21-Jul-10 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T10-0152 Incremental Effects of Extending the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts Impose Estate Tax with 45 Percent Tax Rate and $3.5 Million Exemption, Not Indexed Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Summary Table Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Cut 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.0 With Tax Increase 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Percent Change in After-Tax 4 Income 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 Share of Total Federal Tax Change Average Federal Tax Change ($) 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.6 5.4 9.8 10.3 26.2 26.2 10.1 9.3 100.0 -1 -4 -10 -7 -74 -77 -126 -225 -780 -1,703 -3,094 -112 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 Under the Proposal 5.3 4.5 8.8 12.9 15.5 17.7 19.4 21.8 24.5 25.5 29.6 20.8 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0509-5). Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 5.0 Proposal: 5.0 ** This table is part of a series of tables showing the distributional effects of moving incrementally from current law to current policy. For definitions and further information, see “Related Tables: Moving Incrementally from Current Law to Current Policy” at http://taxpolicycenter.org/numbers/displayatab.cfm?template=simulation&SimID=366 (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus a permanent AMT patch at 2009 levels, indexed for inflation; extension of low- and middle-income tax cuts (extend the 10, 25, and 28 percent rates; set the standard deduction and 10 and 15 percent tax brackets for couples filing jointly to double those for singles; raise the EITC phaseout threshold for couples filing jointly; and extend expansions of the student loan interest deduction, the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC), and the Child Tax Credit (CTC); taxation of qualified dividends the same as long-term capital gains; reduced tax rates on longterm capital gains (0 percent for tax units in 15 percent bracket or lower, 15 percent for tax units in tax brackets above 15 percent); repeal of the personal exemption phaseout (PEP) and limitation on itemized deductions (Pease); extension of the 33 and 35 percent tax brackets. Policy is an estate tax set at the 2009 level, not indexed for inflation ($3.5 million exemption, 45 percent tax rate). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 21-Jul-10 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T10-0152 Incremental Effects of Extending the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts Impose Estate Tax with 45 Percent Tax Rate and $3.5 Million Exemption, Not Indexed Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Detail Table Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Increase With Tax Cut 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.6 5.4 9.8 10.3 26.2 26.2 10.1 9.3 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars -1 -4 -10 -7 -74 -77 -126 -225 -780 -1,703 -3,094 -112 Percent -0.3 -0.5 -0.5 -0.1 -1.0 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7 -1.1 -0.9 -0.3 -0.7 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 Under the Proposal 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.0 3.7 10.3 10.1 25.4 17.2 7.6 19.6 100.0 5 Average Federal Tax Rate Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 Under the Proposal 5.3 4.5 8.8 12.9 15.5 17.7 19.4 21.8 24.5 25.5 29.6 20.8 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units Number (thousands) 16,958 24,305 21,133 16,074 12,909 22,702 14,431 20,606 5,930 1,048 531 157,348 3 Percent of Total 10.8 15.5 13.4 10.2 8.2 14.4 9.2 13.1 3.8 0.7 0.3 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 5,723 15,533 25,808 36,190 46,615 64,099 90,195 141,257 296,062 704,969 3,114,004 76,169 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) 305 708 2,275 4,683 7,304 11,396 17,592 30,996 73,183 181,772 924,865 15,954 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 5,418 14,825 23,533 31,506 39,311 52,703 72,603 110,260 222,880 523,198 2,189,139 60,215 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 5.3 4.6 8.8 12.9 15.7 17.8 19.5 21.9 24.7 25.8 29.7 21.0 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 0.8 3.2 4.6 4.9 5.0 12.1 10.9 24.3 14.7 6.2 13.8 100.0 1.0 3.8 5.3 5.4 5.4 12.6 11.1 24.0 14.0 5.8 12.3 100.