21-Jul-10 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T10-0170 Incremental Effects of Allowing the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts to Sunset Eliminate 10 Percent Bracket and Raise 25 and 28 Percent Tax 1 Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2012 Summary Table Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Cut 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 With Tax Increase 0.4 30.8 58.0 77.1 87.6 94.4 97.7 97.6 88.7 78.4 81.6 67.2 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.0 -0.4 -0.9 -1.1 -1.2 -1.3 -1.3 -1.6 -1.5 -0.7 -0.2 -1.2 Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change ($) 0.0 1.5 4.2 5.3 5.5 14.3 12.8 33.4 17.6 3.5 2.0 100.0 0 65 217 354 461 678 958 1,748 3,202 3,605 4,133 686 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.9 Under the Proposal 5.4 5.3 10.8 15.0 17.4 19.4 21.3 24.1 26.6 28.4 33.8 23.2 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0509-5). Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 2.9 Proposal: 1.2 ** This table is part of a series of tables showing the distributional effects of moving incrementally from current policy to current law. For definitions and further information, see “Related Tables: Moving Incrementally from Current Policy to Current Law” at http://taxpolicycenter.org/numbers/displayatab.cfm?template=simulation&SimID=367 (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current policy (extension of the 2001-2003 tax cuts and patching AMT using 2009 parameters indexed for inflation) plus estate tax at current law level— a 55 percent top tax rate and a $1 million exemption, not indexed); top two tax brackets raised to 36 and 39.6 percent; restoration of the personal exemption phaseout (PEP) and the limitation on itemized deductions (Pease); increased tax rates on long-term capital gains (10 percent for tax units in 15 percent bracket, 20 percent for rest) and reduced rates for gains on assets held 5 years or longer; taxation of all dividends as ordinary income; repeal of expansions of the student loan interest deduction, the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC), and the Child Tax Credit (CTC); restoration of marriage penalties by setting the standard deduction and 10 and 15 percent tax brackets for couples filing jointly to 1.67 times those for singles and making the EITC phaseout threshold for couples filing jointly the same as that for singles. Policy is elimination of the 10 percent bracket and the 25 and 28 percent tax rates increased to 28 and 31 percent. (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 21-Jul-10 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T10-0170 Incremental Effects of Allowing the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts to Sunset Eliminate 10 Percent Bracket and Raise 25 and 28 Percent Tax Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Detail Table Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Increase With Tax Cut 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 30.8 58.0 77.1 87.6 94.4 97.7 97.6 88.7 78.4 81.6 67.2 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.0 -0.4 -0.9 -1.1 -1.2 -1.3 -1.3 -1.6 -1.5 -0.7 -0.2 -1.2 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.0 1.5 4.2 5.3 5.5 14.3 12.8 33.4 17.6 3.5 2.0 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars 0 65 217 354 461 678 958 1,748 3,202 3,605 4,133 686 Percent 0.0 8.5 8.5 7.0 6.0 5.8 5.3 5.4 4.2 1.8 0.4 4.1 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.0 -0.2 -0.7 0.0 Under the Proposal 0.2 0.7 2.1 3.1 3.8 10.2 10.0 25.3 16.8 7.6 20.1 100.0 5 Average Federal Tax Rate Change (% Points) 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.9 Under the Proposal 5.4 5.3 10.8 15.0 17.4 19.4 21.3 24.1 26.6 28.4 33.8 23.2 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units Number (thousands) 16,958 24,305 21,133 16,074 12,909 22,702 14,431 20,606 5,930 1,048 531 157,348 3 Percent of Total 10.8 15.5 13.4 10.2 8.2 14.4 9.2 13.1 3.8 0.7 0.3 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 5,723 15,533 25,808 36,190 46,615 64,099 90,195 141,257 296,062 704,969 3,114,004 76,169 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) 309 762 2,565 5,061 7,655 11,782 18,206 32,311 75,643 196,730 1,049,495 16,966 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 5,414 14,771 23,243 31,129 38,960 52,317 71,989 108,945 220,419 508,240 2,064,509 59,202 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 5.4 4.9 9.9 14.0 16.4 18.4 20.2 22.9 25.6 27.9 33.7 22.3 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 0.8 3.2 4.6 4.9 5.0 12.1 10.9 24.3 14.7 6.2 13.8 100.0 1.0 3.9 5.3 5.4 5.4 12.8 11.2 24.1 14.0 5.7 11.8 100.