Guided Tour ~ Implementing the Forest Biorefinery (FBR) at a Pulp P lp and Paper Mill V. Chambost1, J. McNutt2 and P.R. Stuart1 1 -NSERC Environmental Design g Engineering g g Chair in Process Integration, g Department of Chemical Engineering, École É Polytechnique (Montréal) 2 -Center for Paper Business and Industry Studies (CPBIS) at the Georgia Institute of Technology (Georgia Tech) (Atlanta) Presentation Outline Presentation Context Purpose Complexity of the Situation & Key Questions Types of Enterprise Transformation Forest Biorefinery y ((FBR)) p platform definition Product Portfolio and method for its determination Phased Approach ~ FBR implementation Takeaways Presentation Purpose To demonstrate how forestryy companies p should consider a market-driven product selection while establishing their FBR strategies, and characterize the implied company transformation Identifying the Right Biorefinery Configuration is Complex… Key Questions to be Addressed Related to Implementing the FBR What are the key factors regarding biorefinery product selection, that will provide a sustained return over the short and long terms? What supply chain management changes are implicated for product delivery and the targeted new market(s)? Who Wh are the th b bestt partner(s) t ( ) for f a winning i i business b i strategy? t t ? What biochemical, thermochemical and chemical biorefinery processes enable product diversification, while providing the targeted return on investment? How will the mill/company transformation to the forest biorefinery impact the day-to-day pulp and paper operations, p , at each step p of implementation? p Enterprise Transformation ~ Definitions 2 transformation concepts ~ Inside-out ~ • Transform the enterprise by changing processes within the existing organization, including changes in manufactured products p Outside Outside-in in ~ • Core vision, mission and strategies are changed to create a new focus to outside markets that is sustainable,, using g new and integrated g delivery y techniques and with vastly improved bottom-line results Transformation to the forest biorefinery implies both types of transformation Can Forestry Companies Adopt this Enterprise Transforming Culture? Core business transformation ~ by 204 Years of Innovation product portfolio adjustments related to Maturity market evolution Maturity Cyclical adaptation to reinvent the business and transform the enterprise ~ while g declining g avoiding revenues 3 Maturity G th Growth Growth Birth Growth Birth Birth Chemistry, Ch i t Energy Chemistry, Biology, M t i l Science Materials Si Explosives 1802 1830 1850 1900 1925 1945 1990 2000 2050 2090 19 Sept 06 Biorefineryy opportunity pp y for the forestry industry Biorefinery Platform Definitions Co--products or wastes? Co Waste Chips Biomass Pulp and Paper Mill P&P Products Yield? Yield? B ildi Building Block Yield? Derivative Derivative Reducing Volumes, Flexible Throughputs… Increasing Process Complexity $$ ‘Product Portfolio’ $$$ Product Portfolio Definition Process Product Platform Platform FBR Product Portfolio structure 1 A 2 B 3 C Product Families Market Segment g … … … … … … … Considering Existing Pulp and Paper Product Portfolio Value Chains need to consider long term biorefinery sustainability ~ Unique supply chain is key for competitive position over the longer term Production flexibility (supply/demand) Margins stability and risk mitigation challenges must be systematically addressed ~ while diversifying the product portfolio incrementally Establishing the Product Portfolio ~ Management Considerations Typical product portfolio structure Process Platform Product Platform 1 A 2 B 3 C Product Families … … … … … Market Segment How to establish a sustainable product portfolio structure? Process Design Market Requirements F Functionalities ti liti Technological g Viability Process Flowsheets Solution So ut o Architecture Process Processocess-Product oduct Platforms Product Opportunities Multi-Product MultiStrategy Product Structure Product Strategy Inspired by Ref: M. Muffatto & M. Roveda, Product architecture and platforms: a conceptual framework Product Portfolio for the FBR Innovation Novel CHALLENGE For product selection Technology Push P h Process-centric Processdesign Substitution S b tit ti Substitution Market Pull P ll Replacement R l t Product-centric Productdesign Adaptation Guided Tour ~ Implementing the FBR Objectives j ~ Present ~ a Methodology for determining the mill-based p product p portfolio,, including g building block chemicals and derivatives, while considering product/process design Present ~ a Phased Approach for incrementally implement biorefinery activities ti iti while hil setting tti a bi biorefinery fi strategy t t Example based on Ethanol to Ethylene and Polyethylene value chain ~ Other Major Options Exist Proposed Methodology To Drive The Product Design ~ Chambost, V., Eamer, B., Stuart, P., ‘Systematic Methodology’ PAPTAC 2007 Market, M k t Economic E i & Technology Risks Overall Product/Process Opportunities Product/Process Details Analysis Outcome ~ Product Value Chain Opportunities by region and by priority Business Plan & Biorefinery