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.0 3.8 10.3 10.1 25.4 17.3 7.6 19.6 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0509-5). Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 5.0 Proposal: 5.0 (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus a permanent AMT patch at 2009 levels, indexed for inflation; extension of low- and middle-income tax cuts (extend the 10, 25, and 28 percent rates; set the standard deduction and and 15 percent tax brackets for couples filing jointly to double those for singles; raise the EITC phaseout threshold for couples filing jointly; and extend expansions of the student loan interest deduction, the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC), and the Child Tax Credit (CTC); taxation of qualified dividends the same as long-term capital gains; reduced tax rates on long-term capital gains (0 percent for tax units in 15 percent bracket or lower, 15 percent for tax units in tax brackets above 15 percent); repeal of the personal exemption phaseout (PEP) and limitation on itemized deductions (Pease); extension of the 33 and 35 perc tax brackets. Policy is an estate tax set at the 2009 level, not indexed for inflation ($3.5 million exemption, 45 percent tax rate). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 21-Jul-10 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T10-0152 Incremental Effects of Extending the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts Impose Estate Tax with 45 Percent Tax Rate and $3.5 Million Exemption, Not Indexed Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Detail Table - Single Tax Units Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Cut With Tax Increase 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.2 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.2 2.2 1.9 0.6 0.6 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.4 6.2 11.2 11.4 28.8 25.4 8.6 6.1 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars -1 -5 -15 -9 -153 -190 -473 -1,271 -4,810 -9,359 -12,117 -217 Percent -0.2 -0.4 -0.5 -0.1 -1.7 -1.4 -2.2 -3.7 -6.0 -4.6 -1.3 -2.3 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 -0.3 -0.4 -0.1 0.1 0.0 Under the Proposal 0.9 3.0 6.0 7.5 8.6 19.0 12.0 17.8 9.5 4.2 11.4 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.3 -0.3 -0.5 -0.9 -1.6 -1.3 -0.4 -0.5 Under the Proposal 8.5 8.4 13.3 17.4 19.3 21.6 23.7 24.2 25.3 27.6 32.3 20.9 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units 3 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 12,161 14,889 11,204 7,555 6,018 8,766 3,599 3,384 787 138 75 68,932 17.6 21.6 16.3 11.0 8.7 12.7 5.2 4.9 1.1 0.2 0.1 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 5,710 15,384 25,667 36,120 46,555 63,234 89,193 137,406 300,163 697,814 2,972,435 43,878 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) 483 1,291 3,420 6,309 9,146 13,851 21,590 34,564 80,679 201,857 972,133 9,386 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 5,227 14,093 22,247 29,810 37,409 49,383 67,604 102,842 219,483 495,957 2,000,302 34,492 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 8.5 8.4 13.3 17.5 19.6 21.9 24.2 25.2 26.9 28.9 32.7 21.4 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 2.3 7.6 9.5 9.0 9.3 18.3 10.6 15.4 7.8 3.2 7.3 100.0 2.7 8.8 10.5 9.5 9.5 18.2 10.2 14.6 7.3 2.9 6.3 100.0 0.9 3.0 5.9 7.4 8.5 18.8 12.0 18.1 9.8 4.3 11.2 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0509-5). (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus a permanent AMT patch at 2009 levels, indexed for inflation; extension of low- and middle-income tax cuts (extend the 10, 25, and 28 percent rates; set the standard deduction and 10 and 15 percent tax brackets for couples filing jointly to double those for singles; raise the EITC phaseout threshold for couples filing jointly; and extend expansions of the student loan interest deduction, the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC), and the Child Tax Credit (CTC); taxation of qualified dividends the same as long-term capital gains; reduced tax rates on long-term capital gains (0 percent for tax units in 15 percent bracket or lower, 15 percent for tax units in tax brackets above 15 percent); repeal of the personal exemption phaseout (PEP) and limitation on itemized deductions (Pease); extension of the 33 and 35 percent tax brackets. Policy is an estate tax set at the 2009 level, not indexed for inflation ($3.5 million exemption, 45 percent tax rate). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 21-Jul-10 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T10-0152 Incremental Effects of Extending the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts Impose Estate Tax with 45 Percent Tax Rate and $3.5 Million Exemption, Not Indexed Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Detail Table - Married Tax Units Filing Jointly Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Cut With Tax Increase 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.2 0.6 1.9 1.6 1.0 2.0 3.3 10.8 30.4 19.3 28.1 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars -2 -4 -9 -9 -6 -5 -9 -16 -151 -542 -1,582 -40 Percent -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -0.3 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.2 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Under the Proposal 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 5.5 8.7 29.3 21.3 9.4 23.3 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 Under the Proposal 4.8 2.7 4.5 7.6 10.4 14.2 17.5 21.2 24.3 25.2 29.1 21.6 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units 3 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 2,172 4,097 4,842 4,391 4,095 9,883 9,149 16,193 4,941 876 435 61,357 3.5 6.7 7.9 7.2 6.7 16.1 14.9 26.4 8.1 1.4 0.7 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 4,766 16,031 25,959 36,302 46,760 65,241 90,792 142,545 295,420 706,519 3,075,014 126,020 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) 228 441 1,186 2,752 4,890 9,275 15,852 30,250 71,980 178,819 896,974 27,246 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 4,538 15,590 24,773 33,550 41,870 55,967 74,940 112,295 223,440 527,700 2,178,040 98,773 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 4.8 2.8 4.6 7.6 10.5 14.2 17.5 21.2 24.4 25.3 29.2 21.6 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 0.1 0.9 1.6 2.1 2.5 8.3 10.7 29.9 18.9 8.0 17.3 100.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 2.4 2.8 9.1 11.3 30.0 18.2 7.6 15.6 100.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 5.5 8.7 29.3 21.3 9.4 23.4 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0509-5). (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus a permanent AMT patch at 2009 levels, indexed for inflation; extension of low- and middle-income tax cuts (extend the 10, 25, and 28 percent rates; set the standard deduction and 10 and 15 percent tax brackets for couples filing jointly to double those for singles; raise the EITC phaseout threshold for couples filing jointly; and extend expansions of the student loan interest deduction, the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC), and the Child Tax Credit (CTC); taxation of qualified dividends the same as long-term capital gains; reduced tax rates on long-term capital gains (0 percent for tax units in 15 percent bracket or lower, 15 percent for tax units in tax brackets above 15 percent); repeal of the personal exemption phaseout (PEP) and limitation on itemized deductions (Pease); extension of the 33 and 35 percent tax brackets. Policy is an estate tax set at the 2009 level, not indexed for inflation ($3.5 million exemption, 45 percent tax rate). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 21-Jul-10 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T10-0152 Incremental Effects of Extending the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts Impose Estate Tax with 45 Percent Tax Rate and $3.5 Million Exemption, Not Indexed Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Detail Table - Head of Household Tax Units Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Cut With Tax Increase 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.7 2.2 9.0 14.5 25.7 27.4 6.5 12.1 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars 0 0 0 -1 -2 -7 -29 -81 -506 -752 -3,092 -11 Percent 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.7 -0.5 -0.3 -0.2 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Under the Proposal -0.9 -3.2 1.8 9.3 11.4 27.7 17.8 18.9 7.5 2.8 6.9 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 Under the Proposal -7.8 -5.7 2.1 9.6 14.1 17.4 20.3 22.9 24.0 24.2 30.0 13.8 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units 3 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 2,483 5,029 4,757 3,767 2,449 3,559 1,389 877 150 24 11 24,547 10.1 20.5 19.4 15.4 10.0 14.5 5.7 3.