China Aged Care Industry Report, 2014-2017 May 2015 STUDY GOAL AND OBJECTIVES METHODOLOGY This report provides the industry executives with strategically significant Both primary and secondary research methodologies were used competitor information, analysis, insight and projection on the in preparing this study. Initially, a comprehensive and exhaustive competitive pattern and key companies in the industry, crucial to the search of the literature on this industry was conducted. These development and implementation of effective business, marketing and sources included related books and journals, trade literature, R&D programs. marketing literature, other product/promotional literature, annual reports, security analyst reports, and other publications. REPORT OBJECTIVES Subsequently, telephone interviews or email correspondence To establish a comprehensive, factual, annually updated and cost- was conducted with marketing executives etc. Other sources effective information base on market size, competition patterns, included related magazines, academics, and consulting market segments, goals and strategies of the leading players in the companies. market, reviews and forecasts. To assist potential market entrants in evaluating prospective acquisition and joint venture candidates. To complement the organizations’ internal competitor information INFORMATION SOURCES The primary information sources include Company Reports, and National Bureau of Statistics of China etc. gathering efforts with strategic analysis, data interpretation and insight. To suggest for concerned investors in line with the current development of this industry as well as the development tendency. To help company to succeed in a competitive market, and Copyright 2012 ResearchInChina understand the size and growth rate of any opportunity. Room 502, Block 3, Tower C, Changyuan Tiandi Building, No. 18, Suzhou Street, Haidian District, Beijing, China 100080 Phone: +86 10 82600828 ● Fax: +86 10 82601570 ● www.researchinchina.com ● report@researchinchina.com Abstract According to the UN standard (the elderly people aged over 60 accounting for 10% of total population or the elderly people over age 65 occupying 7% of total population in one region), China entered the aging society early in 1999. By the end of 2014, China’s population aged over 60 reached 212 million, making up 15.3% of total population, and the people aged 65 and above hit 138.1 million, or 10.1% of total population. To deal with rapidly aging population, the Chinese government incorporated the issue of aging into the National 12th Five-Year Plan, and has introduced a number of favorable policies and laws & regulations from 2012, including the Opinion on Comprehensively Pushing Forward the Home-based Care Services, the Opinions on Accelerating the Development of Social Services for the Aged, the Guidance on Land for Old-age Service Facilities, and The Executive Opinion on Encouraging Private Capital to Participate in Old-age Service Industry Development. By the end of 2014, the number of urban residents participating in the basic endowment insurance amounted to 341.15 million, a year-on-year addition of 18.97 million; elderly service institutions totaled 38,000, with 5.514 million beds, or 26.01 beds for per thousand elderly people. The Chinese aged care market is now worth about RMB4 trillion, and is expected to surge to RMB13 trillion by 2030. Propelled by the huge potential of the industry and multiple positive policies, local real estate developers, insurance companies, and diversified companies have expanded into endowment real estate, medical care, and pension finance fields, especially the endowment real estate market. Copyright 2012ResearchInChina Room 502, Block 3, Tower C, Changyuan Tiandi Building, No. 