September 12, 2014 AN EVENT OF GLOBAL CROSSROADS: NAVIGATING THE WORLD THE ROAD AHEAD FOR THE SOLAR PV INDUSTRY Steyer-Taylor Center for Energy Policy and Finance WELCOME We are pleased to host the third annual Global Crossroads: Navigating the World conference here at Stanford Graduate School of Business. Our topic this year, The Road Ahead for the Solar PV Industry mechanisms, and public policy are likely to impact the future of the solar industry. This conference brings together representatives from the solar photovoltaic industry, the investment community, government agencies, and academic research institutions. Through presentations and interactive discussion, we seek to address to what extent there is a continued need for public policy support, both federally and at the state level, in order for solar PV to continue on its recent growth trajectory. While there is little controversy that system prices have come down at a rapid pace in recent years and new installations of solar power have exhibited high growth rates, there are questions as to whether these trends are likely to continue for the foreseeable future. One central topic in this context is the anticipated step-down of the federal Investment Tax Credit on January 1, 2017. We are excited to have such an accomplished group of experts contributing to our discussion at Stanford. Thank you for joining us, and welcome to the 2014 Global Crossroads conference. Stefan Reichelstein William R. Timken Professor of Accounting Graduate School of Business, Stanford University Senior Fellow, Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment Faculty Research Director, Steyer-Taylor Center for Energy Policy and Finance AGENDA Friday, September 12, 2014 8:15–8:45a.m. Registration and Continental Breakfast 8:45–8:50a.m. Welcome Stefan Reichelstein, Professor, Stanford Graduate School of Business 8:50–9:00a.m. Opening Remarks Mike Carr, 9:00–10:00a.m. SESSION 1: Module Manufacturing and Large-Scale Deployment Perspective Presenter: Tom Werner, Discussants: David Brochu Frank DeRosa 10:00–10:15a.m. Break 10:15–11:15a.m. SESSION 2: Government and Regulatory Perspective Presenter: David Hochschild, Discussants: Andrew Beebe Dan Reicher 11:15–11:30a.m. Break 11:30a.m.–12:30p.m. SESSION 3: Future of Photovoltaic Technologies Perspective Presenter: Michael McGehee, Discussants: Joseph Laia, Co-Chair, CIGS PV Roadmap Gregory Wilson 12:30–1:30p.m. Lunch 1:30–2:30p.m. SESSION 4: Economic and Financing Perspective Presenter: Douglas Kimmelman, Discussants: Raymond Wood J. Radford Small, Managing Director, Goldman Sachs 2:30–2:45p.m. Break 2:45–3:45p.m. SESSION 5: Distributed Generation Perspective Presenter: Edward Fenster, Cofounder and Chairman, Sunrun Inc. Discussants: Sanjay Ranchod Counsel, SolarCity Corporation Thomas Bottorff 3:45–4:45p.m. SESSION 6: Panel Discussion on the Road Ahead for the Solar PV Industry Moderator: Vishal Shah, Managing Director, Deutsche Bank Panelists: Minh Le Tom Starrs, Vice President, Market Strategy and Policy, SunPower Corporation Mark Rothleder, Vice President, Market Quality and Renewable Integration, California Independent System Operator Bertrand Valdman 4:45-5:00p.m. Wrap-Up 5:00p.m. Reception PRESENTERS Stefan Reichelstein Professor, Stanford Graduate School of Business (GSB) has introduced new courses on sustainability and clean energy at Stanford GSB. Reichelstein’s research undergraduate studies in economics at the University of Bonn in Germany. Mike Carr Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), U.S. Department of Energy from the University of Colorado, Boulder. Tom Werner President and Chief Executive Officer, SunPower Corporation a vice president and general manager of the Business Connectivity Group of 3Com Corporation. bachelor's degree in industrial engineering from the University of Wisconsin, Madison; a bachelor's degree David Hochschild Commissioner, California Energy Commission from Swarthmore College. Michael McGehee Professor of Materials Science and Engineering, Stanford University Michael McGehee is a professor in the materials science and engineering department, director of scale, semiconducting polymers, and solar cells. McGehee has taught courses on nanotechnology, undergraduate degree in physics from Princeton University and his PhD degree in materials science from the University of California, Santa Barbara. McGehee won the 2007 Materials Research Society Douglas Kimmelman (BA ’82) Senior Partner, Energy Capital Partners include more than 2,500 miles of gas and oil gathering pipeline systems in multiple shale basins and a exclusively on electric and gas utility matters. Kimmelman received a BA in economics from Stanford University and an MBA from the Wharton School. PRESENTERS continued Edward Fenster (MBA ’07) Cofounder and Chairman, Sunrun Inc. attracted capital to support the purchase of more than $2 billion in solar systems and has raised University. Vishal Shah Managing Director, Deutsche Bank for coverage of clean technology, engineering/construction, and machinery sectors. Shah has more ’ DISCUSSANTS David Brochu (MS ’86) Frank DeRosa Chief Operating Officer, Chief Commercial Officer, Recurrent Energy North America, SunEdison David Brochu is the chief operating assuming this