Brandeis University Maurice and Marilyn Cohen Center for Modern Jewish Studies Young Adults and Jewish Engagement: The Impact of Taglit-Birthright Israel Leonard Saxe Shira Fishman Michelle Shain Graham Wright Shahar Hecht November 2013 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement © 2013 Brandeis University Maurice and Marilyn Cohen Center for Modern Jewish Studies Brandeis University Mailstop 014 Waltham, MA 02454-9110 781.736.2060 www.brandeis.edu/cmjs The Cohen Center for Modern Jewish Studies, founded in 1980, is dedicated to providing independent, high quality research on issues related to contemporary Jewish life. The Cohen Center is also the home of the Steinhardt Social Research Institute (SSRI). Established in 2005, SSRI uses innovative research methods to collect and analyze socio-demographic data on the Jewish community. Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Acknowledgments We gratefully acknowledge the support of Taglit-Birthright Israel, an organization that considers independent research a critical element of its program development. We are especially appreciative for the help of Taglit’s educational and research consultants, Prof. Barry Chazan and Prof. Gil Troy. We also thank Taglit’s executive leadership: Gidi Mark (CEO), Prof. Ada Spitzer (Vice President), and Dr. Zohar Raviv (Director of Education). Appreciation is also expressed to the supporters of the Cohen Center for Modern Jewish Studies at Brandeis University. This project could not have been carried out without the assistance of our research team at Brandeis University. We are appreciative and grateful for their efforts. Working diligently to ensure the highest care going into our data collection was Natanya Cohen. Calling supervisors Rachel Bernstein and Yves Bruno supervised many night and weekend shifts and responded to various questions from respondents. Ben Lefebvre offered technical support for the survey software and the survey management. Dina Bleckman and Ellie Aitan were responsible for data coding. Theadora Fisher assisted with data cleaning and initial analysis. We acknowledge Eitan Melchior, z"l, for his help in the initial stages of the study. We miss him greatly. We also thank our colleagues Prof. Charles Kadushin and Prof. Ted Sasson, who provided critical review and insights. Deborah Grant and Joshua Davidson turned our words and charts into a physical report. And none of this work would be possible without the support of our colleagues, Masha Lokshin and Gloria Tessler, who manage day-to-day operations. Our team of telephone interviewers was critical to project implementation. We acknowledge their work with appreciation. Callers included: Nihan Celiktas, Carmelle Eloi, Nia Fogelman, Lauren Fox, Rachel Gordon, Rebecca Grossman, Yakov Israel, Vicky Negus, Dara Rosenkrantz, Danielle Spencer, Daniel Shpolyansky, Shira Straus, Alie Tawah, Annie Torres, and Kristina Yepez. Our gratitude to reviewers of this report notwithstanding, the authors take full responsibility for the design, conduct, and results of the study. ii i Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Table of Contents List of Figures and Tables..................................................................................................... iii Executive Summary .................................................................................................................1 Introduction ...............................................................................................................................3 Study Population ......................................................................................................................9 Taglit’s Impact on Attitudes ..................................................................................................13 Jewish Engagement on the College Campus ........................................................................15 Post-College Jewish Engagement..........................................................................................19 Discussion ...............................................................................................................................25 Notes........................................................................................................................................27 References ...............................................................................................................................29 Appendix A: Methodology ....................................................................................................31 Appendix B: Attitudinal Impact of Taglit for Undergraduates and Non-Undergraduates .......................................................................................................37 Appendix C: Tables ................................................................................................................47 ii iii Young Adults and Jewish Engagement List of Figures and Tables Figure 1: Taglit applicants who were undergraduates at the time of application by cohort ..................................................................................................................................9 Figure 2: Age at time of survey by undergraduate status ....................................................10 Figure 3: Most intense form of ritual practice during high school by undergraduate status..................................................................................................................................10 Figure 4: Most intense form of formal Jewish education by undergraduate status ............11 Figure 5: Jewish denomination raised by undergraduate status ..........................................12 Figure 6: Feelings of Jewish connection by Taglit participation (undergraduate and post-college) ....................................................................................13 Figure 7: Importance of being Jewish and forming a Jewish family by Taglit participation ......................................................................................................................14 Figure 8: Being invited to activities sponsored by campus-based Jewish organizations by Taglit participation (undergraduates) ..............................................................................15 Figure 9: Participating in activities sponsored by campus-based Jewish organizations by Taglit participation (undergraduates) ..............................................................................16 Figure 10: Attending events sponsored by a Jewish organization (undergraduates) .........17 Figure 11: Attending events sponsored by a Jewish organization (post-college) ..............20 Figure 12: Donating to Jewish causes and volunteering under Jewish sponsorship by Taglit participation (post-college) ...................................................................................20 Figure 13: Engagement in Jewish religious life by Taglit participation (post-college) .....21 Figure 14: Awareness of NEXT Shabbat by age group (Taglit participants).....................22 Figure 15: Awareness of NEXT Shabbat by Taglit cohort (Taglit participants)................22 Figure 16: Attending a NEXT Shabbat meal by Taglit cohort (Taglit participants)..........23 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Executive Summary The engagement of Jewish young adults with their heritage and communal institutions has been an ongoing concern of the Jewish community. In North America, a host of initiatives have been developed to engage this population, the largest of which is Taglit-Birthright Israel. Launched in 1999, Taglit’s reach is striking. By 2013 more than 350,000 Jewish young adults from around the world had participated in a 10-day educational trip to Israel under the program’s auspices. A substantial body of prior evaluative research documents the effects of the program, in particular on participants’ attitudes toward Israel and Jewish life. When compared to similar others who did not participate, Taglit alumni are more likely to feel a stronger connection to Israel and to the worldwide Jewish community. They are also more likely to consider it very important for them to marry someone Jewish and raise Jewish children. In the short-term, the trip leads to modest behavioral changes, particularly among college-aged participants, who are more likely to engage in Hillel activities and take classes focusing on Israel or on Jewish subjects. In the longterm, there is evidence that the program has significant behavioral impact. Recent data from studies of Taglit alumni who are now (on average) over 30 years old, show that participants, as compared to nonparticipants, are more likely to be married to another Jew, belong to synagogues, celebrate Shabbat, and make charitable donations to Jewish or Israeli causes. The present study examines the short- and moderate-term impact of Taglit. This analysis focuses on the emerging young adult experience—the period of time immediately after the trips and the first few years that follow. The study looks at the effects of Taglit on participants, and in particular, on their attitudes toward Jewish life and participation in Jewish activities. The present findings are based on data collected in an online survey (spring 2011) from a random stratified sample of American Taglit applicants in the 2007-2010 cohorts (N=7,662). Findings: Six months to four years after the program, Taglit participants felt more connected to Israel and the Jewish community than did nonparticipants. Among all respondents, those with stronger Jewish educational backgrounds reported deeper feelings of connection to Israel and Jewish life, while those who were older reported weaker feelings of connection. Controlling for the impact of Jewish background and age, however, participation in Taglit still had a measurable impact on attitudes. Most undergraduate respondents were invited by at least one campus-based Jewish organization to participate in its activities; participants were more likely than nonparticipants to have been invited and to have participated in at least one 1 2 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement activity. Most post-college respondents participated in at least one program sponsored by a Jewish organization in the year prior to the survey. Parties and social gatherings were the most popular activities. Taglit participants were generally more likely to participate than nonparticipants. Among post-college respondents who donated to any cause in the past year, Taglit participants were more likely to have donated at least some of their money to a Jewish cause. Similarly, among those who reported volunteering in the past 12 months, Taglit participants were more likely than nonparticipants to have volunteered under Jewish auspices. Despite low levels of engagement overall, post-college Taglit participants, as compared to nonparticipants, were more likely to have had a special Shabbat meal on the Friday night prior to the survey, to be synagogue members, and to have attended Jewish religious services in the past month. Forty-three percent of Taglit participants had heard of NEXT Shabbat before being asked about it in the survey. Overall, 13 percent of Taglit participants had attended a NEXT Shabbat meal, either as a guest or a host, including six percent having attended a NEXT Shabbat meal more than once. About half of all those who attended a NEXT Shabbat meal had hosted a meal at least once; the rest had been guests. Consistent with previous research, the present findings indicate that Taglit has a robust impact on attitudes toward Israel and the Jewish community, and a broad, but modest, impact on engagement with Jewish life. The level of engagement with Jewish life among young adults, including engagement with Taglit follow-up programs, however, is relatively low. Given participants’ expressed strong connection to their Jewish identity, one might expect that Jewish young adults, and Taglit alumni in particular, would be more involved in Jewish activities. But even when attitudes and behaviors are aligned, there are additional barriers to participation. Taglit alumni have a heightened sense of their Jewish identity and it seems likely, as they come into full adult roles, that they will be more highly involved than their peers who did not have the experience. At the same time, the likelihood that they will participate will inevitably be mediated by the ability of Jewish communal institutions to serve their needs. The gap that currently exists between Taglit alumni’s positive attitudes and their actual behavior may only be breached by institutions that are able to adapt to the concerns and structural constraints associated with emerging adulthood. Exactly how this can be done is beyond the scope of the present study. It is clear, however, that those organizations that are effective will address a desire for community through the loose connective structures most appropriate for this population’s stage of life. Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Introduction The engagement of Jewish young adults with their heritage and Jewish institutions has, over the last two decades, been a central issue for the Jewish community (see, e.g., Cohen & Kelman, 2008; Kotler-Berkowitz, et al., 2004). Concerned with assimilation pressures and intermarriage, the Jewish community has developed a number of initiatives designed to bolster engagement with Jewish life among Jewish young adults and to foster connections with Israel. TaglitBirthright Israel is the largest of these programs (Saxe & Chazan, 2008) and, since its inception in 1999, has allowed more than 350,000 Jewish young adults from around the world to visit Israel on 10-day educational trips. More than two-thirds of Taglit’s participants are from the largest Jewish diaspora community, the United States (Taglit-Birthright Israel, 2013). Taglit, and in particular its North American groups, has been the focus of an extensive program of independent evaluative research.1 Several dozen studies have now been conducted with multiple cohorts of Taglit applicants and participants to assess the program’s impact. Typically, these studies employ quasi-experimental designs that compare participants and equivalent nonparticipant applicants both pre- and posttrip (see, e.g., Saxe, et al., 2004; Saxe, Sasson, & Hecht, 2006). A variety of measures have been used to assess the program’s impact three months to nearly 12 years after participation in Taglit. Impact has been assessed by focusing on participants’ attitudes and feelings about their Jewish identity, Israel, and the Jewish community. In addition, researchers have examined behaviors related to Jewish life such as participation in Jewish organizations on and off campus, observance of Shabbat and holidays, and giving to Jewish causes. Taglit specifically targets young people in the stage of life termed emerging adulthood (see Arnett, 2004), a period characterized by questioning, seeking, and developing one’s identity. Findings from evaluation research studies regarding Taglit’s impact on attitudes have been highly consistent across and within cohorts over time. For example, multiple studies have documented that when participants are compared to similar others who did not participate on the trip, participants are more likely to feel a stronger connection to Israel and to the worldwide Jewish community (Saxe, Kadushin, Kelner, Rosen, & Yereslove, 2002; Saxe, et al., 2008; Saxe, Sasson, Phillips, Hecht, & Wright, 2007). Other studies have provided evidence that these differences persist over time, from one to three years after the trip (Saxe, et al., 2004; Saxe, et al., 2006) and even five to 11 years after the trip (Saxe, et al., 2009; Saxe, Sasson, et al., 2011; Saxe, et al., 2012). Evaluation studies also indicate that participants are more likely to report a stronger commitment to Jewish continuity. In both the short and the long term, participants are more likely to state that it is very important to them to marry someone Jewish and to raise their children Jewish (Saxe, et al., 2004; Saxe, et al., 2002; Saxe, et al., 2008; Saxe, et al., 2009; Saxe, et al., 2006; Saxe, Sasson, et al., 2011; Saxe, et al., 2012). 3 4 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Although evidence of changes in attitudes regarding connection to Israel and toward Jewish life suggests fairly dramatic program impact, the evidence of change in behavior, as a result of participation in Taglit, has been more modest. The findings, however, interact with age and the developmental stage of the participant. Thus, among participants who are undergraduate college students, there is evidence that Taglit increases engagement with Hillel (Saxe, et al., 2008) and leads to increases in the likelihood of taking Israel or Jewish Studies courses (Saxe, et al., 2002). At the same time, for post-college students, there is not much evidence of behavioral change (Saxe, et al., 2008; Saxe, et al., 2007). In a 2009 study, many post-college Taglit alumni describe Jewish life in their communities as inaccessible and unappealing (Chertok, Sasson, & Saxe, 2009). But it is not clear to what extent the findings are a function of the lack of opportunities for this age group. Recently, however, as large numbers of participants from the early years of the program assume full adult roles, it has been possible to explore Taglit’s impact on a wider variety of potential behavioral measures: marriage, childrearing, and adult engagement with the Jewish community. Since 2009, four waves of a longitudinal study, with a panel of more than 3,000 individuals who applied to Taglit between 2001 and 2006, have been conducted in order to track Jewish engagement as a function of Taglit. The findings indicate substantial program impact. Taglit participants, as compared to nonparticipants, are more likely to be married to another Jew, be synagogue members, celebrate Shabbat, and make charitable donations to Jewish or Israeli organizations or causes (Saxe, 2013; Saxe, et al., 2009; Saxe, Sasson, et al., 2011; Saxe, et al., 2012). Thus, the evidence indicates that over time Taglit has been successful in strengthening Jewish identity, as well as the likelihood of Jewish family formation and participation in Jewish life. The findings indicate that the program is effective for participants with a variety of Jewish backgrounds (i.e., participants with no formal Jewish education, those with several years of Jewish supplementary schooling, and even those with day school experience). Two issues underlie the present research. The first question looks at whether the effects of Taglit observed in previous studies are evident in recent cohorts. Taglit has expanded over time and, since 2008, the number of participants has doubled. In addition, the characteristics of the applicant pool have changed compared to its first eight years. Whereas the majority of Taglit participants in the 2001-2004 cohorts were ages 21 or younger (Saxe, et al., 2009), by summer 2008, the majority of participants were ages 22 or older (Saxe, et al., 2008). There has also been an increase in the proportion of participants with little or no Jewish background. In the 2001-2004 cohorts, 37 percent of participants kept kosher at home during high school (Saxe, et al., 2009), whereas only 13 percent of the summer 2008 cohort did so (Saxe, et al., 2008). Thus, the report examines the patterns of attitude change and the levels of Jewish engagement among recent Taglit cohorts. The second question addresses Jewish engagement among Taglit applicants in their emerging adulthood years—a period of time when most of these young adults are not in a secure job or professional role, are highly mobile, and are in the process of developing the social networks that will stabilize only later in life (Arnett, 2004). Specifically, the Young Adults and Jewish Engagement analysis focuses on Taglit’s role in these young adults’ Jewish lives and on its ability to impact Jewish engagement immediately after the trip and the first few years that follow. Although there is unequivocal evidence of Taglit’s impact on the attitudes of participants of diverse Jewish backgrounds, the trajectory of Jewish involvement is somewhat puzzling. Upon immediate return, strong attitudinal changes are not matched by participants’ levels of engagement with the community. Yet, substantial change over the long term (up to a decade or more after participation in Taglit) has been documented, in particular, in terms of marital decision-making. The findings described in the present study derive from data collected in a survey of the cohorts that applied to the program between 2007 and 2010. The analyses presented serve to help us better understand what Jewish involvement looks like at this particular developmental stage and the ways in which Jewish engagement evolves over time. Thus, in addition to examining overall levels of Jewish engagement, the report examines how Jewish involvement manifests itself in early young adulthood, both among those in college and those postcollege. Finally, this study reviews the impact of recent efforts to engage Taglit alumni. 5 6 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Method The present analyses focus on data collected in an online survey of eligible North American applicants to the winter 2006-07 through summer 2010 Taglit trips. A stratified random sample of 67,400 eligible applicants was invited to participate in an online survey that was in the field during spring 2011. Survey respondents completed the survey six months to four years after they applied for the trips. A random group (N=3,000) was selected for intensive phone follow-up in order to account for any bias due to non-response. The relatively low response rate in the overall sample did not appear to contribute to significant nonresponse bias. This finding is based on an analysis comparing the overall sample to the special follow-up sample which achieved a much higher response rate.2 The response rate for the intensive follow-up sample was 48 percent (53 percent for participants, 40 percent for nonparticipants), while the overall response rate was 11 percent (12 percent for participants, 10 percent for nonparticipants. For the purposes of this report, analysis was limited to respondents who resided in the United States at the time of the survey. Full details of sample selection and survey administration are presented in Appendix A. The analytic paradigm of this study compares Taglit participants to similar others who applied to the program but did not go. Comparisons are valid if there are no known pre-existing differences between participants and nonparticipants or, in the event that there are differences that might affect outcomes, the differences can be accounted for statistically. Historically, assignment to the program was practically random (Saxe, et al., 2008), but this changed in recent years. Beginning in winter 200809, Taglit implemented a pre-registration system in order to give preference to applicants who had applied to the trip before. Preference is also given to older applicants who will age out of the program. The central findings presented in this report, therefore, use logistic regression (either binary, ordinal, or multinomial, depending on the nature of the dependent variable) to control for factors that are related to participation in Taglit: age, Jewish background,3 and, for non-undergraduates, engagement with Jewish organizations in college (e.g., Hillel). By controlling for these factors, the impact of Taglit participation can be isolated from factors associated with being selected to participate. The figures presented are based on predicted probabilities derived from the regression models, holding the control variables at their mean values. 7 8 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Study Population Undergraduates versus Others Forty-seven percent of Taglit participants in the current sample went on the program while they were undergraduates. The proportion of Taglit participants who were undergraduates declined in both winter and summer trips over the four years of the study period (Figure 1). This was most dramatic for the summer trips, where the proportion of undergraduates declined by one-third from summer 2007 to summer 2010, from 47 percent to only 31 percent. The pattern of decreasing participation by undergraduates means that fewer Taglit participants return to college campuses after their trips. Because post-college alumni face a very different set of opportunities for Jewish engagement than undergraduate alumni, this shift in the makeup of participants is critical to understanding the impact of Taglit on post-trip Jewish engagement. At the time of the survey, onequarter (24 percent) of respondents were undergraduates, while three-quarters (76 percent) were not.4 Demographic and Jewish Background Characteristics Age and gender - Most undergraduate respondents were between 20 and 22 years old at the time of the survey, whereas most post-college respondents were in their midtwenties (Figure 2). Women were slightly overrepresented in the population: 54 percent of undergraduates and 57 percent of post-college respondents were female. Figure 1: Taglit applicants who were undergraduates at the time of application by cohort* 100% 80% 60% 40% 60% 57% 47% 20% 40% 48% 55% 44% 31% 0% Winter 2006-07 * Estimated proportions. Summer 2007 Winter 2007-08 Summer 2008 Winter 2008-09 Summer 2009 Winter 2009-10 Summer 2010 9 10 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Family Jewish ritual practice during high school - Undergraduate and post-college respondents did not differ dramatically on measures of Jewish background. Close to half of the respondents reported that during their high school years their families celebrated both Hanukkah and Passover. About one in five reported that their families also regularly lit Shabbat candles. Undergraduates were more likely to come from families that kept kosher at home (23 percent vs. 16 percent for nonundergraduates) (Figure 3). Figure 2: Age at time of survey by undergraduate status* 100% 80% Non-undergraduates Undergraduates 60% 40% 40% 24% 19% 20% 0% 16% 12% 4% 0% 19 1% 20 * Estimated proportions. 