Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 10 Chapter 10: Welfare Economics as Social Ethics: Economic Support and Critiques of Market Outcomes The man who chooses to work longer to gain an income more than sufficient for his basic needs prefers some extra goods or services to the leisure and activities he could perform during the possible nonworking hours; whereas the man who chooses not to work the extra time prefers the leisure activities to the extra goods or services he could acquire by working more. Given this, if it would be illegitimate for a tax system to seize some of a man’s leisure (forced labor) for the purpose of serving the needy , how can it be legitimate for a tax system to seize some of a man’s goods for that purpose? Why should we treat the man whose happiness requires certain material goods or services differently from the man whose preferences and desires make such goods unnecessary for his happiness? [Nozick, Robert (1974 / 2013-11-12). Anarchy, State, and Utopia (p. 170). Basic Books. Kindle Edition.] I. Introduction: Welfare Economics as Social Philosophy During the late nineteenth century the marginal revolution took place in economics with a series of new analytical devices introduced that allowed geometric and mathematical representations of markets to be undertaken. Those devices include utility functions, indifference curves, demand and supply curves, profit maximizing models of a firm’s output decisions, and new price-driven theories of general equilibrium. All these innovations where generalized and deepened during the twentieth century, a the standard neoclassical “tool bag” was assembled and sharpened. The same might be said of the tools of welfare economics which represented new more abstract mathematical representations of utilitarian principles. Sedgewick and Pigou were a pioneers in efforts to join the utilitarian system to the new neoclassical economic analytical devices. After WWII, Ronald Coase and James Buchanan showed how the same tools could be used to think about bargaining and therefore could be used for contractarian as well as utilitarian analysis.104 Chapter 7 used these tools to illustrate the impact that private codes of conduct tend to have on market equilibrium. This chapter illustrates how the neoclassical approach can be (and has been) used by utilitarians and contractarians to assess the merits of particular market outcomes. Contemporary welfare economics, for the most part, relies upon utilitarian and contractarian theories as the foundation of their assessments of market performance, although they do not often refer to references on utilitarianism, beyond those of economists such Pigou or Samuelson. That is not to say that economists interested in welfare economics routinely estimate social utility or suggest social contracts, but it is to say that the techniques used have their foundations in those broad social ethical theories. There remains an overlap between the work of economists and philosophers, but it occurs in the most philosophical work by economists, 104 The precision of the new geometric and mathematical analyses exaggerates their ability to shed light on economic and social activities, but may important insights were developed using the neoclassical approach. Indeed, the precision associated with the new analysis caused the older more philosophical and historical approaches of nineteenth century economics to gradually disappeared from mainstream economics. page 152 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 10 as with Harsanyi, Hayek, and Buchanan and among the subset of philosophers interested in institutional choice, as with Rawls, Nozick, and Skyrms. II. The Neoclassical Debt to Utilitarian Analysis and Contributions to Utilitarianism Many of the leading utilitarians of the nineteenth century are also highly regarded for their contributions to economics. Bentham, Mill, and Sidgwick, for example, all made significant contributions to economics and wrote principles of political economy books. Mill’s textbook was among the most used in the English speaking world during the mid nineteenth century. Thus, most economists trained in the nineteenth century could be regarded as students of Mill. The utility concept became an important part of the analytical tool back of economics as the diminishing marginal utility concept was used to explain the diamond-water paradox. The utility concept was also used to illustrate the existence of gains to trade and as a basis for explaining the thought process of consumer demand. Pigou, the founder of welfare economics was clearly influenced by utilitarian thought and used it extensively in his normative analysis of the distribution of income, as noted in the previous chapter. His discussion of economic welfare and the national dividend both had utilitarian foundations, that is to say the reflected an interest in maximizing aggregate satisfaction or utility. Mathematical representations of utility as with utility functions allowed aggregate utility to be clearly represented and subsequent development of social welfare functions were simple generalizations of the Bentham aggregate utility principle. They allowed functional forms of aggregate utility (aggregate social welfare) to be used as well as Bentham’s. The contractarian approach is less obviously associated with neoclassical economics, in part because it had fades so much during the nineteenth century. Nonetheless, insofar as exchange is supported because of its voluntariness, the existence of gains to trade and institutions for 105 realizing them can be supported by voluntariness based arguments, which bear more than a passing resemblance to contractarian theories. It is not necessary to add up mental states or compare them to conclude that that society of two is improved by institutions that promote voluntary exchange. The various Pareto principles formalize this non-utilitarian intuition. One state of the world (A) is better than or Pareto superior to another (B), if at least one person prefers A to B and no one prefers B to A. Such is normally the consequence of any enterprise adopted through contract or unanimous agreement. Exchange demonstrates that each participant prefers the result after the exchange to that before the exchange. Assuming that no one is harmed by the transaction, the result can be regarded as an improvement. Shortly after WWII, James Buchanan seems to have more or less rediscovered the contractarian approach as he wrestled with his many methodological concerns with mainstream welfare economics.105 Rawls also seems to have gravitated toward the contractarian approach in the same period as a solution to problems of utilitarianism. III. Neoclassical Analysis of Market Exchange and Institutions from Utilitarian and Contractarian Perspectives Insofar as neoclassical economics and utilitarianism emerged simultaneously during the nineteenth century and was substantially the product of the same minds, it is not surprising that utilitarian assessments of economic activities lend themselves to illustration with neoclassical geometry. Contractarian analysis of markets and institutions arose later, but also benefited from the same general collection of analytical devices. Both Rawls and Buchanan routinely use neoclassical concepts and geometry to assess the relative merits of alternative legal and political institutions. A. Mutual Gains to Trade Economists tend to take a materialistic view of utility rather than a philosophical one. The consumption of real goods and services generates For the course of Buchanan’s contractarian intellectual development, see Congleton 2014. page 153 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 10 utility, rather than ethical conduct. Given this pragmatic assessment of the interests of most consumers and the assumptions that tastes are complete and transitive, it is possible to characterize utility as a function of combinations of goods consumed at a moment in time or over a lifetime, U= u(X, Y, Z, ...) . Such functions can be graphed in the same way that any other can, if one makes assumptions about the manner in which utility is generated by goods. For example, it is normally assumed that goods exhibit diminishing marginal utility, that each successive unit of a good generates less and less additional utility. This implies that marginal utility curves are downward sloping. If the consumption of one good does not affect the marginal utility of any others, this assumption is sufficient to prove that demand curves slope downward and that the utility function itself is strictly concave.106 Figure 10.1: Trading Goods X and Y ZF 2 3 potential gains to trade 1 Vilfredo 106 Zv Francis For many purposes a two dimensional choice setting is sufficient to illustrate the main implications of decision making by utility maximizing persons--what economists usually mean by rational persons. A function U=u(X,Z) can be represented in a two dimensional diagram by graphing all the combinations of X and Z that generate a particular utility level. Each such line or curve is called an indifference curve. The “higher” an indifference curve a person can reach, the higher is their utility and therefore their welfare or happiness. In 1881, an economists named Francis Edgeworth realized that one could represent gains to trade from such curves, and in 1906 Vilfredo Pareto realized that one could form a box by representing two persons in a setting in which given amounts of two goods are divided between two persons. The result was called an Edgeworth box. It can be used to illustrate the idea of mutual gains to trade from both utilitarian and contractarian perspectives. Suppose that the two goods are divided up as at position 1, where both Francis and Vilfredo have positive quantities of the goods. Note that Francis become better off (reaches higher indifference curves and there for utility levels) as divisions of the good move to the south west and Vilfredo become better off as divisions of the two goods move to the northeast. Although this would seem to place them in conflict with each other, it turns out that at many points in the box both parties can simultaneously be made better off, by shifting one resource (Z) from Francis to Vilfredo while shifting some of the other resource (X) from Vilfredo to Francis. Note that any point in the lens shaped area labeled gains to trade will simultaneously place both Vilfredo and Francis on a higher indifference curve. The Edgeworth box demonstrates that there unrealized mutual gains to trade that exist at a wide variety of initial allocations, as with ones similar to division 1 and also for polar ones similar to division 2. Both persons would benefit from terms of trade that would move them from 1 to 3. Self If the consumption level of one good increases the marginal utility of other goods, demand curves will also always slope downward. If it reduces the marginal utility of other goods ,there are cases in which a demand curve may be upward sloping for some part of its range. Strict concavity is a useful mathematical property in maximization exercises. It implies that a function can have at most one maximum. In geometric representations of utility functions with indifference curves, strict concavity implies that the indifference curves are “c-shaped” as drawn in most intermediate microeconomic text books. page 154 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 10 interest is sufficient to induce trade in such cases, if one assumes that the original division is protected in some way by norms or civil law, so that theft does not pay. Note that the fact that higher indifference curves can be reached also implies that aggregate utility is not maximized at all possible divisions of resources. Utilitarians can thus could propose a wide variety of alternative divisions of the resources that increase aggregate utility. And, as argued by Bentham, any voluntary exchange that takes place will increase social utility. The Edgeworth box also demonstrates an important difference between the contractarian and utilitarian norms. Gains to trade are exhausted when divisions reach points along the wavy line running from Francis’ corner to Vilfredo’s corner. At those points, no further voluntary transactions will take place. Individual utility levels vary along that line (the contract line) and thus it is likely that total utility does as well. Utilitarians would thus be prepared to force moves along the contract curve to a point where aggregate utility is maximized. Such calculations, of course, require knowing utility levels for each person for each of the divisions that are feasible. If, however, Vilfredo and Francis can be assumed to have identical utility functions (a convenient, but unrealistic assumption), then the division at the exact center of the box will both be on the contract curve and maximize aggregate utility. Except in that one case, precise measures of utility are necessary to determine the best utilitarian allocation. For a contractarian, the issue is not between allocations per se, but between allocating systems, voluntary exchange, some other system ,or some combination of the two. Alternatives might include random divisions of the resources, equal divisions, or combinations of one of these systems. For example, the X and Z may be initially be divided equally and trade allowed after that initial division. It is clear that a composite system that includes exchange would be preferred to a simple allocative rule from behind a veil, because it can make all parties better off and cannot make anyone worse off--ignoring cases of envy or malice, as usually done in such illustrating exercises. This composite system satisfies Rawls’ maximin criteria (difference principle) in the circumstances of an Edgeworth box, and is also consistent with Buchanan’s veil of uncertainty when initial allocations are not characterized by the status quo ante.107 Given a choice between systems in which most ownership rights are alienable or not, there would be unanimous agreement to accept alienable ownership rights, because this allows potential gains from trades to be realized by all parties. In contrast, if the initial allocations are known beforehand, redistribution will tend to be vetoed by those with initially larger endowments. The pure exchange model can be and has been generalized in a number of ways. For example, generalized exchange models have been used to prove the first fundamental theorem of welfare economics, that in a market in which firms and consumers are both price takers and there are no externalities, as normally assumed for competitive markets, market equilibria are Pareto efficient. However, the Edgeworth box illustration demonstrates that Pareto optimality alone is not a sufficient condition for maximizing social utility nor is ex post Pareto efficiency sufficient to assure Contractarian support for the institutions that produce specific outcomes. Surprisingly, the Pareto criteria are not directly relevant to either utilitarian or contractarian assessments of the relative merits of markets in fixed resources environments. Issues in distributive justice are explored in greater