IDG Policy Brief Urban Institute Center on International Development and Governance Providing basic public services at the door step of the people? Estimating the size of the local public sector in Bangladesh Jamie Boex June 2012 While the Constitution of Bangladesh provides for a highly decentralized public sector—stating that local governance in every administrative unit of the Republic shall be entrusted to elected councils—in practice, Bangladesh is widely considered to be one of the most centralized countries in the world. Figure 1: The estimated size of the local public sector in Bangladesh, 2011/12 In recent years, substantive reforms have taken place in support of a more decentralized public sector, both during the term of the last caretaker government (from 2006 to 2008) as well as during the first few years of the current government led by Awami League. On the legislative side, new ordinances and acts were passed to enhance the powers and responsibilities of Union Parishads (the lowest level of elected local governments) and for the re-introduction of Upazila Parishads (subdistrict elected councils). For urban areas, one integrated law was passed, replacing six earlier acts. In its election manifesto—and in the recent national Sixth Five Year Plan (SFYP)—the current government has committed to bringing “basic public services to people’s doorsteps.” Part of this strategy also includes greater access to fiscal resources at local levels. The government’s stated policy ambition leads to a simple question: what share of public resources is currently used to fund public services “at the door step of the people”? In other words, what is the size of the local public sector in Bangladesh? Although this is an obvious and important policy question to ask, answering this question is surprisingly difficult. The first obstacle—perhaps not unexpected—is the difficulty in obtaining the necessary fiscal data for the whole public sector, which covers not only the central government, but also 64 districts (Zila), 489 sub-districts (Upazila), 4,498 Union Councils, and 315 municipalities and City Corporations. The second (and more fundamental) obstacle is that the metrics that are commonly used to measure decentralization are generally limited to measuring the finances of “devolved” local government units, and therefore provide only a partial and incomplete picture of the local public sector in Bangladesh. As a result, we apply a methodology that was recently developed by the Local Public Sector Initiative in order to measure the complete size of the local public sector in Bangladesh. IDG Policy Brief—Estimating the Size of the Local Public Sector in Bangladesh 1 What is the Local Public Sector? Consistent with the notion that the government of Bangladesh seeks to deliver public services “close to the people” or “on people’s door steps”, the local public sector could be defined as the part of the public sector that regularly interacts with the people in a localized manner. The range of public services and activities that falls within the realm of the Local Public Sector thus include basic local services such as solid waste management, street lighting, public markets, and community development. In addition, important sectoral services such as basic education, basic health services, water provision, and agricultural extension are part of the local public sector as well. By the definition above, even local civil administration, fire protection and police services could be considered part of the local public sector. In international practice, there are different approaches by which national governments interact with—and deliver services to—the people. These approaches include the provision of public services by elected local governments (devolution), but also through other mechanisms, such as deconcentration, delegation, and centralized public service delivery (Figure 2). In contrast to devolution, deconcentration takes place when decision-making authority and resources are transferred from the central government to subnational departments or subnational jurisdictions which are a hierarchical part of the national (state) administration. As a starting point, the Local Public Sector Initiative does not assume that any single type of institutional arrangement at the local level is inherently better than others. Instead, the initiative seeks to measure and describe the size and nature of these different institutional mechanisms and explores under which conditions these different approaches might be appropriate and efficient for the delivery of government services to the people. Measuring the Local Public Sector and Local Public Sector Expenditures A comprehensive metric of local public sector finances ought to recognize that virtually no country in the world is purely devolved or purely deconcentrated, but rather, that central authorities in each country simultaneously interact with residents, civil society and the private sector through the different mechanisms highlighted in Figure 2. As such, the measure of local public sector expenditures adopted by the Local Public Sector Initiative measures three types of local expenditures: 1. Devolved expenditures—made by local governments; 2. Deconcentrated expenditures—made by deconcentrated units of the national government; and 3. Other local public sector expenditures— expenditures that are made directly (or through delegation) by the central government for “local” public services. A good measure of Local Public Sector finances should not simply aggregate the different funding streams into a single measure of local public sector expenditures, since different types of political, administrative and fiscal arrangements at the subnational level are likely to result in different levels and quality of public services. As a result, the methodology developed by the Local Public Sector Initiative provides a breakdown of the different types of local public sector expenditures, rather than simply aggregating them. Greater details about the methodology used to