DuPont System For Financial Analysis By Kevin Bernhardt, UW-Platteville and UWExtension March 10, 2010 http://cdp.wisc.edu/Management.htm First, This Thing Called Debt Anatomy of Returns Total Assets = Total Liabilities + Total Equity Total amount of stuff used in the business to make profits (supplies, inputs breeding stock, machinery, etc.) How much of that stuff is financed by the “bank”, that is, debt capital. How much of that stuff is financed by your own money, that is, equity capital. So, when you make profits, those profits are a return to all the assets, some of which is a return to your money invested (equity capital) and some of which is a return to the bank’s money (debt capital). Anatomy of Returns – Case 1 $1,000 of Total Assets (all financed by my own money) generated $500 of total revenue, $400 of total expenses, and thus $100 of profits. 100 1000 = $10 cents of income per dollar of asset ROROA = 10% Since it is all my money, then ROROE = 10% Anatomy of Returns – Case 2 $1,000 of Total Assets (financed $700 by my own money and $300 @8% borrowed from a bank) generated $500 of total revenue, $400 of expenses before interest for $100 profit, and $76 profits after interest expenses. I leveraged someone else’s money to increase the return to my money. ROROE = 10.9% 76 700 My money (Equity Capital) = $700 Total Assets $300 Bank’s money (Debt capital) $1000 100 1000 = $10.9 cents of income per dollar of your money Before interest $.10 cents of income per dollar of all assets used. ROROA = 10% ROROA>i-rate The extra is payment to equity 10% 8% Thus 2% additional to Equity Anatomy of Returns – Case 2 $1,000 of Total Assets (financed $700 by my own money and $300 @8% borrowed from a bank) generated $500 of total revenue, $400 of expenses before interest for $100 profit, and $76 profits after interest expenses. ROROA>i-rate Thus ROROE>ROROA (that’s good) Return on equity capital 10% * $700 $70 Return on debt capital (10%-8%) * $300 $6 Total return $76 $76/$700 = 10.9% ROROE Anatomy of Returns – Case 3 $1,000 of Total Assets (financed $700 by my own money and $300 @8% borrowed from a bank) generated $500 of total revenue, $500 of expenses before interest for $0 profit, and -$24 profits after interest expenses. ROROE = -3.4% -24 700 My money (Equity Capital) = -$3.4 cents of income per dollar of your money = Before interest $0 cents of income per dollar of all assets used. $700 Total Assets $300 Bank’s money (Debt capital) $1000 0 1000 ROROA = 0% Making 0% on all assets, but paying 8%, and the additional 8% is coming out of equity. Anatomy of Returns – Case 3 $1,000 of Total Assets (financed $700 by my own money and $300 @8% borrowed from a bank) generated $500 of total revenue, $500 of expenses before interest for $0 profit, and -$24 profits after interest expenses. ROROA<i-rate Thus ROROE<ROROA (Not Good) Return on equity capital 0% * $700 $0 Return on debt capital (0%-8%) * $300 -$24 Total return -$24 -$24/$700 = -3.4% ROROE Anatomy of Returns – Case 4 $1,000 of Total Assets (financed $700 by my own money and $300 @15% borrowed from a bank) generated $500 of total revenue, $400 of expenses before interest for $100 profit, and $55 profits after interest expenses. ROROE = 7.9% 55 700 My money (Equity Capital) = $700 Total Assets $300 Bank’s money (Debt capital) $1000 100 1000 = $7.9 cents of income per dollar of your money Before interest $.10 cents of income per dollar of all assets used. ROROA = 10% Making 10% on all assets, but paying 15% on debt portion (ROROA<i-rate), and the difference must come from equity. Anatomy of Returns – Case 4 $1,000 of Total Assets (financed $700 by my own money and $300 @15% borrowed from a bank) generated $500 of total revenue, $400 of expenses before interest for $100 profit, and $55 profits after interest expenses. ROROA<i-rate Thus ROROE<ROROA (Not Good) Return on equity capital 10% * $700 $70 Return on debt capital (10%-15%) * 300 -$15 Total return $55 $55/$700 = 7.9% ROROE So, How Is Money Made? • Through Three Primary Levers – By being efficient with your operations – By getting the most out of your assets – By leveraging your money • that is, helping your own money do bigger and better things through borrowed use of someone else’s money. So, How Can I Analyze How I am Doing At Making Money, Or better yet how I might make more money? • By analyzing each of the three levers that leads to Return on Equity – ROROE: – Efficiency of operations – How well assets are working into profits – Leverage Introducing the DuPont System for Financial Analysis DuPont System • Developed in 1919 by a finance executive at E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Co • “The DuPont system is a way of visualizing the information so that everyone can see it.” (Stephen Jablonsky, Penn State University) • DuPont analysis “is a good tool for getting people started in understanding how they can have an impact on results” (Doug McCallen, Caterpillar Inc.) • “Number one, it’s simple” (Sam Siegel, CFO) DuPont System • “DuPont Financial Analysis Model is a rather straightforward method for assessing the factors that influence a firm’s financial performance.” (Gunderson, Detre, and Boehlje, AgriMarketing 2005) DuPont System – What is It? • The system identifies profitability as being impacted by three different levers: 1. Earnings & efficiency in earnings Earnings 2. Ability of your assets to be turned into profits Turnings 3. Financial leverage Leverage DuPont System Earnings/Efficiency Operating Profit Margin Income Stream X = Asset Turnover Turnings/Asset Use Investment Stream Financial Structure Leverage Return On Assets (less interest adj.) X = Return On Equity DuPont System Ratios Earnings Operating Profit Margin Income Stream X interest adj.) Asset Turnover Turnings Investment Stream = Return On Assets (less Financial Structure Leverage X = Return On Equity Let’s Do The Math DuPont System Earnings/Efficiency Operating Profit Margin X = Asset Turnover Turnings/Asset Use Financial Structure Leverage Return On Assets (less interest adj.) X = Return On Equity Rate Of Return On Assets NFIFO + interest paid - unpaid labor/mgt ROROA = Total Assets Operating Profit Margin Ratio NFIFO + interest pd – unpaid labor/mgt Total Revenue Asset Turnover Ratio X Total Revenue Total Assets DuPont System Earnings/Efficiency Operating Profit Margin X = Asset Turnover Turnings/Asset Use Financial Structure Leverage Return On Assets (less interest adj.) X = Return On Equity Rate Of Return On Equity NFIFO – unpaid labor/mgt ROROE = Total Equity i-rate Adj. Rate Of Return On Assets NFIFO + interest pd. – unpaid labor/mgt Total Assets - interest pd. Total Assets Leverage Ratio = NFIFO – unpaid labor/mgt Total Assets X Total Assets Total Equity Net Farm Income From Operations (NFIFO) NFIFO = Total Revenue – Basic Costs – Non Basic Costs sales, govt. pmts, custom work +(-) inventory changes labor + depreciation + interest expenses cash expenses +(-) accrual expense changes NFIFO = Total Revenue – COGS – Operating Expenses – Interest Leverage is the mix of debt versus equity capital used in making profits. - Do we have too much debt? - Do we have enough debt? - Is our debt capital generating profits? - Can our debt capital be put to better use? Leverage Total Assets Total Equity Too Low Return On Assets X OK = Return On Equity Too Low Total Revenue = OK cash income +(-) inventory changes Basic Costs = cash expenses +(-) accrual exp changes + purch lstk Depr Non Basic Costs = labor + depreciation + interest expenses Earnings NFIFO – unpaid labor/mgt + interest Total Revenue X Turnings Total Revenue Total Assets ATO -Too much labor given output - Not enough labor -Training and Education - Better systems and processes - Weekly/Daily staff meetings - Performance metrics Leverage Total Assets Total Equity OK = Too Low OPMR Return On Assets Too Low OK X = Return On Equity Too Low Earnings NFIFO – unpaid labor/mgt + interest Total Revenue X Turnings Total Revenue Total Assets ATO -Unproductive machinery? - Buildings not being used? - Breeding livestock not producing? - Unproductive land? - Over valued assets? Leverage Total Assets Total Equity OK = OK OPMR Return On Assets Too Low Too Low X = Return On Equity Too Low Also, selling off unproductive assets and paying off debt could change your leverage position in a positive way, and also improve your ROROE! Financial Diagnostics via DuPont. Finding the Red Flags! Prices Production Quality Facilities Processes Operations Health Labor Repairs Timeliness Management Ability to Manage Assets Revenues too low for costs OPM too Low Costs too high for Revenues ROROA too Low ATO too Low Obsolete or Inefficient Assets Unused or Under Utilized Assets ROROE too Low Wrong Kind of Debt Leverage Not Enough Debt End http://cdp.wisc.edu/Management.htm NFIFO +int - unpd mgt 31,157 1,665 ÷ 751,348 757,926 11.7 3.4 6.12 OPM 4.1% 0.2% Earnings GR 2007 2008 5 yr avg Rate Of Return On Equity NFIFO – unpaid labor/mgt ROROE = Total Equity Rate Of Return On Assets NFIFO – unpaid labor/mgt + interest pd. ROROA = Total Assets Operating Profit Margin Ratio NFIFO – unpaid labor/mgt + interest pd. OPMR = Total Revenue Asset Turnover Ratio Total Revenue ATO = Total Assets Leverage Ratio Total Assets Financial Structure = Total Equity