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 6,647 15,579 25,971 36,157 46,569 63,082 89,214 132,993 294,130 686,382 2,985,055 41,760 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) -520 -890 539 3,468 6,564 10,964 18,114 30,472 70,946 166,705 899,455 5,757 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 7,167 16,470 25,432 32,689 40,006 52,118 71,100 102,521 223,184 519,677 2,085,601 36,003 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 -7.8 -5.7 2.1 9.6 14.1 17.4 20.3 22.9 24.1 24.3 30.1 13.8 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 1.6 7.6 12.1 13.3 11.1 21.9 12.1 11.4 4.3 1.6 3.2 100.0 2.0 9.4 13.7 13.9 11.1 21.0 11.2 10.2 3.8 1.4 2.6 100.0 -0.9 -3.2 1.8 9.2 11.4 27.6 17.8 18.9 7.5 2.8 6.9 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0509-5). (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus a permanent AMT patch at 2009 levels, indexed for inflation; extension of low- and middle-income tax cuts (extend the 10, 25, and 28 percent rates; set the standard deduction and 10 and 15 percent tax brackets for couples filing jointly to double those for singles; raise the EITC phaseout threshold for couples filing jointly; and extend expansions of the student loan interest deduction, the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC), and the Child Tax Credit (CTC); taxation of qualified dividends the same as long-term capital gains; reduced tax rates on long-term capital gains (0 percent for tax units in 15 percent bracket or lower, 15 percent for tax units in tax brackets above 15 percent); repeal of the personal exemption phaseout (PEP) and limitation on itemized deductions (Pease); extension of the 33 and 35 percent tax brackets. Policy is an estate tax set at the 2009 level, not indexed for inflation ($3.5 million exemption, 45 percent tax rate). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 21-Jul-10 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T10-0152 Incremental Effects of Extending the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts Impose Estate Tax with 45 Percent Tax Rate and $3.5 Million Exemption, Not Indexed Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Detail Table - Tax Units with Children Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Increase With Tax Cut 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 0.9 4.0 10.7 13.7 29.8 17.7 21.0 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars 0 0 0 -1 -1 -3 -11 -9 -66 -246 -626 -12 Percent 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Under the Proposal -0.2 -0.9 -0.1 1.4 2.3 7.9 10.1 29.5 21.0 8.7 20.2 100.0 5 Average Federal Tax Rate Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Under the Proposal -11.6 -9.4 -0.8 7.6 12.5 15.9 18.4 21.4 25.0 26.8 30.3 20.5 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units 3 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 2,968 5,639 5,683 4,891 3,849 7,425 5,841 9,319 2,750 441 206 49,155 6.0 11.5 11.6 10.0 7.8 15.1 11.9 19.0 5.6 0.9 0.4 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) 6,252 15,769 25,918 36,161 46,701 64,368 90,740 142,137 293,742 705,334 3,105,769 95,419 Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) -725 -1,488 -196 2,764 5,859 10,220 16,678 30,481 73,488 189,310 942,356 19,586 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 6,978 17,257 26,114 33,397 40,842 54,148 74,062 111,656 220,254 516,024 2,163,413 75,833 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total -11.6 -9.4 -0.8 7.6 12.6 15.9 18.4 21.4 25.0 26.8 30.3 20.5 0.4 1.9 3.1 3.8 3.8 10.2 11.3 28.2 17.2 6.6 13.7 100.0 0.6 2.6 4.0 4.4 4.2 10.8 11.6 27.9 16.3 6.1 12.0 100.0 -0.2 -0.9 -0.1 1.4 2.3 7.9 10.1 29.5 21.0 8.7 20.2 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0509-5). Note: Tax units with children are those claiming an exemption for children at home or away from home. