article 26 on the monopoly of political parties in order to make it possible to renew and rejuvenate the political class through the presence of independent candidates. This revision could take place after a tripartite national dialogue involving all groups, which would identify a national consensus on the transition after open debate and negotiation.44 One of the means of preparing political and institutional reforms, including reforms of the defence and security sectors, is to organise a platform bringing together all the living forces of the country: civil society, government institutions and political parties. An open national dialogue established within a permanent framework appears to be a constructive and lasting means for preparing the future of the country. Such a tripartite dialogue does not yet exist in Guinea. To date there have only been episodes of bipartite dialogue between government and political parties prior to elections; or between political parties and civil society during the national consultation (March 2006); or between trade unions and government institutions (strikes in 2006-2007), but all three groups have never been brought together at the same time. And yet, the democratic process cannot begin without interaction among all these stakeholders. This is why after the withdrawal of opposition political parties in 2006-2007, their re-emergence on the political scene in 2008 is noteworthy. The new prime minister, Souaré, invited the opposition to join his government, an unprecedented occurrence under Lansana Conté. While the RPG opposed this idea in principle and the UFR declined because the conditions were not favourable, the UPR, the UFDG and the UPG accepted the offer. Mr. Bah Oury (UFDG) was assigned the very important Guinea 115 sector of ‘national reconciliation’. This is a first in Guinea, where there has never been any official mention of these two words; the truth about the crimes and massacres committed by the authorities from 1958 to date has never been revealed. Although there have been some improvements, we must not forget that, once again, the Lansana Conté regime remains in place. Any real change or reform is therefore unlikely and subject to caution. The idea of a national dialogue is growing. It made progress starting from the national consultation in March 2006 and the setting up of a joint monitoring committee. The 27 January 2007 agreement also led to the establishment of a monitoring and evaluation committee. In addition, there has been a start to civil-military dialogue since 2005 with a number of analysis and discussion meetings being organised and held with the support of development partners.45 Furthermore, in 2006 and at the beginning of 2007, meetings were held between the army general chief of staff and the minister of security, with their respective departments. A meeting was also organised between the armed and security forces and the media from 11 to 13 June 2007.46 Finally, between April and July 2008 a series of public consultations took place in the four natural regions of Guinea as well as within the communes of Conakry. The idea is to promote national dialogue starting from the grassroots and to discuss all issues of concern to citizens. Conclusion The defence and security sectors in Guinea have been plagued with enormous difficulties since 1958. These are linked to the illegitimate use of power and the serious dysfunctions of the government. Credible reforms and the change for which some Guineans have sacrificed their lives cannot come about without a change of the political regime. The dismissal of the former prime minister, L. Kouyate, in May 2008 only strengthened the power of President Conté, but there were no protests against this forceful act from civil society47 or trade unions48 and much less from opposition political parties.49 More than ever before, Guinea needs an open national dialogue to manage the post-Conté period. All internal and external efforts must urgently converge towards organising and holding such a forum, which is the only way to avoid another bloodbath. It is also important to prepare the electoral process in the best possible conditions: both the parliamentary elections that should have taken place at the end of the term of office of members of the 116 Dominique Bangoura national assembly in July 2007 and the presidential elections, which raise several crucial issues. Reform of the military and security sector is therefore not really on the agenda for Guinea. It is in a stalemate. The same applies to the system of justice, for similar political reasons. In the meantime, some hard work has to be done to enable all civilian, political, military and security forces in the country to come together, speak to each other, listen to each other and have an open debate. This is possible and has already got off to a timid start. The effort must be sustained. Failing that, the existing bad situation will become even worse. Epilogue (1): December 2008 – August 2009 During the night of 22 December 2008, the announcement