Macroeconomics Qualifying Exam Part 2 September, 2009 Claremont Graduate University Please answer question ONE and EITHER questions two or three completely. Each part is equally weighted. HINT: “Prove” means to show mathematically using a formal derivation. “Describe” or “explain” means to provide the behavioral intuition for a result. 1. Consider an OLG economy with productive capital, K, and a "Medicare" package in which young people are taxed to pay for healthcare for older people. Population grows geometrically, Nt+1 = (1+n)Nt, n > -1, N0=1, and young people pay tax τ >0, while old people get a transfer σ>0 that subsidizes their consumption. The tax and transfer occur in the same period. An agent who is born at time t faces the decision problem Maxc0, c1 s.t. (1-β)ln (c0, t) + βln(c1, t+1) c0,t = wt– st - τ c1,t+1 = Rt+1st + σ, where c0, c1, s, w and R have the standard definitions, and the utility function has the standard properties. a) Identify the choice and state variables for this model at time t. b) Write down the aggregate government budget constraint (GBC) at time t. Identify each term. Now state this in per worker terms. c) Find the flow (2 period) budget constraint for an agent born at time t. Use the per worker GBC to substitute σ out of the flow budget constraint in terms of τ. Derive a condition showing that lifetime resources will be higher with the Medicare package than without it if some condition is met. Assume the economy is at a steady state. d) Briefly describe what the condition you derived in (c) means in plain English. Now agree or disagree and support your answer: Population growth in the US is approximately 1% per year (let a period in the model be a year for this calculation); this means the condition you found in (c) is likely to be met today in the US.? e) Take the FOC and solve for the savings relation. f) Prove or disprove that the savings relation is increasing in R. Why might this be important? g) Prove or disprove this statement: Savings is higher for the economy above without Medicare (when τ=σ= 0) than with Medicare (for τ,σ> 0). h) In plain English, tell me why you obtained the result in (g). i) Let y=kα where α ∈(0,1). Set up and solve the firm's profit maximization problem. Find prices rt and wt. j) Define a competitive equilibrium for this model C3: clearly, completely, and concisely. k) Now assume that all tax revenue collected is consumed by an (unmodeled) government administering Medicaid and none reaches the oldsters. This means that τ>0 and σ=0. Find all steady states for this economy. l) Assuming τ>0 and σ=0, derive the phase portrait for this economy, showing arrows of motion, steady states and noting their stability properties. 2. Consider an infinitely-lived representative agent (Cass) economy. In this model, population is normalized to 1 and leisure is not valued. The decision problem at time t is described by Maxct s.t. βt U(ct) ct = f(kt) - it kt+1 = (1-δ)kt + it, where c is consumption, k is capital, i is investment, δ∈ [0,1] is depreciation, β∈ (0,1) is the discount rate, and the utility function and production function f(k) have the standard properties including the Inada conditions. a. Identify the state variable or variables for this model. disagree: This is a planning problem. Support your claim. Agree or b. Find the first order condition(s) for an optimal solution to this problem. c. Identify the variables the optima solve for in (a) with a star (*) and show which other variables these depend on from the decision-maker’s perspective. d. State the complete set of optimality conditions for this model e. Let production be quadratic, f(kt) = kt2. Find all steady states for this model f. Derive arrows of motion for the dynamics in the phase space using the production function in (e). g. Now, construct the phase portrait for this model, and identify the stability properties of all steady states. 3. Consider a two period life pure exchange OLG economy. In this model, all agents are identical with N young members. There is no population growth. Agents have endowments in the first and second periods {e0, e1}>>0. Let c0 and c1 be young and old consumption, β∈ (0,1) be the discount rate, and R be the yield on savings, s. Agents in this economy have quadratic utility and solve Max C0, C1 c02/2 + β c12/2 c0 = e0 – s c1 = e1 + Rs a. Solve for optimal savings. b. Derive a condition under which the agent has positive savings. c. Define a general equilibrium for this model completely and carefully. d. Solve for the equilibrium yield R*. e. Using (d), prove that i) R*>0; ii) R* is decreasing in β. Explain the reason for result (ii) in plain language. Now let’s add a storage technology so that 1 unit of forgone consumption in period 0 can be stored and will produce δ∈ [0,1] units in period 1. The parameter δ captures possible spoilage. Agents now solve Max C0, C1 c02/2 + β c12/2 c0 = e0 – s c1 = e1 + δs f. Find the optimal savings. g. Prove or disprove: agents always save for any δ>0. After you have proved or disproved this, explain what your finding means using plain English.