For profess sional clients on ly. Not suitable for retail clientss Sc chrod ders FT TSE E DC C Report Scchroderrs’ 5th FTSE DC report sh hows ssignific cant divversificcation of o inve estmen nt Issue 5: May 2015 Contents Page Schroders’ 5th FTSE DC report shows significant diversification of investment ........................................................................... 3 Trends and key findings – March 2015 .................................................................................................................................................. 4 Asset allocation splits and typical portfolios ....................................................................................................................................... 5 All FTSE portfolio composition: long-term and short-term trends .................................................................................................. 6 FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 comparison .................................................................................................................................................... 7 FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 breakdown: long-term and short-term trends .......................................................................................... 8 Individual scheme observations............................................................................................................................................................. 9 The current DC marketplace at glance ................................................................................................................................................11 Methodology ............................................................................................................................................................................................12 This edition of the Schroders’ FTSE Default DC schemes report is our fifth analysis of the defined contribution (DC) pension landscape among the top listed companies in the UK. The aim of this six monthly report is to shine a light on default DC schemes during the accumulation phase in order to examine their different asset allocation strategies. Since our first report in March 2013, a wider pool of employees than ever before now has access to company pension schemes through auto-enrolment – now totalling over 5.2 million people1. Of these members, 4.5 million sit within DC schemes, with 300 such schemes available for auto-enrolment2. This report analyses the asset class mix of the default funds of FTSE companies’ pension schemes, examining different strategies, and identifying short-term and long-term trends from over the last two years. The DC default funds of 30 FTSE 100 and 35 FTSE 250 companies have been researched for this project. Unless otherwise stated the source of the charts and tables were from research undertaken by Instinctif Partners on behalf of Schroders. The next Schroders FTSE Default DC Schemes Report will be published in October 2015. 1 Source: The Pensions Regulator: Automatic Enrolment Declaration of Compliance Report (March 2015). 2 Source: Both figures in this sentence relate to The Pensions Regulator (Annual Statistics, 1 January 2015). 2 Schroders’ 5th FTSE DC report shows significant diversification of investment We have been analysing the investment strategies of the UK’s top 350 listed companies’ default DC pension funds every six months since spring 2013, with this being our fifth edition of the research. While our initial findings reported little evidence of diversification, this report – our most recent – suggests FTSE firms may have turned a corner. In particular, FTSE 350 firms are reducing their reliance on developed equities, and starting to spread investment more evenly across different asset classes. Allocation to developed equities now averages 71%, compared to 79% two years ago, reflecting a trend to rebalancing asset weighting since 2013. However, FTSE 100 firms stand slightly further along the diversification path than their 250 counterparts, with average weighting to developed equities of 69%, compared to 73% among FTSE 250 firms, although across the board significant improvements have been made. Over the last twelve months, the move away from developed equities has allowed a significantly heavier weighting towards fixed income asset classes, with 29% of FTSE firms having some weighting to this asset class, compared to just 3% a year ago. Last year proved to be a seminal time for the pensions industry, with the pension freedoms announced in the 2014 Budget allowing retirees more freedom over their pension funds than ever before. In March, the Chancellor turned his attention to those pensioners who had already invested in an annuity – proposing a future framework allowing them to sell these on if desired. With the Conservatives winning a narrow majority in the recent General Election, and David Cameron returning to Downing St, the pension freedoms will now become entrenched into statute, and further changes will likely follow. Meanwhile, auto-enrolment has massively boosted pension scheme membership, and over 5.2 million employees now have access to a company pension. This means investment strategy is relevant to more of the population than ever before, and is under greater scrutiny as a result. We believe trustees have a duty to make sure the investments they control are spread across a wide range of assets, offering greater returns and better protection from risk, while keeping pricing points competitive. A pattern of diversification has been set in motion, but plenty of room remains for further improvement. Stephen Bowles, Head of UK Institutional Defined Contribution, Schroders May 