of the death of President Lansana Conté on national television sounded the knell on an authoritarian regime that had been in power for twenty four years. In the very early hours of the next day, a military junta led by Captain Moussa Dadis Camara seized power by force, putting an end to any attempts at a constitutional transition.50 The very first communiqué51 that was read out on radio and repeated throughout the day against a backdrop of military music announced that the National Council for Development and Democracy (CNDD) had effectively taken over power; suspending the constitution, the government and other state institutions, as well as political and trade union activity. On 24 December, Captain Camara took over the leadership of the CNDD and proclaimed himself president of the republic. A page of the political history of Guinea had just been turned and a new transition has started. The questions that arise are the following: what is the nature of this putsch? Is it conservative or redemptive? As the new commander-in-chief of the armed forces, will Moussa Dadis Camara be able to undertake security sector reform? Would this be the right time in the new political context? What is the future of SSR in Guinea? Three elements could help to answer these questions: 1. In principle, Moussa Dadis Camara is in favour of reform As has been proven by the recent events in Guinea, Captain Camara was nothing like Amadou Toumani Toure, his actions being similar to those of former regimes. In several interviews, he referred to his links to the late Guinea 117 president, the respect that he had for General Lansana Conté and the fact that this was the reason why he did not attempt to take his place earlier. His coup d'état was therefore a conservative one. Nevertheless, Captain Camara is aware of the serious divisions that exist within the military and the defects that are increasingly difficult to deal with and to tackle. He has inside knowledge of its limitations and is aware of the negative image the population has had of men in uniform since the bloody repression of 2006-2007.With his friend Claude Pivi, he participated in the damaging events and repeated mutinies that have rocked Guinea in recent years. He knew that his power was not yet stable. For all these reasons, he believed that reforms were necessary and did not hesitate to state this publicly.52 2. Political limitations Dadis Camara entrusted to a loyal follower, General Sekouba Konaté, the minister of defence, the task of touring all military barracks starting from January 2009 to demand discipline and obedience to the hierarchy,53 as well as respect for all citizens in the neighbourhoods and an end to acts of violence. This did not prevent repetitions54 of such acts and new blunders, in particular with members of the presidential guard assaulting General Toto Camara, the minister of security and an influential member of the CNDD when he entered Camp Alpha Yaya on the night of 21 July. Elsewhere, the captain made a public apology to the police for the deaths of June 2008. Security sector reform needs to be tackled using a comprehensive and integrated approach. But when should it start? It requires considerable resources for reorganising, demobilising a part of the troops, education, training, equipment and practical training for the armed security forces. It has to go hand-in-hand with reform of the system of justice and special services. However, looking at the way in which Dadis Camara has been exercising power ever since he took over, in particular maintaining the exceptional regime, concentrating all powers (executive, legislative and judiciary) in his own hands, the lack of effective transition institutions (prime minister, government, parliament), as well as his daily turnabouts, it was doubtful that this reform would be introduced in 2009. Let us not forget the concerns about the fate of officers who were detained and transferred to Kassa Island, far from sight and with no contact to their families.55 Finally, the national commission of enquiry on the 20062007 massacres is still ineffective. 118 Dominique Bangoura 3. Support to the junta Dadis Camara restated his desire to carry out military reform during a visit to Conakry by the International Contact Group on Guinea on 16 and 17 July 2009. At the end of the meeting, the African Union commissioner for peace and security, Ramtane Lamamra stated: ‘We warmly welcome the request of the Guinean government with regard to the need to reform the military. We shall undertake to satisfy this request in the very near future, with the United Nations.’ What is most important for the transition period is that it should lead to free, credible and transparent presidential elections which will make it possible to elect a new civilian leader who will bring about change in Guinea for the first time since independence in 1958. Support to the junta for this purpose will strengthen the transition. In order for the CNDD and the armed forces to accept to hand over power, a number of measures have to be taken to improve the living and working conditions of soldiers and officers, while also guaranteeing a better future for high-ranking officers and generals in power or close to the power structure. Ideally, SSR as a whole whould have been implemented by a civilian president of the republic elected during free, transparent and uncontested elections. However, tragic events marked the ascendance to power of the CNDD and led to a very different transition than the one that even the most experienced observers of Guinean politics or Guineans themselves could have anticipated; neither was it the transition Dadis Camara had planned. Epilogue (2): September 2009 – May 2010 In September 2009, it became evident that the leader of the junta was determined to run for president at the upcoming elections organised by the transition regime, despite having promised to step back from power once the transition was completed. To protest against Dadis Camara’s plans, which were viewed with great concern by both national and international actors, a rally was organised by his opponents on 28 September. Dadis Camara perceived this manifestation as a challenge to the junta’s power and a personal attack. The intervention by the armed and security forces against the participants of the rally led to a blood bath. At least 157 people were killed, hundreds wounded and dozens of women raped. This tragedy provided irrefutable proof of the severe dysfunctions in the armed and security forces of Guinea and the urgent need to reform them. Guinea 119 While Captain Dadis Camara and his regime were doing everything they could to justify themselves, limit the damage done and avoid responsibility for what had happened, an assassination attempt was committed against the leader of the junta by the head of the presidential guard. Camara required hospitalisation and had to radically rethink the junta’s strategy, especially with regard to its most influential members. On 15 January 2010, the Declaration of Ouagadougou was signed between Captain Dadis Camara, who had been significantly weakened by the assassination attempt that almost cost him his life, the General Sékouba Konaté, his deputy within the Junta, as well as the Burkinabe President Blaise Compaoré, who had been selected by ECOWAS as a mediator in the Guinean crisis. Under its third point, the Ouagadougou Declaration made provisions to reorganise and reform of the armed and security forces, in addition to fixing a transition period of six months. This declaration opened a window of opportunity for Guinea to finally engage in the crucial reform of its defence and security institutions. Immediately after the signing of the document and at the invitation of the then Government of Guinea, a joint mission of ECOWAS, the African Union and the United Nations, directed by the retired Senegalese General Lamine Cissé, set off on an evaluation mission to evaluate the possibilities for reform of the security sector in Guinea. An inclusive process of evaluation of the security sector followed, in which many Guinean stakeholders took part, including civil society from all parts of the country. At their insistence, the mission was later extended to include representatives from the European Union, the Organisation Internationale de la Francophonie and the United States. The mission report was handed over to the interim Head of State and Minister of Defence, General Sékouba Konaté, on 4 May 2010. The joint mission has undoubtedly contributed to significantly improving civilian-military relations and increasing acceptance of security sector reform and governance in Guinea. What remains to be seen is whether the recommendations it made with regard to all aspects of the security sector will be put into practice. The political stalemate in which the political transition is currently finding itself has certainly delayed the implementation of the necessary first steps. However, the mistakes made with regard to the political transition should underline the necessity to push forward the SSR process. This would relieve some of the pressure the armed forces are under in the current situation and help prevent it from further degenerating as has been the case in Niger. Dominique Bangoura 120 Notes 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Sekou Toure, speech on the occasion of General de Gaulle’s visit, Conakry, 25 August 1958. Siradiou Diallo, ‘Les relations entre l’armée, l’Etat et le parti, et le problème des forces civiles (milice, parti)’ in Les armées africaines, ed. Dominique Bangoura, 111-117 (Paris: Economica, 1986). On these three periods, see Dominique Bangoura, Guinée: L’alternance politique à l’issue des élections présidentielles de décembre 2003 (Paris: L’Harmattan, 2004), 29-33. Under the terms of Article 52 of the Constitution, the candidate Alpha Conde enjoyed immunity as Member of the National Assembly. Dominique Bangoura, ‘La Guinée face aux rébellions au sud de son territoire’ Afrique contemporaine, no. 200 (October-December 2001): 17-33. ‘Aperçu historique sur les forces