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus a permanent AMT patch at 2009 levels, indexed for inflation; extension of low- and middle-income tax cuts (extend the 10, 25, and 28 percent rates; set the standard deduction and and 15 percent tax brackets for couples filing jointly to double those for singles; raise the EITC phaseout threshold for couples filing jointly; and extend expansions of the student loan interest deduction, the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC), and the Child Tax Credit (CTC); taxation of qualified dividends the same as long-term capital gains; reduced tax rates on long-term capital gains (0 percent for tax units in 15 percent bracket or lower, 15 percent for tax units in tax brackets above 15 percent); repeal of the personal exemption phaseout (PEP) and limitation on itemized deductions (Pease); extension of the 33 and 35 perc tax brackets. Policy is an estate tax set at the 2009 level, not indexed for inflation ($3.5 million exemption, 45 percent tax rate). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income. 21-Jul-10 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T10-0152 Incremental Effects of Extending the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts Impose Estate Tax with 45 Percent Tax Rate and $3.5 Million Exemption, Not Indexed Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Detail Table - Elderly Tax Units Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax Increase With Tax Cut 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.4 5.9 10.3 11.2 26.9 26.5 9.0 7.9 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent -3 -11 -34 -22 -398 -356 -677 -1,370 -3,567 -5,578 -9,145 -498 -1.7 -2.8 -3.0 -1.0 -11.4 -5.2 -5.4 -5.2 -5.0 -3.1 -1.0 -3.7 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.3 -0.3 0.1 0.9 0.0 Under the Proposal 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.6 1.8 7.2 7.4 18.9 19.3 10.8 30.9 100.0 5 Average Federal Tax Rate Change (% Points) -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.9 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 -1.2 -0.8 -0.3 -0.7 Under the Proposal 3.1 2.5 4.4 5.9 6.6 10.0 13.2 17.8 22.4 24.5 30.1 17.2 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2012 1 Cash Income Level (thousands of 2009 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units 3 Number (thousands) Percent of Total 2,305 6,471 5,084 2,999 2,259 4,405 2,504 2,986 1,128 245 132 30,543 7.6 21.2 16.7 9.8 7.4 14.4 8.2 9.8 3.7 0.8 0.4 100.0 Average Income (Dollars) Average Federal Tax Burden (Dollars) 6,366 15,655 25,560 36,054 46,537 64,489 89,136 141,589 304,121 709,954 3,095,895 75,737 200 400 1,145 2,139 3,486 6,828 12,457 26,517 71,540 179,761 939,431 13,515 Average AfterTax Income 4 (Dollars) 6,166 15,254 24,415 33,915 43,051 57,661 76,679 115,073 232,581 530,193 2,156,464 62,223 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 3.1 2.6 4.5 5.9 7.5 10.6 14.0 18.7 23.5 25.3 30.3 17.8 Share of PreTax Income Percent of Total Share of PostTax Income Percent of Total Share of Federal Taxes Percent of Total 0.6 4.4 5.6 4.7 4.5 12.3 9.7 18.3 14.8 7.5 17.7 100.0 0.8 5.2 6.5 5.4 5.1 13.4 10.1 18.1 13.8 6.9 15.0 100.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.6 1.9 7.3 7.6 19.2 19.6 10.7 30.0 100.0 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0509-5). Note: Elderly tax units are those with either head or spouse (if filing jointly) age 65 or older. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law plus a permanent AMT patch at 2009 levels, indexed for inflation; extension of low- and middle-income tax cuts (extend the 10, 25, and 28 percent rates; set the standard deduction and and 15 percent tax brackets for couples filing jointly to double those for singles; raise the EITC phaseout threshold for couples filing jointly; and extend expansions of the student loan interest deduction, the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC), and the Child Tax Credit (CTC); taxation of qualified dividends the same as long-term capital gains; reduced tax rates on long-term capital gains (0 percent for tax units in 15 percent bracket or lower, 15 percent for tax units in tax brackets above 15 percent); repeal of the personal exemption phaseout (PEP) and limitation on itemized deductions (Pease); extension of the 33 and 35 perc tax brackets. Policy is an estate tax set at the 2009 level, not indexed for inflation ($3.5 million exemption, 45 percent tax rate). (2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. (4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.