depth later in this chapter. Other feasibility issues are examined below and in the next chapter. IV. Monetized Indicators of Welfare: The Geometry and Logic of Net Benefit Analysis Figure 10.2 illustrates why economists from Pigou forward have been comfortable shifting from utility based analysis to dollar based 107 A similar rule might be adopted by utilitarians if the specific utility functions of the two individuals are known only probabilistically and cannot be assumed to be identical. Harsanyi (195x, 1976). He also suggest that some persons may be dropped from a social welfare function, namely those with antisocial or illegitimate preferences. page 155 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 10 analysis. In many cases, money values for ouputs--as with GDP--and money representations of net benefits--as with cost benefit analysis--allow sharper conclusions to be reached using measurable monetary indicators of welfare than can be deduced from abstract utilitarian analysis. Besides being linked to tangible phenomena, analysis using net-benefits can be easily undertaken with the graphic tools of introductory economics. This section illustrates three of the core results and discusses their relevance for utilitarian and contractarian analysis of markets. A. Social Net Benefits and the Efficiency of Competitive Markets On widely monetary representation for aggregate utility is concept of the social net benefits. It is simply the total benefits in dollars less the total cost associated with some outcome, often an output level or public policy. Social benefits are simply the highest amount that a person is willing to have quantity Q rather than 0 of the good or service of interest. Total cost is simply the production cost of the good or service, which is an indicator of the opportunity cost of production, although that is not important for the calculation of social net benefits. In cases, in which all persons are identical there will be a one to one correspondence between social net benefits and aggregate Benthamite utility for given utility functions. In other cases, as in that above, other assumptions are necessary to assure an exact correspondence, although these are normally ignored for reasons suggested by Pigou. one thing is desired by a person more keenly than another, it is said to possess a greater utility to that person. [Pigou, A.C. (1920 / 2013-11-15). The Economics of Welfare (Kindle Locations 483-486). It is a matter of great convenience for elementary welfare economics that the social marginal benefits of consumption can be represented with market demand curves and the marginal social cost of production with market supply curves, under conditions that are not much stronger than those required to derive them in the first place. This implies that areas between those curves correspond to social net benefits, as long as all the benefits from this product accrue to consumers in this market and production costs are fully accounted for by each firm’s own cost functions for this market. In that case, it can be easily shown that competitive markets tend to produce output levels that maximize social net benefits, and thus maximize each product’s separate contribution to aggregate utility, which in turn tends to maximize aggregate utility, other things being equal. Figure 10.2 illustrates ordinary demand and supply curves, which can be interpreted as curves representing industry marginal cost and consumer marginal benefits with more or less usual neoclassical assumptions.108 Market prices adjust to equate the quantity demanded with the quantity supplied in both the short run and long run. [T]he money which a person is prepared to offer for a thing measures directly, not the satisfaction he will get from the thing, but the intensity of his desire for it. This distinction, obvious when stated, has been somewhat obscured for English speaking students by the employment of the term utility —which naturally carries an association with satisfaction— to represent intensity of desire. Thus, when 108 The supply curve is assumed to represent a Ricaradian market in which suppliers have different cost functions and so most producers earn profits--e.g. net benefits from their production choices. In the long run MC=MR = P (in equilibrium) at the output produced by each firm and MR>MC over the range below that output. Demand curves that represent marginal benefits of consumers can be derived either in the Hicksian manner from utility functions, or perhaps better and more general for the purposes of this exercise from individual marginal benefit curves directly. In this case MB = MC = P (in equilibrium) and MB>MC over most of the range of consumption and so consumer surplus is realized. page 156 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 10 From a contractarian perspective, the above diagram can be used in a Interpreted as a long run equilibrium, consumers realize consumer surplus equal to area 1 and firms earn long term profits equal to area 2. The total cost of production is area 3. In a market without externalities, all the relevant costs and benefits for a single market are characterized by the demand and supply curves and in that case the demand and supply curves can be interpreted as social marginal benefit and social marginal cost curves. Maximizing social net benefits in the usual case where there is a unique interior maximum requires an output level, Q**, where SMB(Q**) equals SMC(Q**). Insofar as prices adjust to clear the market, this is the output normally produced by competitive markets. Subject to various caveats, Figure 10.3 thus demonstrates that markets tend to maximize aggregate utility. This contrasts with the more general Edgeworth box representation of exchange, where voluntary exchange does not necessarily maximize the sum of the utilities for the traders involved.109 However, in this case, markets simultaneously solve the production and the distributive problems in a manner approximately maximizes aggregate utility, other things being equal. The market outcome also divides up the net social benefits between firms and consumers based on price and the slopes the relevant demand and supply curves. In these widely used diagrams, it is essentially assumed that net benefits are the same for each person or firm, and being denominated in dollars, they can be simply added up. A dollar of net benefits is a dollar of net benefits, and social net benefits are simply profits plus consumer surplus. Such cost-benefit calculations clearly are in the spirit of utilitarian analysis, and they make it possible to measure and add up net benefits across individuals because dollars, prices, and outputs are observable cardinal numbers, whereas “utils” are not. 109 Figure 10.2 Market Equilibrium $/Q S=MCi=SMC 1 P* 2 3 D=MBc=SMB Q*=Q** Q variety of ways. At the institutional level, the fact that no further gains from trade exist at the competitive equilibrium implies that no other institution can generate additional net benefits for consumers and producers beyond those generated by competitive markets. Distributional issues, however, are more difficult to analyze. Whether these are important or not depends on the contractarian perspective adopted. From behind the veil of ignorance or veil of uncertainty, risk neutral citizens would accept any system that maximizes aggregate social net benefits are maximized. Such persons are indifferent about distributional matters. Institutions that produce competitive markets would thus be supported. However, if citizens are risk averse or maximin optimizers as in Rawls’ analysis, distributional considerations are important. In such cases, the contractarian case for markets is less clear, as is evident in Rawls’ discussion.110 It bears noting that the informational assumptions of the partial equilibrium mode of analysis are far less demanding than those required for the pure utilitarian approach and for some versions of the pure contractarian approach, which require a general equilibrium perspective. The Pareto efficiency of competitive market outcomes is easier to demonstrate and requires far fewer assumptions. See Varian (xxxx) for a illustrating proof. Figure 10.3 can also be used to demonstrate the fundamental theorem of welfare economics. Net gains to trade exist for all units produced having a marginal benefit greater than its marginal cost. Such potential gains exist for all units up to Q*, and for none afterwards. At the market equilibrium, all potential gains to trade are realized and no changes in output or price are possible that would make one person better off without making another worse off. 110 Rawls (xxxx) suggests that competitive markets are compatible with the principle of equal liberty, but not usually with the difference principle. page 157 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 10 No mind reading is required; nor is it necessary to have a complete model of the economic and social universe in order to understand the ramifications of this market’s relationship to all others or all other possibilities. However, the partial equilibrium approach it cannot fully address distributional issues, nor do the strong results of this lean representation of market processes apply directly to markets that are not fully competitive or which have spillover costs. B. Monopoly The other extreme in the neoclassical spectrum of market types is a pure monopoly. This is a firm that has market power in that it can set prices and faces its own distinct demand curve. In the real world, these conditions are met by a wide range of local retail stores, although with internet shopping and efficient shipping, there are arguably fewer such retail stores than there used to be. There are two forms of monopoly of interest, first the standard text variety that sells all of its output at a single price and second a price discriminating monopoly that sells its output at different prices. Both can be analyzed with figure 10.3 below. Figure 10.3 Monopoly Equilibrium $/Q P* MCi=SMC 1 2 3 4 MR Q* Q** D=MBc=SMB Q In the case in which a monopolist a monopolist sells all of its output at a single price, it will take account of the effect that price has on revenues and costs and select the output where marginal revenue (MR) equals its marginal cost (MCi). That point is labeled Q* in the diagram. The area between the demand curve and the monopoly’s marginal cost curve again represents social net benefits. However, in this case, they are not maximized at the market equilibrium. That, as before, requires social marginal costs to equal social marginal benefits which occurs at Q**. Although consumers and firms again benefit from exchange and so aggregate social utility rises and social net benefits are realized as units of this good or service are sold, total output is less than ideal. There are unproduced units that would have added still more to aggregate utility or social net benefits, namely those between Q** and Q*. Social net benefits equal to area 4 are possible, but not realized. This area is normally called the deadweight cost of monopoly in textbooks. A perfectly price discriminating monopolist sells every successive unit of its output for the highest price that consumers are willing to pay for them. In this case, the firm’s marginal revenue curve is the same as the demand curve and output Q** will be produced. This case is difficult to motivate for consumers, since they realize no net benefits from their purchases; nonetheless, it represents the limit of what price discrimination can achieve for monopolists. In that limiting case, the social net benefit maximizing output is produced by the monopolist and all the net benefits of trade are realized by monopolists. Utilitarians would oppose monopolies that fail to realize all social net benefits insofar as aggregate utility rises with social net benefits. In addition to the output effects there is a distributional affect that would concern utilitarians. Social net benefits are shifted from consumers to firm owners, who are on average wealthier than consumers. This also tends to reduce aggregate utility. Note that this effect is larger in the case of a perfectly price discriminating monopolist, although the output level is the optimal one. As a consequence, utilitarians favor replacing monopoly markets with competitive ones, whenever this is possible. Utilitarians thus have historically opposed the creation of monopoly privileges by governments and favored antitrust policies. page 158 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 10 Contractarian analysis is similar in this case, although institutional issues tend to arise. The contractarian case against the creation of monopoly privileges is clear. Total net gains from trade (social net benefits) decrease and the distribution of net benefits is more concentrated relative to competitive markets. Thus, the case against the creation of monopoly privileges is clear. The case in favor of antitrust is less clear, because it may require restrictions on core civil institutions or interfere with the equal liberty principle in the case of Rawls’ analysis. However, some limits on the use of property or contracts are evidently permissible (as with selling oneself into slavery), and so rules against cartel agreements and the like are compatible with contractarian analysis, although more problematic because grounding institutions and laws rather than regulation is normally the focus of contractarian analysis. It bears noting that many other normative theories have also opposed monopoly while supporting competition as with La Courts (1662) comments on monopolies as relatively inefficient organizations or Smith’s (1776) many comments on monopoly and conspiracies to control trade in his Wealth of Nation. [N]o members of those guilds, under what pretext soever, can be countenanced or indulged in their monopoly, or charter, but by the excluding of all other inhabitants, and consequently to the hindrance of their country’s prosperity. For how much soever those members sell their pains or commodities dearer than if that trade or occupation was open or free, all the other better inhabitants that gain their subsistance immediately, or by consequence by a foreign consumption, must bear that loss. [Pieter de la Court (1662) The True Interest and Political Maxims of the Republic of Holland. Liberty Fund (p.78).] People of the same trade seldom meet together, even for merriment and diversion, but the conversation ends in a conspiracy against the public, or in some contrivance to raise prices. It is impossible indeed to prevent such meetings, by any law which either could be executed, or would be consistent with liberty and justice. But though the law cannot hinder people of the same trade from sometimes assembling together, it ought to do nothing to facilitate such assemblies; much less to render them necessary. [Smith, Adam (1776 / 2010-03-23). Wealth of Nations: Full and Fine Text of 1776 Edition (p. 90). . Kindle Edition.] Normative support for free trade and markets does not usually include support for monopoly. C. Externality Problems Another critical assumption of the neoclassical case in