18, Suzhou Street, Haidian District, Beijing, China 100080 Phone: +86 10 82600828 ● Fax: +86 10 82601570 ● www.researchinchina.com ● report@researchinchina.com Real estate developer: represented by Vanke and Poly Real Estate, which both forayed into endowment real estate early. At present, Beijing Vanke has primarily selected 10 projects as community old-age care centers, totaling 87,030 square meters, and capable of providing nearly 3,000 beds. Poly Real Estate has planned or is building 7 old-age care real estate projects in 6 cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Chengdu, and will set up 50 “Hexihui” old-age care brand chains within next five to ten years. Insurance Company: represented by Union Life and Taikang Life. Union Life built China’s first old-age care community invested by an insurer, has finished its layout in old-age care industry in Wuhan, Shenyang, Nanning, Hefei, Jinan, Beijing, and Shanghai, and plans to develop 26 large old-age care communities nationwide within? ten years. Taikang Life set foot in old-age care community field in 2009, and has planned and built old-age care communities in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Sanya, and Suzhou. The company’s first old-age care community- Taikang Community Old-Age Care Community Beijing Flagship is scheduled to be officially put into service in 2015. In addition, the company plans to invest 100 billion to build 15-20 old-age care communities across the country. In addition, some foreign companies have started to enter Chinese endowment real estate industry via cooperation with local firms. For example, in Feb 2013, British PRP architects firm signed strategic cooperation agreement with Chongqing Jinyang Real Estate Development and Sichuan Chamber of Commerce to jointly develop old-age care industry demonstration base in Chongqing; in Dec 2014, Apple Hill Group officially announced to enter the Sichuan old-age care market, and to create retirement real estate projects with Guisen International Group. Compared with developed countries, the aged care industry has just started in China, with most of endowment real estate projects having not been completed and business model still being explored. However, within next three years, as old-age care real estate projects go into operation, business models of the aged care industry in China will grow clear, and the market size will expand rapidly. Copyright 2012ResearchInChina Room 502, Block 3, Tower C, Changyuan Tiandi Building, No. 18, Suzhou Street, Haidian District, Beijing, China 100080 Phone: +86 10 82600828 ● Fax: +86 10 82601570 ● www.researchinchina.com ● report@researchinchina.com China Aged Care Industry Report, 2014-2017 focuses on the following: China’s old-age security system, including policy environment, old-age security, medical insurance, financial security; Chinese aged care market, covering market demand & supply, development status quo of aged care industry in foreign countries; Chinese aged care real estate market, including current development, competitive landscape, profit models and investment risks of the industry; 17 Chinese companies that get involved in aged care industry, including operation, revenue structure, and endowment real estate business. Copyright 2012ResearchInChina Room 502, Block 3, Tower C, Changyuan Tiandi Building, No. 18, Suzhou Street, Haidian District, Beijing, China 100080 Phone: +86 10 82600828 ● Fax: +86 10 82601570 ● www.researchinchina.com ● report@researchinchina.com Table of contents 1 Overview of Aged Care Industry 1.1 Definition 1.2 Industry Chain 1.3 Models 1.3.1 Home-based Care 1.3.2 Institution-based Care 1.3.3 Community-based Care 1.4 Characteristics 1.4.1 Comprehensiveness 1.4.2 Welfare 1.4.3 Public Benefit 1.4.4 Profitability 2 