Macroeconomics Qualifying Exam Part 2 May, 2009 Claremont Graduate University Please answer question ONE and EITHER questions two or three completely. Each part is equally weighted. HINT: “Prove” means to show mathematically using a formal derivation. “Describe” or “explain” means to provide the behavioral intuition for a result. 1. Consider an OLG economy with productive capital, K, and an economic "stimulus" package. Population grows geometrically, Nt+1 = (1+n)Nt, n > -1, N0=1, and old people pay tax τ >0, while young people get a transfer σ >0. The tax and transfer occur in the same period. An agent who is born at time t faces the decision problem Maxc0, c1 s.t. (1-β)ln (c0, t) + βln(c1, t+1) c0,t = wt– st + σt c1,t+1 = Rt+1st - τt+1, where c0, c1, s, w and R have the standard definitions, and the utility function has the standard properties. a) Identify the choice and state variables for this model at time t. b) Write down the government budget constraint (GBC) at time t. Identify each term. Now state this in per worker terms. c) Use the per worker GBC to substitute σ out of the flow (2 period) budget constraint in terms of τ. Assume τ is constant and derive a condition showing that lifetime resources might be higher with the stimulus package than without it if some condition is met. Assume the economy is at a steady state. d) Briefly describe what the condition you derived in (c) means in plain English. Agree or disagree and explain your reasoning for: this is a politically viable stimulus plan. e) Take the FOC and solve for the savings relation. f) Prove or disprove that the savings relation is increasing in R. Why might this be important? g) Prove or disprove this statement: Savings is higher for the economy above when τ=σ= 0 than for τ,σ> 0. h) In plain English, tell me why you obtained the result in (g). i) Let y=kα where α ∈(0,1). Set up and solve the firm's profit maximization problem. j) Define a competitive equilibrium for this model C3: clearly, completely, and concisely. k) Find all steady states for this economy. l) Phase portrait [THIS IS SOMEWHAT HARD]: Deriving the phase portrait is difficult, but use the capital market clearing condition and your intuition to draw one as well as you can. A full derivation is not required, but show your work. You will not get credit by drawing a phase portrait from memory. 2. Consider a two period life pure exchange OLG economy. In this model, there are two types of agents, type 1 and type 2, with N1 and N2 young members, respectively. There is no population growth. Agent types differ by their endowments. Type 1 endowments are {e, ε}, and type 2 endowments are {ε,e}, where e,ε>0, with e large while ε is very close to zero. Let co and c1 be young and old consumption, and R be the yield on savings, s. Then type 1 agents solve Max C0, C1 (1-β) ln c10 + β ln c11 c10 = e – s1t c11 = ε + Rt+1s1t Type 2 agents solve Max C0, C1 (1-β) ln c20 + β ln c21 c20 = ε – s2t c21 = e + Rt+1s2t a. Solve for optimal savings by type 1 and type 2 agents. b. Prove or disprove: for all positive and bounded values of R, type 2 agents have positive savings. c. Define a general equilibrium for this model completely and carefully. d. Let the number of youngsters in each group have the following relation N1=γN2, for ∞ > γ > 1. Use this population relation and the loan market equilibrium condition to solve for the equilibrium yield R* in per youngster terms. e. Using (d), prove that i) R*>0; ii) R* is decreasing in γ. Explain the reason for result (ii) in plain language. Now let’s add a tax on type 1 agents to subsidize their type 2 brethren. Type 1 youngsters now pay a lump-sum tax τ<e that is immediately and costlessly sent to type 2 youngsters as transfer σ. Type 1s now solve Max (1-β) ln c10 + β ln c11 C0, C1 c10 = e – s1t - τ c11 = ε + Rt+1s1t Type 2 agents solve Max (1-β) ln c20 + β ln c21 C0, C1 c20 = ε – s2t + σ c21 = e + Rt+1s2t f. Find the optimal savings relations for types 1 and 2. g. State the government budget constraint (GBC). Write the GBC in per youngster terms (i.e. using population relation given in part (d)). h. Using the per youngster GBC, substitute out σ for τ in the savings relations, and construct the loan market equilibrium using the population relation given in part (d). Find the equilibrium yield R* for this version of the model. i. Prove or disprove: R* is increasing in the tax τ. In plain language, explain why this relationship between the tax and the yield is occurring. 3. Consider an infinitely-lived representative agent (Cass) economy. In this model, population is normalized to 1 and utility only comes from consumption. The decision problem at time t is described by Maxct βt U(ct) s.t. ct = wt (1- τ)+ rt kt - it kt+1 = (1-δ)kt +it, where c is consumption, w is wage, k is capital, i is investment, r is the interest rate, δ∈ [0,1] is depreciation, β∈ (0,1) is the discount rate, and the utility function has the standard properties including the Inada conditions. Note that there is a tax τ ∈ (0,1) that funds government investment, γ. a. Identify the state variable or variables for this model at time t. Prove or disprove: This is a market problem. b. Find the first order condition(s) (FOCs) for an optimal solution to this problem. c. Identify the variables the FOC(s) solve for in (a) with a star (*) and show which other variables these depend on from the decision-maker’s perspective. Now state the government budget constraint. d. Set up and solve the profit maximization problem for a representative firm in a perfectly competitive input market with production function Y=F(γ, K), where Y is output, K is aggregate capital, γ is government investment, and F(γ,K) has the standard properties including the Inada conditions and constant returns to scale. Assume that firms take government investment as given and fixed, with F1(γ,K)>0, and F2(γ,K)<0. e. Carefully and completely, define a general equilibrium for this model. f. Identify all steady states. g. Construct the phase portrait for this model by deriving arrows of motion and the dynamics in the phase space. Identify the stability properties of each steady state. h. State the transversality condition (TVC). Provide a logical argument for why the TVC identifies a single two-branch dynamical path for this economy out of the infinite number of possible paths that satisfy the equilibrium conditions. Now redraw your phase portrait and add second phase portrait for τ=0 [assume when τ=0 F(γ, K)= F(K) which is a standard production function]. i. Prove or disprove: For Kt less than the interior steady state value of K and on the saddle path, it > δKt.