favor of markets is that all relevant costs are included in producer accounts. This is often not the case, because some inputs are not paid for or only partly paid for. Examples include the cost of air, water, and transport, whether used as inputs or to disperse unwanted (unmarketable) outputs. In some settings, these additional factors of production are not scarce resources, in which case their absence on company spreadsheets does not change the results of the previous analyses. Roads may have substantial excess capacity or the air and water circulation systems sufficient capacity to be used without affecting others. However, in many cases, these resources are used in their “congestion zones,” where additional use imposes costs on others, as with highway congestion, unpleasant odors, and health risks imposed on others. Such “external” costs have to be accounted for when calculating social marginal cost. Such usage became more common with the advent of capitalism in the nineteenth century because both urbanization and the scale of production increased enormously. Figure 10.4 illustrates the problem associated with external costs. In this case the market supply curve no longer includes all production costs and the external ones (MCx) have to be added to industry marginal costs (MCi) to determine social marginal costs (SMC). The market equilibrium is at the output level that equates the quantity supplied with the quantity demanded, Q*. But the social net benefit outcome is somewhat less when page 159 Figure 10.4 Market Equilibrium and Externalities Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 10 SMC= MCi+MCx $/Q all costs are taken account of, Q**. The social net benefits of this product are smaller than markets would lead one to believe.. Again, insofar as social net benefits correspond to aggregate utility, utilitarians would intervene to improve the result generated by the market. For example, they might support the possibility of law suits in civil law (torts) to recover damages from such external costs. Or, in cases in which court assignments of damages are unlikely to produce optimal results, they might, as Pigou did, favor excise taxes on this product equal to marginal spillover damages at Q**. Such steps can induce firms and consumers to “internalize” the external costs generated by the demand and supply of this product.111 Contractarian analysis tends to focus on grounding institutions rather than regulation, which is a “post constitutional” matter, to be decided through political and legal processes. At the level of grounding law, in recognition of such damages they would also support a civil law code that allows damages to be recovered by those damaged. Such a code might allow for class action suits or punitive damage awards to account for the difficulty of bring small cases to court. Other matters would be left to the post-constitutional political system, which is analyzed in the next chapter. V. Critiques of the Market-Based Distribution of Income Within a perfectly competitive market framework, wages reflect marginal revenue products of the persons employed, and inequality in wages reflects inequality in marginal products. Some persons are stronger, smarter, better educated, and entrepreneurial than others. Differences in the distribution of wealth reflects inheritance (initial endowments), differences in marginal product, differences in savings rates, and luck. Additional inequalities tend to be induced by monopoly power. Inequality associated with differences in marginal product or working conditions tend to increase aggregate output. Those associated with inherited wealth and monopoly power do not necessarily have a similar role, although relatively wealth persons tend to save more which promotes capital formation. 111 S=MCi P* MCx D=MBc=SMB Q** Q* Q As demonstrated below, both utilitarians and contractarians will favor some inequality in settings in which resources are produced. Incentive effects matter. In a world of equals, institutions that maximize per capita GNP tend to maximize average utility. Insofar as commercial societies have higher per capita GNPs than all societies, this provides macro-ethical support for market systems as a whole. In a setting of equally productive persons, the distribution of income simply reflects choices in the pursuit of goals other than income. Nonetheless, in settings in which productivity varies among persons in the society of interest, both utilitarian and contractarian logic can be used to support large scale interventions in the distribution of income produced by markets. A. Utilitarian: Efficiency and Distributional Tradeoffs Support for a welfare state in combination with relatively open markets is one possible contemporary utilitarian response the inequality generated by markets. This line of argument stretches back through Pigou, Sidgwick, to Mill, although the extent of the redistribution justified has increased substantially through time. To illustrate the utilarian case for redistribution, imagine a society with N high productivity persons and M low productivity persons. Under a market based allocation, each persons is paid according to their natural marginal product and so members of the high marginal product group is paid more than the low marginal product group, consumes more and so realized higher utility levels. Spillover benefits, in contrast, have no routine remedy in civil law. In those cases, Pigou would recommend appropriate subsidies. page 160 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 10 Now assume that a utilitarian redistribution is to be undertaken. A proportional consumption tax imposed on the high productivity persons and used to provide a proportional consumption subsidy for the low productivity persons. As the tax increases, the high marginal product person engage in more leisure, and their material consumption diminishes because of the effects of reduced effort and higher taxes. On the other side of the utilitarian balance sheet, utility accrues to low marginal product persons, who may also work less but receive sufficient additional consumption from the subsidy that their utility increases. Note that GNP falls, because both groups tend to work less hard, but aggregate utility increases. Represented as an equation, aggregate utility is just W = NUh(t) + MU (s(t)). Differentiating with respect to t and setting the result equal to zero yields NUt = MUsst. The tax and transfer system should take place until the marginal losses from the high productivity persons equals the marginal gains in utility of the low productivity persons. Figure 10.5 l Figure 10.5 A Utilitarian Tax and Transfer Scheme u/% SMC=N MUt 1 2 SMB=M MUs t** 112 tax illustrates the essential logic of the utilitarian case for such a redistributive program.112 The net increase in aggregate utility is 1, which comes at a cost of area 2 borne by the high marginal productivity group. Aggregate utility increases because of diminishing marginal utility. The lost utility from consumption by the high marginal product group is smaller than that gained by the low marginal product group. . The optimal tax varies with the group sizes and with the difference in marginal utilities at the market equilibrium (without tax or subsidies). Note also, that as in the case developed below for figure 10.6, that simply dividing up the joint output between each group would have a much different result than this tax and transfer program. The group choices are analogous to those of choices 2 and 4 in figure 10.2, and the result after the after tax and transfer result is analogous to that of outcome 3. A simple share the output rule would generate a result similar to that of 1. Insofar as market systems are regarded to maximize total consumption, this tax and transfer system is fundamentally grounded in markets, and may be regarded to support the commercial society, although the government intervenes to redistribute income, given the properties of the labor markets. The goal of most welfare-state utilitarians is not to replace markets, but to modify them at the margin so that social utility is increased. For many utilitarians, such tax-transfer systems are analogous to Pigovian taxes. B. Contractarian: From Maximin to Maximal Contractarians differ in their concern for redistribution because of differences in the presumed “initial position” and in the risk aversion of those negotiating over fundamental institutions. Contemporary contractarians use a methodology similar to that of the utilitarians, in that it This result is based on the following simple model .The high productivity person makes a labor leisure decision that maximizes U = u(T-L, (1-t)ch(L)), where T is the time available to distribute between labor and leisure, t is the tax rate, and ch is the high productivity persons production function. The low productivity persons maximizes U=u(T-L, (1+s)cl(L)). The utilities at their solutions are U*=uh(T-L*, (1-t)c(L*)) and U*=ul(T-L*, (1-s)cL*)) for the high and low productivity persons respectively, which can be written as U(t)) and U(s(t)) as above in the text, for a given T. The balanced budget constraint requires revenues to equal subsidies, t N ch(Lh*) = s M cl(Ll*). page 161 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 10 global and assumes rational individuals, but their goal is to establish grounding rules for society rather than particular outcomes. To that end, they have attempted to develop analytical devices that can identify points of agreement among individuals. In Buchanan’s case, the point of departure is a well understood status quo from which a constitutional solution to some problem or set of problems is to be devised. It could be the Hobbesian jungle or it could be today’s American society. In either case the problem is the same, to develop rules that advance common interests. If such rules can be agreed to the result is an improvement. One can only be sure that society is better off, through agreement. If the point of departure is a market with a standard neoclassical equilibrium, with wages equal to marginal value product, and not externalities, there is no prospect for a Pareto improvement (recall the first theorem of welfare economics) and so no redistributive agreement would occur--unless the persons in a community were altruists. A community of altruists might conceivably agree to redistribute income from the most productive to the least, because their , who would themselves be benefited by shifting income from the most productive to the least productive. A community of pure altruists might, for example, agree to the tax and transfer scheme developed above for utilitarians. Their interest in redistribution, however, is not moral, but simply Smithian fellow-feeling. They have internalized the benefits that the poor would receive from their alms. In cases in which individuals were only self interested and property secure, the Buchanan approach would not generate an agreement to alter the distribution of income. Rawls’ approach differs from that of Buchanan in that he s more concerned with creating a just society from scratch than in improving an existing one. His reliance on a veil of ignorance, in which one does not know his or her place in the society that follows, but has complete knowledge of how social systems operate, is likely to generate agreements favoring shifts away from a competitive equilibrium. For example, suppose that do know whether you will be a high productivity or low productivity 113 person in our illustrative two-type society. One might know the odds of being a high productivity persons (N/[N+M]), in which case one would want to maximize one’s expected utility in the society that will follow the adoption of a competitive market system augmented with a tax and transfer system. This calculation looks very similar to the utilitarian one above, which implies universal agreement on something like the utilitarian program.113 The minimax principle, suggests that rather than maximize the average result one should focus all of one’s attention on the worst one and attempt to make that as good as possible. Rawls uses this principle to block possibilities of slavery and of assassinations for body parts, both of which are conceptually consistent with utilitarianism. In many settings it will also imply greater transfers or a higher safety net than the utilitarian calculus does. It bears noting that Rawls’ maximin principle is not a consequence of the veil of interest but rather of the assumed inner sense of justice that people bring to the veil. It is this which produces both the equil liberty principle and the maximin principle. Rawls’ spends a good deal of the revised version of A Theory of Justice defending it from various attacks in the two decades after he introduced it, including the one that it represents an extreme assumption about risk aversion. Harsanyi (1976), for example, regards the minimax principle as a “highly irrational decision rule,” and provides a defense of the maximize average utility idea. C. Distributive Justice as a Consequence of Process rather than Outcomes Although the two main social normative theories used by economists can be used to defend and challenge the moral properties of markets, other less used theories can as well. Private ethical theories may not be able to--or interested in--assessing the merits of social systems but they can be used to evaluate market outcomes. The following quote from Nozick provides much of the logic of the private ethics approach to judging market and other outcomes. Harsanyi (1976) for this reason refers to this sort of calculation as a utilitarian, although much of his reasoning is otherwise similar to Rawls. He advocates a form of utilitarian calculation that he refers to as rule utilitiarianism, in which strategies are chosen for all, rather than single acts. page 162 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 10 The complete principle of distributive justice would say simply that a distribution is just if everyone is entitled to the holdings they possess under the distribution. A distribution is just if it arises from another just distribution by legitimate means. The legitimate means of moving from one distribution to another are specified by the principle of justice in transfer. [Nozick, Robert (1974 / 2013-11-12). Anarchy, State, and Utopia (p. 151). Basic Books. Kindle Edition.] In other words, if you have come by your income honestly and without coercion, the result is surely just. What matters from this perspective is not the global properties of a social system, but how it emerged and evolves through time. Are the individual acts that generate the system moral? If so then the system may be defended on moral grounds. The difficulty of this approach is that it assumes that the various social and market dilemmas analyzed in the past three chapters are ethically irrelevant. The extent to which their relevance may be acknowledge is only insofar as recognizing a dilemma may lead to a just solution: for example one voluntarily adopted by those trapped in the dilemma. If not, it may be argued that the dilemma does not really exist or that solutions are infeasible. With