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.1 3.7 10.0 9.8 24.9 16.8 7.7 20.9 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0509-5). Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 2.9 Proposal: 1.2 (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current policy (extension of the 2001-2003 tax cuts and patching AMT using 2009 parameters indexed for inflation) plus estate tax at current law level— a 55 percent top tax rate and a $1 million exemption, not indexed); top two tax brackets raised to 36 and 39.6 percent; restoration of the personal exemption phaseout (PEP) and the limitation on itemized deductions (Pease); increased tax rates on long-term capital gains (10 percent for tax units in 15 percent bracket, 20 percent for rest) and reduced rates for gains on assets held 5 years or longer; taxation of all dividends as ordinary income; repeal of expansions of the student loan interest deduction, the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC), and the Child Tax Credit (CTC); restoration of marriage penalties by setting the standard deduction and 10 and 15 percent tax brackets for couples filing jointly to 1.67 times those for singles and making the EITC phaseout threshold for couples filing jointly the same as that for singles. Policy is elimination of the 10 percent bracket and the 25 and 28 percent tax rates increased to 28 and 31 percent. (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 21-Jul-10 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T10-0170 Incremental Effects of Allowing the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts to Sunset Eliminate 10 Percent Bracket and Raise 25 and 28 Percent Tax Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Detail Table - Single Tax Units Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Cut With Tax Increase 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 45.4 72.4 91.0 96.7 98.0 98.2 96.1 83.4 73.4 75.4 63.5 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.0 -0.7 -1.3 -1.3 -1.1 -1.3 -1.7 -1.8 -1.2 -0.6 -0.2 -1.2 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.0 5.1 11.2 9.7 8.7 19.7 14.3 22.0 7.0 1.3 0.8 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars 0 99 289 372 418 648 1,143 1,876 2,573 2,766 3,127 418 Percent 0.0 7.6 8.4 5.9 4.6 4.7 5.3 5.3 3.1 1.3 0.3 4.3 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.5 0.0 Under the Proposal 0.9 3.0 6.1 7.3 8.4 18.4 11.9 18.0 9.8 4.4 11.8 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) 0.0 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.0 Under the Proposal 8.5 9.1 14.6 18.6 20.7 23.1 25.7 26.9 28.8 31.6 36.7 22.9 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units 3 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 12,161 14,889 11,204 7,555 6,018 8,766 3,599 3,384 787 138 75 68,932 17.6 21.6 16.3 11.0 8.7 12.7 5.2 4.9 1.1 0.2 0.1 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 5,710 15,384 25,667 36,120 46,555 63,234 89,193 137,406 300,163 697,814 2,972,435 43,878 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) 484 1,301 3,459 6,356 9,204 13,948 21,755 35,106 83,874 218,009 1,087,577 9,646 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 5,227 14,083 22,208 29,764 37,351 49,286 67,439 102,300 216,289 479,804 1,884,858 34,232 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 8.5 8.5 13.5 17.6 19.8 22.1 24.4 25.6 27.9 31.2 36.6 22.0 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 2.3 7.6 9.5 9.0 9.3 18.3 10.6 15.4 7.8 3.2 7.3 100.0 2.7 8.9 10.5 9.5 9.5 18.3 10.3 14.7 7.2 2.8 6.0 100.0 0.9 2.9 5.8 7.2 8.3 18.4 11.8 17.9 9.9 4.5 12.2 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0509-5). (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current policy (extension of the 2001-2003 tax cuts and patching AMT using 2009 parameters indexed for inflation) plus estate tax at current law level— a 55 percent top tax rate and a $1 million exemption, not indexed); top two tax brackets raised to 36 and 39.6 percent; restoration of the personal exemption phaseout (PEP) and the limitation on itemized deductions (Pease); increased tax rates on long-term capital gains (10 percent for tax units in 15 percent bracket, 20 percent for rest) and reduced rates for gains on assets held 5 years or longer; taxation of all dividends as ordinary income; repeal of expansions of the student loan interest deduction, the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC), and the Child Tax Credit (CTC); restoration of marriage penalties by setting the standard deduction and 10 and 15 percent tax brackets for couples filing jointly to 1.67 times those for singles and making the EITC phaseout threshold for couples filing jointly the same as