26-Jan-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Click on PDF or Excel link above for additional tables containing more detail and breakdowns by filing status and demographic groups. Table T09-0047 House Republican Stimulus Proposal Baseline: Current Law Plus Extension and Indexation of AMT Patch Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009 1 Summary Table Cash Income Level (thousands of 2008 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Cut 14.3 43.4 73.7 88.0 93.8 97.5 98.7 98.8 94.9 98.2 99.9 74.9 With Tax Increase 0.0 1.3 2.4 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.4 3.2 1.8 1.5 1.6 2.5 Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change ($) 0.0 0.9 3.2 4.7 5.8 16.2 15.8 31.3 10.2 3.3 8.3 100.0 -6 -85 -359 -724 -1,095 -1,649 -2,469 -3,498 -3,995 -7,432 -35,011 -1,465 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 Change (% Points) -0.1 -0.6 -1.4 -2.0 -2.4 -2.6 -2.8 -2.5 -1.4 -1.1 -1.1 -2.0 Under the Proposal 5.2 4.1 7.9 11.3 13.5 15.2 16.4 18.9 23.0 25.6 29.2 19.1 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7). Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 4.4 Proposal: 8.9 NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of 2010. The business tax provisions are measured on a net present value basis. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus extension and indexation of the 2008 AMT patch. Proposal would reduce the two lowest individual income tax rates from 10 and 15 percent to 5 and 10 percent; exclude unemployment compensation from gross income; provide a $20,000 deduction against income from a small business; provide a special allowance for certain property acquired during 2009; allow a temporary increase in the limitation on expensing of certain depreciable business assets; and provide a 5-year carryback with 10% cutback for 2008 and 2009 NOLs with an exception for TARP recipients (these last three measures are assumed to be the same as in the House Ways and Means Committee proposal). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26-Jan-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T09-0047 House Republican Stimulus Proposal Baseline: Current Law Plus Extension and Indexation of AMT Patch Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009 1 Detail Table Cash Income Level (thousands of 2008 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Increase With Tax Cut 14.3 43.4 73.7 88.0 93.8 97.5 98.7 98.8 94.9 98.2 99.9 74.9 0.0 1.3 2.4 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.4 3.2 1.8 1.5 1.6 2.5 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.0 0.9 3.2 4.7 5.8 16.2 15.8 31.3 10.2 3.3 8.3 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent -6 -85 -359 -724 -1,095 -1,649 -2,469 -3,498 -3,995 -7,432 -35,011 -1,465 -1.9 -12.1 -15.2 -15.3 -15.1 -14.7 -14.5 -11.8 -5.6 -4.0 -3.6 -9.3 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.6 -0.6 -0.7 0.7 0.5 1.3 0.0 Under the Proposal 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.7 3.4 9.6 9.5 23.9 17.5 8.2 22.5 100.0 5 Average Federal Tax Rate Change (% Points) -0.1 -0.6 -1.4 -2.0 -2.4 -2.6 -2.8 -2.5 -1.4 -1.1 -1.1 -2.0 Under the Proposal 5.2 4.1 7.9 11.3 13.5 15.2 16.4 18.9 23.0 25.6 29.2 19.1 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2009 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2008 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units Number (thousands) 17,204 24,101 19,493 14,384 11,749 21,662 14,107 19,712 5,636 989 519 150,241 3 Percent of Total 11.5 16.0 13.0 9.6 7.8 14.4 9.4 13.1 3.8 0.7 0.4 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 5,704 15,181 25,314 35,555 45,838 63,039 88,790 138,154 291,886 695,069 3,199,967 75,289 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) 303 707 2,361 4,724 7,265 11,200 17,014 29,643 71,161 185,568 970,488 15,841 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 5,401 14,474 22,953 30,831 38,573 51,839 71,775 108,511 220,725 509,501 2,229,478 59,448 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 5.3 4.7 9.3 13.3 15.9 17.8 19.2 21.5 24.4 26.7 30.3 21.0 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 0.9 3.2 4.4 4.5 4.8 12.1 11.1 24.1 14.5 6.1 14.7 100.0 1.0 3.9 5.0 5.0 5.1 12.6 11.3 24.0 13.9 5.6 13.0 100.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 2.9 3.6 10.2 10.1 24.6 16.9 7.7 21.2 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7). Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 4.4 Proposal: 8.9 NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of 2 The business tax provisions are measured on a net present value basis. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus extension and indexation of the 2008 AMT patch. Proposal would reduce the two lowest individual income tax rates from 10 and 15 percent to 5 and 10 percent; exclude unemployment compensation from gross income; provide a $20,000 deduction against income from a small business; provide a special allowance for certain property acquired during 2009; allow a temporary increase in the limitation on expensing of certain depreciable business assets; and provide a 5-year carryback with 10% cutback for 2008 and 2009 NOLs with an exception for TARP recipients (these last three measures are assumed to be the same as in the House Ways and Means Committee proposal). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26-Jan-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T09-0047 House Republican Stimulus Proposal Baseline: Current Law Plus Extension and Indexation of AMT Patch Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009 1 Detail Table - Single Tax Units Cash Income Level (thousands of 2008 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Cut With Tax Increase 14.3 56.8 85.6 96.4 98.7 99.2 99.0 98.3 96.6 98.8 99.9 70.2 0.0 1.8 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.1 0.9 2.4 3.5 3.9 3.7 3.2 2.6 1.9 1.8 1.9 2.7 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.1 3.2 9.0 11.4 13.4 25.5 12.0 13.3 5.3 2.0 4.7 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent -5 -123 -523 -1,009 -1,429 -1,805 -2,119 -2,597 -4,224 -8,766 -39,573 -889 -1.2 -9.8 -14.4 -15.6 -16.0 -13.4 -10.2 -8.0 -5.5 -4.4 -3.7 -9.9 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.1 0.0 -0.3 -0.5 -0.6 -0.7 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.9 0.0 Under the Proposal 1.1 3.2 5.9 6.8 7.8 18.2 11.6 17.0 10.1 4.7 13.6 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) -0.1 -0.8 -2.1 -2.8 -3.1 -2.9 -2.4 -1.9 -1.4 -1.3 -1.3 -2.1 Under the Proposal 7.8 7.5 12.3 15.3 16.4 18.8 21.2 22.3 24.5 27.2 32.8 19.2 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2009 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2008 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units 3 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 12,556 14,909 9,879 6,530 5,421 8,162 3,264 2,958 730 130 69 64,958 19.3 23.0 15.2 10.1 8.4 12.6 5.0 4.6 1.1 0.2 0.1 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 5,704 15,017 25,243 35,566 45,797 62,150 87,974 134,418 295,280 694,203 3,156,727 42,053 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) 452 1,251 3,629 6,456 8,953 13,476 20,735 32,597 76,604 197,318 1,074,820 8,947 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 5,252 13,766 21,614 29,110 36,844 48,673 67,238 101,821 218,677 496,885 2,081,906 33,106 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 7.9 8.3 14.4 18.2 19.6 21.7 23.6 24.3 25.9 28.4 34.1 21.3 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 2.6 8.2 9.1 8.5 9.1 18.6 10.5 14.6 7.9 3.3 7.9 100.0 3.1 9.5 9.9 8.8 9.3 18.5 10.2 14.0 7.4 3.0 6.7 100.0 1.0 3.2 6.2 7.3 8.4 18.9 11.7 16.6 9.6 4.4 12.7 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7). NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of 2010. The business tax provisions are measured on a net present value basis. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus extension and indexation of the 2008 AMT patch. Proposal would reduce the two lowest individual income tax rates from 10 and 15 percent to 5 and 10 percent; exclude unemployment compensation from gross income; provide a $20,000 deduction against income from a small business; provide a special allowance for certain property acquired during 2009; allow a temporary increase in the limitation on expensing of certain depreciable business assets; and provide a 5-year carryback with 10% cutback for 2008 and 2009 NOLs with an exception for TARP recipients (these last three measures are assumed to be the same as in the House Ways and Means Committee proposal). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26-Jan-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T09-0047 House Republican Stimulus Proposal Baseline: Current Law Plus Extension and Indexation of AMT Patch Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009 1 Detail Table - Married Tax Units Filing Jointly Cash Income Level (thousands of 2008 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Cut With Tax Increase 22.4 26.0 58.9 77.1 85.9 96.6 99.1 99.4 94.9 98.1 99.9 85.2 0.0 0.3 3.0 4.2 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.8 3.6 3.4 1.8 1.4 1.5 2.5 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.7 10.4 17.4 41.5 13.1 4.2 10.1 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent -12 -21 -130 -368 -652 -1,541 -2,668 -3,747 -3,971 -7,223 -33,586 -2,404 -4.7 -4.6 -10.4 -12.9 -12.6 -16.5 -17.1 -12.9 -5.7 -3.9 -3.6 -8.8 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.5 -0.8 -1.3 0.7 0.5 1.4 0.0 Under the Proposal 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 5.1 8.2 27.1 21.2 9.9 26.2 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) -0.3 -0.1 -0.5 -1.0 -1.4 -2.4 -3.0 -2.7 -1.4 -1.0 -1.1 -1.9 Under the Proposal 5.1 2.8 4.4 7.0 9.8 12.2 14.4 18.2 22.8 25.4 28.7 19.9 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2009 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2008 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units 3 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 2,093 3,937 4,757 3,946 3,659 9,688 9,341 15,817 4,725 827 430 59,479 3.5 6.6 8.0 6.6 6.2 16.3 15.7 26.6 7.9 1.4 0.7 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 4,904 15,709 25,357 35,641 45,966 64,204 89,292 139,272 291,151 695,396 3,148,057 125,155 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) 262 462 1,248 2,859 5,177 9,369 15,566 29,054 70,236 183,594 936,090 27,271 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 4,642 15,247 24,109 32,782 40,790 54,835 73,726 110,218 220,915 511,802 2,211,966 97,884 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 5.3 2.9 4.9 8.0 11.3 14.6 17.4 20.9 24.1 26.4 29.7 21.8 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 0.1 0.8 1.6 1.9 2.3 8.4 11.2 29.6 18.5 7.7 18.2 100.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 2.2 2.6 9.1 11.8 29.9 17.9 7.3 16.3 100.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 5.6 9.0 28.3 20.5 9.4 24.8 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7). NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of 2010. The business tax provisions are measured on a net present value basis. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus extension and indexation of the 2008 AMT patch. Proposal would reduce the two lowest individual income tax rates from 10 and 15 percent to 5 and 10 percent; exclude unemployment compensation from gross income; provide a $20,000 deduction against income from a small business; provide a special allowance for certain property acquired during 2009; allow a temporary increase in the limitation on expensing of certain depreciable business assets; and provide a 5-year carryback with 10% cutback for 2008 and 2009 NOLs with an exception for TARP recipients (these last three measures are assumed to be the same as in the House Ways and Means Committee proposal). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26-Jan-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T09-0047 House Republican Stimulus Proposal Baseline: Current Law Plus Extension and Indexation of AMT Patch Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009 1 Detail Table - Head of Household Tax Units Cash Income Level (thousands of 2008 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Cut With Tax Increase 6.7 14.9 61.7 83.9 94.6 96.3 96.6 91.8 87.1 96.6 99.8 60.6 0.0 0.6 4.1 3.9 1.0 0.5 0.4 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.8 2.5 3.1 2.9 2.1 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.9 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.0 0.5 6.3 12.7 14.3 33.1 16.4 10.7 2.8 0.9 2.3 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent -2 -17 -220 -563 -972 -1,580 -2,056 -2,131 -3,347 -6,682 -32,742 -675 0.3 2.0 -36.7 -16.5 -15.2 -14.8 -11.7 -7.2 -4.7 -3.7 -3.5 -12.2 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) -0.1 -0.5 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.8 0.