EC275 STATISTICS FOR ECONOMICS SEMESTER 2 2012-2013 Lecturer: Dr Paddy Gillespie paddy.gillespie@nuigalway.ie Room 213, First Floor, Cairnes Building Office Hours: Thursdays 2-4pm. Tutor: Danny Norton d.norton1@nuigalway.ie Dr Joe Higgins Room, First Floor, Cairnes Building Lecture Times: Monday 5-6pm MRA201 MR1 Theatre, Martin Ryan Annexe Building Wednesday 10-11am Darcy-Thompson Theatre, Concourse Building Tutorials: Tuesdays 10-11am, 11-12pm or 12-1pm (Week 2) Friary Suite, Cairnes Building. Course Description: This is an introductory course in statistics designed to provide an overview of the techniques used to collect, present, analyse and utilise numerical data to make inferences and reach decisions in the face of uncertainty in economics, business, and other social and physical sciences. Statistics is subdivided into descriptive and inferential. Descriptive statistics is concerned with summarising and describing a body of data. Inferential statistics is the process of reaching generalisations about the whole (i.e. the population) by examining a portion (i.e. the sample). Topics include populations and samples; the presentation and interpretation of data; measures of central tendency and variability; basic probability; discrete and continuous probability distributions; and estimation and hypothesis testing. Textbook: Lind/Marchal/Wathen - Basic Statistics for Business and Economics, 8th Ed, McGraw-Hill Copies are available in the library and in the NUI Galway campus bookshop. Lectures and Tutorials: Students are expected to attend two lecture hours and one tutorial hour per week. Lectures consist of a mixture of multimedia presentations, practical examples of real world data using statistical packages, and problem sets. Tutorials are designed to assist students in revising course materials with particular emphasis placed on solving problem sets and practical applications. All course materials will be posted on BLACKBOARD prior to class. Assessment: Course evaluation is entirely (100%) on the basis of continuous assessment. The course is divided into three sections and will be graded via 3 take-home assignments (worth 40% in total) and 3 in-class examinations (worth 60% in total). Please see below for further details on the dates of assignments and examinations and for the course grading system. Topic Guide, Reading and (Preliminary) Timetable: Topic Descriptive Statistics Wks 4 Reading Chapter 1: What is Statistics? Chapter 2: Frequency Distributions and Graphic Presentation Week Commencing January 7th : 2 lecture hours January 14th: 2 lecture hours January 21rd: 2 lecture hours January 27th: 1 lecture hour; 1 hour Exam Chapter 3: Numerical Measures Assessment/% Inferential Statistics 1 4 Chapter 4: Exploring Data Take-home assignment = 14% In-class exam = 20% Chapter 5: A Survey of Probability Concepts Chapter 6: Discrete Probability Distributions Available: Jan 21st /Due: Jan28st Wednesday January 30th February 4th: 2 lecture hours February 11th: 2 lecture hours February 18th: 2 lecture hours February 25th: 1 lecture hour; 1 hour Exam Chapter 7: Continuous Probability Distributions Assessment/% Inferential Statistics 2 4 Chapter 8a: Sampling Methods and the Central Limit Theorem Take-home assignment = 13% In-class exam = 20% Chapter 8b: Sampling Methods and the Central Limit Theorem Chapter 9: Estimation and Confidence Intervals Available: Feb18h/Due: Feb 25th Wednesday February 27nd March 4th: 2 lecture hours March 11th: 2 lecture hours March 18th: 1 lecture hour March 25th: 1 lecture hour; 1 hour Exam Chapter 10: One-Sample Tests of Hypothesis Assessment/% Chapter 11: Two-Sample Tests of Hypothesis Take-home assignment = 13% In-class exam = 20% Available: Mar 18th/ Due: Mar25th Wednesday March 27th