6% 2% 21 22 23 14% 2% 24 12% 2% 25 11% 1% 26 11% 1% 27 10% 1% 28 7% 1% 29 2% 0% 0%0% 30 31 Figure 3: Most intense form of ritual practice during high school by undergraduate status* 100% 6% 12% 3% 8% 80% 47% 60% 47% None Hannukkah Seder 40% 19% 19% 20% 16% 23% 0% Non-undergraduates * Estimated proportions. Undergraduates Shabbat Kosher Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Formal Jewish education growing up Respondents had varying levels of formal Jewish education (Figure 4). About one-fifth had no formal Jewish education, while another fifth attended full-time Jewish day schools. The rest of the respondents had some supplemental Jewish education, such as Hebrew school or Sunday school. While undergraduates and non-graduates were similar in their Jewish education levels, undergraduates were more likely to have attended Jewish day school. Reconstructionist, and one-quarter were raised Conservative (25 percent of both undergraduates and post-college respondents). Another quarter of respondents were raised secular/culturally Jewish or “Just Jewish” (27 percent of undergraduates and 24 percent of postcollege respondents). A small number of respondents were raised Orthodox (eight percent of undergraduates and four percent of post-college respondents), and the rest were raised no religion or something else (Figure 5). Parents’ religion - Almost three-quarters of respondents had two Jewish parents (73 percent of undergraduates and 71 percent of post-college respondents). Jewish background index - The analyses presented in this report control for a single index of “childhood Jewish background,” which combines the different measures of Jewish background reported above: formal Jewish education, high school ritual practice, parental inmarriage, and being raised Orthodox.5 Jewish denomination - A plurality of respondents (36 percent of both undergraduates and post-college respondents) were raised Reform or Figure 4: Most intense form of formal Jewish education by undergraduate status* 100% 22% 17% 80% No formal Jewish education 60% 63% 63% 40% No day school, but some supplementary Jewish education Some day school 20% 15% 20% 0% Non-undergraduates * Estimated proportions. Undergraduates 11 12 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Figure 5: Jewish denomination raised by undergraduate status* 100% 3% 5% 80% 27% 2% 5% 24% Other No religion 60% 36% 36% Secular/culturally Jewish, Just Jewish Reform, Reconstructionist 40% Conservative 20% 25% 25% 4% 0% Non-undergraduates * Estimated proportions. 8% Undergraduates Orthodox 13 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Taglit’s Impact on Attitudes Consistent with previous research, participation in Taglit has an impact on attitudes associated with Israel and the Jewish community. Indeed, participants from the 2007-2010 Taglit cohorts again demonstrate stronger feelings of connection to Israel and the Jewish community than nonparticipants (Figure 6). Among participants and nonparticipants, Jewish background was naturally associated with stronger feelings of connection, and age was associated with weaker feelings of connection. However, controlling for the impact of Jewish background and age, Taglit still had a measurable impact on participants. Taglit’s greatest impact is observed on connection to Israel, where participants were 2.5 times as likely to feel “very much” connected to Israel. Higher levels of connection to the worldwide Jewish community, to the local Jewish community, and to Jewish peers were observed among participants, but the effect size was smaller. Taglit’s impact on attitudes presented here does not distinguish between college and post-college respondents because Taglit’s impact is very similar for both groups.6 Figure 6: Feelings of Jewish connection by Taglit participation (undergraduate and post-college)* 100% 4% 13% 10% 7% 28% 23% 80% 6% 5% 23% 22% 25% 28% 32% 42% 30% 60% 32% 37% 39% 36% 40% 30% 31% 20% 27% 35% 31% 26% 23% 14% 0% 39% 37% 13% 33% 17% Nonparticipants Participants Nonparticipants Participants Nonparticipants Participants Nonparticipants Participants Connection to Israel Part of a worldwide Jewish community Very much Somewhat Part of local Jewish community A little Connected to Jewish peers Not at all * Predicted probabilities from ordinal logistic regression models controlling for Jewish background and age. 14 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Figure 7: Importance of being Jewish and forming a Jewish family by Taglit participation* 100% 17% 14% 11% 25% 19% 16% 80% 19% 3% 5% 5% 8% 22% 29% 60% 23% 26% 33% 29% 40% 28% 62% 54% 49% 20% 43% 35% 25% 0% Nonparticipants Participants Marry someone Jewish** Very important Nonparticipants Participants Nonparticipants Raise children Jewish*** Somewhat important A little important Participants Being Jewish Not important * Predicted probabilities from ordinal logistic regression models controlling for Jewish background and age. ** Excludes the seven percent respondents who are currently married. *** Excludes the eight percent of respondents who have children. Taglit participants were more likely to rate “being Jewish” as “very much” important to their lives, relative to nonparticipants, suggesting the salience of Judaism to their identity. They also demonstrated a stronger desire to form a Jewish family (Figure 7). Participants were 40 percent more likely to say that marrying someone Jewish was very important to them and 27 percent more likely to say that raising their children Jewish was very important to them. These attitudes may eventually translate into behavior. Long-term follow-up research has documented that between six and 11 years after the trip Taglit participants are significantly more likely to be married to a Jew as compared to nonparticipants (Saxe, et al., 2009; Saxe, Phillips, et al., 2011; Saxe, Sasson, et al., 2011; Saxe, et al., 2012). 15 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Jewish Engagement on the College Campus Twenty-four percent of respondents were undergraduates at the time of the survey. The majority (85 percent) went on the trip during their college years. Just as Jewish background and being younger were associated with more positive Jewish attitudes, these two factors were also associated with increased Jewish engagement for undergraduates. Controlling for the impact of Jewish background and age, Taglit had a small but consistent impact on participants’ engagement with campusbased Jewish groups such as Hillel, as well as on participation in a wide variety of Jewish activities. Campus-Based Jewish Groups Undergraduate respondents were asked whether they had been invited to activities sponsored by Hillel, Chabad-Lubavitch, a Jewish fraternity or sorority (e.g., AEPi), or another campus-based Jewish group in the past 12 months. They were then asked whether they actually engaged in any such activities. Overall, most respondents (85 percent) were invited by at least one campus-based organization to participate in its activities. However, Taglit participants were significantly more likely to be invited by these groups (Figure 8). Figure 8: Being invited to activities sponsored by campus-based Jewish organizations by Taglit participation (undergraduates)* 100% 80% Once or twice 13% 3 or more times 11% 40% 14% 9% 13% 52% 43% 34% 25% 32% 5% 4% 11% Hillel Chabad Participants Nonparticipants Participants Nonparticipants Participants Nonparticipants 0% Jewish fraternity or sorority Nonparticipants 20% 73% 18% Participants 60% 11% Other campus-based Jewish group * Predicted probabilities from multinomial logistic regression models controlling for Jewish background and age. 16 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement The majority of respondents (67 percent) also participated in at least one activity sponsored by a campus-based Jewish group in the past 12 months. Taglit participants were more likely than nonparticipants to participate in activities sponsored by these organizations (Figure 9). Those who were invited by a campus Jewish group to participate in activities were also much more likely to participate in those activities than those who were not invited. Additional analysis not presented here suggests that Taglit participants’ greater likelihood of participating in Jewish activities on campus is largely, perhaps even exclusively, due to their greater likelihood of receiving an invitation. Among those who were not invited, Taglit participants were no more likely to participate than nonparticipants. Participation in Activities sponsored by Jewish Organizations To gauge the types of activities offered by Jewish organizations on campus that are most popular and well attended, survey respondents were asked whether they had engaged in particular activities with Jewish content or Jewish sponsorship including: (1) a party, happy hour, or social gathering; (2) a lecture, speaker, or class; (3) a cultural event, such as a concert of film screening; Figure 9: Participating in activities sponsored by campus-based Jewish organizations by Taglit participation (undergraduates)* 100% 80% 60% 21% Once or twice 40% 3 or more times 24% 14% 20% 38% 18% 0% 13% 12% 17% 13% Nonparticipants Participants Hillel 15% Nonparticipants Participants Chabad 13% Nonparticipants 17% Participants Jewish fraternity or sorority 5% 3% 4% 8% Nonparticipants Participants Other campus-based Jewish group * Predicted probabilities from multinomial logistic regression models controlling for Jewish background and age. 17 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Figure 10: Attending events sponsored by a Jewish organization (undergraduates)* 100% 80% 60% 19% 40% 20% 21% Once 21% More than once 17% 14% 19% Lecture, speaker, or class Cultural event 3% 7% 12% Participants 10% Participants Nonparticipants Participants Nonparticipants Participants Nonparticipants Party, happy hour, or social gathering 4% 20% 14% 0% 10% Nonparticipants 27% 22% Participants 34% 29% Nonparticipants 42% 20% Social justice / activism Another type of activity event or activity * Predicted probabilities from multinomial logistic regression models controlling for Jewish background, age, and Jewish engagement in college. (4) a social justice/activism event or activity; or (5) another type of event or activity. The majority of undergraduate respondents (69 percent) had participated in at least one activity in the past twelve months. The most popular type of activities were parties and social gatherings sponsored by Jewish organizations, attracting about half of undergraduate respondents at least once in the 12 months prior to the survey. In general, Taglit participants were likely to attend these activities with greater frequency compared to nonparticipants (Figure 10). 