MR317 Introduction to Marine Ecology - Biostatistics Lectures Martin Ryan Seminar Room Monday 11am, Tuesday 9am Tuesday 12 pm, Friday 9 am MINITAB Practicals Room 201 Arts Millenium Building starting 16/01/06 Monday 2 – 5 pm Lecturers: Emma Holian Room 108, Riverside Terrapin Email: emma.holian@nuigalway.ie Dr. Jochen Einbeck Room 209, Áras de Brún Email: jochen.einbeck@nuigalway.ie Lecture Material • Handouts, notes • Web based material http://www.nuigalway.ie/maths/je/marine – Notes, these slides – Datasets Course Content • Basic ideas – revision • Looking at data – summaries, plots, etc • Statistical analyses – – – – Comparing groups Regression Analysis of variance Simple multivariate methods • Aspects of study design • Use of MINITAB package Collecting Data Population : the entire group of objects about which information is required. A parameter is a numerical characteristic of the population. It is a fixed number, but we usually do not know its value. Unit: any individual member of the population Sample: a part or subset of the population used to gain information about the population. Sampling Frame: the list of units from which the sample is chosen. Geographical/Spatial coordinates. Variable: a characteristic of a unit to be measured in the sample. Data are the values that variables can assume. Variable Qualitative Quantitative Nominal Ordinal Discrete Continuous Statistics ARE numbers derived from a sample of data. The value of the statistic changes from sample to sample. Example 1 Population: Irish Sea Unit ? Sample ? Variable ? Sampling Frame ? Population Parameters Inference Sample Sample Statistics Inference is the process of making decisions about a population based on information contained in a sample from that population. General philosophy • Descriptive statistics consists of the collection, organisation, summarisation, and presentation of data. • Inferential statistics consists of generalising from samples to populations, performing hypothesis testing, determining relationships among variables, and making predictions. How do we select a small subset of a population representative of the whole population? Using your best judgement, take a representative sample of 6 circles from the population of 60 circles and use the sample mean as an estimate of the true population mean N=60 0.5 1 2.5 1.5 2 3 Judgement Sample 250 Frequency 200 150 100 50 0 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 Judgement 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 Simple Random Sample Frequency 150 100 50 0 0.5 1.0 SRS 1.5 Frequency 150 100 50 0 0.5 1.5 Judgement and SRS 2.5 One consequence of natural variation is that two samples drawn by the same method from the same population will give somewhat different estimates of the population parameters (sampling variation). Understanding variation Statistics deals with discriminating between variation that is scientifically interesting and variation that just reflects background variation.