armées guinéennes’ Horoya, 20 December, 1993 and 31 December, 1993). Keite Fedoba, speech of Keite Fodeba as new Minister of Defence, cited in Horaya, 1 November 1961. Pascal Boniface, ed., L’Année stratégique 2005 (Paris: IRIS & A. Colin, 2005), 434. Major Mounie Donzo is the commander of the presidential security battalion. Recruits to this special unit are usually from President Conté’s ethnic group, the Soussous. Ministry of Defence, Republic of Guinea (April 2003). Frères d’armes, no. 247. Direction de la Coopération militaire et de défense - Dossier Guinée. Available at: www.diplomatie.gouv.fr ‘Guinée’, Le Monde, 6 October 2000; ‘Guinée: une semaine meurtrière le long des frontières du Sud’, Marchés tropicaux et méditerranéens, 6 October 2000. ‘La Guinée est déstabilisée par les conflits voisins’ La Croix, 15 February 2001. Another source indicates that military spending increased from 50 to 70 billion Guinean francs between September and December 2001 and that the 2001 budget stipulated an amount of 100 billion Guinean francs (about 400 million FF), according to Les Echos de Conakry, no. 28/01 (Conakry: Ambassy of France), 2. Mamadou Aliou Barry, ‘L’armée face aux défis démocratiques et au changement’ in Enjeux et défis démocratiques en Guinée (février 2007–décembre 2010), eds. Dominique Bangoura, Mohamed Tétémadi Bangoura, Moustapha Diop, 31-94 (Paris: L’Harmattan, 2007). Dominique Bangoura, Les armées africaines (1960-1990) (Paris: La Documentation française, 1992). Mamadou Aliou Barry, ‘Quelle va être la position de l’armée?’ in Guinée: L’alternance politique à l’issue des élections présidentielles de décembre 2003, ed. Dominique Bangoura, 53-55 (Paris: L’Harmattan, 2004). Interview with CWO Claude Pivi, spokesperson of the mutineers: ‘Quiconque m’attaque aura perdu…’, Guineenews, 6 May 2008. Available at: www.guineenews.org See also Aboubacar Sakho, ‘Bruits de bottes dans nos garnisons: Ce n’est pas fini!’ Dixit Claude Pivi, L’Observateur, 7 June 2008. General Baïlo Diallo was appointed Minister of Defence to replace General Arafan Camara, former Deputy Army Chief of Staff, following the May 2007 mutiny. The platform of demands drafted by the police mediation commission included twelve points: liberation of police officers, promotions, supply of rice, cancellation of deductions on salaries, recruitment of 6705 additional police agents, appointment of a serving police Guinea 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 121 officer as director general, continued training and equipment, recall of the class of 2003, training to be initiated for applicants who had passed the exam, cancellation of arbitrary transfers of those who had participated in the strike, and no sanctions against striking police agents. Interview with second lieutenant Alphonse Saa, ‘If the police attempt to detect the secrets of the military, we will demonstrate our striking force’, Guineenews, 23 June 2008. Available at: www.guineenews.org. Second lieutenant Alphonse Saa belonged to the Conakry special battalion on duty at camp Alpha Yaya Diallo and was charged by his peers to carry out the operations and instructions of the military demand movement. Lansana Conté, speech at camp Almamy Samory Toure, 5 April 2007: ‘I have held too many positions for too long: President of the Republic, Chief of Staff, Minister of Defence. I am now reducing them. I am reducing them to try other people. From this day, you now have a different Minister of Defence… I am appointing General Arafan in my place. The longest serving officer remains as Army Chief of Staff that is General Kerfalla…’ Speech reproduced by Ibrahima Sylla, 7 April 2007. Available at www.guineeconakry.info Camp Samory Toure is the headquarters of the Army General Chief of Staff and the private residence of President Conté. Almamy Kabele Camara, the new Minister of Defence, speech at Camp Samory Toure, 24 June 2008: ‘I shall endeavour to develop respect for the concept of discipline…’, Guineenews, 25 juin 2008. Available at www.guineenews.org. See also Maséco Conde, ‘Le nouveau ministre de la Défense Kabélé accueilli dans l’enthousiasme’, Le Diplomate, 26 June 2008. Interview with Lansana Conté, ‘I am the boss; the others are subordinates!’ As broadcasted by Radio France Internationale - Dossier Afrique Soir, Paris, 15 June 2007, at 20:40 (local time). Former Guinean Prime Ministers dismissed by Lansana Conté were Sydia Toure, Lamine Sidime, Cellou Dalein Diallo, Lansana Kouyate. François Fall, ‘Lettre de démission’ (dated 24 April 2004), Jeune Afrique L’Intelligent (May 2004) and in L’espace de la société civile, no. 6 (17 May 2004): 9. Dominique Bangoura, Mohamed Tétémadi Bangoura, Moustapha Diop, eds., Enjeux et défis démocratiques en Guinée (février 2007–décembre 2010) (Paris: L’Harmattan, 2007). Mohamed Tétémadi Bangoura, ‘Comment obtenir une véritable Commission électorale nationale indépendante?’ in Enjeux et défis démocratiques en Guinée (février 2007– décembre 2010), eds. Dominique Bangoura, Mohamed Tétémadi Bangoura, Moustapha Diop, 97-106 (Paris: L’Harmattan, 2007). Lettre à l’honorable président de l’Assemblée nationale dated 16 January 2007, handed by trade union federation to the Speaker of the Assembly, requesting him to ‘duly record the vacuum of power due to the ill health of the Head of State and his inability to govern.’ The opposition political parties in favour of the constitutional arrangement are: the UPR, the UPG and the UFD, led by Baadikko Bah. The parties belonging to the radical opposition wing, the RPG, the UFDG and the UFR, are not in favour of implementing the Constitution. Intervention by M. Somparé, Speaker of the National Assembly, during the budget session, Conakry, Wednesday 27 September 2006. Available at: www.nlsguinee.com Investigation report presented by Thierno M. Sow, President of the OGDH, on behalf of a group of eight NGOs, 11 December 2007. Available at: www.kababachir.com. See also 122 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 Dominique Bangoura Amnesty International, Guinea:‘Soldiers were shooting everywhere’. The security forces’ response to peaceful demands for change. Index AI: AFR 29/003/2007 (London: Amnesty International, 27 June 2007). International Crisis Group, ‘Guinée: le changement en sursis’, Briefing Afrique, no. 49 (8 November 2007): 10. Available at http://www.crisisgroup.org The draft bill by Paulette Kourouma goes further than the proposal by her predecessor, the outgoing minister René Alseny Gomez, who had set up an enquiry commission simply on the basis of an administrative note. He took this step, which was contested by the Bar association, to prevent the arrival of an international enquiry commission as demanded by civil society. A. Somparé, Speaker of the National Assembly, expressed serious reservations about the possibility of his institution initiating a parliamentary enquiry, because the matter was already before the courts. This statement contradicted his previous assertion from 15 June 2006. ‘Act establishing the organisation and the function of the National Commission for Independent Enquiry’, Guineenews, 25 May 2007. Available at: www. guineenews.org The court of appeal of Conakry was very lenient with Mamadou Sylla, Head of the Employers’ association, in May 2007. ‘Order no. 51/PM/SGG nominating the members of the National Commission for Independent Enquiry Commission’, Conakry, 21 September 2007. Available at: www.guineenews.org Amadou Thidiane Kaba, ‘Les dossiers brûlants de la Justice’, in Enjeux et défis démocratiques en Guinée (février 2007–décembre 2010), eds. Dominique Bangoura, Mohamed Tétémadi Bangoura, Moustapha Diop, 107-134 (Paris: L’Harmattan, 2007). ‘Presidential Decree D/2007/011/PRG/SGG of 12 February 2007 declaring the state of emergency in Guinea’. Available at www.waati.com Dominique Bangoura, ed., Quel avenir pour les jeunes de Guinée? (Paris: L’Harmattan, 2005). Mohamed Tétémadi Bangoura, Dominique Bangoura, Moustapha Diop, Quelle Transition politique pour la Guinée ? (Paris: L’Harmattan, 2006). Minutes of the negotiations following the general strike of CNTG-USTG extended to l’ONSLG-UDTG, Section I, Conakry, 27 January 2007. Dominique Bangoura, Mohamed Tétémadi Bangoura, Moustapha Diop, ‘Chapitre III: Les scénarios’ in Quelle Transition politique pour la Guinée? (Paris: L’Harmattan, 2006). Ibid, 107-176, 261-266. Richard Stirba, ‘Workshop Promotes Democratic Dialog between Military, Civil Society’, 7 July 2006. Available at: www.usaid.gov Interview with Dr Thierno Maadjou Sow, President of l’Organisation guinéenne des droits de l’homme, ‘La Guinée n’est pas un Etat de droit’, 28 June 2008. Available at: www.guineeactu.com. Through the CNOSCG, civil society ‘took note’ of the dismissal of the Prime Minister in a communiqué dated 21 May 2008. In a statement dated 22 May 2008, the trade union federation deplored the fact and ‘noted flagrant violations of the tripartite agreements signed on 27 January 2007’. Opposition parties did not react. They had not been invited to take part in the Kouyate government. The response to the first question: ‘Has constitutional succession been aborted or prevented?’ is dealt with in an article analysing the putsch by Dominique Bangoura, ‘Le Guinea 51 52 53 54 55 123 coup d’Etat du 23 décembre 2008 en Guinée’ in Enjeux diplomatiques et stratégiques 2009, 107-111 (Paris: Economica, 2009). Press release no. 001/CNDD from 23 December 2008 announcing the take-over of power by the National Council for Development and Democracy (CNDD). Moussa Dadis Camara declared: ‘We must carry out a radical reform of the military, but to do this, we need funds’ stated before about one hundred journalists, 12 May 2009. Available at www.kababachir.com Hamidou Sow, ‘Le CNDD, par la voix de son ministre de la Défense, veut assainir l’armée’, Guineenews, 29 January 2009. Available at www.guineenews.org Human Rights Watch, Le Gouvernement guinéen doit discipliner les soldats, 27 April 2009. Amnesty International, République de Guinée: des soldats placés dans un lieu de détention illegal. AFR 29/002/2009 (Toulouse, 4 August 2009).