2015 3 Trends and key findings – March 2015 3 – The typical default DC fund of a FTSE 350 pension scheme has started to significantly diversify its investment strategy, with weighting to developed assets falling from 79% to 71% since our inaugural analysis in March 2013 – Over the last six months specifically, FTSE 100 firms have reduced their allocation to UK equities by 4 percentage points, from 29% to 25%, taking total developed equities allocation down from 72% to 69% – Meanwhile, FTSE 250 firms have reduced their allocation to global equities by 4 percentage points, from 44% to 40%, taking their exposure to developed equities down from 77% to 73% – Allocation to fixed income has risen across the board, rising 5 percentage points from 9% to 14% over the last six months – At the same time, allocation to alternatives has risen by 1 percentage point over the last six months to 11% – Just under a third of the 65 schemes analysed (29%) have an allocation of at least 20% to the fixed income asset class, while a year ago this weighting only applied to 3% of schemes 3 Research for the 6 months to 31 March 2015. 4 Asset allocation splits and typical portfolios Despite moves to diversify asset allocation over the last two years, the typical default DC scheme of a FTSE pension scheme is still overwhelmingly invested in developed equities. The average default DC fund of a FTSE 350 firm currently has 71% of its total allocation invested in this asset class – by far the largest exposure of all asset classes – with this allocation consisting of 29% of assets invested in UK equities and 42% in global equities. The next most exposed asset class is fixed income, which now accounts for 14% of the typical asset allocation of a default DC fund, followed by alternatives at 11%. Emerging markets has the smallest allocation of the specified asset classes, at just 3%, while other or unspecified investments account for 1% of the total fund allocation. Such heavy weighting to the primary asset class reveals the continued imbalance present in the average portfolio composition – presenting an opportunity to redistribute asset allocation in a much more productive manner. Overall average asset allocation (March 2015) ALL UK Equities 29% Global Equities 42% Emerging Markets 3% Fixed Income 14% Alternatives 11% Other 1% March 2015 – Average asset allocation – ALL FTSE 11% 29% UK Equities 14% Global Equities Emerging Markets 3% Fixed Income Alternatives 42% 5 Schroders FTSE Default DC Schemes Report For professional clients only. Not suitable for retail clients All FTSE portfolio composition: long-term and short-term trends Two years on from our first analysis in March 2013, FTSE firms have made clear progress in diversifying the asset allocations of their default DC pension funds, with a particular focus on increasing allocation to fixed income investments. Over that period, the average allocation to developed equities has fallen from 79% to 71%, as allocation to UK and global equities has fallen from 33% to 29% and 46% to 42% respectively. This may in part be due to recent stagnant economic forecasts for the European and wider economies. In a particular sign of diversification, the overall average asset allocation to fixed income has risen from 9% to 14% over the last six months. Inflation expectations have fallen internationally across the board and interest rates have fallen in a variety of currencies, which has boosted prices and capital returns for fixed income investments. Over that time period, we have also increased the sample size of our analysis from 40 to 65 FTSE default DC pension funds. The alternatives asset class, which includes allocations to investments including commodities and property, has increased by 1 percentage point over the last six months to 11%, a slightly slower increase than in the six months to October, as the housing market recovery has slowed-down, but this is now 4 percentage points higher than in March 2013. Allocation to emerging markets remained steady at 3%, reflecting the volatile political and economic conditions in developing markets, in particular the conflicts in the Ukraine and the Middle East. Finally, the average asset allocation to unspecified asset classes has fallen from 3% to 1% over the last six months. Overall average asset allocation March 2013 October 2013 March 2014 October 2014 March 2015 UK Equities 33% 34% 35% 31% 29% Global Equities 46% 45% 45% 44% 42% Emerging Markets 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% Fixed Income 9% 8% 7% 9% 14% Alternatives 7% 7% 8% 10% 11% Other 2% 1% 1% 3% 1% *Totals may not equal 100% due to rounding. Average asset allocation – ALL FTSE 50% 45% 40% 35% UK Equities 30% Global Equities 25% Emerging Markets 20% Fixed Income 15% Alternatives 10% Other 5% 0% Mar 13 6 Oct 13 Mar 14 Oct 14 Mar 15 Schroders FTSE Default DC Schemes Report For professional clients only. Not suitable for retail clients FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 comparison On a broad level, the average FTSE 100 default DC pension fund is slightly more diverse in asset allocation compared to the average FTSE 250 default DC fund – and we believe this is consistent with the stronger governance and more resources accessed by FTSE 100 firms. On average, FTSE 100 firms allocate 69% of assets to developed equities, compared to 73% by FTSE 250 firms. FTSE 100 firms typically also have a higher allocation to alternatives than FTSE 250 firms, with an average allocation of 12% compared to 9%. Emerging markets are given twice the allocation by FTSE 100 firms than by those in the 250, with allocations of 4% and 2% respectively. However, FTSE 250 firms are taking the lead with investment in fixed income, with an allocation of 15% in this asset class