respect to distributive justice, many private normative theories would accept Nozicks characterization of it as a property of the process that generates the distribution of income (through moral acts or at least ones that are not immoral), rather than the final outcome. D. Distributional Mechanisms, Production, and Welfare As one shifts from the Edgeworth environment in which goods and services are exogenously determined to ones in which some or all of the goods and services of interest are produced with scarce resources including labor, consequence-based normative theories have to take account of the incentive effects of alternative allocation mechanisms. The egalitarian solution to the Edgeworth allocation problem was consistent with utilitarian analysis for the case in which the extent of the resources available 114 are not affected by the manner in which they are distributed. If, however, the size of the Edgeworth box is determined by the manner in which resources are allocated, these effects also have to be taken into account. For example, suppose preferences are identical for leisure (L) and a single produced output (C) that can be produced either alone or by teams. Assume further that a subset of the necessary jobs on teams is unpleasant and that every job on the team is less pleasant than that of solo production, which in turn is less enjoyable than leisure over the full range of choice. In the absence of an internalized work ethic or the like, no one in such circumstances will work for the joy of working. Several allocative mechanisms can be analyzed in this relatively simple production environment. Consider the following four possible rules for distributing the output of a community or firm output among its members. Two are egalitarian rules and the two others are non-egalatiarian rules First, consider the case in which output is always equally shared among all N persons in the community, a solution that satisfied utilitarian norms in the Edgeworth case. In this setting, however, when each potential laborer can independently choose whether to work or not, they will all free ride (shirk rather than work) if the value of 1/N of a unit of the output is worth less than the value of the leisure that has to be sacrificed to produce it.114 The rewards to labor are minimal. In effect the sharing rule operates as a (N-1)/N tax rate on one’s labor output. (2) A second possibility is paying everyone the same hourly wage regardless of where they work. In this case, a single flat hourly wage rate would be paid for all work undertaken, whether on teams or alone. The shirking problem is avoided in this case, because if one does not work, one does not get paid. Work is rewarded, but not the difficulty of it. Given that the displeasure of team production is greater than that of working alone (by assumption), everyone would work alone. Output would be higher than under the equal share of output rule and would vary with the wage rate, insofar as different wage rates elicit different amounts of work and therefore produce more or less goods. There is, of course, a feasibility constraint on possibe wage rates. If NL* hours are worked in total and Other equilibria are possible, although all involve relatively low levels of output in the absence of counterveiling private norms such as personal work ethics.. page 163 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 10 NQ* units of output are produced, wages cannot exceed Q*/L*, the average rate at which output is produced per hour by a typical laborer. The work choice is voluntary and preferences are identical, so work takes place only if it makes each person better off. Aggregate utility consequently tends to be higher under such a universal flat wage system than under an equally shared output system, although output in this case could be said to be shared equally in this case as well, given our assumption about identical individuals. This illustration demonstrates that allocative rules have incentive effects that are relevant for utilitarians and contractarian analysis. (3) A third possibility is to allow wage rates to differ among firms, although wages must be uniform at each firm. Suppose that a person is either paid a wage that is equal to the marginal product of the last hour worked alone or equal to the marginal product of the last hour worked at the factory. Because of the assumed productivity differences, wage rates will be higher at the factories than for solo production. All labor will be attracted to the factories if the productivity advantage of team production is sufficient to more than compensate persons for their less pleasant working conditions. Factory employment dominates if the average productivity of labor in the factory is relatively large or the working conditions are only marginally less attractive than working at home alone. Output again increases, and insofar as the employment choices are all voluntary ones, aggregate utility rises as well. (4) Now suppose that compensating differentials are paid within the factory for more or less pleasant work there. In this case, a somewhat better (more productive) allocation of persons to specialties within the factory takes place and output rises again. It is clear that the result is preferred by each worker to solo production option, because the place of work is freely chosen. If there is no diminution of wage rates caused by this compensation scheme relative to (3), the result again higher aggregate utility, because of 115 higher total output If some wages decrease but output increases, average utility is still likely to rise, although this will depend on the extent to which utility diminishes with income and the wage differences within the factory. Insofar as total output increases and wage differentials are small or diminishing marginal utility small, aggregate and average utility is likely to increase.115 In such cases, the losses of persons bearing pay reductions (in the more pleasant jobs) are more than offset by the persons gaining higher wages (in the less pleasant jobs). Figure 10.6 illustrates the average person’s choices and welfare under these four regimes. Each allocation rule has associated with it a different (average) production possibility frontier (PPF) reflecting how the distributional rules affect the mode of production used. An average PPF is created by dividing every point on the community’s PPFs by N, the number of residents in the community. Along any single PPF, increases in the consumption good require reduced increases in the hours worked. The average PPFs allow the average person’s indifference curves to be used to demonstrate the direction, although not the magnitude, of changes in aggregate utility.116 Figure 10.6 Incentive Effects of Allocative Rules L 1 4 2 3 PPF2 PPF3 PPF4 C Because of team production problems, it is not necessarily the case that output is now maximized (Congleton 1991), only that output is higher than in the previous case because of a more productive allocation of labor across tasks. 116 These comparisons could not be done with a social welfare function indifference curves because of changes in the distribution of income associated with the shift to possibility 4. When defined over aggregate output, each social indifference curve series is based on a particular distribution of goods and services. page 164 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 10 Insofar as markets tend to produce allocations similar to that of 4 in these circumstances, utilitarians would be indifferent between market determination of wage rates and that by the identical choice of an imaginary utilitarian social planner. Both would maximize aggregate utility given the 4 output sharing rules illustrated in the present circumstances. In effect, the social planner would function as the Walrasian auctioneer in such cases. For utilitarians, markets would simply be a method of inducing outcome 4, the pattern of life that yields the highest feasible social utility for the rules examined in this setting. person could be identified and hired to manage this simple economy, because the planner’ wages would reduce the incomes of all persons relative to that available in the market. (The planner and his apparatus would need to be funded through taxes or voluntary contributions, but would not increase output over that produced by markets). It is important to note that the egalitarian utilitarian solution to the Edgeworth box allocation problem is only a special case. Whenever incentive matters, utilitarian analysis takes them into account. The distribution of income is equal among the first three cases, but unequal in the fourth, because of differentials paid to compensate for the unpleasantness of the various jointly productive factory jobs. Moreover, because of incentive effects, egalitarian divisions of aggregate output are no longer the best or “optimal” ones. Wages should vary among and within firms. Note also, that the illustration represents a case in which the magnitude of the observed commercial output (C) is positively correlated with aggregate utility in this setting. Average utility rose in each case as the PPF expanded and the output chosen increased. VI. The contractarian assessment of market wages in this case is similar to the utilitarian one, but for contractarians, the focus of analysis is not the outcome, per se, but on the institutions that induce particular outcomes to emerge. The assumption that the individuals have identical tastes and capacities makes it easy to anticipate the outcomes associated with each rule (which in this case are unique) and so to rank alternative rules or institutions for allocating aggregate output. Insofar as markets realize allocations like 4, the persons in those communities would unanimously prefer the institutions generating that outcome to the others. In this case at least, institutions that assure competitive wages are preferred to equal sharing rules, uniform wage rates, or uniform wage rates by firm or industry. Contractarians would in principle reject the hiring of a utilitarian central planner even if such a Insofar as market supporting ethics--such as the work ethic--generate similar shifts in the various production possibility frontiers, such private virtues would also be supported by utilitarian and contractarian analyses. The Limits of Welfare Economics Social, as opposed to civil and private ethics, attempt to make global claims about society as a whole. Contemporary welfare economics attempts the same types of calculations for economic aspects of society. However, it also includes more modest efforts to evaluate and address specific problems such as air pollution or highway congestion, which are more analogous to the problems addressed by civil ethics. Global assessments are clearly more challenging than the partial equilibrium based analysis of civic or private ethics. First, the informational requirements are enormous. Global utility-based analysis requires knowledge of every single living persons’ utility function, and in some cases those of every person that might ever live. To do so in as exact a manner as the mathematics suggests one might, is clearly impossible unless people are identical and population can be perfectly predicted. Beyond utility functions, one must know the various production possibility frontiers that emerge under different social systems, a matter that is much debated among economists and other social sciences. The specific responses of individuals to the incentives and opportunities of different social systems are empirical rather than matters that can be determined via deduction. There are methodological issues as well. It is one thing to suggest that utility maximizing man and competitive markets are useful analytical constructs that shed light on how well-developed markets operate, and another to say that they represent exactly how such markets operate. Again page 165 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 10 the mathematics associated with contemporary social normative theories tends to exaggerate the precision with which conclusions can be teased out of even rigorous normative theories. The consequences of alternative grounding laws, collective choice methods, and policies can be characterized in analytical models, but rarely conclusively compared. Without precise information, social normative assessments of the relative merits of alternative policies are at best approximations of the ideal. This is not to say that approximations cannot be useful, but it is to say that one should take most conclusions of utilitarian and contractarian analysis with a grain of salt. Applied welfare economics attempts to make the inferences of analytical norms more useful by devising material measures that are correlated with the aims of those theories. Global assessments of economic systems as with per capita real gross national product and unemployment rates provide measures that are likely to be correlated with aggregate utility. Cost-benefit analysis similarly attempts to assess whether aggregate utility rises or fall when a new policy is adopted. The latter cannot happen, of course, unless markets fail to maximize aggregate utility along some its margins. Various survey measures of contentment, optimism and the like can also be employed as indicators of aggregate utility, which allow some of the tools of welfare economics to be tested for their utilitarian validity. If such measures typically improve during booms, when RGDP per capita is increasing rapidly and unemployment is falling, the macro-economic norms can be useful indicators of aggregate utility. In this manner, welfare economics can provide guidance to voters and policy makers that are grounded in sophisticated social normative theories. However, because they are imperfect correlates rather than perfection ones, they cannot be used to characterized a utilitarian utopia or utopian path, nor the perfect social contract or procedures for just redistribution of existing resources. However, they can provide some useful indications of the direction a society should move if its aim is to become such societies. RGNP per capita, for example, is often increased by a well functioning legal system and liberal economic policies.117 However, it cannot really be assumed that all voters are utilitarians or contractarians, nor that those occupying elective and appointed offices are motivated by such theories. Moreover, even if they were so motivated, there would be points of disagreement about the relevance of individual actions (act or rule utilitarians), grounding laws (standing rules or adaptive policies), and just procedures for reform. As examined in the next chapter, social, civil, and private ethical theories may influence the votes cast by voters and therefore the policies adopted by democratic governments. In this manner ethics may be said to provide one of the foundations for public policy in a manner analogous to the ones through which partly determine market outcomes. However, as in the case of market relevant norms, only a subset of normative theories are likely to lend support to policies that reinforce rather than undermine the viability of a commercial society. Similarly, if approval of markets and public policies increases provide evidence of consensus, which in turn provides evidence of the extent to which policies may be regarded as consistent with contractarian norms. High degrees of support imply that a society’s core policies may be regarded to be products of a hypothetical social contract. Procedural forms of distributive justice are similarly affirmed by indices of corruption and crime rates. The higher are those indices, the fewer transactions satisfy procedural norms. 