China's Old-age Security System 2.1 Policies 2.1.1 Twelfth Five-Year Plan 2.1.2 Other Policies and Regulations 2.2 Old-age Security 2.2.1 Pension Insurance 2.2.2 Social Assistance 2.3 Health Care 2.3.1 Urban Basic Medical Insurance 2.3.2 New Rural Cooperative Medical 2.3.3 Elderly Health Care Services 2.4 Financial Security 2.4.1 Pension Finance 2.4.2 Commercial Pension Insurance 2.4.3 Nursing Insurance 2.4.4 Comprehensive Liability Insurance of Aged Care Institutions 3 Chinese Aged Care Market 3.1 Demand 3.1.1 China's Population Aging Enters the Accelerated Phase 3.1.2 Dependency Ratio of Elderly Population Rises Year by Year 3.1.3 Proportion of Working-age Population Declines 3.1.4 Size of Average Household Shrinks 3.2 Supply 3.2.1 Aged Care Pattern 3.2.2 Home-based Care 3.2.3 Institution-based Care 3.3 Development Status of Foreign Aged Care Industry 3.3.1 United States 3.3.2 Great Britain 3.3.3 Japan 4 Chinese Aged Care Real Estate Market 4.1 Current Development 4.1.1 Brief Introduction 4.1.2 Foreign Experience 4.2 Competitive Landscape 4.2.1 Overview 4.2.2 Real Estate Enterprises 4.2.3 Insurance Companies 4.2.4 Diversified Enterprises 4.2.5 Foreign-funded Enterprises 4.3 Profit Models 4.3.1 Self-operation 4.3.2 Sale + Lease 4.3.3 Sale 4.4 Investment Risks 4.4.1 Sales Modes 4.4.2 Profit Models 4.4.3 Supporting Policies 4.4.4 Site Selection 4.4.5 Profitability 5 Key Enterprises in China Aged Care Industry 5.1 Vanke 5.1.1 Profile 5.1.2 Operation 5.1.3 Revenue Structure 5.1.4 Gross Margin 5.1.5 Aged Care Real Estate Business 5.1.6 Sale 5.1.7 Forecast and Outlook 5.2 Poly Real Estate 5.2.1 Profile Room 502, Block 3, Tower C, Changyuan Tiandi Building, No. 18, Suzhou Street, Haidian District, Beijing, China 100080 Phone: +86 10 82600828 ● Fax: +86 10 82601570 ● www.researchinchina.com ● report@researchinchina.com Table of contents 5.2.2 Operation 5.2.3 Revenue Structure 5.2.4 Gross Margin 5.2.5 Investment 5.2.6 Aged Care Real Estate Business 5.2.7 Forecast and Outlook 5.3 Beijing Capital Land 5.3.1 Profile 5.3.2 Operation 5.3.3 Gross Margin 5.3.4 Investment 5.3.5 Aged Care Real Estate Business 3.5.6 Forecast and Outlook 5.4 Sino-Ocean Land 5.4.1 Profile 5.4.2 Operation 5.4.3 Revenue Structure 5.4.4 Gross Margin 5.4.5 Sale 5.4.6 Land Reserve 5.4.7 Aged Care Real Estate Business 5.4.8 Forecast and Outlook 5.5 Taikang Life 5.5.1 Profile 5.5.2 Operation 5.5.3 Revenue Structure 5.5.4 Aged Care Business 5.6 New China Life Insurance 5.6.1 Profile 5.6.2 Operation 5.6.3 Revenue Structure 5.6.4 Aged Care Business 5.6.5 Forecast and Outlook 5.7 Ping An Insurance 5.7.1 Profile 5.7.2 Operation 5.7.3 Revenue Structure 5.7.4 Aged Care Business 5.7.5 Forecast and Outlook 5.8 Union Life 5.8.1 Profile 5.8.2 Operation 5.8.3 Revenue Structure 5.8.4 Aged Care Business 5.9 Cherish Yearn 5.9.1 Profile 5.9.2 Operation 5.9.3 Aged Care Real Estate Business 5.9.4 Development Strategy 5.10 Huichen Life 5.10.1 Profile 5.10.2 Operation 5.10.3 Development Strategy 5.11 Tianjin Hetong Senior Citizens' Welfare Association 5.11.1 Profile 5.11.2 Operation 5.11.3 Development 5.12 Sunset Glow Chain Seniors’ Apartment 5.12.1 Background 5.12.2 Operation Mode 5.12.3 Jiangyin Sunset Glow Seniors’ Recreation Center 5.13 Shanghai Henghui Medical Treatment Technique Progress 5.13.1 Profile 5.13.2 Aged Care Business 5.14 Zhejiang Double Arrow Rubber 5.14.1 Profile 5.14.2 Aged Care Business 5.15 Hebei Sanhe Yanda Industrial Group 5.15.1 Profile 5.15.2 Aged Care Business 5.15.3 Business Model 5.16 Bright Food (Group) 5.16.1 Profile 5.16.2 Aged Care Business 5.17 China Taiping Insurance Group Ltd. 5.17.1 Profile 5.17.2 Aged Care Business Room 502, Block 3, Tower C, Changyuan Tiandi Building, No. 18, Suzhou Street, Haidian District, Beijing, China 100080 Phone: +86 10 82600828 ● Fax: +86 10 82601570 ● www.researchinchina.com ● report@researchinchina.com Selected Charts • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Industry Chain of Aged Care Sector Key Tasks of China’s Old-age Programs during “12th Five-Year Plan” Period Major Policies on China’s Aged Care Industry, 2001-2015 Number of Urban Workers Involved in Basic Endowment Insurance in China (by Type), 2009-2013 Income and Expenses of Basic Endowment Insurance Fund in China’s Urban Areas, 2009-2014 Accumulated Balances of Basic Endowment Insurance Fund in China’s Urban Areas, 2009-2014 Number of Rural and Urban Residents Involved in Basic Endowment Insurance in China, 2010-2014 Number of People Enjoying Subsistence Allowances for the Urban and Rural Poor in China, 2009-2014 Subsistence Allowance Level of the Urban and Rural Poor in China, 2009-2014 Number of People Enjoying the Five Guarantees in the Chinese Rural Areas (by Type), 2009-2014 Expenditure for the Five Guarantees in China’s Rural Areas (by Type), 2009-2014 Average Standard for the Five Guarantees in Rural Areas of China (by Type), 2009 -2014 Population of Elderly People Who Enjoy Advanced Age Subsidies in China, 2009 -2014 Number of Urban Workers and Residents Who Enjoy Basic Medical Insurance in China (by Type), 2009-2014 Income and Expenses of China’s Urban Basic Medical Insurance Fund, 2009-2014 Accumulated Balance of China’s Urban Basic Medical Insurance Fund, 2009 -2014 Number of Participants and Participation Rate of New Rural Cooperative Medical System in China, 2009-2013 Number of Medical & Health Institutions in China, 2013-2014 Number of Hospitals in China (by Class), 2010-2014 Number of Beds of Medical and Health Institutions in China, 2012-2013 Number of Visits of Medical and Health Institutions in China, 2013-2014 Overview of Enterprise Annuity in China, 2010-2014 Population of People Aged 65 and Over and % of Total Population in China, 2009-2014 Dependency Ratio of People Aged 65 and Over in China, 2009-2014 Proportion of People Aged 15-64 in China, 2009-2014 Room 502, Block 3, Tower C, Changyuan Tiandi Building, No. 18, Suzhou Street, Haidian District, Beijing, China 100080 Phone: +86 10 82600828 ● Fax: +86 10 82601570 ● www.researchinchina.com ● report@researchinchina.com Selected Charts • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Average Household Size in China, 2009 -2014 Classification of Elderly Care Institutions in China Number of Elderly Care Institutions in China by Type, 2008-2014 Number of Beds and Old People in China’s Elderly Care Institutions (by Type), 2008-2014 Bed Utilization in China’s Elderly Care Institutions, 2008-2014 Number of Beds per 1,000 Aged People in China’s Elderly Care Institutions, 2008-2014 UK’s Pension System Japan’s “Two-generation Housing” Mode Comparison of Foreign Aged Care Modes (Communities) Aged Care Real Estate Projects and Modes of Real Estate Companies in China, 2010-2015 Aged Care Real Estate Projects of Insurance Companies in China, 2010-2015 Aged Care Real Estate Projects of Diversified Enterprises in China, 2010-2014 Aged Care Industry Layout in China of Foreign-funded Enterprises, 2012-2015 Cases and Operational Characteristics of Self-operation Type Aged Care Real Estate in China Cases and Operational Characteristics of Sale + Lease Type Aged Care Real Estate in China Cases and Operational Characteristics of Sale Type Aged Care Real Estate in China Revenue and Net Income of Vanke, 2010-2014 Revenue of Vanke (by Business), 2010-2014 Vanke’s Revenue Structure (by Business), 2010-2014 Vanke’s Revenue (by Region), 2010-2014 Vanke’s Revenue Structure (by Region), 2010-2014 Vanke’s Gross Margin, 2010-2014 Vanke’s Gross Margin (by Business), 2010-2014 Vanke’s Gross Margin (by Region), 2010-2013 Vanke’s Sales Area, 2012-2014 