CPO Agenda HELLO CPO| SIGN OUT OR SUBSCRIBE Get a 40% discount Search Sections Supply management jobs Linkedin Analysis About Contact Resources CPO Network TOPICS: STRATEGY COST MANAGEMENT 0 SUPPLIER RELATIONS CAREER RISK MANAGEMENT SUSTAINABILITY MORE TOPICS 0 New Print this page Comments PROCUREMENT PREDICTIONS FOR 2013 As 2013 approaches, Soroosh Saghiri and Carlos Mena make their predictions and examine how procurement and supply management plans may need to be adapted. By Soroosh Saghiri and Carlos Mena | December 2012 Email What does the future hold for procurement in 2013? © iStock The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has predicted slow growth in the global economy. Sluggish growth in developed economies will affect supply from emerging markets and expanding industries in developing economies. In the case of Europe, economists appear optimistic about policies to improve financial conditions in 2013, and expect GDP to grow by about 1 per cent in the second half of the year. European buyers will have another year of tight purchasing budgets, where efficiency will be top of the agenda. In the UK, the Office for Budget Responsibility expects a growth of 1.2 per cent for next year. However, the risk to the UK’s coveted AAA rating will remain, and access to credit might become more challenging for businesses. Accordingly, the government will be under greater pressure for tighter control of spending, which affects the UK public procurement decisions and actions. CPOs will have a clearer idea about the government procurement–related policies by March 2013, when the Chancellor’s Spring Budget will be revealed. Apart from articulating a response to the difficult economic outlook procurement professionals should have a number of key considerations in their action plan for 2013. A more strategic role for procurement Procurement is not seen as a cost cutting function anymore. Moving away from a transactional-focus role, it contributes more to profitability, and value adding. Procurement managers should seek greater responsibilities in more strategic areas such as global sourcing, outsourcing, supplier relationship management and mergers and acquisitions. CPOs should take the opportunity of trying economic times to gain greater involvement in strategic decisions and a stronger presence on the board. Talent management Procurement talent availability is expected to remain a challenge in 2013. As the economy is expected to recover, skills shortage will be exacerbated, creating a cost and risk for firms without a developed pipeline of will-qualified procurement professionals. A broadening and increasingly strategic role for procurement demands a new deeper talent pool. Finding the right talent to oversee the pivotal procurement responsibilities requires a thorough understanding of the capabilities necessary to lead a best-in-class procurement processes. Real cost of late response Volatility in supply and demand has become the norm. Thus, managing uncertainty remains a major challenge for procurement. Accordingly, on top of advance planning, businesses need to be resilient to unpredictable changes in the market. Agile procurement and responsive suppliers are key to managing uncertainty. Consistent with idea of agile procurement, re-shoring or near-shoring are key for 2013 procurement plans. For years, the default option for many businesses has been to outsource to low-cost counties far away from the consumer markets. However, as the cost and risk of offshore sourcing increases, switching back to local or regional suppliers for the products destined for European consumers can support agility in supply management. Procurement managers together with operations and sales managers need to re-analyse the total cost of ownership, and re-evaluate if past sourcing decision are still valid for 2013 and beyond. New sourcing decisions need to take non-explicit costs (for example, cost of channel inventories, safety stocks, and changing suppliers) into account, and carefully assess the impact of such decisions on customer service. Global supply management and emerging risks Global sourcing will remain a major trend in procurement for majority of products - while cost is not the only motive. The focus of developed economies on emerging markets needs global suppliers too. However, new markets also bring new risks, such as the possible loss of major accounts, different life cycles, quality issues, length and variability of lead-times, poor visibility, natural disasters, terrorism and regulatory changes. New types and levels of risks need new contingency plans. The economic outlook looks bleak and pressures to reduce cost and enhance value are bound to continue. Procurement professionals should see this as an opportunity to assert their presence and influence strategy and drive performance. ჶ Dr Soroosh Saghiri and Dr Carlos Mena are senior research fellows at the Strategic Procurement and Supply Management Research Centre at Cranfield University 0 0 New Print this page Comments Email RELATED LINKS Talent spotting Adressing market volatility Executive debate: How to you execute global sourcing quickly and effectively? ABOUT ADVERTISE TERMS AND CONDITIONS SITEMAP PRIVACY CONTACT US © Supply Business. Supply Business is published by Redactive Publishing LTD, 17-18 Britton Street, London, EC1M 5TP. Tel: 020 7880 6200.