117 See for example: Feld and Voigt ( 2003), Blume and Voigt (2007), and Gwartney, Lawson, and Holcombe (1999). page 166 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 Chapter 11: Ethics and Markets Ethics and Democratic Rule: Legislation and the Commercial Society failure that emerged from the theoretical welfare economics of the 1930s and 1940s. [James Buchanan (1984) “Politics without Romance, in Buchanan, J. M. and R. D. Tollison (Eds.) The Theory of Public Choice II. University of Michigan Press.] I. As long as the reason of man continues fallible, and he is at liberty to exercise it, different opinions will be formed. As long as the connection subsists between his reason and his self-love, his opinions and his passions will have a reciprocal influence on each other; and the former will be objects to which the latter will attach themselves. The diversity in the faculties of men, from which the rights of property originate, is not less an insuperable obstacle to a uniformity of interests. The protection of these faculties is the first object of government. From the protection of different and unequal faculties of acquiring property, the possession of different degrees and kinds of property immediately results; and from the influence of these on the sentiments and views of the respective proprietors, ensues a division of the society into different interests and parties. [Hamilton, Alexander; Jay, John; Madison, James (1980 / 1787/2011-06-09). The Federalist Papers (Annotated) (Kindle Locations 1014-1020). ] Public choice theory has been the avenue through which a romantic and illusory set of notions about the workings of governments and the behavior of persons who govern has been replaced by a set of notions that embody more skepticism about what governments can do and governors will do. ... [P]ublic choice offers a theory of governmental failure that is fully comparable to the theory of market On the Source of Framing and other Laws Affecting the Extent of Commerce Chapter 6 argues that the civil society is partly a consequence of internalized ethics and partly of laws. Ethics can reduce problems of violence, theft, and coordination, but insofar as they do not completely solve these problems, they may have to be supplemented by external rules and punishments to more fully resolve the many social dilemmas associated with life in communities. As Hobbes argued, an organization may be created for this specific task, as with a central government and a judicial system. When the rules enforced simply reinforce the norms already internalized by most members of a community, the laws themselves may have a moral character and be said to be grounded in ethics, as argued by Kant. However, Kant also notes that not all laws are moral laws and there are ethical principles that are rarely codified. A subset of the laws that have moral foundations may said to be said to support commerce, as with the civil laws protecting the possession of real assets and providing for voluntary exchange. Without transferable property rights, trade would be illegal and that which took place would be opposed rather than supported by the law. Without laws against theft and formal punishment of thieves, there would be far more theft and far less production. Farming itself would be nearly impossible as theft would be more economical than plowing, planting, and harvest. Capital goods would also be less likely to be built and refined, if the profits from doing so were open to theft. Just as some ethical systems support commerce, while others oppose it, some laws may undermine the development of extensive markets. For example, Aristotle suspicion of interest when incorporated into law page 167 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 essentially eliminates the banking industry and replaces it with more roundabout methods of saving and finance.118 rules against charging interest on loans reduce prospects for inter-termporal exchange and risk sharing. The emergence of a formal system of laws and law enforcement does not necessarily require a government in the sense of a rule making body with a monopoly on force or law enforcement. A community may form such an organization itself, as for example, meetings of the persons affected by problems gradually become more formally organized (e.g. adopt rules for its own administration and procedures) and enforcement might be routinized, yet remain decentralized. Decisions about new rules or interpretations of old laws may be reached via consensus or majority rule at informal tribal council meetings or assemblies such as the ancient tings of Scandinavia. Such decisionmaking procedures may be codified and considered governments when they combine law choosing and law enforcing authority. Coercive power is not necessarily a precondition for the existence of government.119 The existence of an organization with the ability to intimidate all others through threats of violence is another plausible source of external rules and rule enforcement. Such groups may organize militarily and use its military abilities to impose rules on others. They may in the limit control everything and everyone outside their organizations. Rules in such systems would emerge for the convenience of the ruler making group. The lives of slaves and serfs are normally rule bound. When slavery is not possible or less profitable than more open systems, such despotic groups may impose laws that promote economic development because this ultimately provides them with greater wealth and power than alternatives systems that they know of. Such “stationary bandits” have what Olson (xxxx) terms an encompassing interest in the economic resources of their societies, insofar as wealth does not undermine their authority. Laws that promote economic development increase long term expected government revenues from taxation, rent extraction, and extortion. Nonetheless, one rarely observes well functioning markets in dictatorships. This is evidently due to conflicts between a ruling groups interest in retaining power and its interest in long term generalized economic growth. In most cases, impoverishing one’s enemies and enriching only one’s supporters is a useful strategy. Medieval law was shot through with laws favoring persons, families, and towns that supported the central government, and death penalties for those that did not. Because the emergence of capitalism and democracy in nineteenth century Europe were closely linked, it may be presumed that markets and democracy are inherently reinforcing. However, this depends in part, as shown in this chapter, on the extent to which the ethics of the electorate tends to support commerce. Support for equality before the law, open markets, and political systems are not associated with every system of ethical beliefs or ideology. Neither the rule of law nor ethics, per se, are sufficient to support extensive markets or the commercial society. To demonstrate this point, some elementary public choice ideas need to be introduced. It turns out that ethics, as with self restraint and rule following propensities, are a prerequisite for a functional majoritarian system of governance. Additional ethics are evidently required for mutually supporting democratic-capitalistic system. 118 See Kuran (xxxx) for an overview of the financial methods of Moslem countries in which banking is illegal. See ... for a similar treatment of Europe during the medieval period. 119 Nozick (1974, ch.5) discusses how a centralized enforcement authority might emerge from a society that initially used only informal procedures for self defense, rather than through the imposition of laws by dominate military organization. page 168 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 II. The Feasibility of Majority Rule differences among citizens. After all, some persons can more readily shoulder the burden than others ( 1, 4, 7). Most modern analyses of democracy assume that democratic governance is always feasible. However, a precondition for majority-rule based governance is that it settle on particular rules or policies. The early public choice literature showed that majority rule is not always to makes such choices.120 Internalized ethical theories of various kinds can help avoid that fundamental problem.121 A fourth proposal might account for the fact that the shepherds could benefit from learning the craft of masonry, and, moreover, have more free time available for undertaking the required work. The shepherds have the most to gain, or the least to lose by undertaking most of the work. Indeed, it could be claimed that the merchants were already carrying the burden of expanding the town's cathedral ( 6, 5, 1). To illustrate why widely shared norms may be a precondition for democracy, imagine a village located in a territory where roving bandits exist. The community decides that a defensive wall would solve problems associated with such raiders. Suppose that the wall will cost 12 monets. Now consider efforts to divide the cost of the wall among three groups, shepherds, masons, and merchants. One proposal for financing the wall would be to simply divide up the costs equally among the three groups. Such an apportionment may be plausibly justified from the common interests advanced by the wall. The distribution of the tax burden can be written as (Tshepherd, Tmason, Tmerchant) which in this case is (4, 4, 4). Since all four tax systems are sufficient to finance the public good of interest here, any will serve. Note, that majority rule cannot do so. There is a majoritarian cycle in this case. The first proposal loses to the second, the second by a vote of two to one. The second similarly loses to the third, the third to the fourth, and the fourth to the first. So no decision may actually emerge from democratic deliberations. As a consequence, the town will continued to be ravaged by the roving bandits or may be annexed by the neighboring dictatorship. A second proposal for funding the wall's construction might be based on comparative advantage. Perhaps, the wall should be provided by those best able to provide the needed services, which in this case would be those already skilled at wall construction. Some might argue that "clearly" the middle class masons should be public spirited and construct the wall for the city, ( 2, 8, 2). Another proposal might be developed based on differences in the ability of the townspeople to pay for the wall. Proponents of that view might reason that the community should take account of physical or wealth If only one tax system is supported by a community’s dominant normative theory, the others would be rejected because they yield burdens that are “improper” or “unfair.” For the two groups that benefit from such immoral or unfair proposals, the cost of violating their internalized norms must be greater than their material benefits. Similarly, one could imagine a customary method of finance existing, and deference to custom--the “right way of doing things”--could also serve as a solutoin to the cycling problem. In cases where community norms do not lead directly to particular policy outcomes, norms may limit the domain of policy alternatives in a manner that helps assure stability. For example, a consensus that taxes should be based on ability to pay limits tax systems to a relatively small subset of those which can fund the desired services, although it does not 120 See for example Black (1948) or Arrow (1953). See Mueller (2003) for a useful overview of efforts to explain the existence of stable majority choices. One such expalnation is the existence of an ideological spectrum, which for the purposes of this book can be thought as a spectrum of ethical dispositions insofar as ideologies include normative theories and conclusions. 121 The illustrating examples here and later on redistribution and the poverty trap are slightly modified versions of one from Congleton (2003). page 169 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 imply a unique distribution of tax burdens.122 Cycles may also be curtailed by procedural norms. For example, it may be widely regarded as improper, unfair, or unsportsman-like to reintroduce tax schemes that have already been rejected. the cost sharing rule. Because each anticipated different marginal benefits from the service, their ideal points differ. Such difference may reflect differences in income or simply in the extent to which they expect to use the service. The same logic also implies that the existence of widely-shared norms can also enhance prospects for constitutional building. In effect, shared norms can serve as a super-constitutional foundation for decisive majoritarian decision making at both the constitutional and day-to-day levels of democratic politics.123 These three ideal points can be used to illustrate the process of voting among rational persons. Net benefit maximizing voters with linear marginal benefit and marginal cost curves act as spatial voters, that is to say they will vote in favor of the alternative that is closest to their own ideal point. As drawn, Anthony’s ideal point is the highest of the three (A*), followed by Duncan’s (D*). Gordon prefers 0 over the other possibilities under this cost-sharing arrangement. That ethics and culture for democracy has long been recognized. Tocqueville (1972/1835, p. 319) notes that "the maintenance of democratic institutions in the United States is attributable to the circumstances, the laws, and the customs of that country" while emphasizing that the latter two causes are more important than the former. Ostrom (1998) provides a very complete overview of the role of norms in making collective action both feasible and productive. However, not ethical system supports commerce. Figure 11.1 Selection of a Public Service Level via Majority Rule $/Q MC = SMC MB-A III. The Median Voter and Political Failure Whenever majority rule is decisive, “middle of the road” voters tend to vote with the majority. Under some institutional arrangements the choice that emerge from a sequence of votes or negotiations is the one that most pleases the voter exactly in the middle (the median voter). The former is referred to as the weak form and the latter as the strong form of the median voter theorem. SMB MB-D MC/3 MB-G G* Q**D* A* Q Figure 11.1 illustrates the ideal service levels of three different persons, Anthony, Duncan, and Gordon under an equal cost sharing rule. Each favors the service level that maximizes their own net benefits given 122 Usher (1981) demonstrates that tax systems that preserve the pretax rank order of income tend to be more stable under majority rule than those