Room 502, Block 3, Tower C, Changyuan Tiandi Building, No. 18, Suzhou Street, Haidian District, Beijing, China 100080 Phone: +86 10 82600828 ● Fax: +86 10 82601570 ● www.researchinchina.com ● report@researchinchina.com Selected Charts • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Vanke’s Measured Area, 2011-2014 Vanke’s Revenue and Net Income, 2013-2017E Revenue and Net Income of Poly Real Estate, 2010-2014 Revenue of Poly Real Estate (by Business), 2010-2014 Revenue Structure of Poly Real Estate, 2010-2014 Gross Margin of Poly Real Estate, 2010-2014 Gross Margin of Poly Real Estate (by Business), 2010-2014 Revenue and Net Income of Poly Real Estate, 2013-2017E Revenue and Net Income of Beijing Capital Land, 2010-2014 Gross Margin of Beijing Capital Land, 2010-2014 New Investment Projects of Beijing Capital Land, 2014 Land Reserve Distribution of Beijing Capital Land (by Region) at the end of 2014 Revenue and Net Income of Beijing Capital Land, 2013-2017E Revenue and Net Income of Sino-Ocean Land, 2010-2014 Revenue of Sino-Ocean Land (by Business), 2010-2014 Revenue Structure of Sino-Ocean Land (by Business), 2010-2014 Revenue of Sino-Ocean Land (by Region), 2013-2014 Revenue Structure of Sino-Ocean Land (by Region), 2014 Gross Margin of Sino-Ocean Land, 2010-2014 Revenue of Sino-Ocean Land (by Product), 2013-2014 Land Reserve Proportion of Sino-Ocean Land (by Region), 2013-2014 Newly Purchased Land of Sino-Ocean Land, 2014 Revenue and Net Income of Sino-Ocean Land, 2013-2017E Revenue and Net Income of Taikang Life, 2010-2014 Taikang Life’s Revenue (by Business), 2010-2014 Room 502, Block 3, Tower C, Changyuan Tiandi Building, No. 18, Suzhou Street, Haidian District, Beijing, China 100080 Phone: +86 10 82600828 ● Fax: +86 10 82601570 ● www.researchinchina.com ● report@researchinchina.com Selected Charts • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Taikang Life’s Revenue Structure (by Business), 2010-2014 Revenue and Net Income of New China Life Insurance, 2010-2014 Revenue of New China Life Insurance (by Business), 2010-2014 Revenue Structure of New China Life Insurance (by Business), 2010-2014 Revenue and Net Income of New China Life Insurance, 2013-2017E Revenue and Net Income of Ping An Insurance, 2010-2014 Revenue of Ping An Insurance (by Business), 2010-2014 Revenue Structure of Ping An Insurance (by Business), 2010-2014 Revenue and Net Income of Ping An Insurance, 2013-2017E Revenue and Net Income of Union Life Insurance, 2010-2014 Revenue of Union Life Insurance (by Business), 2010-2014 Union Life CCRC Aged Care Scheme Categories of Membership Cards and Their Costs & Interests of Shanghai Qinheyuan Huichen Life’s Price List for Care-type Apartment for the Elderly Nursing Assessment Standards and Care Costs of Tianjin Hetong Elderly Welfare Association Sunset Glow Project Charging Standard of Sunset Glow Love Nursing Home in Jiangyin Charging Standard of Pudong Sun Moon Star Nursing Home Charging Standard of Xuhui Sun Moon Star Nursing Home Charging Standard of Yangpu Sun Moon Star Nursing Home Charging Standard of Ningbo Sun Moon Star Nursing Home Charging Standard of Shanghai Sun Moon Star Nursing Home Charging Standard of Shanghai Aiyide Nursing Hospital China Taiping’s Elderly Care Industry Layout Room 502, Block 3, Tower C, Changyuan Tiandi Building, No. 18, Suzhou Street, Haidian District, Beijing, China 100080 Phone: +86 10 82600828 ● Fax: +86 10 82601570 ● www.researchinchina.com ● report@researchinchina.com How to Buy You can place your order in the following alternative ways: 1.Order online at www.researchinchina.com Choose type of format PDF (Single user license) …………..2,500 USD 2.Fax order sheet to us at fax number:+86 10 82601570 Hard copy 3. 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