measure local public expenditures are contained in the Local Public Sector Country Profile Handbook (draft, March 2012). IDG Policy Brief—Estimating the Size of the Local Public Sector in Bangladesh 2 Measuring Devolved Expenditures in Bangladesh The first component of local public sector expenditures in Bangladesh is the spending of elected local governments. All local government spending can safely be assumed to be part of local public sector expenditures. A local government can be defined as a local body that (1) is a corporate body; (2) that has its own political leadership; (3) engages in some type of governance activity; and (4) prepares and adopts its own budget. By this definition, Union Parishads (UPs), municipalities (Pourashavas) and City Corporations are local government entities. Unfortunately, there is no accurate measure of devolved local expenditures in Bangladesh, as no central government agency currently tabulates the expenditures of UPs or of urban local bodies. This is regrettable, since the absence of such basic data undermines the credibility of the local government system and does not permit the analysis of basic questions about local public finances and local services. Instead, we can approximate the total amount of local government expenditures as the sum of the total amount of intergovernmental fiscal transfers provided to local governments, plus the total amount of expenditures funded by own source revenue collections. The 2011/12 budget for the Local Government Division (LGD) contains Taka 29.6 billion in intergovernmental fiscal transfers and allocations to autonomous bodies and other institutions. This amount is expected to translate into the same amount of devolved expenditures. Measuring Deconcentrated Expenditures and Other Local Public Sector Expenditures in Bangladesh For the purpose of determining the level of deconcentrated expenditures and other local public sector expenditures in Bangladesh, we reviewed the ministerial budget plans (2011/12) for thirteen line ministries: Ministry of Home Affairs Ministry of Primary and Mass Education Ministry of Education Ministry of Health Ministry of Social Welfare Local Government Division Rural Development and Cooperatives Division Ministry of Agriculture Ministry of Fishery and Animal Resources Ministry of Environment and Forest Ministry of Water Resources Food Division Disaster Management and Relief Division These are the ministries expected to be active at the local level in terms of providing public services to the people in a localized manner. For each ministry or division, the budget for 2011/12 (downloaded from the Ministry of Finance website) presents the breakdown of planned expenditures by economic classification. In addition, the budget plan presents planned expenditures by budget program. While it would be helpful to have more details on each budget program within each line ministry, such details were unfortunately not available for the purpose of estimating the size of the local public sector. Deconcentrated Expenditures In addition, based on the most recent analysis of local government revenues in Bangladesh (Fox and Menon, 2008), we roughly estimate each local government to collect US$ 2 (or Taka 160) in own source revenues per person. While this is an unsatisfactory rough estimate (and probably quite generous, given the limited revenues collected by UPs), this estimate will suffice for the time being for the purpose of obtaining a rough estimate of the overall size of the local public sector in Bangladesh. For each of the line ministries, whenever the name of a budget program indicated spending on a localized activity by a deconcentrated administrative unit (e.g., District Offices or Upazila Offices), these program expenditures were counted as deconcentrated expenditures. For instance, under the Ministry of Health, spending on Upazila Health Complex and Sub-centres was counted as deconcentrated expenditures. Similarly, in the education sector, budget programs such as Upazila Education Offices, Government Primary Schools, Government IDG Policy Brief—Estimating the Size of the Local Public Sector in Bangladesh 3 Secondary Schools and Non-Government [Education] Institutions were also assumed to be spent in a deconcentrated fashion. According to the methodology being followed, even District Police Forces under the Ministry of Home Affairs were considered to be deconcentrated expenditures. In addition, for each of the relevant line ministry, the budgets were reviewed for indications of direct or delegated line ministry spending in support of local public services. For instance, a line ministry’s allocations for “autonomous bodies and other institutions” were generally considered to form part of the local public sector. This may overestimate the size of the local public sector, since it is typically unclear whether these resources are in fact provided to local governments, to parastatal organizations, or to national institutions. Other expenditures that were expected to benefit the delivery of front-line public services were counted as part of the local public sector as well. For example, procurements made by the Food Division—while made by a central government agency—were assumed to ultimately benefit the local community. As such, these expenditures were counted towards other (direct and delegated) local public sector expenditures. In contrast, budget programs that appeared to fund central administrative departments (e.g., the “Department of Fisheries”) were generally not considered to be part of the local public sector. Of course this does not mean that central administrative departments are unimportant in the delivery of local public services. It is rare, however, that spending by central administrative departments produces an immediate and direct benefit in terms of improved public services “on people’s door steps.” What is the Size of the Local Public Sector in Bangladesh? Based on the methodology described above, what is the estimated size of the local public sector in Bangladesh