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.8 0.0 Under the Proposal -1.0 -3.7 1.5 9.0 11.1 26.5 17.2 19.2 8.0 3.2 8.8 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) 0.0 -0.1 -0.9 -1.6 -2.1 -2.6 -2.4 -1.6 -1.1 -1.0 -1.1 -1.7 Under the Proposal -7.1 -5.5 1.5 8.1 11.8 14.7 17.7 21.1 23.0 25.7 29.3 12.0 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2009 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2008 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units 3 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 2,406 4,961 4,512 3,554 2,315 3,290 1,254 786 132 21 11 23,292 10.3 21.3 19.4 15.3 9.9 14.1 5.4 3.4 0.6 0.1 0.1 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 6,412 15,257 25,403 35,401 45,811 61,934 87,576 130,519 298,070 683,864 3,070,023 40,351 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) -455 -822 600 3,414 6,393 10,661 17,561 29,606 71,799 182,161 932,778 5,518 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 6,867 16,079 24,803 31,987 39,418 51,272 70,015 100,913 226,271 501,703 2,137,244 34,834 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 -7.1 -5.4 2.4 9.6 14.0 17.2 20.1 22.7 24.1 26.6 30.4 13.7 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 1.6 8.1 12.2 13.4 11.3 21.7 11.7 10.9 4.2 1.5 3.6 100.0 2.0 9.8 13.8 14.0 11.3 20.8 10.8 9.8 3.7 1.3 2.9 100.0 -0.9 -3.2 2.1 9.4 11.5 27.3 17.1 18.1 7.4 2.9 8.0 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7). NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of 2010. The business tax provisions are measured on a net present value basis. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus extension and indexation of the 2008 AMT patch. Proposal would reduce the two lowest individual income tax rates from 10 and 15 percent to 5 and 10 percent; exclude unemployment compensation from gross income; provide a $20,000 deduction against income from a small business; provide a special allowance for certain property acquired during 2009; allow a temporary increase in the limitation on expensing of certain depreciable business assets; and provide a 5-year carryback with 10% cutback for 2008 and 2009 NOLs with an exception for TARP recipients (these last three measures are assumed to be the same as in the House Ways and Means Committee proposal). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26-Jan-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T09-0047 House Republican Stimulus Proposal Baseline: Current Law Plus Extension and Indexation of AMT Patch Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009 1 Detail Table - Tax Units with Children Cash Income Level (thousands of 2008 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Increase With Tax Cut 5.0 12.0 55.8 82.4 91.2 95.6 98.3 98.4 92.4 97.3 99.9 75.3 0.0 0.6 3.5 4.2 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 2.0 2.7 3.2 3.1 1.5 1.3 1.4 2.2 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.0 3.8 13.3 17.1 38.6 11.0 3.5 8.2 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent -2 -13 -190 -507 -819 -1,451 -2,367 -3,416 -3,306 -6,346 -31,167 -1,676 0.4 0.9 214.4 -18.1 -14.3 -14.7 -14.8 -11.8 -4.7 -3.4 -3.2 -8.6 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.5 -0.7 -1.0 0.9 0.5 1.3 0.0 Under the Proposal -0.2 -0.9 -0.2 1.3 2.2 7.3 9.3 27.2 21.2 9.5 23.3 100.0 5 Average Federal Tax Rate Change (% Points) 0.0 -0.1 -0.8 -1.4 -1.8 -2.3 -2.7 -2.5 -1.2 -0.9 -1.0 -1.8 Under the Proposal -11.4 -9.1 -1.1 6.4 10.7 13.3 15.3 18.4 23.4 26.4 29.5 18.7 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2009 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2008 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units 3 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 2,701 5,494 5,603 4,726 3,756 7,394 5,839 9,103 2,690 442 212 48,094 5.6 11.4 11.7 9.8 7.8 15.4 12.1 18.9 5.6 0.9 0.4 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 5,981 15,478 25,399 35,550 45,850 63,220 89,123 139,015 288,713 693,043 3,179,388 95,281 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) -680 -1,402 -89 2,796 5,735 9,872 15,985 28,971 70,840 189,245 969,821 19,454 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 6,662 16,880 25,487 32,753 40,116 53,349 73,138 110,044 217,873 503,798 2,209,568 75,826 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total -11.4 -9.1 -0.4 7.9 12.5 15.6 17.9 20.8 24.5 27.3 30.5 20.4 0.4 1.9 3.1 3.7 3.8 10.2 11.4 27.6 17.0 6.7 14.7 100.0 0.5 2.5 3.9 4.2 4.1 10.8 11.7 27.5 16.1 6.1 12.8 100.0 -0.2 -0.8 -0.1 1.4 2.3 7.8 10.0 28.2 20.4 9.0 22.0 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7). Note: Tax units with children are those claiming an exemption for children at home or away from home. NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of 2 The business tax provisions are measured on a net present value basis. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus extension and indexation of the 2008 AMT patch. Proposal would reduce the two lowest individual income tax rates from 10 and 15 percent to 5 and 10 percent; exclude unemployment compensation from gross income; provide a $20,000 deduction against income from a small business; provide a special allowance for certain property acquired during 2009; allow a temporary increase in the limitation on expensing of certain depreciable business assets; and provide a 5-year carryback with 10% cutback for 2008 and 2009 NOLs with an exception for TARP recipients (these last three measures are assumed to be the same as in the House Ways and Means Committee proposal). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 26-Jan-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T09-0047 House Republican Stimulus Proposal Baseline: Current Law Plus Extension and Indexation of AMT Patch Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009 1 Detail Table - Elderly Tax Units Cash Income Level (thousands of 2008 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Increase With Tax Cut 25.9 38.0 68.2 81.4 88.5 98.1 99.5 99.6 99.5 99.8 99.8 71.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.8 2.8 3.6 3.5 2.4 2.0 2.0 2.4 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.8 3.0 15.2 16.1 29.4 14.1 5.3 12.7 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent -11 -44 -188 -352 -753 -1,590 -2,715 -3,954 -5,570 -10,289 -43,195 -1,499 -6.2 -11.0 -14.8 -16.7 -21.3 -22.0 -21.5 -15.8 -8.2 -5.5 -4.4 -10.8 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.9 -1.0 -1.1 0.5 0.6 2.2 0.0 Under the Proposal 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.3 6.5 7.1 18.9 19.0 11.0 33.0 100.0 5 Average Federal Tax Rate Change (% Points) -0.2 -0.3 -0.8 -1.0 -1.6 -2.5 -3.1 -2.9 -1.9 -1.5 -1.4 -2.0 Under the Proposal 2.6 2.3 4.3 5.0 6.0 8.9 11.2 15.3 20.9 25.4 29.7 16.4 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2009 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2008 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units 3 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 2,765 6,689 4,053 2,142 1,714 4,095 2,542 3,191 1,082 221 126 28,639 9.7 23.4 14.2 7.5 6.0 14.3 8.9 11.1 3.8 0.8 0.4 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 6,577 15,129 24,891 35,242 46,021 63,445 88,251 137,801 298,445 696,175 3,134,426 75,721 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) 181 398 1,264 2,108 3,531 7,233 12,621 25,030 68,004 187,009 974,087 13,910 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 6,396 14,731 23,627 33,134 42,490 56,212 75,630 112,771 230,441 509,166 2,160,339 61,811 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 2.8 2.6 5.1 6.0 7.7 11.4 14.3 18.2 22.8 26.9 31.1 18.4 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 0.8 4.7 4.7 3.5 3.6 12.0 10.3 20.3 14.9 7.1 18.2 100.0 1.0 5.6 5.4 4.0 4.1 13.0 10.9 20.3 14.1 6.4 15.4 100.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.1 1.5 7.4 8.1 20.1 18.5 10.4 30.8 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7). Note: Elderly tax units are those with either head or spouse (if filing jointly) age 65 or older. NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of 2 The business tax provisions are measured on a net present value basis. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus extension and indexation of the 2008 AMT patch. Proposal would reduce the two lowest individual income tax rates from 10 and 15 percent to 5 and 10 percent; exclude unemployment compensation from gross income; provide a $20,000 deduction against income from a small business; provide a special allowance for certain property acquired during 2009; allow a temporary increase in the limitation on expensing of certain depreciable business assets; and provide a 5-year carryback with 10% cutback for 2008 and 2009 NOLs with an exception for TARP recipients (these last three measures are assumed to be the same as in the House Ways and Means Committee proposal). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.