18 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Post-College Jewish Engagement This section explores the Jewish engagement of the 76 percent of respondents who were not undergraduates at the time they were surveyed.7 Removed from the campus community, Jewish young adults face a different landscape of Jewish opportunities. Many Jewish organizations and congregations cater their services and programming to families with young children (Sheskin & Kotler-Berkowitz, 2007). While there has been recent investment in programming for single Jewish young adults, many barriers to engagement remain, including difficulties in finding opportunities and issues of cultural fit (Chertok, et al., 2009; Cohen & Kelman, 2007). Below, Taglit’s impact on Jewish involvement is examined, focusing on participation in activities sponsored by Jewish organizations, Jewish congregational membership, attendance at religious services, Shabbat and holiday observances, giving to Jewish causes, and volunteering under Jewish sponsorship. Not surprisingly, Jewish background and engagement with campus Jewish life during college were positive predictors of Jewish engagement for post-college respondents, while age had an inconsistent effect. Controlling for the impact of Jewish background, college Jewish engagement, and age, Taglit was a predictor of increased Jewish engagement across a number of measures. The end of this section examines the role of the largest initiative targeting post-college Taglit alumni—NEXT Shabbat—in facilitating Jewish engagement. Participation in Jewish Activities Whereas almost 70 percent of undergraduates participated in at least one activity sponsored by a Jewish organization in the year prior to the survey, only half of post-college respondents did so. As with undergraduates, among post-college respondents, the most popular of these activities were parties and social events (around 40 percent of respondents reported having participated in such activities in the past 12 months). Taglit participants were generally more likely to participate in Jewish-sponsored activities than nonparticipants (Figure 11). While the differences are not large, they are statistically significant. Giving and Volunteering Respondents were asked whether, in the year prior to the survey, they had made any charitable contributions or engaged in any volunteer activities. Among those who donated to any cause in the past year, Taglit participants were more likely to have donated at least some of their money to a Jewish cause (Figure 12). Similarly, among those who reported volunteering in the past 12 months, Taglit participants were more likely than nonparticipants to have volunteered under Jewish auspices (Figure 12).8 Jewish Religious Engagement Post-college Taglit participants were somewhat more likely to engage in Jewish 19 20 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Figure 11: Attending events sponsored by a Jewish organization (post-college)* 100% 80% 60% 40% 18% Party, happy hour or social gathering Lecture, speaker or class Cultural event 8% 8% 4% 5% 4% 6% Participants 9% 4% Nonparticipants 13% Participants 9% Nonparticipants 17% Participants 12% More than once 15% Nonparticipants 14% Participants Nonparticipants 0% 24% 13% Nonparticipants 17% 11% Participants 20% Once 16% Social justice / activism Another type of activity event or activity * Predicted probabilities from multinomial logistic regression models controlling for Jewish background, age, and Jewish engagement in college. Figure 12: Donating to Jewish causes and volunteering under Jewish sponsorship by Taglit participation (post-college)* 100% 80% Nonparticipants Participants 60% 40% 20% 21% 27% 0% Donated to Jewish or Israeli organizations or causes** 14% 20% Volunteered under Jewish sponsorship*** * Predicted probabilities from binary logistic regression models controlling for Jewish background, age, and Jewish engagemen t in college. ** Limited to respondents who made any charitable contributions. *** Limited to respondents who engaged in any volunteer activities. 21 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Figure 13: Engagement in Jewish religious life by Taglit participation (post-college)* 100% 80% Nonparticipants Participants 60% 40% 20% 14% 22% 18% 27% 25% 32% 0% Had special Shabbat meal last Friday night Synagogue member Attended Jewish religious services in past month * Predicted probabilities from binary logistic regression models controlling for Jewish background, age, and Jewish engagemen t in college religious life than nonparticipants. Participants were significantly more likely to have had a special Shabbat meal on the Friday night before taking the survey, to be synagogue members, and to have attended Jewish religious services in the past month (Figure 13). On the other had, Taglit participants were not significantly more likely to have attended a Passover seder in the previous year. NEXT Shabbat NEXT Shabbat is a national program that endeavors to boost the Jewish engagement of post-college age Taglit alumni.9 The program provides monetary reimbursement and educational resources for Taglit participants who invite friends into their homes for a Shabbat meal. Launched in July 2008, NEXT Shabbat has a low threshold for involvement—traditional Shabbat rituals and kosher food are not required, and guests do not have to be Jewish. Shabbat meals can happen anywhere in the United States, allowing for broad participation around the country. This section of the report will describe the level and patterns of participation in NEXT Shabbat among Taglit participants. While NEXT is targeted specifically at post-college Taglit alumni, undergraduates appear to be aware of and participate in NEXT at roughly the same rate as non-undergraduates. Consequently, the analyses below will include Taglit participants from both groups. Awareness of NEXT Shabbat Overall, 43 percent of Taglit participants had heard of NEXT Shabbat before being asked about it in the survey. Those participants ages 25 and older were somewhat more likely to have heard of the program than younger participants (Figure 14). In addition, those who went on a Taglit trip in 22 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Figure 14: Awareness of NEXT Shabbat by age group (Taglit participants)* 100% 80% 60% 40% 48% 43% 20% 38% 0% Age 18-21 Age 22-24 Age 25+ * Estimated proportions. Figure 15: Awareness of NEXT Shabbat by Taglit cohort (Taglit participants)* 100% 80% 60% 40% 58% 57% 57% 55% Winter 2008-09 Summer 2009 Winter 2009-10 Summer 2010 44% 20% 32% 31% 33% Winter 2006-07 Summer 2007 Winter 2007-08 0% * Estimated proportions. Summer 2008 23 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement 2009 or 2010 were more likely to have heard of the program than those who went on the trip in 2007 or 2008 (Figure 15). Analyzing multiple factors that impact awareness of the program reveals that in addition to being older and having gone on a trip after 2008, women and those with more intense Jewish backgrounds were also more likely to have heard of the program. Participation in NEXT Shabbat Taglit participants who had heard of NEXT Shabbat were asked how many times in the past 12 months they had hosted or been a guest at a NEXT Shabbat meal. Overall, 13 percent of Taglit participants had attended a NEXT Shabbat meal, either as a guest or a host, with six percent having attended a NEXT Shabbat meal more than once. About half of all those who attended a NEXT Shabbat meal had also hosted a meal at least once; the rest had been guests. The time elapsed since a participant’s Taglit trip is associated with the likelihood of attending a NEXT Shabbat meal. Those who went on a Taglit trip in 2009 or 2010 were significantly more likely to have attended a NEXT Shabbat meal in the past 12 months than those who went in 2007 or 2008 (Figure 16). A binary logistic regression model of NEXT participation indicates that several factors are associated with participation in NEXT Shabbat meal. As shown in Figure 16, those who went on the trip in 2009 or 2010 were more likely to have attended a NEXT Shabbat meal. In addition, older Taglit participants and women were somewhat more likely to have attended. Those with more intense Jewish backgrounds were neither more nor less likely to attend a meal.10 Figure 16: Attending a NEXT Shabbat meal by Taglit cohort (Taglit participants)* 100% 80% 60% Attended or hosted more than once Attended or hosted once 40% 20% 10% 7% 0% 5% 5% 4% 6% 4% 5% 5% 9% Winter 2006-07 Summer 2007 Winter 2007-08 Summer 2008 Winter 2008-09 * Estimated proportions 9% 12% 8% 8% 10% 8% Summer 2009 Winter 2009-10 Summer 2010 24 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Discussion The present findings document Taglit’s impact on participants’ Jewish identities and Jewish engagement post-trip. Consistent with studies of earlier Taglit cohorts, the present study—conducted up to three and half years after participation in Taglit— demonstrates the program’s strong effects on participants’ attitudes toward their Jewish identity. Participants who took part in a Taglit trip between 2007 and 2010 reported greater feelings of connection to Israel and the Jewish community as compared to nonparticipants and a stronger desire to marry someone Jewish and raise Jewish children. Thus, the program continues to produce positive attitudinal changes among participants even as the program has evolved and matured and the applicant pool has changed. The findings also shed light on the levels of behavioral engagement with Jewish life both on and off the college campus. More than two-thirds of undergraduate Taglit applicants were involved in some way in Jewish life on campus in the year prior to the survey. Respondents reported participating in a variety of organizations and activities on campus; Hillel was the most cited campus organization and social gatherings were the most popular activity. Although the overall rates indicate that the majority do not attend these events with much frequency, Taglit has a significant impact on participation in the organizations and activities. Taglit’s impact on campus is related to the fact that participation on trips makes alumni more visible to Jewish organizations. These organizations often partner with Taglit, which allows them to more effectively reach out to their target population. Taglit participants were much more likely to be invited to events and were also far more likely to participate. Among post-college respondents, overall levels of engagement were significantly lower than those among the undergraduate respondents. Taglit, nevertheless, had a small yet significant impact on participants, with post-college participants being more likely to attend Jewish events, donate to or volunteer with Jewish organizations, have Shabbat meals, join synagogues, and even attend religious services. The analyses used to assess Taglit’s impact in these areas also indicated that prior experience with Jewish life on the college campus was a strong predictor of engagement post college. Insofar as Taglit increases opportunities for engagement in Jewish life on campus, it will indirectly impact Jewish engagement later on. To the extent that the majority of current Taglit participants are past their college experience, Taglit may have a lower impact on engagement. Overall levels of engagement in the flagship program of alumni follow-up, NEXT Shabbat, are also low, but in line with the overall rates of involvement in Jewish life among post-college young adults. Despite the low barriers for participation in the program and the relatively high name recognition of the program (more than a third had heard of it), participation rates are between 16 to 22 percent. Given participants’ expressed strong connection to their Jewish identity, one might expect that Jewish young adults, and Taglit alumni in particular, would be more 25 26 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement involved in Jewish activities. Although Taglit has consistent positive effects, on most measures, the proportion of participants who are engaged is less than a majority. Some have argued that engagement of Jewish young adults should be measured “outside the box” of mainstream Jewish institutions (Cohen & Kelman, 2007; Kaunfer, 2010). However, even when considering innovative Jewish initiatives and non-institutionalized Jewish practice, the level of Jewish engagement for Taglit alumni, as well as the current generation of which they are a part, is low (Shain, Fishman, Wright, Hecht, & Saxe, in press). To understand the findings, one needs to appreciate the relationship between Jewish identity and behavioral engagement. The psychological literature is rich with discussion of the reasons why attitudes do not always predict behavior. From this perspective, a global measure of Jewish identity (e.g., how connected one feels to the Jewish community) needs not be strongly related to actual involvement (i.e., whether one participates in activities or local Jewish institutions). The strength of the attitudebehavior relationship depends on the degree of correspondence (or compatibility) between the attitudes and the behaviors (Ajzen & Fishbein, 1977; Kim & Hunter, 1993; Kraus, 1995). Thus, young adults may have strong feelings about being Jewish, but they may not be in a stage of life in which formal synagogue membership or other forms of institutional connection make sense. In addition, real-world situations and opportunities hinder or facilitate individuals’ ability to actualize their attitudes in the form of specific behaviors. Engagement not only requires individual motivation, but also time, resources, and opportunity structures. Some of the issues that lead to a disconnect between individuals’ Jewish identity and their involvement with the community may be associated with the unsettled nature of emerging adulthood (Arnett, 2004). Most of these young adults do not have a secure job or professional role; as well, they are highly mobile and in the process of developing the social networks that will stabilize only later in life. This suggests that opportunity structures for Jewish engagement must be developed that are fluid and meet individuals on their own terms (Chertok, et al., 2009). Taglit alumni have a heightened sense of their Jewish identity and it seems likely, as they come into full adult roles, that they will be more highly involved than their peers who did not have the experience. At the same time, the likelihood that they will participate in Jewish life will inevitably be mediated by the ability of Jewish communal institutions to serve their needs. The gap that currently exists between Taglit alumni’s positive attitudes and their actual behavior may only be breached by institutions that are able to adapt to the concerns and structural constraints associated with emerging adulthood. Exactly how this can be done is beyond the scope of the present study. It is clear, however, that the most effective organizations will be the ones which address a desire for community through the loose connective structures most appropriate for this population’s stage of life. Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Notes 1 For a comprehensive list of publications based on findings from the extensive research on Taglit, see: http://www.brandeis.edu/cmjs/researchareas/taglit-publications.html. 2 See Appendix A and a detailed analysis in Wright, Fisher, & Saxe, 2012. 3 The models used in these reports control for a single index of “childhood Jewish background” which combines the different measures of Jewish engagement reported below, namely: formal Jewish education, high school ritual practice, parental inmarriage, and being raised Orthodox. For details of scale construction, see page 12 and Note 5. 4 Among those Taglit participants who were not undergraduates at the time of survey, there was no substantive difference across the various measures of engagement between those who went on Taglit during college and those who went after graduating. 5 Because these four variables have different scales of measurement, they could not simply be averaged or added together. The Jewish background index therefore added each variable’s standard score (“zscore”), which standardizes the mean of each variable at zero and recodes the values of that variable to reflect the standard deviation away from that mean. Loevinger H scalability coefficients were used to determine the optimal scale composition. The Loevinger H coefficient for the adopted scale was 0.64. 6 For an analysis of college and post-college respondents see Appendix B. 7 The vast majority (93 percent) of non-undergraduates have bachelor’s degrees. This section also includes a small number of individuals who never attended or never completed college. 8 Taglit participants and nonparticipants were equally likely to have done any volunteer activities; each had a 67 percent probability of having volunteered (F test, etc.). Taglit is negatively associated with having made any charitable contributions; participants had a 66 percent probability of having donated, compared to a 72 percent probability for nonparticipants (F test, etc.). 9 Canadian alumni are also eligible to participate in NEXT Shabbat. 10 For the regression model, see Appendix C. 27 28 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Young Adults and Jewish Engagement References Ajzen, I., & Fishbein, M. (1977). Attitude-behavior relations: A theoretical analysis and review of empirical research. Psychological Bulletin, 84(5), 888-918. doi: 10.1037/00332909.84.5.888 Arnett, J. J. (2004). Emerging adulthood: The winding road from the late teens through the twenties. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Battaglia, M. P., Izrael, D., Hoaglin, D. C., & Frankel, M. R. (2004). Practical considerations in raking survey data. Paper presented at the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Phoenix, AZ. Chertok, F., Sasson, T., & Saxe, L. (2009). Tourists, travelers, and citizens: Jewish engagement of young adults in four centers of North American Jewish life. Waltham, MA: Cohen Center for Modern Jewish Studies, Brandeis University. Cohen, S. M., & Kelman, A. Y. (2007). The continuity of discontinuity: How young Jews are connecting, creating, and organizing their own Jewish lives: Andrea and Charles Bronfman Philanthropies. Cohen, S. M., & Kelman, A. Y. (2008). Uncoupled: How our singles are reshaping Jewish engagement. New York: The Jewish Identity Project of Reboot Andrea and Charles Bronfman Philanthropies. Deming, W. E. (1943). Statistical adjustment of data. New York: John Wiley. Deming, W. E., & Stephan, F. F. (1940). On a least squares adjustment of a sampled frequency table when the expected marginals are known. Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 11, 427-444. Kaunfer, E. (2010). Empowered Judaism: What independent minyanim can teach us about building vibrant Jewish communities. Woodstock, VT: Jewish Lights Publishing. Kim, M.-S., & Hunter, J. E. (1993). Attitude-behavior relations: A meta-analysis of attitudinal relevance and topic. Journal of Communication, 43(1), 101-142. doi: 10.1111/j.14602466.1993.tb01251.x Kotler-Berkowitz, L., Cohen, S. M., Ament, J., Klaff, V., Mott, F., & Peckerman-Neuma, D. (2004). The National Jewish Population Survey 2000-01: Strength, challenge and diversity in the American Jewish Population. New York: United Jewish Communities. Kraus, S. J. (1995). Attitudes and the prediction of behavior: A meta-analysis of the empirical literature. Psychology Bulletin, 21(1), 58-75. doi: 10.1177/0146167295211007 Saxe, L. (2013). The Taglit-Birthright Israel generation comes of age. Paper presented at the Taglit-Birthright Israel: An Academic Symposium, Jerusalem, Israel. Saxe, L., & Chazan, B. (2008). Ten days of Birthright Israel: A journey in young adult identity. Lebanon, NH: Brandeis University Press/ University Press of New England. Saxe, L., Kadushin, C., Hecht, S., Rosen, M. I., Phillips, B., & Kelner, S. (2004). Evaluating Birthright Israel: Long-term impact and recent findings. Waltham, MA: Cohen Center for Modern Jewish Studies, Brandeis University. Saxe, L., Kadushin, C., Kelner, S., Rosen, M. I., & Yereslove, E. (2002). A mega-experiment in Jewish education: The impact of birthright israel. Waltham, MA: Cohen Center for Modern Jewish Studies, Brandeis University. 29 30 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Saxe, L., Phillips, B., Boxer, M., Hecht, S., Wright, G., & Sasson, T. (2008). Taglit-Birthright Israel: Evaluation of the 2007-2008 North American cohorts. Waltham, MA: Cohen Center for Modern Jewish Studies, Brandeis University. Saxe, L., Phillips, B., Sasson, T., Hecht, S., Shain, M., Wright, G., et al. (2009). Generation Birthright Israel: The impact of an Israel experience on Jewish identity and choices. Waltham, MA: Cohen Center for Modern Jewish Studies, Brandeis University. Saxe, L., Phillips, B., Sasson, T., Hecht, S., Shain, M., Wright, G., et al. (2011). Intermarriage: The impact and lessons of Taglit-Birthright Israel. Contemporary Jewry, 31(2), 151172. doi: 10.1007/s12397-010-9058-z Saxe, L., Sasson, T., & Hecht, S. (2006). Taglit-Birthright Israel: Impact on Jewish identity, peoplehood, and connection to Israel. Waltham, MA: Cohen Center for Modern Jewish Studies, Brandeis University. Saxe, L., Sasson, T., Hecht, S., Phillips, B., Shain, M., Wright, G., et al. (2011). Jewish Futures Project: The impact of Taglit-Birthright Israel, 2010 update. Waltham, MA: Cohen Center for Modern Jewish Studies, Brandeis University. Saxe, L., Sasson, T., Phillips, B., Hecht, S., & Wright, G. (2007). Taglit-Birthright Israel evaluation: 2007 North American cohorts. Waltham, MA: Cohen Center for Modern Jewish Studies, Brandeis University. Saxe, L., Shain, M., Wright, G., Hecht, S., Fishman, S., & Sasson, T. (2012). Jewish Futures Project: The impact of Taglit-Birthright Israel: 2012 update. Waltham, MA: Cohen Center for Modern Jewish Studies. Schmitz, C. (2009). LimeSurvey (Version 1.80RC3) [computer program]. Shain, M., Fishman, S., Wright, G., Hecht, S., & Saxe, L. (in press). “DIY” Judaism: How contemporary Jewish young adults express their Jewish identity. Jewish Journal of Sociology. Sheskin, I. M., & Kotler-Berkowitz, L. (2007). Synagogues, Jewish Community Centers, and other Jewish organizations: Who Joins, who doesn't? Journal of Jewish Communal Service, 82(3). StataCorp. (2009). Stata (Version 10.1) [computer program]. College Station, TX: StataCorp. Taglit-Birthright Israel. (2013). CEO report 2013: Celebrating our bar/bat mitzvah year. Jerusalem: Taglit-Birthright Israel. Werner, J. (2003). QBAL (Version 1.52M) [computer program]. Pittsfield, MA: Jan Werner Data Processing. Wright, G., Fisher, T., & Saxe, L. (2012). Using dual sample surveys to examine the relationship between response rate and bias. Paper presented at the American Association of Public Opinion Research 67th Annual Conference, Orlando, FL. Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Appendix A: Methodology Study Design Target population - This report discusses results from a survey of eligible applicants to the TaglitBirthright Israel program. The program offers free ten-day educational peer trips to Israel. Trips are offered twice a year in the winter and in the summer (each trip season is hereafter referred to as “round”). The target population of the survey discussed here is the pool of applicants for the rounds between winter of 2006/2007 and the summer of 2010. There were a total of 131,804 eligible applicants to these rounds.1 Sampling plan- The objective of this study was to survey the entire target population (N=131,804), essentially conducting a “failed census.” However, it was expected that without extensive follow-up efforts (which would not be feasible for such a large group) the achieved response rate would not be high enough to ensure an unbiased respondent pool. Thus, in order to assess (and potentially correct for) the extent of any bias due to low response rate in the surveyed population, a representative sample (N=3,000) was selected for intensive follow-up with the aim of achieving a sufficiently high response rate for this sub-group. This group is referred to here as the “sample” and the remainder of the target population is referred to as the “frame.” Stratification - The target population was stratified by round, participant status, age (over/under age 25), and gender. To cut down on the number of strata, round was collapsed into “year of application” so, for example winter 2006/7 and summer 2007 were both treated as “2007” for purposes of stratification. This led to the creation of 32 mutually exclusive strata. The selected sample (N=3,000) corresponds to approximately 2.276% of the total target population and was designed to be perfectly representative of it. Thus, 2.276% of the applicants in each stratum were randomly selected to be included in the sample. The remainder of each stratum was assigned to the frame. For logistical reasons both the sample and the frame were divided into four equally sized and equally representative replicates. Due to the use of random selection and the stratification scheme each of the eight replicates are representative of the entire population with respect to the stratification variables. 1 For applicants who applied to multiple rounds, the latest eligible round of application was chosen. Ineligible and duplicate records were dropped. 