for the year 2011/12? The total share of public expenditures that takes place within the local public sector in Bangladesh is reflected in Figure 1, and consists of three components. First, the estimated amount of devolved local government expenditures in Bangladesh equals approximately Taka 60 billion, or about 2.6 percent of the total budgeted expenditures for 2011/12. Based on the low level of devolved expenditures, Bangladesh is often cited as being among the most centralized countries in the world. However, this estimate fails to account for non-devolved funding flows to the local level. In addition to devolved local government expenditures, deconcentrated expenditures account for approximately 7.1 percent of public expenditures, while other (direct or delegated) centralized expenditures in support of the local public sector account for another 6.4 percent. When adding these different funding streams, the total size of local public sector expenditures in Bangladesh (expressed as a percentage of total public expenditures) is approximately 16.2 percent. It should be noted that while this estimate likely gives a reasonable approximation of the size of the local public sector in Bangladesh, this is certainly not highly precise. On one hand, it is likely that this estimate still excludes some local public sector expenditures, while on the other hand, it is likely that some expenditures assigned to the local public sector are overestimates. Is the Size of the Local Public Sector Big Enough? A Comparison With Other Countries Given that the government of Bangladesh has committed to bringing basic public services at people’s doorsteps, is the current size of the local public sector big enough? The most likely answer is “probably not”. After all, for every Taka 100 that is being spent by the public sector, only Taka 16 is being spent on public services that are delivered more or less “at the people’s door steps.” In contrast, the majority of public spending (Taka 84) remains largely invisible to the people by being spent at the central administration level or by being spent on public services that are less visible to the people. While central public expenditures finance national debt repayment, national defense, and other important national government services, it is difficult to escape the notion that the 84 percent of public expenditures that is spent at the central government level likely includes a considerable amount of central IDG Policy Brief—Estimating the Size of the Local Public Sector in Bangladesh 4 administrative expenditures that are not necessarily a high priority to the people. Another way of analyzing whether local public sector spending in Bangladesh is high enough is by comparing local public sector expenditures in Bangladesh with a number of countries that are roughly comparable in terms of governance structure and economic development. This is done in figure 3. The table clearly demonstrates that the total size of the local public sector in Bangladesh continues to be among the smallest in the world, even when deconcentrated expenditures and other local public Figure 3: A Comparison of the Local Public Sector in Selected Countries different stakeholders, including policy analysts, representatives from different line ministries as well as local government officials from all different levels. Such a policy analysis exercise should inform a wider policy dialogue and specifically provide facts and evidence for three key policy questions: First, is the government comfortable with the share of public spending that is currently being devoted to the local public sector in terms of bringing public services to the door steps of the people? If not, what share of public expenditures should be directed towards the local public sector? What reforms in budget processes are needed to achieve a greater degree of vertical fiscal balance? Second, are public resources distributed across the national territory in a way that is consistent with national policy objectives? For instance, are urban and rural areas each getting their “fair share” of public resources, or are certain parts of the country receiving a disproportionately greater share of public resources? If public resources are distributed in an inequitable manner, what reforms in budget processes are needed to achieve a greater degree of horizontal fiscal balance? sector spending is taken into account. It is interesting to note that the next lowest country (in terms of local public sector expenditures) is Egypt, where public dissatisfaction with the unresponsiveness of the public sector led to the ouster of the regime of President Mubarak in the spring of 2011. Concluding Thoughts and Next Steps What should be next for Bangladesh, in terms of its decentralization reforms, and with regard to its desire to move the public sector and public services closer to the people? Perhaps the most immediate next step would be to engage in a more inclusive, more detailed and more accurate analysis of the size and composition of the local public sector in Bangladesh. While such an analysis would most likely be jointly led by the Local Government Division and the Ministry of Finance, such an analysis should bring together a variety of Finally, are local jurisdictions able to transform the available financial and human resources into public service delivery outcomes in a way that is responsive to the needs of the community? If not, what concrete (and politically acceptable) steps can be taken to enhance the effectiveness of the local public sector in Bangladesh in order to ensure improved public service delivery and greater empowerment of the people over the public sector? This IDG Policy Brief was prepared by Dr. Jamie Boex in June 2012 with support from the Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation (SDC). The Local Public Sector Initiative is further supported by a research grant provided by USAID under Cooperative Agreement AIDOAA-A-12-00008 . IDG Policy Brief—Estimating the Size of the Local Public Sector in Bangladesh 5