which do not. 123 Buchanan (1994, ch. 3) argues that norms may emerge as rhetorical devices that get other persons to adopt the behavior that advances the interest of those using the rhetoric. page 170 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 Note that in pair-wise elections, D* can defeat any other alternative, because Duncan is the median voter, the voter whose ideal point is the median of the distribution of ideal points. Anthony and Duncan will vote for D* over any service level below D* and Gordon and Duncan will voter for D* over any service level greater than D*. Thus if D* is on the ballot, it will be the outcome.. The same logic can be extended to any odd number of spatial voters. One can assess the median result using various normative theories. For example, it can be assessed from the utilitarian perspective using tools form welfare economics. If the public service of interest is a pure public good, the the social marginal benefit curve is the vertical sum of the individual marginal benefit curves. If the marginal production cost curve (MC) includes all costs, then it is the social marginal cost curve. Together these imply that social net benefits are maximized at Q**, which in this case is a bit less than the median voter desires.124 The outcome that would have been chosen by a hypothetical “utilitarian social planner” is not likely to emerge from majority rule. Thus, for utilitarians, the choice in a liberal democracy is among allocation by an imperfect market, by an imperfect government, or by some combination of the two. In cases in which outcomes are likely to be improved via majority rule (that is, aggregate utility increased), utilitarians will prefer democratic interventions in markets. For example, if public goods, externality, or monopoly problems are large, it is likely that democratic interventions will increase aggregate utility, even if they do not maximize it. In cases in which the problems are small or democratic interventions are themselves especially problematic, the competitive market outcome is likely to yield greater aggregate utility. With respect to redistribution rather than regulation and public services, their recommendations will also depend on the expected outcomes of majoritarian policies, which are also likely to be imperfect. These are analyze in the next section. Other ethical theories may not reach such sharp looking conclusions, but they also can be used to judge the outcomes of majoritarian decision making. From the point of view of private ethics, some might argue that the effect of this policy on Gordon is unethical. He has been forced t contribute to a service that he does not want given the cost sharing rule. Contractarians. They might insist that if coercion is wrong among private parties it is also wrong in government. Other private ethical theories might note that the taking of revenues from Gordon for use in this project, without his consent, resembles theft among private persons. They might insist that only those that benefit from programs pay for them.125 They might suggest that consensus decisionmaking, when possible, is superior to majority rule.126 From a contractarian point of view, the issue is whether unconstrained majority rule is itself a cause for concern. That is to say, given a cultural and institutional setting in which stable majorities exist, are 124 Note that if public production generated negative externalities, that the social marginal cost curve would be higher than that curve, and so the optimal level of the public service would be lower, as shown for private choices in chapter 10. The early tests of nuclear weapons, for example, left large tracts of radioactive land and generated significant fallout. Military aggression imposes costs on persons living in the area under dispute. Highway, metro, and office construction generates noise and congestion. We ignore such nontrivial externalities here to focus on majoritarian decision making. 125 Astute readers may note that under a Lindahl tax system there would be complete consensus for output level Q**. The point here, however, is simply to point out that in the absense of such taxes, majority rule outcomes can be criticized from a variety of ethical perspectives. This criticism tends to reduce the sphere of government activity. 126 James Buchanan often made this point, insisting on what he called “Wicksellian unanimity” as the proper way to choose public policy. page 171 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 their other constraints or other decision rules that can make the process of choosing policies more broadly acceptable, whether from a given set of individuals or from behind a veil of ignorance or uncertainty. They might, for example, advocate constraints on the taxing or regulatory authority of government to reduce the worse case outcomes of majority rule. For example, contractarians might insist that all government services be funded through such taxes, to the extent that Lindalh benefit taxes feasible. (Note that under a cost sharing rule that set marginal cost shares equal to Anthony’s, Duncan’s and Gordon’s marginal benefits at Q**, there would be unanimous agreement about the service level.) They may also favor other constraints such as a bill of rights to block regulation that is likely to harm minorities, as with censorship of news, and arbitrary creation and enforcement of laws. This may be countered with free press, takings, and due process constitutional laws. With respect to the distribution of income, contractarian perspectives vary with respect to the priority of private property. If a distribution of private property pre exists constitutional negotiations, only altruistic redistribution or social insurance programs would tend to be supported. If not, as in Rawls’ framework, the extent of redistribution favored would depend on the anticipated outcomes of majoritarian redistribution. IV. The Median Voter and Redistribution Both utilitarians and some contractarians favor some redistribution of income by governments; however, in each case, the extent to which a democratic government should be charged with authority to do so depends on the expected results. Redistribution, per se, is not a good. It should either increase aggregate income or increase support for the post-constitutional society. There are several potential problems with majoritarian redistribution. First, there is the cycling problem noted above. An unconstrained redistributional authority tends to generate endless cycles and no choices may actually emerge. Second, if one constrains redistributional policies to particular tax and transfer instruments or 127 assumes that ethical considerations limit the domain of “acceptable” redistribution so that the cycling problem is avoided, too much or too little redistribution may occur. Problems with redistributive choices can be illustrated with a few equations and a diagram.127 Suppose that a majority imposed a uniform tax on everyone’s income of t percent and used the proceeds to make an equal lump sum payment to each person in society. Each voter would then have after tax income of Xi = (1-t)Yi + G, where Yi is voter I’s pretax income, t is the tax rate, and G is the demogrant. Since G is paid for through taxes, NG = tYi which after dividing both sides by N implies that G = tYA , where YA is average income. If individuals act as pragmatic income maximizers, they will favor the tax that sets the marginal benefits from the demogrant equal to their marginal tax cost. However, this equality, perhaps surprisingly, may never occur. Figure 11.2 illustrates the basic mathematical problem under two scenarios. In the first case, taxes do not affect work effort or income in which case the marginal benefit from the tax is simply tYA and its cost is simply Yi. If the voter has below average income, Yi < YA, and the optimal tax is 100%. Such a tax will increase the voter’s income to the average in the community. In the second case, the effect of a tax on work effort and income is taken into account. In this case the marginal benefit of the tax falls as the tax increases because those tax cut back on work effort which shrinks the tax base and the revenues produced to fund the demogrant. It also tends to reduce the marginal cost for voters insofar as he or she too cuts back on work and so pays a smaller tax at the margin. In this case the marginal benefits of taxes is again larger demogrants, but are now MB=YA+tYAt and somewhat lower than before. The marginal cost is now, MC = -Yi +(1+t)Yit. which is higher than before. (A somewhat more general analysis of such a tax system is undertaken in the appendix.) Note that in the first case, pragmatic voters with below average income will prefer a tax rate of 100%. A completely egalitarian society This redistributional program is a slightly simplified version of that used in Meltzer and Richards (1981). page 172 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 results. This would be the case in a manna from heaven society or, perhaps, in a society in which every persons has an extremely strong work ethic. Figure 11.2 The Transfer Poverty Trap MB=YA MB=YA + tYAt i MC = Yi + (1-t) Y t MC = Yi T* 100 Tax Rates In the second case, optimal taxes are likely to be less than a hundred percent for middle income voters with below average income, because of the effects of the tax on the magnitude of transfers at the margin. However, the poorer is the median voter relative to average income, the higher taxes tend to be. The poorer the median voter relative to average income, the more nearly confiscatory taxes tend to be. In such cases, work effort will be low and income also low. In the limit, everyone in the community works just a bit more than sufficient to assure subsistence, and commerce declines to a pittance. Market are unlikely to function well, if at all, in such societies, unless supported by an extremely strong work ethic. One possible solution to the poverty trap is a series of constitutional constraints on taxation similar to those analyzed by Brennan and Buchanan (xxxx). By restricting tax rates and the tax base, such constitutional constraints could reduce the problem. However, there are few if any historical examples of such constraints. Instead what seems to be common within democracies that have an extensive commercial economies is a collection of internalized tax and fairness norms that advance similar purposes. If a majority of voters have a sense of what a fair or appropriate tax rate is and/or norms about appropriate redistribution, the marginal cost of inappropriately high taxes or transfers increases. As one violates such internalized norms, there is a virtue or guilt premium that must be borne. The results, may for example, limit tax rates to less than 50 percent and/or transfers to only the deserving poor, rather than to all persons with below average incomes. Similar tax norms may also be generated through utilitarian or contractarian analysis. Figure 11.3 illustrates the effects of such internalized norms. The norms internalized by moderate voters increase their personal marginal costs for tax and transfer programs by amount v(t), which represents the guilt or reduced self esteem associated with inappropriate taxation or transfers. The stronger and lower the norm, the lower the optimal tax is for the median voter, now represented as t**. The redistributive programs adopted may resemble insurance program more than pure tax and transfer programs, because transfers amy be targeted at persons experiencing bad luck (unemployment and ill health), rather than below average income, per se. It bears noting that such norms may only incidentally affect the size and scope of markets through effects on incentives for work and investment, rather than aim at this result for its own sake. By increasing the marginal cost of tax and transfer programs, such norms reduce tax rates and scope of such programs, which indirectly increase work effort, average income, capital accumulation, and thereby the extent of commerce.128 128 Brennan and Lomaski (xxxx) argue that voters tend to vote expressively, which implies that their moral theories will tend to have greater weight in the voting booth than in ordinary life. Although they are most interested in cases in which problems emerge from such voting behavior, insofar as market supporting ethical theories are applied, page 173 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 domain of public policy. The latter may, in contrast, advance general interests, although disagreements about norms do not assure this. Figure 11.3 Escaping the Transfer Poverty Trap A. Rent Seeking and Rent Seeking Losses i MC = Yi + (1-t) Y t + v(t) MB=YA A MB=Y + tY A t i i MC = Y + (1-t) Y t MC = Yi T** V. T* 100 Tax Rates Privileges, Interest Groups, and Rent Seeking Liberal democracies normally include rights of assembly, petition, and political speech, which in turn allows individuals and groups of individual outside government to conduct persuasive campaigns of various kinds. In some cases, the aim is to promote interests that run counter to those of the majority. In others, persuasive campaigns press for reforms based on shared normative beliefs. Both sorts of campaigns consumer resources. The former does so without increasing social net benefits, thus utilitarians may wish to discourage such activities, which may require further restrictions on the The right to assemble and petition government allows groups to form for all manner of political purposes. Such groups attempt to affect policy indirectly through launching persuasive and ingratiating campaigns The policies of interest are often narrow ones that confer benefits on its members and costs on persons outside the group in the form of more stringent regulations or higher taxes. Commercial groups often lobby for entry barriers of various kinds to shield their firms from competition. Examples include explicit grants of monopoly privilege, tariffs, regulations with grandfather clauses (which impose lower regulations on incumbent firms), licensing, and a variety of subsidies. In many of these cases, there is competition between groups seeking to be the beneficiary of such privileges. In other casess, groups proposing and opposing a new program, tax, fee, license etc. expend resources for opposite purposes. These activities were first analyzed by Tullock in 1967 and were subsequently named rent seeking by Anne Krueger in 1974. To an economist, a rent is an unearned income, rather than the amount paid to use a room or house for a serious of months. Tullock pointed out that resources are consumed by the process of seeking policy reforms without necessarily contributing to the national dividend or social net benefits. Table 11.1 illustrates such a contest. The use of resource in persuasive campaigns that make others worth off also tends to make the participants themselves worse off because such contests tend to escalate. In evenly matched contests of the sort represented, note that each participant would benefit from limiting the extent to which resources can be invested in this process. the results will be policies that are more supportive of markets than self interest alone would have generated. page 174 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 t s e t n o C g n i k e e S t n e R e h T : 1 . 