compared to 13% by FTSE 100 firms. In our opinion, there remains significant capacity for further diversification of asset allocation. Overall average asset allocation March 2013 October 2013 UK Equities 25% 33% Global Equities 44% 40% 4% 2% Fixed Income 13% 15% Alternatives 12% 9% 1% 1% Emerging Markets Other * Totals may not equal 100% due to rounding. March 2015 – Average asset allocation FTSE 100 1% 12% 25% UK Equities Global Equities Emerging Markets Fixed Income Alternatives Other 13% 4% 44% March 2015 – Average asset allocation – FTSE 250 9% 33% 15% 2% 40% 7 1% UK Equities Global Equities Emerging Markets Fixed Income Alternatives Other FTSE F 100 an nd FTS SE 250 0 break kdown: long--term and a short-te s erm tre ends Since S the first rreport in Marcch 2013, FTSE E 100 firms ha ave reduced th heir exposure to developed equities by 6 percentage points, p from 75 5% to 69%. Ovver that same period, FTSE E 250 firms hav ve reduced their exposure tto the same as sset class by 12 percentage points, from 85% 8 to 73%. However, H overr the last six months m specific cally, the alloccation of FTSE E 100 firms to global equitiess has remaine ed broadly le evel, varying b by just 1 perce entage point, while w their allo ocation to UK equities e has visibly decreassed, by 4 perce entage points. p Meanw while, FTSE 25 50 firms have reduced r their allocation to global g equities by 4 percentaage points sin nce October 2014, 2 while the eir weighting to o UK equities has stayed le evel. As A part of these efforts to divversify, FTSE 100 schemess have increas sed their alloca ation to fixed inncome and alternatives, by 3 percentage p points and 2 percentage points respective ely. FTSE 250 0 firms have ec choed this incrreased allocattion to fixed in ncome, which has increased d by 6 percenttage points, b ut their weighting to alternatives has decrreased slightly y by 1 percentage p point. FTSE F 100 and FTSE 250 firms’ allocations to emerging g markets have e remained ste eady, with pollitical and economic outlooks o still un ncertain in the ese regions. Average A asse et allocation F FTSE 100 March October 2013 2013 FTSE 25 50 Ma arch October 2 2014 2014 March 2015 March Octobeer 2013 201 3 March Oc ctober 2014 2014 March h 2015 5 UK U Equities 28 28 32 29 25 41 338 38 33 33 3 Global G Equities s 47 48 45 43 44 44 445 45 44 40 0 3 5 5 4 4 2 3 2 2 2 10 8 7 10 13 7 9 7 9 15 5 Alternatives A 8 8 9 10 12 5 6 7 10 9 Other O 3 2 2 4 1 0 0 0 1 1 Emerging E Mark kets Fixed F Income Average A as sset allocattion – FTSE E 100 Average A as sset allocattion – FTSE E 250 8 Individual scheme observations Almost two-thirds of the default schemes analysed invest in fixed income (40 out of 65) with the average allocation to this asset increasing to 14% in March 2015 from 7% in March 2014. In total, 29% of the 65 schemes analysed have an allocation of at least 20% to this asset class, while a year ago this weighting only applied to 3% of schemes. Asset weightings – Fixed Income 64.0% Percentage 70% 36.6% 39.0% 42.2% 43.9% 45.2% 45.2% 45.2% 45.2% 45.2% 45.2% 60% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 2.4% 3.4% 5.0% 7.0% 7.0% 9.7% 10.0% 10.8% 10.9% 11.2% 11.6% 12.3% 14.0% 14.1% 14.2% 14.3% 14.4% 15.5% 16.2% 19.0% 19.2% 20.0% 20.0% 22.7% 25.0% 25.0% 26.9% 27.0% 27.0% 50% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 0% Fund No. Over two-thirds of default schemes have an allocation to alternative investments (45 of the 65 schemes analysed) with a maximum allocation of 50%. Of these schemes, 20% have an allocation of at least 20%, compared to 16% a year ago. Asset weightings – Alternatives 50% 50% Percentage 60% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 10% 10% 11% 11% 12% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 15% 15% 17% 19% 21% 22% 27% 28% 30% 30% 30% 30% 32% 32% 32% 50% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 0% Fund No. 9 Schroders FTSE Default DC Schemes Report For professional clients only. Not suitable for retail clients Asset weightings - example The Schroders Diversified Growth Fund (DGF) provides an example of how a scheme’s asset allocation can take a more balanced and diversified approach, seeking to maximise return and mitigate risk. Over the past six months the Schroders DGF has decreased allocation to developed equities from 53% to 48%, and has increased allocation to fixed income from 13% to 15%. Equities (developed all) Fixed Income Schroders DGF Average Alternatives Max Emerging Markets Other 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Source: Schroders DGF as at 31 March 2015 10 Schroders FTSE Default DC Schemes Report For professional clients only. Not suitable for retail clients The current DC marketplace at glance The last twelve months have seen retirees handed over more control than ever before over their finances and pension planning. The 2014 Budget freedoms, which have given over-55s more flexibility about how to access their DC pension savings, came into effect in April 2015. The freedoms introduced the option to withdraw money from the DC pot, with 25% of this withdrawal tax free and the remainder subject to income tax. They also introduced the uncrystallised funds pension lump sum (UFPLS) option – allowing members to dip in and out of their defined contribution (DC) pots without having to purchase an annuity or drawdown. However, those opting for UFPLS will not be able to leave their fund invested if they take the tax-free cash. In the 2015 Budget, the Chancellor took pension reforms one step further, reducing the lifetime allowance that can be saved into a pension from £1.25m to £1m. He also confirmed plans to allow pensioners to sell their annuities. From April 2016, the government will change the tax rules to allow people who are already receiving income from an annuity to sell that income to a third party, subject to agreement from their annuity provider. The proceeds of the sale could then be taken directly or drawn down over a number of years, and would be taxed at their marginal rate, in the same way as those taking their pension after April 2015. According to figures from the Pensions Regulator, there are now over 4.5 million members of DC schemes – an increase of 80% – largely as a result of the auto-enrolment policy. Over 300 schemes are currently being used for auto-enrolment, with 87% of DC members falling within these schemes4. 