Decision Decision-Making Implementation Considerations Selecting the Most Promising Building Block Chemical Today! Cellulosic ethanol as the most promising building block? Large market ~ supply/demand structure Technology T h l know-how k h is i relatively l ti l well-developed ll d l d Processing costs need to be lower compared to the conventional process Fierce volatility on the market… Ethanol Price Volatility Peak at ≈ $3/gal Source: Gulf Ethanol Corp In 6 months: ethanol prices dropped byy more than 50% Price is not the challenge, price volatility and competition are How can we stabilize H t bili operating ti margins in a context of volatility and market uncertainty? Choosing ethanol as a building block for the FBR implementation? Benefit B fit from f increasing i i ethanol th l market ~ there will always be a demand ~ Reduce the impact of volatility on biorefinery activities by diversifying the ethanol product family 14th January <$1.25/gal Source: Gulf Ethanol Corp Ethanol to Polyethylene A Potential Product Family Co--products strategy? Co Waste Chips Biomass Pulp and Paper Mill Ethanol Ethylene P&P Products Commercial, economic and technical issues? Polyethylene Ethanol Product Family Opportunities Screening Ethylene value chain Competitive advantages Economic/Commercial drivers - Healthy value chain - Large market volume - Interesting price point ($1,06/kg) - Polyethylene market offers valuable perspectives (LLDPE, LDPE, HDPE) Technical drivers -Ethanol to ethylene: catalytic dehydratation - Ethylene to PE ~ well known technology - Ethanol to P ~ *JV D Dow ~ C Crystalsev t l *Braskem operation Challenges - Imbalances in production by region - 85% of PE production cost = ethylene cost - Need for securing feedstock supply production cost will be a - Ethanol p driver - First-to-market for securing the green market segment for PE - Ethylene = simple molecule from petrochemical platform ~ Ethanol to ethylene technical pathway is not obvious Key Issues Market-based Value Chain Analysis ~ identification of potential partners along the value chain and assessment of the product family commercial potential Supply Chain synergies, with gradual implementation p of the FBR ~ are critical for a viable business model Risk assessment of the product family ~ ii.e. e process, techno-economic issues should be identified and mitigated Proposed Methodology To Drive The Product Design ~ Chambost, V., Eamer, B., Stuart, P., ‘Systematic Methodology’ PAPTAC 2007 Market, Economic & T h l Technology Ri k Risks Company-based &Technology-based Data for Value Chain Opportunities Mill/Company Transformation Overall Product/Process Opportunities Product/Process Details Analysis Outcome ~ Product Value Chain Opportunities by region and by priority Outcome ~ Information needed for business plan development Business Plan & Biorefinery DecisionDecisionMaking Outcome ~ Biorefinery Strategy & Go/No Go Decision Implementation Considerations Phased Approach for Implementing the FBR Implementation ~ compete with all capital spending Phase I Lower Operating Costs ~ Replace fossil fuels at mill (natural gas, Bunker C), and/or Produce “building block” chemical Minimum risk technologies Compete internally for capital Phase II Increase Revenues ~ Exportable green energy, and/or Manufacture of derivatives Market development for new products Higher Hi h process complexity and technology risk Partners essential Phase III Improve Margins ~ Knowledge Knowledge--based manufacturing and production flexibility Business flow transformation Product development culture Off Off--shoring, Outsourcing, etc… Select the most sustainable product platform and d partner(s) t ( ) Core business transformation SCM key to success Strategic Vision ~ Phase II must determine Phase I & III Phased Approach for Implementing the FBR Implementation ~ compete with all capital spending Phase I Lower Operating Costs ~ Replace fossil fuels at mill (natural gas, Bunker C), and/or Produce “building block” chemical block Minimum risk technologies Phase II Increase Revenues ~ Exportable green energy, and/or d/ Manufacture of derivatives Market development p for new products Higher process complexity and technology risk Partners essential Phase III Improve Margins ~ Knowledgeg -based Knowledge manufacturing and production flexibility Business flow transformation Product development culture Off Off--shoring, Outsourcing etc… Outsourcing, etc Margins improve with Enterprise Transformation Strategic Vision ~ Phase II must determine Phase I & III Take-Away Messages Both inside-out and outside-in transformations are implied p by y the FBR p product p portfolio The definition of a FBR product portfolio is critical ~ and needs to consider both market and technical perspectives These product product-centric centric analyses are followed by process design ~ partner identification ~ and other key considerations concerning supply chain changes With the overall strategy defined ~ transformation to the FBR is best achieved using a phased i implementation l t ti Guided Tour ~ I Implementing l ti the th Forest F t Biorefinery Bi fi (FBR) at a Pulp and Paper Mill Thankyou/ Merci!