1 1 e l b a T ︵ ︶ ︶ ︶ s t s i y b b o l 0 5 ︶ s t s 0 G i 6 3 y 0 b 1 , , , 3 , 5 b 2 o A 1 L s t s i y b b o l 0 1 s t G 8 5 2 s i y , , , , b A 4 5 6 b n o 0 o d 1 L r o G t s i y 1 b G 6 4 , b , , , 0 6 8 1 o L A 1 t s i y b b o l 1 e y r A ︵ ︵ ︵ ︵ ︶ ︶ ︵ ︵ ︵ ︶ ︵ ︶ ︶ ︶ ︵ In the case of rent seeking per se, those outside the contest are harmed by the results through higher taxes, prices, or less variety--all of which tend to reduce the size and scope of commerce. Perhaps surprisingly, “crony capitalism” tends to reduce the extent of the commercial society.129 B. Ideological Interest of Particular Good ︵ Groups ︶ ︵ ︶ and the Pursuit Societies Contests between ethically motivated groups that attempt to promote their own vision of the good society have similar properties at the level of political active groups. Resources tend to be consumed by the rival efforts of such groups to persuade the public or government officials of the merits of their particular vision of the good society. However, in this case there is the prospect for improvements in the preexisting state. For example, if one such campaign persuades everyone in society that a particular reform is beneficial, it will be reflected in electoral outcomes with near unanimous levels of support. On the other hand, unsuccessful campaigns consume resources without producing benefits and so they may be regarded as analogous to the rent seeking contests, where resources are consumed but without producing net benefits for anyone (assuming that lobbyists are paid approximately their opportunity cost wage). C. Ethics and Rent-Seeking Dilemmas It bears noting that it is often difficult to determine whether a particular group is a narrow or broad interest group, because it is normally useful rhetorically to present oneself as a broad, public spirited, group, rather than as a money grubbing group simply attempting to increase one’s profits at the expense of everyone else. Thus, various ethical narratives are normally part of the persuasive campaigns of most interest groups. Nonetheless, as in the case of other social dilemmas analyzed in chapters 6 and 7, ethical dispositions can reduce the extent to which persons and firms participate in rent seeking contests. Recognition of the costs or of the unethical nature of the transfers that might be gained, my inhibit the efforts of at least a subset of groups and group organizers. Firms, for example, may prefer to earn their money “honestly” rather than as the consequence of a government privilege. In effect such persons behave as if they have internalized the costs of that rent-seeking contests impose on society at large. Such norms would eliminate both rent seeking campaigns and public spirited campaigns clearly doomed to failure, if their long run effects were fully accounted for by participants. If such ethical inhibitions to rent seeking are less than fully internalized, the effects of such norms may still be important. They may reduce the extent to which crony capitalism, protective tariffs and narrow interests groups undermine the commercial society or democracy, thereby improving the overall performance of markets and politics. D. Rules to Restrict the Domain of Public Policy 129 For an accessible overview of the rent-seeking literature see Congleton and Hillman (2015). For a mathematical examination of differences between ideological and pragmatic interest groups see Congleton (1991). page 175 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 Constitutional and other solutions to rent seeking problems typically limit the types of influence that can be exerted. For example, bribery of government officials is normally illegal. procedures and constraints are often supplemented by more abstract duties to advance the general welfare, which are inherently determined by the prevailing ethical beliefs of voters and government officials. One can also attempt to restrict the domain of policy making authority. However, because it is difficult, if not impossible, to distinguish systematically between rent seeking and potentially beneficial idealistic interest groups, rent seeking itself cannot simply be ruled out, given rights to free speech and petition. Moreover, most rent-seekers pretend (or may sincerely believes) that their policies will advance general interests, not merely their share of the national dividend. . In addition to such ethical provisions, most constitutions have significant unwritten parts that are the products of internalized voter and government official norms. The decline of royal power in most Western European countries during the late nineteenth century was only partly the result of forma reforms of their constitutions. For example, until just a few years ago, all laws in Norway were officially proclamations of the king, but the king had long internalized the norm that he would proclaim only what the Norwegian legislature “recommended” to him. Buchanan and Congleton (1998) suggest that generality rules can both stabilize democratic politics and reduce the extent of losses generated from rent seeking activities. Rather than limit rights of speech and petition, governments might, for example, be prohibited from granting monopoly privileges, using differentiated taxes and tariffs, or from adopting regulations unless they have obvious and broad benefits or are adopted as by super majorities. VI. Ethics, Constitutions, and the Rule of Law Just as the regimen of the healthy is not suited to the sick, one must not try to govern a corrupt people by the same Laws as those that suit a good people. Nothing proves these maxims better than the long life of the Republic of Venice, which still retains a simulacrum of existence, solely because its laws are suited only to wicked men. [Rousseau (1997/1755) The Social Contract. p. 135)] Political constitutions describe the procedures used to select persons for government office and the procedures that are to be used by those officials in the course of their official duties, including the creation of new laws and modifications of existing law. In addition, many constitutions have restrictions on the domain of legislation as with rules against censorship, the taking of private property without compensation, and assurances that particular services will be provided. These specific The extent to which written and unwritten laws are followed are partly determined by formal enforcement mechanisms, as with the courts and regular elections and partly with the ethical dispositions of officials and voters. A written constitution can be ignored and elections canceled by rulers who lack an internalized disposition to follow rules and/or in favor of constitutional governance. This has, of course, happened numerous times in the past century in Africa and South America. At the sub-constitutional level of law, the court system has the authority to arrest persons who appear to have violated the law, conduct a trial to determine whether or not the accused has actually done so, and impose punishments if that is the case. At each step in this chain, the law enforcers have to be ethical or themselves fear punishment for their crimes. For example, in the United States, a policeman, district attorney, judge could all, in principle, be bribed or threatened, and the law left unenforced. That ethical dispositions can substitute for formal rules has been mentioned several times in previous chapters. That ethical predispositions are prerequisites to constitutional governance and the rule of law has not been argued to this point. However as the Latin expression, Quis custodiet ipsos custodes? implies, not all the guardians of the law or constitution can be directly policed. The law is most likely to be faithfully enforced if those enforcing it have ethical dispositions that induce them to do so--as a matter of duty--rather than because not doing so may lead to punishment. page 176 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 In general, the further up the chain of responsibility for faithfully enforcing the law one goes, the more difficult it is to punish someone for malfeasance. This is in part because the method of bribery or coercion employed at higher levels tends to be more round about, the trading of favors, the opening or closing of doors of opportunity, job offers and the like. The more subtle the temptations, the more difficult it is to write laws that block them and the harder it is to enforce the laws promulgated. In the justice system, ethical predispositions are arguably more important than in any other area of a political economy system because malfeasance in the application of the law may undermine both political and civil rights. In addition, corruption can be used to undermine the commercial society by producing privileged exemptions from civil law for those with the resources to corrupt government officials and/or threats of over zealous enforcement by the officials themselves to obtain “protection” money or kickbacks. Only a strong sense of duty to enforce the law is likely to be able to resist such temptations and threats. Both ethical theories and practical training emphasize the existence of such duties among citizens and government officials, as with Rawls: There is quite clearly no difficulty in explaining why we are to comply with just laws enacted under a just constitution. In this case the principles of natural duty and the principle of fairness establish he requisite duties and obligations. Citizens generally are bound by the duty of justice and those who have assumed favored offices and positions ..are in addition obligated to do their part by the principle of fairness. [John Rawls (1999) A Theory of Justice. Harvard University Press. Epub edition, page 306.] Without dutiful citizens and government officials, few, if any laws would advance their expressly stated goals, rather they would become opportunities for corruption or extortion. In the absence of ethical dispositions, the result would be a society with less trust and higher 130 transactions costs, as efforts to avoid, rather than seek, formal government law enforcement when laws or contracts are violated.130 VII. Ethics, Democracy, and the Commercial Society All the above suggests that ethics play a variety of roles in democracies that are relevant for commerce. Some laws reduce the risk of commercial transactions, while others increase them. Enforcing the former, helps resolve problems of contract enforcement, while discouraging fraud and theft. Enforcement of the latter, in contrast, may increase risks (as from takings of extortion) or impede trade through tariffs and red tape. Neither democracy nor the rule of law are sufficient conditions for a commercial society to emerge. Rather the market supporting laws have to be favored over market impeding laws by the citizenry , elected officials, and the courts. Thus, just a a subset of ethical beliefs tends to provide private support for extensive commercial networks, so do a subset of ethics with respect to government policies. If the same ethical beliefs that support markets also commonplace in government, one anticipates that market supporting rules and dutiful implication will occur. If not, there may be tensions between government programs, whether well implemented or not, and the legal foundations of capitalist societies. Tax and transfer programs may be larger than compatible with extensive markets. Corruption may promote privileged rather than open markets. Constitutional protections for property, as with takings clauses, may be strong or weak, diligently enforced or neglected. Again, the point is not that societies without market supporting ethical and legal systems are necessarily unethical, but simply that markets without supporting ethical and legal systems will work less well, because risks are higher and rates of return lower. Such efforts may create a parallel system of government, as arguably occurred among the traders and cities of the Hanseatic League in the middle ages. page 177 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 It is interesting to note that both von Mises and Rawls believed that internal dispositions to resist temptations and promote justice are more important in politics than in markets. Liberalism does not have the least thing in common with any of these parties. It stands at the very opposite pole from all of them. It promises special favors to no one. It demands from everyone sacrifices on behalf of the preservation of society. These sacrifices—or, more accurately, the renunciation of immediately attainable advantages—are, to be sure, merely provisional; they quickly pay for themselves in greater and more lasting gains. Nevertheless, for the time being, they are sacrifices. [Mises, Ludwig von (1927 / 2012-01-02). Liberalism (p. 179). Ingram Distribution.] The leading political actors are guided therefore in part by what they regard as morally permissible’ and since no system of constitutional checks and balances succeeds in setting up an invisible hand that can be relied upon to guide the process to a just outcome, a public sense of justice is to some degree necessary. [John Rawls (1999) A Theory of Justice. Harvard University Press. Epub edition, page 430.] VIII. Tradeoffs: Laissez Faire as a Second Best Policy? From the perspective of welfare economics the possibilities of political and market failures both need to be taken account of when contemplating the optimal political economy system as a whole and when undertaking the more modest task of analyzing policy alternatives for a specific externality, public goods, or coordination problem. If one accepts the social net benefit framework, many the problems are empirical in nature. Which policies or which political economic systems produce the greatest net benefits? A. Welfare Economics and the Assessment of Political Economy Systems Insofar as most empirical results are approximations of richer models that are themselves simplified versions of reality, it is clear that definitive answers for systems as a whole are beyond the scope of present day analysis and likely of the computer assisted human mind. With respect to individual policies there is a greater likelihood of more or less definitive results, but again the issues are not simply economic ones, but political economy ones. At the level of system choices, there is an irreducible element of uncertainty in every analysis that depends on interactions between markets and politics in settings where information is far less than perfect. Nonetheless, it is possible to make some rough estimates of the relative merits of alternative political economy systems. Based on our previous analysis, a good deal of the performance differences among governments and markets reflect cultural distributions of ethical dispositions. Table 11.2 summarizes some possible conclusions about the best political economy system--that is the best line between the public and private sectors--from the perspective of welfare economics. Three rough political economy system categories are used: laissez faire (relatively little intervention in markets beyond enforcement of civil law), mixed (many interventions, but mostly for large market failures), social democracy (significant regulatory and tax interventions and redistribution). Note that other combinations are possible. It use Laisez faire in the sense used by late nineteenth century and early twentieth century liberals: as a watchman state (the civil law state) augmented by modest social insurance and support for equal opportunity, as with public education. Previous generations of liberals, as with Spencer, and contemporary libertarians, such as Rothbard, would agree to only a watchman state, the doctrinaire liberal position of 1880. The liberal spectrum could be expanded further to the left to include medium to large investments in public education, social insurance, and infrastructure, but little regulation and only uniform taxes. A position common among today’s European liberals. The three categories in page 178 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 table 11.2 are simply to illustrate how market and political imperfections affect conclusions about the proper line between private and government authority. s f f o e d a r T s c i t i l o P t e k r a M : 2 . 