role, he served the company’s senior vice president of development for four years. Brochu was previously the president for origination and development of utility-scale solar in the United States DeRosa is an energy executive with broad national and international experience SmartSignal Corporation, the executive vice president at Acumence, and the director of sales at Wonderware Corporation. senior vice president and regional manager of the Americas engineering from Stanford University. Company and ran the Renewable Portfolio Standard program. Andrew Beebe Dan Reicher (JD ’83) Vice President, Distributed Executive Director, Steyer-Taylor Generation, NextEra Energy Inc. Center for Energy Policy and Andrew Beebe is the vice president Finance, Stanford University Dan Reicher is the executive director of the Steyer-Taylor company in the United States Reicher has more than 25 years of experience in energy as the vice president of global product strategy and drove Clinton administration as the assistant secretary for energy internet entrepreneur who founded Bigstep.com, a small change and energy initiatives. Reicher holds a BA in biology business e-commerce platform. Beebe graduated from Dartmouth College. DISCUSSANTS continued Joseph Laia Gregory Wilson Co-Chair, CIGS PV Roadmap Director, National Center for Photovoltaics, National Renewable Energy Laboratory industries over the past two years. Prior to this, he served as the president and chief executive (NREL) Greg Wilson is the director of the holds a bachelor’s degree in chemistry, a master’s degree, and a doctorate in materials science and engineering from the State engineering from Washington University. Raymond Wood J. Radford Small Managing Director, Head of U.S. Managing Director, Power and Renewables, Bank of Goldman Sachs America Merrill Lynch Radford Small is the chief operating Ray Wood is the managing director and head of U.S. power and and Renewables group within relationships and executing transactions in the alternative energy and power sectors. Small has specialized in the offering. Wood received a BA from Dartmouth College and an Sanjay Ranchod (JD ’01) Thomas Bottorff (MS ’76) Senior Director of Policy and Senior Vice President, Electricity Markets, Regulatory Regulatory Affairs, Pacific Gas Counsel, SolarCity Corporation and Electric Company Tom Bottorff is a senior vice director of policy and electricity at SolarCity. Ranchod leads SolarCity’s legislative, regulatory, and advocacy interests in California and other western states. Commission in Washington, D.C. Bottorff received a bachelor of science degree in electrical engineering from the University renewable energy companies and other businesses on California. Bottorff serves on the boards of directors of several Minh Le Tom Starrs Director, Solar Energy Vice President, Market Technologies Office, Strategy and Policy, SunPower U.S. Department of Energy Corporation Tom Starrs is SunPower’s vice company since 2009. Starrs has more than 20 years’ multi-year portfolio of research, development, demonstration, and deployment programs to achieve the goals of the semiconductor and solar industry developing technologies and scaling new technologies to high-volume manufacturing. experience in and around the solar power industry, including DISCUSSANTS continued Bertrand Valdman (MA ’86, PhD ’87) Senior Vice President, Strategic Planning, Edison International in competitive businesses and is responsible for managing these entities at a newly formed electric and natural gas distribution operations, as well as the customer service, information technology, and community doctoral degrees from Stanford University. Mark Rothleder Vice President, Market Quality and Renewable Integration, California Independent System Operator (ISO) Corporation Rothleder is a registered professional electrical engineer in the from the California State University, Sacramento, and an MS in information systems from the University of Phoenix. Prior to NOTES ABOUT Stanford Graduate School of Business Stanford Graduate School of Business (GSB) aims to change lives, change organizations, and change the world. The mission of Stanford GSB is to create ideas that deepen and advance the understanding of business and management. These ideas help develop innovative, principled, and insightful leaders who create meaningful and impactful change. innovative programs. These programs engage the highest quality students with world-class faculty executives, and the broader world community. The state-of-the-art Knight Management Center offers learning. It also serves as a convening space for major forums and discussions. Global Crossroads: Navigating the World Series GSB holds a Global Crossroads conference focusing on a topical phenomenon that has worldwide relevance. The gatherings provide participants with new learnings, new perspectives, and new questions to research. Steyer-Taylor Center for Energy Policy and Finance communicating the results of its work, and training the next generation of practitioners. STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS STEYER-TAYLOR CENTER FOR ENERGY POLICY AND FINANCE Knight Management Center Stanford University 655 Knight Way Stanford, CA 94305-7298 gsb.stanford.edu | steyertaylor.stanford.edu