4 Source: The Pensions Regulator (Annual Statistics, 1 January 2015). 11 Methodology In order to gather a snapshot of the UK DC default funds during the accumulation phase the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 firms were asked to supply data. This was supplemented by publically available information for their employees taken from corporate websites. The DC default funds of 30 FTSE 100 and 35 FTSE 250 companies were analysed. The subsequent data was then broken down into broad asset classes for analysis purposes. Information correct as at 22nd April 2015. Research undertaken by Instinctif Partners on behalf of Schrodersi. For further information, please contact: Estelle Bibby, Senior PR Manager, Schroders: Tel: +44 (0)20 7658 3431 estelle.bibby@schroders.com Notes to editors Schroders Plc Schroders is a global asset management company with £319.5 billion (EUR441.6 billion/$474.3 billion) under management as at 31 March 2015. Our clients are major financial institutions including pension funds, banks and insurance companies, local and public authorities, governments, charities, high net worth individuals and retail investors. With one of the largest networks of offices of any dedicated asset management company, we operate from 37 offices in 27 countries across Europe, the Americas, Asia and the Middle East. Schroders has developed under stable ownership for over 200 years and long-term thinking governs our approach to investing, building client relationships and growing our business. Schroder Investment Management Limited. Further information about Schroders can be found at www.schroders.com Issued by Schroder Investment Management Ltd, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. For regular updates by e-mail please register online at www.schroders.com for our alerting service. Important Information: For press and professional investors and advisors only. This document is not suitable for retail clients. This document is intended to be for information purposes only and it is not intended as promotional material in any respect. The material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The material is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice, or investment recommendations. Information herein is believed to be reliable but Schroder Investment Management Ltd (Schroders) does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. No responsibility can be accepted for errors of fact or opinion. This does not exclude or restrict any duty or liability that Schroders has to its customers under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (as amended from time to time) or any other regulatory system. Schroders has expressed its own views and opinions in this document and these may change. Reliance should not be placed on the views and information in the document when taking individual investment and/or strategic decisions. Schroder Diversified Growth Fund risk factors: The value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and investors may not get back the amounts originally invested. Exchange rate changes may cause the value of any overseas investments to rise or fall. Investments in smaller companies may be less liquid than in larger companies and price swings may therefore be greater than in larger company funds. Less developed markets are generally less well regulated than the UK, they may be less liquid and may have less reliable custody arrangements. Investors should be aware that investments in emerging markets involve a high degree of risk and should be seen as long term in nature. The fund invests in higher-yielding bonds (noninvestment grade). The risk of default is higher with non-investment grade bonds than with investment grade bonds. Higher yielding bonds may also have an increased potential to erode your capital sum than lower yielding bonds. A small proportion of the fund may invest in unregulated Collective Investment Schemes which may be closed for subscription/and or redemptions, may be subject to certain restrictions or limitations, and there is unlikely to be an active secondary market in the shares or units of such underlying schemes. Investors should be aware that the fund may invest in derivatives and in alternative investments (hedge funds, property funds and private equity) which involve an above-average degree of risk and can be more volatile than investment in equities or bonds. The target return is an estimate and is not guaranteed. The yields quoted are not guaranteed and may rise and fall in the future. The fund is not tied to replicating a benchmark and holdings can therefore vary from those in the index quoted. For this reason the comparison index should be used for reference only. Issued by Schroder Investment Management Limited, 31 Gresham Street, London EC2V 7QA. Registration No 1893220 England. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. 942627 i 65 schemes analysed made up of 30 FTSE 100 Schemes and 35 FTSE 205 schemes. The number of pensions schemes surveyed has increased by 25 since the last report in October 2014 which may have a bearing on the percentage findings in this report. 12