1 1 e l b a T s n o i s i c e D y c i l o P c i t a r c o m e D f o r e t c a r a h C r o o P e r c o i d e M t n e l l e c x E z e s s i a L z e s s i a L e r i a F e r i a F e r i a F z e s s i a L z e s s i a L e r i a F e r i a F t e k r a M f o z e s s i a L t n e l l e c x E r e t c a r a h C d e x i M e r c o i d e M s e m o c t u O e r i a F d e x i M c a r c o y m e D z e s s i a L l a i c o S r o o P If democratic politics is thought to be flawless, but markets produce mediocre or poor results from the perspective of welfare economics, the traditional welfare economic cases for interventions on market structure, externalities, and public goods problems are clear. In such cases, social net benefits are very likely to be increased through interventions that address externality, public goods, and monopoly problems. In such cases, the lower social net benefits from market outcomes tend to be, the more intervention should be undertaken. This is the implicit assumption of most textbook treatments of welfare economics. However, as democratic or interest group politics are considered to be problematic, the case for intervention declines. With an error prone but not corrupt government, policy choices may worsen as often as they improve on market outcomes. In the case of dysfunctional governments dominated by corrupt or rent-extracting officials and interest groups, government interventions may be presumed to always reduce social net benefits relative to those of well functioning markets. The upper right hand corner, thus recommends minimal state intervention, whereas the lower left hand corner suggests extensive intervention and high safety nets. The mid range results down the diagonal are more difficult to assess in the abstract. In the case in which both markets and democratic politics perform flawlessly, one can support market outcomes, because of their lower administrative costs, perhaps modified by a modest social safety net for times of bad luck. In that case, there is little reason for state intervention in markets from the perspective of welfare economics. If one accepts Rawls’ argument that markets are more robust to poor or weak ethical dispositions than political systems are, then one should also support laissez faire in cases in which markets are less than perfect but governments are just as bad or worse. In such cases, markets will produce somewhat more social net benefits without the intervention of error prone or corrupt political systems, even if markets themselves are not performing as well as they would with stronger moral foundations or better institutions. In such cases, more or less unregulated markets with a modest safety net may be as well as one can do. In the three of the four lower righthand cells, laissez faire may be regarded as a second best solution, rather than the best case one. The first best upper lefthand cell may be regarded as the first best case for a liberal democracy. However, it will be infeasible if ethical dispositions are insufficiently common or strong. B. Private Ethics and the Line between the Pubic and Private Sectors Other normative theories can be used to evaluate individual policies and politicians as well. Prudent officeholders will deliberate on the choices before them and act in a manner consistent with moderation and temperance. Contrariwise, imprudent leaders will act on impulse, take needless risks, and be apt to adopt policies that are neither moderate nor temperate. The results of policies chosen by good men thus tends to be better--at least on average--than those chosen by bad men, other things page 179 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 being equal, where better here means more consistent with their voters’ normative assessment of policies and outcomes. A wise and good man can be trusted to select good policies, that is to say, such leaders select policies that are virtuous, e.g. consistent with private ethics.131 If on average, good men rise to positions of authority in democracies, greater license will be granted government. If bad or ignorant men rise to positions of authority, then less authority will be granted--at least to the extent that voters can control or influence this. Such conclusions may seem a bit naive to contemporary analysts, but it should be kept in mind that the overwhelming mass of policy decisions are made in private, often secret, deliberations and that most of those decisions will be little known to the public, regardless of the extent of their interest in public affairs. That a good deal of political advertising in contemporary democracies concerns the character of the men and women running for office rather than their policies, especially in polities that rely upon first-past-the-post elections to select officer holders, suggests that many voters use private ethics to select policymakers. Private ethics can also be used to evaluate the process through which policy makers are chosen and the manner in which policies are developed and adopted. If the process itself seems likely to produce good men or good policies, then greater authority to government will be consistent with voter interests. Policies adopted in smoke filled rooms by corrupt officials and their supplicants, may be regarded with suspicion as more likely to be instances of rent extraction than policies adopted in public after televised debate. The latter may also be used to assess the quality of the men and the deliberations undertaken, which again may lead voters to prefer granting more or less authority to government officials. The policy positions of candidates can also be assessed a voter’s ethical system. For example, if one follows the golden rule--do on to others as you would have do onto you--then one can try to imagine the consequences of a particular policy and determine whether it satisfies that reciprocity condition. Is the result one that those initiating it would have found desirable, had they been directly affected by the policy or not? Other private norms might also be used to assess the relative merits of policy, such as justice or fairness. Perhaps the most obvious of such policies are “sin taxes” and other “temperance” related policies, although many others exist as well.132 C. Ethical Foundations of Well-functioning Political-Economic Systems Overall, it seems clear that private, civil, and global ethical systems all play a role in individual assessments of the merits of both market and democratic outcomes and procedures. And, it also seems clear that only a subset of ethical systems will support a domain of public policy that tends to support rather than undermine competitive markets and the commercial societies that they tend to produce. Moreover, it seems clear that the ethics required to support open democratic politics are not always the same or compatible with those that support capitalism. The best functioning political-economic systems thus require the support of a relatively narrow set of ethical dispositions and other policy norms among voters, government officials, and in the society at large. Both commercial societies and democratic politics have ethical foundations. It was not simply fortunate, but necessary, that the constellation of norms associated with liberalism in the nineteenth century 131 A model of moral voting behavior and evidence of morality-driven policy choices in the United States are developed in Congleton (2008). See Gene xxxx (xxxx) for evidence on the effects of religion-based ethics in the United States with respect to state policies on abortion. 132 Note that such a process is consistent with what political scientists refer to as identity politics. Candidates whose internalized norms are similar to those of particular voters will be supported by those voters. In this case, however, it is not simply because candidates are “like me,” but because their virtues are like mine. See (xxxx) for an overview of identity politics. page 180 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 that gradually produced constitutional democracy and the commercial societies were from that overlapping set of supportive ethical dispositions IX. Mathematical Appendix: A Simple Model of Redistribution with and without Ethical Constraints Consider the following model of redistribution based on the Melzer and Richard assumptions. Suppose that people have identical tastes but vary by income and that a proportional tax is to be imposed and used to fund a “demogrant,” an equal grant to all persons in society. Universe of Dispositions Universe of Moral Dispositions Democracy Supporting Market Supporting Assume initially that tastes are simply a matter of leisure (L) and material gratification (C), U = u(T-L,C) , and that people simply consume what they earn after taxes and receive from the demogrant program. This can be thought of as a lifetime pattern of consumption for simple egoists with T hours to allocate between leisure and gainful employment in the commercial society. Consumption is Ci = (1-t)wiLi+ G with G = tYA. Substituting allows utility to be written as U = u( T-Li, (1-t)wiLi+ G). For a given tax and demogrant, each voter will choose to work his or her utility maximizing number of hours, which satisfies: -UL + UC ( 1-t)wi = 0 The solution to which can be written as L* = l(w,t,G,T) with partial derivatives: L*w = [-ULC ((1-t)Li) + UC ( 1-t) + UCC( 1-t)2 wiLi] / -ULL L*t = [ULC wiL - UCwi - UCC( 1-t) wi2Li] / -ULL L*G = [-ULC + UCC( 1-t) wi] / -ULL < 0 L*T = [ULL + ULC( 1-t) wi] / -ULL > 0 Market supporting ethical dispositions Democracy supporting ethical dispositions Universe of ethical dispositions Universe of all dispositions including ethical and pragmatic ones The last two partial derivatives can be signed using the conventional assumptions about utility functions (UL > 0, UC>0, UCL>0, ULL<0, and UCC<0). The first two are ambiguous, with these assumptiosn alone and depend upon the relative sizes of the first derivative and second derivative effects. Demogrants tend to reduce work effort and time available tends to increase it, but whether after tax wage rates increase or decrease labor varies with the relative size of the first and second derivatives. page 181 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 If the second derivatives are assumed to be small relative to the first derivatives, the intuitive results can be obtained. In that case, labor increases with wage rates (L*w > 0) and decreases with income taxes (L*t < 0). One convenient special case in which this holds is that in which the utility function is separable with constant marginal utility. In that case, however, the derivatives of labor supply with respect to size of the demogrant and time to be allocated are both zero. In either case, a voter’s optimization problem with respect to taxes and demogrants can be written as maximize: U = u( T-L*, (1-t)wiL*+ tYA*). The median voter’s receives the median wage rate, wv. Her preferred tax rate satisifies: U = u( T-L*, (1-t)wiL*+ tYA*). -UL(Lt + LG YAt) + UC [( 1-t)wi (Lt + LG YAt) + YA +t(YAt+YAG ] = 0 where subscripts denote partial derivatives. If we take the case in which second derivatives are zero, this the derivatives with respect to G disappear and we are left with: -UL(Lt ) + UC [( 1-t)wi (Lt ) + YA + t(YAt)] = 0 These terms can be separated into marginal benefits and marginal costs, with an interior solution exists. The ideal tax could easily be one hundred percent if the labor responses to taxation are small. It could be zero if they are very large. In a broad range of cases, taxes may be relatively high and economic activity lower than optimal from a utilitarian perspective. In such cases, internalized tax norms or distributive norms can produce better results than self interest alone. For example, citizens may have internalized norms that approve of wage based income differences or disapprove of transfer payments except for those involving extreme need and bad luck. The influence of such norms can be incorporated into sufficient number of voters utility function that they are also part of the median voter’s calculation. (Not all voters need have such internalized norms for them to affect electoral outcomes.) U = u( T-L*, (1-t)wiL*+ tYA*, [tN-t]). The tax norm may be the result of a utilitarian calculation, a fairness consideration, or other norms. The median voter is not necessarily the voter with the median ethical disposition towards taxes, but remains the voter with the median ideal tax rate. In this case the optimal level of taxation satisfies: -UL(Lt + LG YAt) + UC [( 1-t)wi (Lt + LG YAt) + MB = -UL(Lt ) +UC Y A YA +t(YAt+YAG - YN] = 0 and MC = UC [( 1-t)wi (Lt ) + t(YAt)] The marginal benefits come from increased leisure and income from the demogrant, whereas the marginal costs come from reductions in income from working and through economy-wide effects on the tax base associated with similar declines in work effort by everyone in the community of interest. As noted in the geometric illustrations, there is no assurance that These terms can again be separated into marginal benefits and marginal costs, with MB = -UL(Lt ) +UC YA and MC = UC [( 1-t)wi (Lt ) + t(YAt)] - YN page 182 Moral Foundations of Capitalism: Chapter 11 In this case, the tax norm raises the marginal cost of taxation which tends to reduce taxation and under the assumptions adopted above increase average income. A completely idealistic voter would simply favor their personal tax ideal, TN, without regard to self interest. A pragmatic voter would not have personal tax norms, and would simply vote for the norm that maximized his or her utility, which in this case is approximately the tax system that maximizes their personal net of tax and transfer income. Poverty traps are, of course, very likely in this last case insofar as median income is below average income, a point neglected in the original Meltzer and Richard (1981) analysis of the size of a transfer state. page 183