that for singles. Policy is elimination of the 10 percent bracket and the 25 and 28 percent tax rates increased to 28 and 31 percent. (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 21-Jul-10 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T10-0170 Incremental Effects of Allowing the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts to Sunset Eliminate 10 Percent Bracket and Raise 25 and 28 Percent Tax Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Detail Table - Married Tax Units Filing Jointly Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Cut With Tax Increase 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.5 36.4 52.0 71.2 90.9 97.8 98.5 90.8 79.6 82.9 76.0 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.0 0.0 -0.4 -0.8 -1.2 -1.3 -1.2 -1.6 -1.5 -0.7 -0.2 -1.2 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.8 2.8 10.5 11.9 40.7 24.1 4.8 2.7 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars 0 4 102 276 479 735 897 1,743 3,376 3,771 4,366 1,129 Percent 0.0 0.8 5.9 8.0 8.7 7.5 5.4 5.5 4.5 2.0 0.4 3.9 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.1 -0.2 -0.8 0.0 Under the Proposal 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.3 5.6 8.6 29.1 20.6 9.3 23.9 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.9 Under the Proposal 5.3 3.4 7.0 10.3 12.9 16.3 19.3 23.5 26.3 27.9 33.3 24.1 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units 3 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 2,172 4,097 4,842 4,391 4,095 9,883 9,149 16,193 4,941 876 435 61,357 3.5 6.7 7.9 7.2 6.7 16.1 14.9 26.4 8.1 1.4 0.7 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 4,766 16,031 25,959 36,302 46,760 65,241 90,792 142,545 295,420 706,519 3,075,014 126,020 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) 251 546 1,716 3,443 5,536 9,865 16,662 31,786 74,320 193,577 1,020,672 29,288 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 4,516 15,484 24,244 32,859 41,224 55,376 74,130 110,759 221,100 512,941 2,054,342 96,732 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 5.3 3.4 6.6 9.5 11.8 15.1 18.4 22.3 25.2 27.4 33.2 23.2 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 0.1 0.9 1.6 2.1 2.5 8.3 10.7 29.9 18.9 8.0 17.3 100.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 2.4 2.8 9.2 11.4 30.2 18.4 7.6 15.1 100.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.3 5.4 8.5 28.6 20.4 9.4 24.7 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0509-5). (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current policy (extension of the 2001-2003 tax cuts and patching AMT using 2009 parameters indexed for inflation) plus estate tax at current law level— a 55 percent top tax rate and a $1 million exemption, not indexed); top two tax brackets raised to 36 and 39.6 percent; restoration of the personal exemption phaseout (PEP) and the limitation on itemized deductions (Pease); increased tax rates on long-term capital gains (10 percent for tax units in 15 percent bracket, 20 percent for rest) and reduced rates for gains on assets held 5 years or longer; taxation of all dividends as ordinary income; repeal of expansions of the student loan interest deduction, the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC), and the Child Tax Credit (CTC); restoration of marriage penalties by setting the standard deduction and 10 and 15 percent tax brackets for couples filing jointly to 1.67 times those for singles and making the EITC phaseout threshold for couples filing jointly the same as that for singles. Policy is elimination of the 10 percent bracket and the 25 and 28 percent tax rates increased to 28 and 31 percent. (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 21-Jul-10 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T10-0170 Incremental Effects of Allowing the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts to Sunset Eliminate 10 Percent Bracket and Raise 25 and 28 Percent Tax Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Detail Table - Head of Household Tax Units Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Cut With Tax Increase 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3 43.5 77.0 91.3 95.1 96.4 89.7 55.8 68.4 76.6 53.3 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.0 0.0 -0.6 -1.3 -1.4 -1.1 -1.2 -1.3 -0.6 -0.6 -0.2 -1.0 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.0 0.3 8.7 18.3 15.7 25.1 13.6 14.3 2.5 0.9 0.5 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars 0 6 153 406 536 587 819 1,360 1,369 3,113 3,720 340 Percent 0.0 -0.8 13.0 9.8 7.5 5.1 4.4 4.4 1.9 1.7 0.4 5.4 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 -0.3 0.0 Under the Proposal -0.8 -2.3 3.9 10.6 11.6 26.5 16.6 17.4 6.9 2.7 6.8 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.8 Under the Proposal -7.7 -4.8 5.1 12.6 16.5 19.1 21.7 24.1 25.2 26.7 34.2 15.8 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units 3 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 2,483 5,029 4,757 3,767 2,449 3,559 1,389 877 150 24 11 24,547 10.1 20.5 19.4 15.4 10.0 14.5 5.7 3.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 6,647 15,579 25,971 36,157 46,569 63,082 89,214 132,993 294,130 686,382 2,985,055 41,760 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) -514 -745 1,180 4,157 7,126 11,448 18,575 30,738 72,680 180,096 1,016,347 6,255 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 7,161 16,325 24,792 32,000 39,444 51,634 70,639 102,256 221,450 506,286 1,968,708 35,505 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 -7.7 -4.8 4.5 11.5 15.3 18.2 20.8 23.1 24.7 26.2 34.1 15.0 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 1.6 7.6 12.1 13.3 11.1 21.9 12.1 11.4 4.3 1.6 3.2 100.0 2.0 9.4 13.5 13.8 11.1 21.1 11.3 10.3 3.8 1.4 2.5 100.0 -0.8 -2.4 3.7 10.2 11.4 26.5 16.8 17.6 7.1 2.8 7.2 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0509-5). (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current policy (extension of the 2001-2003 tax cuts and patching AMT using 2009 parameters indexed for inflation) plus estate tax at current law level— a 55 percent top tax rate and a $1 million exemption, not indexed); top two tax brackets raised to 36 and 39.6 percent; restoration of the personal exemption phaseout (PEP) and the limitation on itemized deductions (Pease); increased tax rates on long-term capital gains (10 percent for tax units in 15 percent bracket, 20 percent for rest) and reduced rates for gains on assets held 5 years or longer; taxation of all dividends as ordinary income; repeal of expansions of the student loan interest deduction, the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC), and the Child Tax Credit (CTC); restoration of marriage penalties by setting the standard deduction and 10 and 15 percent tax brackets for couples filing jointly to 1.67 times those for singles and making the EITC phaseout threshold for couples filing jointly the same as that for singles. Policy is elimination of the 10 percent bracket and the 25 and 28 percent tax rates increased to 28 and 31 percent. (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 21-Jul-10 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T10-0170 Incremental Effects of Allowing the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts to Sunset Eliminate 10 Percent Bracket and Raise 25 and 28 Percent Tax Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Detail Table - Tax Units with Children Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Increase With Tax Cut 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 32.7 67.5 86.8 93.6 97.6 97.7 87.8 83.7 86.9 67.8 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.0 0.0 -0.4 -1.0 -1.3 -1.3 -1.2 -1.5 -1.5 -0.8 -0.2 -1.1 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.0 0.0 1.5 4.0 5.0 12.5 12.2 36.9 21.2 4.5 2.3 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars 0 3 107 336 533 692 861 1,631 3,176 4,190 4,679 839 Percent 0.0 -0.2 14.4 8.7 7.8 6.3 4.9 5.1 4.2 2.0 0.4 4.0 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 -0.2 -0.7 0.0 Under the Proposal -0.2 -0.7 0.4 1.9 2.6 8.1 10.0 28.9 19.9 8.5 20.5 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.9 Under the Proposal -11.3 -8.2 3.3 11.6 15.8 18.3 20.4 23.7 26.7 29.7 34.7 23.1 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units 3 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 2,968 5,639 5,683 4,891 3,849 7,425 5,841 9,319 2,750 441 206 49,155 6.0 11.5 11.6 10.0 7.8 15.1 11.9 19.0 5.6 0.9 0.4 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 6,252 15,769 25,918 36,161 46,701 64,368 90,740 142,137 293,742 705,334 3,105,769 95,419 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) -706 -1,291 740 3,852 6,821 11,078 17,612 32,002 75,282 204,993 1,073,237 21,222 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 6,958 17,060 25,178 32,310 39,880 53,290 73,128 110,135 218,460 500,341 2,032,532 74,197 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total -11.3 -8.2 2.9 10.7 14.6 17.2 19.4 22.5 25.6 29.1 34.6 22.2 0.4 1.9 3.1 3.8 3.8 10.2 11.3 28.2 17.2 6.6 13.7 100.0 0.6 2.6 3.9 4.3 4.2 10.9 11.7 28.1 16.5 6.1 11.5 100.0 -0.2 -0.7 0.4 1.8 2.5 7.9 9.9 28.6 19.9 8.7 21.2 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0509-5). Note: Tax units with children are those claiming an exemption for children at home or away from home. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current policy (extension of the 2001-2003 tax cuts and patching AMT using 2009 parameters indexed for inflation) plus estate tax at current law level— a 55 percent top tax rate and a $1 million exemption, not indexed); top two tax brackets raised to 36 and 39.6 percent; restoration of the personal exemption phaseout (PEP) and the limitation on itemized deductions (Pease); increased tax rates on long-term capital gains (10 percent for tax units in 15 percent bracket, 20 percent for rest) and reduced rates for gains on assets held 5 years or longer; taxation of all dividends as ordinary income; repeal of expansions of the student loan interest deduction, the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC), and the Child Tax Credit (CTC); restoration of marriage penalties by setting the standard deduction and 10 and 15 percent tax brackets for couples filing jointly to 1.67 times those for singles and making the EITC phaseout threshold for couples filing jointly the same as that for singles. Policy is elimination of the 10 percent bracket and the 25 and 28 percent tax rates increased to 28 and 31 percent. (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 21-Jul-10 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T10-0170 Incremental Effects of Allowing the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts to Sunset Eliminate 10 Percent Bracket and Raise 25 and 28 Percent Tax Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Detail Table - Elderly Tax Units Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Increase With Tax Cut 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3 37.1 54.0 63.7 87.5 96.4 97.3 88.2 64.7 71.2 53.1 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.0 -0.2 -0.5 -0.6 -0.7 -1.1 -1.2 -1.5 -1.3 -0.5 -0.2 -0.9 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.0 1.0 3.6 3.8 3.9 16.0 13.9 31.1 20.1 3.9 2.8 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars 0 25 115 212 282 600 914 1,720 2,946 2,641 3,454 541 Percent 0.0 6.2 9.6 9.5 7.8 8.5 7.0 6.1 3.9 1.4 0.3 3.7 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.0 -0.2 -1.0 0.0 Under the Proposal 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.6 1.9 7.3 7.6 19.3 19.2 10.5 30.4 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.7 Under the Proposal 3.2 2.8 5.1 6.8 8.3 11.9 15.6 21.1 25.9 27.8 34.3 20.0 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units 3 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 2,305 6,471 5,084 2,999 2,259 4,405 2,504 2,986 1,128 245 132 30,543 7.6 21.2 16.7 9.8 7.4 14.4 8.2 9.8 3.7 0.8 0.4 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 6,366 15,655 25,560 36,054 46,537 64,489 89,136 141,589 304,121 709,954 3,095,895 75,737 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) 201 407 1,198 2,229 3,598 7,099 13,030 28,188 75,891 194,756 1,058,985 14,589 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 6,166 15,247 24,362 33,826 42,939 57,391 76,105 113,401 228,230 515,198 2,036,910 61,148 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 3.2 2.6 4.7 6.2 7.7 11.0 14.6 19.9 25.0 27.4 34.2 19.3 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 0.6 4.4 5.6 4.7 4.5 12.3 9.7 18.3 14.8 7.5 17.7 100.0 0.8 5.3 6.6 5.4 5.2 13.5 10.2 18.1 13.8 6.8 14.4 100.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.5 1.8 7.0 7.3 18.9 19.2 10.7 31.4 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0509-5). Note: Elderly tax units are those with either head or spouse (if filing jointly) age 65 or older. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current policy (extension of the 2001-2003 tax cuts and patching AMT using 2009 parameters indexed for inflation) plus estate tax at current law level— a 55 percent top tax rate and a $1 million exemption, not indexed); top two tax brackets raised to 36 and 39.6 percent; restoration of the personal exemption phaseout (PEP) and the limitation on itemized deductions (Pease); increased tax rates on long-term capital gains (10 percent for tax units in 15 percent bracket, 20 percent for rest) and reduced rates for gains on assets held 5 years or longer; taxation of all dividends as ordinary income; repeal of expansions of the student loan interest deduction, the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC), and the Child Tax Credit (CTC); restoration of marriage penalties by setting the standard deduction and 10 and 15 percent tax brackets for couples filing jointly to 1.67 times those for singles and making the EITC phaseout threshold for couples filing jointly the same as that for singles. Policy is elimination of the 10 percent bracket and the 25 and 28 percent tax rates increased to 28 and 31 percent. (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.