31 32 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Table 1: Characteristics of Sampling Strata Year 2007 Participant Age Status Nonparticipant Under 25 25+ Participant 2008 Nonparticipant Under 25 25+ Participant 2009 Under 25 25+ Nonparticipant Under 25 25+ Participant Total Under 25 25+ Nonparticipant Under 25 25+ Participant 2010 Under 25 25+ Under 25 25+ Sex total N Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female 1,195 1,379 1,598 1,643 4,799 6,461 6,054 6,383 3,171 3,787 2,401 2,517 7,704 9,911 6,867 7,375 5,566 6,756 2,473 2,687 4,320 5,309 3,505 3,520 3,103 4,236 1,221 1,431 4,227 5,557 2,162 2,486 131,804 % of total 0.91 1.05 1.21 1.25 3.64 4.9 4.59 4.84 2.41 2.87 1.82 1.91 5.85 7.52 5.21 5.6 4.22 5.13 1.88 2.04 3.28 4.03 2.66 2.67 2.35 3.21 0.93 1.09 3.21 4.22 1.64 1.89 Sample N 27 31 36 37 109 147 138 145 72 86 55 57 175 226 156 168 127 154 56 61 98 121 80 80 71 96 28 33 96 126 49 57 3,000 Frame N 1,168 1,348 1,562 1,606 4,690 6,314 5,916 6,238 3,099 3,701 2,346 2,460 7,529 9,685 6,711 7,207 5,439 6,602 2,417 2,626 4,222 5,188 3,425 3,440 3,032 4,140 1,193 1,398 4,131 5,431 2,113 2,429 128,804 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Final survey population – The survey was administered to the replicates in a staggered manner—first being released to two frame replicates. During field operations it became evident that response rates for the initial two frame replicates were even lower than expected. It was decided to forgo the release of the final two frame replicates and simply use the first two replicates as a large representative sample, instead of the failed census that would have resulted from release of all four replicates. Consequently the “frame” group mentioned below refers only to these two released replicates (N=64,454) and not the entire remainder of the target population. Since each replicate (for either the “sample” or “frame”) is a stratified random sample of the entire population, the “frame” and “sample” can both be considered stratified random samples of the underlying population, as can their combination. See below for a description of the response rates for the two groups. Field Operations This study utilized an online web based survey. The Web survey was designed using an online instrument, created in LimeSurvey (Schmitz, 2009).2 The survey was administered between February and March of 2011. Individuals in the “frame” were sent emails inviting them to take the survey, and offered entry into a lottery for one of a number of $100 or $200 Amazon.com gift cards if they completed the survey. Three additional email reminders were also sent to nonrespondents encouraging them to complete the survey. Members of the “sample” were likewise sent email invitations (and two additional email reminders) but promised a guaranteed Amazon.com gift card for survey completion. As a methodological experiment, members of the third sample replicate were offered $25 Amazon.com gift cards, while members of three other sample replicates were offered $15 Amazon.com gift cards. Approximately two weeks after the initial email invitation members of the sample who had not yet responded were called and encouraged to complete the survey online. The callers did not actually administer the survey to the respondents, but simply encouraged the respondents to complete it on their own, and, in many cases, re-emailed the unique URL to an email address of the respondent’s choosing. Because the survey was, in all cases, administered online, there are no mode effects across the different groups. 2 Cohen Center staff made some modifications to the source code of Lime Survey before using it for this study (LimeSurvey is open-source software released under the terms of the GNU General Public License v. 2). These modifications were mainly to allow greater compatibility between Lime Survey and the in-house CATI and bulkemail sending systems. 33 34 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Dispositions and Response rate Table 2 shows the final dispositions and response rates for the sample and frame. As expected, the response rate for the sample was significantly higher than that for the frame. Table 2: Final Dispositions and Response Rates Taglit Participants Taglit Non-Participants Frame Sample Overall Frame Sample Overall Frame Total Sample Overall 4,184 1,047 5,231 1,780 404 2,184 5,964 1,451 7,415 140 13 153 65 4 94 230 17 247 120 7 127 90 2 67 185 9 194 Non-respondent 38,049 926 38,975 20,026 593 20,619 58,075 1,519 59,594 Total Sample 42,493 1,993 44,486 21,961 1,003 22,964 64,454 2,996 67,450 AAPOR Response Rate 1 9.85% 52.53% 11.76% 8.11% 40.28% 9.51% 9.25% 48.43% 10.99% AAPOR Response Rate 2 10.18% 53.19% 12.10% 8.40% 40.68% 9.92% 9.60% 49.0% 11.36% 1 Complete Partial 2 3 Break-Off 1 Completed at least 80% of the questions asked. Completed 50-80% of the questions asked. Completed less than 50% of the questions asked. 2 3 Weighting Design Weights The design weights for a stratified survey are simply the inverse of the probability of selection. For a given strata h, the design weight is calculated as the total population of that strata over the number of respondents in that strata: Thus each case is assigned a weight equal to the number of elements in the population of the frame it “represents.” In this case individuals in a given strata were assigned a weight equal to the frame population of that strata. Cases from both the sample and the main are treated identically in the calculation of design weights. Comparison of sample and frame It was expected that the sample would have a significantly higher response rate than the frame, due to the addition of guaranteed incentives and phone follow up. By comparing the two groups the bias associated with the lower response rate could be assessed, and, in principal, the lower response rate frame cases could be adjusted to the marginals of the higher response rate sample. However, when the two groups were compared on a number of key variables, there was virtually no difference. Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Poststratification Weights Since there were little or no substantive differences between the sample and frame groups poststratification weights were calculated for the entire achieved sample in order to adjust for any differences between the distribution of known characteristics of the sample and known characteristics of the target population (known characteristics were derived from the Taglit registration database). In addition to the characteristics used in initial stratification (participant status, year of birth, and sex), information on Jewish denomination at time of application to the trip was available. Poststratification weights ( ) were created by raking within weighting stratum, where the sum of the weights was set to remain constant.3 (See below for a description of raking.) The subscript j (where ) is used to distinguish poststratification weights, which could vary across cases within weighting stratum, compared to the design weights, , which remained constant within weighting stratum. Table 3. Characteristics of Weights Weight Unweighted Design weights Final raked weights n Mean 7,645 7,645 7,645 1.00 17.20 17.20 Std. dev. 0.00 4.95 5.08 Min 1.00 7.80 7.12 Max:Min ratio 1.00 1.00 28.45 3.64 35.63 5.00 Max Calculation of Confidence Intervals Confidence intervals in tables and figures in this report were calculated at the 95% level using Stata’s (2009) survey commands set up for a stratified survey (where the strata are defined as the weighting strata) with simple random sampling within strata. 3 Raking was carried out using QBAL (Werner, 2003). 35 36 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Raking Raking, also known as sample balancing and iterative proportional fitting (Deming, 1943), is a procedure that adjusts the marginal frequencies of a survey to the known marginal frequencies of a population. For example, one might have a population divided on sex and handedness (left and right) as follows: Handed R L Total Population Sex M F .45 .45 .05 .05 .50 .50 Survey Total .90 .10 1 Handed R L Total M .25 .05 .30 Sex F .60 .10 .70 Total .85 .15 1 Compared to the population, right-handers are somewhat underrepresented in the survey while lefthanders are somewhat overrepresented. Initially, all right-handers would receive weights of 0.90/0.85 (c. 1.06), while left-handers would receive weights of (c. 0.67). The resulting adjusted table would then be: Handed R L Total M .265 .033 .298 Sex F .635 .067 .702 Total .900 .100 Subsequently, sex would be adjusted to match the desired marginal totals, with males receiving an additional weight of 0.50/0.298 (c. 1.678) and females receiving a weight of 0.5/0.702 (c. 0.712). After this transformation, the weighted frequencies would be: Handed R L Total M .444 .056 .500 Sex F .453 .047 .500 Total .897 .103 Further raking would yield additional weights of c. 1.003 for men and 0.971 for women and a marginal frequency of .4998 for men and .5002 for women. Additional iterations could take place until a desired level of precision was reached. (Precision is defined in raking in terms of the sum of the weighted squares of the residuals, the difference between the expected and observed frequency in a cell; Battaglia, Izrael, Hoaglin, & Frankel, 2004; Deming & Stephan, 1940.) The final weights for each cell are approximately 1.783 for male right-handers, 1.082 for male left-handers, 0.757 for female righthanders and 0.459 for female left-handers. Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Appendix B: Attitudinal Impact of Taglit for Undergraduates and NonUndergraduates Figure 1: Feelings of Jewish connection by Taglit participation (undergraduates)* * Predicted probabilities from ordinal logistic regression models controlling for Jewish background and age. 37 38 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Figure 2: Feelings of Jewish connection by Taglit participation (post-college)* * Predicted probabilities from ordinal logistic regression models controlling for Jewish background, age, and Jewish engagement in college Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Figure 1: Feelings of Jewish connection by Taglit participation (undergraduates) Connection to Israel Survey: Ordered logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 31 7338 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 3, 7305) Prob > F = 7338 = 125567.14 = 1720 = 28910.859 = 7307 = 89.98 = 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized conisr | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 4.099914 .4241144 13.64 0.000 3.347402 5.021594 jbackground | 1.257756 .0261974 11.01 0.000 1.207436 1.310173 age | .9550767 .0312299 -1.41 0.160 .8957779 1.018301 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------/cut1 | -2.738435 .7193957 -3.81 0.000 -4.148659 -1.328212 /cut2 | -.7201024 .7129515 -1.01 0.313 -2.117693 .6774884 /cut3 | .8230366 .7139234 1.15 0.249 -.5764594 2.222533 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 1 stratum omitted because it contains no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackground . local a=meanage . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conisr Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 0 0.1632 0.4316 0.2781 0.1271 [ [ [ [ jbackground .14731941 95% Conf. Interval 0.1247, 0.2017] 0.3917, 0.4714] 0.2407, 0.3156] 0.0965, 0.1577] age 24.747265 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conisr Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 1 0.0454 0.2182 0.3626 0.3738 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.0336, 0.0572] 0.1821, 0.2543] 0.3354, 0.3898] 0.3216, 0.4261] age 24.747265 39 40 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Part of a worldwide Jewish community Survey: Ordered logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 31 7327 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 3, 7294) Prob > F = 7327 = 125386.79 = 1709 = 28730.506 = 7296 = 44.27 = 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized conwrldjcomm | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 1.944055 .1945455 6.64 0.000 1.597765 2.365398 jbackground | 1.196061 .022276 9.61 0.000 1.153181 1.240535 age | .9266951 .0288846 -2.44 0.015 .8717681 .9850829 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------/cut1 | -3.713648 .6842035 -5.43 0.000 -5.054884 -2.372411 /cut2 | -2.044913 .6792101 -3.01 0.003 -3.376361 -.7134649 /cut3 | -.5152472 .6786801 -0.76 0.448 -1.845656 .8151621 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 1 stratum omitted because it contains no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackground . local a=meanage . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conwrldjcomm Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 0 0.1352 0.3182 0.3396 0.2071 [ [ [ [ jbackground .14731941 95% Conf. Interval 0.1017, 0.1687] 0.2779, 0.3584] 0.3093, 0.3699] 0.1644, 0.2499] age 24.747265 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conwrldjcomm Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 1 0.0744 0.2246 0.3642 0.3368 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.0563, 0.0925] 0.1909, 0.2583] 0.3394, 0.3890] 0.2884, 0.3851] age 24.747265 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Connection to local Jewish Community Survey: Ordered logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 31 7327 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 3, 7294) Prob > F = 7327 = 125386.79 = 1709 = 28730.506 = 7296 = 56.28 = 0.0000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized conlocaljcomm | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 1.62848 .1568567 5.06 0.000 1.34828 1.96691 jbackground | 1.203286 .0201953 11.03 0.000 1.164342 1.243533 age | .8646591 .0256473 -4.90 0.000 .8158167 .9164257 --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------/cut1 | -4.359598 .6480228 -6.73 0.000 -5.62991 -3.089286 /cut2 | -2.970489 .6411076 -4.63 0.000 -4.227245 -1.713732 /cut3 | -1.605666 .6379344 -2.52 0.012 -2.856202 -.3551298 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 1 stratum omitted because it contains no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackground . local a=meanage . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conlocaljcomm Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 0 0.3126 0.3333 0.2313 0.1228 [ [ [ [ jbackground .14731941 95% Conf. Interval 0.2600, 0.3651] 0.3061, 0.3606] 0.1985, 0.2641] 0.0943, 0.1514] age 24.747265 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conlocaljcomm Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 1 0.2183 0.3100 0.2860 0.1857 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.1821, 0.2544] 0.2814, 0.3386] 0.2581, 0.3139] 0.1531, 0.2183] age 24.747265 41 42 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Connection to Jewish peers Survey: Ordered logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 31 7327 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 3, 7294) Prob > F = 7327 = 125386.79 = 1709 = 28730.506 = 7296 = 37.97 = 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized conjpeers | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 1.582806 .1570742 4.63 0.000 1.302994 1.922707 jbackground | 1.202816 .0231149 9.61 0.000 1.158347 1.248992 age | .9169108 .0301471 -2.64 0.008 .859678 .9779538 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------/cut1 | -4.545802 .7226295 -6.29 0.000 -5.962365 -3.129239 /cut2 | -2.527898 .7173779 -3.52 0.000 -3.934167 -1.12163 /cut3 | -.9809528 .7161951 -1.37 0.171 -2.384902 .4229968 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 1 stratum omitted because it contains no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackground . local a=meanage . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conjpeers Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 0 0.0812 0.3181 0.3581 0.2426 [ [ [ [ jbackground .14731941 95% Conf. Interval 0.0573, 0.1051] 0.2716, 0.3647] 0.3303, 0.3859] 0.1944, 0.2908] age 24.747265 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conjpeers Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 1 0.0529 0.2429 0.3678 0.3364 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.0378, 0.0679] 0.2047, 0.2811] 0.3429, 0.3928] 0.2860, 0.3868] age 24.747265 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Figure 2: Feelings of Jewish connection by Taglit participation (postcollege). Controlling for campus engagement to make comparable with other non-undergrad models. Connection to Israel Survey: Ordered logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 6863 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 4, 6828) Prob > F = 6863 = 117515.15 = 5034 = 86671.925 = 6831 = 142.10 = 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized conisr | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 3.118838 .2062532 17.20 0.000 2.739629 3.550536 jbackground | 1.20868 .0150465 15.22 0.000 1.179541 1.238539 age | .9625404 .0118911 -3.09 0.002 .9395102 .9861351 campus | 1.460657 .0978168 5.66 0.000 1.280959 1.665564 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------/cut1 | -2.617044 .3331412 -7.86 0.000 -3.270104 -1.963984 /cut2 | -.4031113 .3295085 -1.22 0.221 -1.049051 .2428279 /cut3 | 1.207937 .3298352 3.66 0.000 .5613572 1.854517 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackground . local a=meanage . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conisr Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 0 0.1200 0.4352 0.3069 0.1379 [ [ [ [ jbackground .14731941 95% Conf. Interval 0.1052, 0.1349] 0.4136, 0.4568] 0.2889, 0.3248] 0.1227, 0.1530] age 24.747265 campus .77057955 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conisr Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 1 0.0419 0.2439 0.3813 0.3328 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.0370, 0.0468] 0.2299, 0.2580] 0.3662, 0.3964] 0.3158, 0.3498] age 24.747265 campus .77057955 43 44 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Connection to worldwide Jewish community Survey: Ordered logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 6837 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 5, 6801) Prob > F = 6837 = 117006.46 = 5008 = 86163.236 = 6805 = 83.03 = 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized conwrldjcomm | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | .3518671 .0616701 5.71 0.000 .2309743 .4727598 jbackground | .1730863 .0141158 12.26 0.000 .1454148 .2007577 age | -.0366256 .0122229 -3.00 0.003 -.0605863 -.0126648 campus | .7835066 .0669917 11.70 0.000 .6521819 .9148313 orthodox | -.3157956 .2620877 -1.20 0.228 -.8295695 .1979783 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------/cut1 | -2.713995 .3317945 -8.18 0.000 -3.364416 -2.063574 /cut2 | -.6737066 .3270229 -2.06 0.039 -1.314774 -.0326393 /cut3 | .9342009 .3261595 2.86 0.004 .2948263 1.573576 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackground . local a=meanage . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conwrldjcomm Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 0 0.0811 0.3233 0.3678 0.2278 [ [ [ [ jbackground .14731941 95% Conf. Interval 0.0704, 0.0918] 0.3026, 0.3440] 0.3521, 0.3835] 0.2079, 0.2478] age 24.747265 campus .77151335 orthodox .0317716 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conwrldjcomm Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= . participant 1 0.0584 0.2647 0.3813 0.2955 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.0518, 0.0651] 0.2501, 0.2794] 0.3665, 0.3961] 0.2794, 0.3116] age 24.747265 campus .77151335 orthodox .0317716 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Connection to local Jewish community Survey: Ordered logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 6838 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 4, 6803) Prob > F = 6838 = 117028.78 = 5009 = 86185.555 = 6806 = 106.11 = 0.0000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized conlocaljcomm | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 1.227723 .0742974 3.39 0.001 1.090385 1.382361 jbackground | 1.184049 .0144531 13.84 0.000 1.156053 1.212723 age | .9666714 .011564 -2.83 0.005 .944266 .9896084 campus | 2.26625 .1528583 12.13 0.000 1.985565 2.586613 --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------/cut1 | -1.099832 .3192674 -3.44 0.001 -1.725696 -.4739682 /cut2 | .2853786 .3192333 0.89 0.371 -.3404185 .9111756 /cut3 | 1.816845 .3216231 5.65 0.000 1.186363 2.447327 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackground . local a=meanage . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conlocaljcomm Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 0 0.2855 0.3294 0.2658 0.1192 [ [ [ [ jbackground .14731941 95% Conf. Interval 0.2630, 0.3081] 0.3149, 0.3439] 0.2483, 0.2834] 0.1061, 0.1324] age 24.747265 campus .77155572 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conlocaljcomm Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 1 0.2456 0.3198 0.2921 0.1425 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.2307, 0.2605] 0.3057, 0.3338] 0.2773, 0.3070] 0.1310, 0.1541] age 24.747265 campus .77155572 45 46 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Connection to Jewish peers Survey: Ordered logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 6836 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 4, 6801) Prob > F = 6836 = 116995.7 = 5007 = 86152.476 = 6804 = 100.28 = 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized conjpeers | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 1.313028 .0814482 4.39 0.000 1.16269 1.482805 jbackground | 1.171941 .0140691 13.22 0.000 1.144684 1.199848 age | .984801 .0122734 -1.23 0.219 .9610329 1.009157 campus | 2.364948 .1603953 12.69 0.000 2.070529 2.701233 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------/cut1 | -2.435313 .3328788 -7.32 0.000 -3.08786 -1.782767 /cut2 | -.3855634 .3277036 -1.18 0.239 -1.027965 .2568382 /cut3 | 1.375409 .3279361 4.19 0.000 .7325518 2.018266 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackground . local a=meanage . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conjpeers Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 0 0.0604 0.2727 0.4109 0.2560 [ [ [ [ jbackground .14731941 95% Conf. Interval 0.0518, 0.0690] 0.2526, 0.2928] 0.3958, 0.4260] 0.2345, 0.2775] age 24.747265 campus .77165646 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conjpeers Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 1 0.0467 0.2289 0.4132 0.3112 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.0407, 0.0527] 0.2152, 0.2426] 0.3983, 0.4282] 0.2948, 0.3276] age 24.747265 campus .77165646 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Appendix C: Tables Figure 6: Feelings of Jewish connection by Taglit participation (undergraduate and post-college) Connection to Israel Survey: Ordered logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 7193 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 3, 7159) Prob > F = 7193 = 123246.95 = 7193 = 123246.95 = 7161 = 288.28 = 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized conisr | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 3.217168 .172845 21.75 0.000 2.895573 3.574481 jbackground | 1.234006 .0123365 21.03 0.000 1.210058 1.258428 age | .9571475 .0082266 -5.10 0.000 .9411559 .9734107 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------/cut1 | -2.964825 .2175934 -13.63 0.000 -3.391373 -2.538278 /cut2 | -.8484915 .2128106 -3.99 0.000 -1.265663 -.4313199 /cut3 | .7364116 .2127108 3.46 0.001 .3194357 1.153388 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackground . local a=meanage . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conisr Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 0 0.1288 0.4222 0.3059 0.1432 [ [ [ [ jbackground .14731941 95% Conf. Interval 0.1161, 0.1414] 0.4048, 0.4395] 0.2916, 0.3202] 0.1307, 0.1556] age 24.747265 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conisr Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 1 0.0439 0.2321 0.3743 0.3496 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.0398, 0.0481] 0.2212, 0.2431] 0.3617, 0.3869] 0.3360, 0.3632] age 24.747265 47 48 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Connection to worldwide Jewish community Survey: Ordered logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 7154 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 3, 7120) Prob > F = = = = = = = 7154 122514.9 7154 122514.9 7122 150.63 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized conwrldjcomm | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 1.551975 .0783984 8.70 0.000 1.405655 1.713526 jbackground | 1.187533 .0113014 18.06 0.000 1.165585 1.209895 age | .9457254 .0080005 -6.60 0.000 .9301714 .9615395 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------/cut1 | -3.605105 .2181892 -16.52 0.000 -4.03282 -3.177389 /cut2 | -1.699293 .2122828 -8.00 0.000 -2.115431 -1.283156 /cut3 | -.1342366 .2108861 -0.64 0.524 -.5476359 .2791628 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackground . local a=meanage . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conwrldjcomm Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 0 0.0954 0.3195 0.3574 0.2277 [ [ [ [ jbackground .14731941 95% Conf. Interval 0.0856, 0.1052] 0.3034, 0.3357] 0.3447, 0.3701] 0.2118, 0.2436] age 24.747265 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conwrldjcomm Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 1 0.0636 0.2500 0.3724 0.3139 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.0579, 0.0694] 0.2387, 0.2613] 0.3603, 0.3846] 0.3008, 0.3270] age 24.747265 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Importance of marrying a Jew Survey: Ordered logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 7155 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 3, 7121) Prob > F = 7155 = 122537.22 = 7155 = 122537.22 = 7123 = 186.93 = 0.0000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized conlocaljcomm | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 1.313296 .0648511 5.52 0.000 1.192127 1.446779 jbackground | 1.195168 .0109031 19.54 0.000 1.173984 1.216733 age | .9187525 .0076985 -10.11 0.000 .9037843 .9339686 --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------/cut1 | -2.999901 .2091625 -14.34 0.000 -3.409922 -2.58988 /cut2 | -1.669131 .2071253 -8.06 0.000 -2.075158 -1.263104 /cut3 | -.2123508 .2075266 -1.02 0.306 -.6191647 .1944631 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackground . local a=meanage . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conlocaljcomm Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 0 0.2831 0.3160 0.2660 0.1349 [ [ [ [ jbackground .14731941 95% Conf. Interval 0.2655, 0.3008] 0.3039, 0.3281] 0.2524, 0.2797] 0.1236, 0.1462] age 24.747265 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conlocaljcomm Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 1 0.2312 0.3011 0.2978 0.1700 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.2196, 0.2427] 0.2896, 0.3125] 0.2857, 0.3099] 0.1599, 0.1800] age 24.747265 49 50 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Importance of raising kids Jewish Survey: Ordered logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 7153 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 3, 7119) Prob > F = 7153 = 122504.14 = 7153 = 122504.14 = 7121 = 135.92 = 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized conjpeers | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 1.404513 .071432 6.68 0.000 1.271239 1.551759 jbackground | 1.1907 .0114308 18.18 0.000 1.168502 1.21332 age | .9602034 .0083488 -4.67 0.000 .943976 .9767099 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------/cut1 | -3.593858 .2205814 -16.29 0.000 -4.026263 -3.161453 /cut2 | -1.616625 .2158167 -7.49 0.000 -2.03969 -1.19356 /cut3 | .0474102 .2149397 0.22 0.825 -.3739355 .4687558 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackground . local a=meanage . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conjpeers Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 0 0.0682 0.2776 0.3904 0.2637 [ [ [ [ jbackground .14731941 95% Conf. Interval 0.0605, 0.0759] 0.2615, 0.2938] 0.3781, 0.4027] 0.2462, 0.2813] age 24.747265 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for conjpeers Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_at_a|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_muc|x): x= participant 1 0.0495 0.2239 0.3918 0.3347 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.0444, 0.0546] 0.2131, 0.2348] 0.3796, 0.4040] 0.3214, 0.3480] age 24.747265 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Figure 7: Importance of being Jewish and forming a Jewish family by Taglit participation Importance of marrying a Jew Survey: Ordered logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 6025 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 3, 5991) Prob > F = 6025 = 103043.26 = 6025 = 103043.26 = 5993 = 292.53 = 0.0000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized recimpmrryjew | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 1.584985 .0871186 8.38 0.000 1.42308 1.765309 jbackground | 1.512382 .0222651 28.10 0.000 1.469358 1.556665 age | .9528539 .0092868 -4.96 0.000 .9348213 .9712345 --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------/cut1 | -2.258821 .2394495 -9.43 0.000 -2.728228 -1.789413 /cut2 | -1.253876 .2379293 -5.27 0.000 -1.720303 -.7874486 /cut3 | -.0495858 .2377203 -0.21 0.835 -.5156032 .4164316 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackground . local a=meanage . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for recimpmrryjew Confidence intervals by delta method x= Pr(y=1|x): Pr(y=2|x): Pr(y=3|x): Pr(y=4|x): 0.2452 0.2250 0.2772 0.2526 participant 0 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.2264, 0.2639] 0.2118, 0.2382] 0.2635, 0.2910] 0.2339, 0.2714] age 24.747265 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for recimpmrryjew Confidence intervals by delta method x= Pr(y=1|x): Pr(y=2|x): Pr(y=3|x): Pr(y=4|x): 0.1701 0.1888 0.2923 0.3489 participant 1 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.1587, 0.1814] 0.1778, 0.1998] 0.2788, 0.3057] 0.3333, 0.3644] age 24.747265 51 52 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Importance of raising kids jewish Survey: Ordered logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 6459 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 3, 6425) Prob > F = 6459 = 110500.62 = 6459 = 110500.62 = 6427 = 223.84 = 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized recfutchild | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 1.693277 .0941927 9.47 0.000 1.518339 1.88837 jbackground | 1.469045 .0234297 24.12 0.000 1.423825 1.515701 age | .9725496 .0093119 -2.91 0.004 .9544654 .9909765 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------/cut1 | -3.009235 .2427826 -12.39 0.000 -3.48517 -2.5333 /cut2 | -1.764976 .2394798 -7.37 0.000 -2.234436 -1.295515 /cut3 | -.6031721 .2385193 -2.53 0.011 -1.070749 -.1355949 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackground . local a=meanage . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for recfutchild Confidence intervals by delta method x= Pr(y=1|x): Pr(y=2|x): Pr(y=3|x): Pr(y=4|x): 0.0849 0.1587 0.2636 0.4928 participant 0 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.0754, 0.0945] 0.1458, 0.1716] 0.2501, 0.2771] 0.4688, 0.5167] age 24.747265 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for recfutchild Confidence intervals by delta method x= Pr(y=1|x): Pr(y=2|x): Pr(y=3|x): Pr(y=4|x): 0.0520 0.1079 0.2183 0.6219 participant 1 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.0466, 0.0573] 0.0996, 0.1161] 0.2070, 0.2295] 0.6059, 0.6380] age 24.747265 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Importance of being Jewish Survey: Ordered logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 7152 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 3, 7118) Prob > F = 7152 = 122503.52 = 7152 = 122503.52 = 7120 = 178.75 = 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized impbejew | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 1.563738 .0811554 8.61 0.000 1.412474 1.7312 jbackground | 1.295612 .015587 21.53 0.000 1.265414 1.32653 age | .9831024 .0086092 -1.95 0.052 .9663698 1.000125 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------/cut1 | -3.428925 .2248367 -15.25 0.000 -3.869671 -2.988178 /cut2 | -1.549627 .2184171 -7.09 0.000 -1.977789 -1.121464 /cut3 | -.0979647 .2178289 -0.45 0.653 -.524974 .3290446 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackground . local a=meanage . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for impbejew Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_impo|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_imp|x): x= participant 0 0.0454 0.1922 0.3334 0.4291 [ [ [ [ jbackground .14731941 95% Conf. Interval 0.0393, 0.0515] 0.1780, 0.2063] 0.3202, 0.3465] 0.4075, 0.4506] age 24.747265 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') ologit: Predictions for impbejew Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Not_impo|x): Pr(y=A_little|x): Pr(y=Somewhat|x): Pr(y=Very_imp|x): x= participant 1 0.0295 0.1366 0.2936 0.5403 jbackground .14731941 [ [ [ [ 95% Conf. Interval 0.0257, 0.0333] 0.1278, 0.1454] 0.2820, 0.3052] 0.5254, 0.5552] age 24.747265 53 54 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Figure 8: Being invited to activities sponsored by campus-based Jewish organizations by Taglit participation Being invited to Hillel Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 31 7281 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 6, 7245) Prob > F = 7281 = 124582.94 = 1663 = 27926.662 = 7250 = 22.67 = 0.0000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized rechillelin~e | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------0 | (base outcome) --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once_or_twice | participant | .5134619 .1881915 2.73 0.006 .1445517 .8823721 jbackground | -.0361351 .0348214 -1.04 0.299 -.1043952 .0321249 age | -.1254548 .0575031 -2.18 0.029 -.2381777 -.0127319 _cons | 1.841372 1.281084 1.44 0.151 -.6699261 4.35267 --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------3__times | participant | 1.065389 .1341132 7.94 0.000 .8024881 1.32829 jbackground | -.010742 .0241537 -0.44 0.657 -.0580904 .0366064 age | -.3827646 .0422618 -9.06 0.000 -.46561 -.2999191 _cons | 8.829728 .9287095 9.51 0.000 7.009187 10.65027 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 1 stratum omitted because it contains no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackgroundU . local a=meanageU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for rechillelinvite Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once_or_|x): Pr(y=3+_times|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 0 0.1347 0.5228 0.3426 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1063, 0.1631] [ 0.4801, 0.5654] [ 0.3019, 0.3832] age 21.947208 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for rechillelinvite Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once_or_|x): Pr(y=3+_times|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 1 0.1080 0.7277 0.1643 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0877, 0.1282] [ 0.6983, 0.7571] [ 0.1396, 0.1890] age 21.947208 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Being invited to Chabad . svy, subpop(subpop if undergradsvy==1): mlogit recchabadinvite participant jbackground age, base(0) (running mlogit on estimation sample) Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 31 7266 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 6, 7230) Prob > F = 7266 = 124366.15 = 1648 = 27709.868 = 7235 = 18.43 = 0.0000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized recchabadin~e | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------0 | (base outcome) --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once_or_twice | participant | .436478 .1896073 2.30 0.021 .0647924 .8081636 jbackground | .1597508 .0332923 4.80 0.000 .0944882 .2250133 age | -.1983958 .0542854 -3.65 0.000 -.3048111 -.0919805 _cons | 2.431129 1.185451 2.05 0.040 .1072986 4.75496 --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------3__times | participant | .4625385 .1212736 3.81 0.000 .2248068 .7002702 jbackground | .1914994 .0231597 8.27 0.000 .1460997 .2368991 age | -.2068873 .0404399 -5.12 0.000 -.2861613 -.1276133 _cons | 3.913964 .8757294 4.47 0.000 2.197279 5.63065 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 1 stratum omitted because it contains no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackgroundU . local a=meanageU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for recchabadinvite Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once_or_|x): Pr(y=3+_times|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 0 0.0913 0.3404 0.5683 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0670, 0.1157] [ 0.2980, 0.3827] [ 0.5236, 0.6130] age 21.947208 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for recchabadinvite Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once_or_|x): Pr(y=3+_times|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 1 0.1131 0.4324 0.4546 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0922, 0.1339] [ 0.4002, 0.4645] [ 0.4221, 0.4871] age 21.947208 55 56 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Being invited to J frat Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 31 7279 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 6, 7243) Prob > F = 7279 = 124546.19 = 1661 = 27889.906 = 7248 = 8.98 = 0.0000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized recjfratinv~e | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------0 | (base outcome) --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once_or_twice | participant | .2100738 .1616032 1.30 0.194 -.1067156 .5268632 jbackground | .0069823 .0266706 0.26 0.793 -.0452999 .0592644 age | -.2195389 .0563756 -3.89 0.000 -.3300515 -.1090263 _cons | 3.226428 1.229459 2.62 0.009 .8163302 5.636527 --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------3__times | participant | .3727898 .1232958 3.02 0.003 .1310942 .6144855 jbackground | .0142394 .0189059 0.75 0.451 -.0228218 .0513005 age | -.3075846 .0512536 -6.00 0.000 -.4080567 -.2071126 _cons | 5.828708 1.110283 5.25 0.000 3.65223 8.005187 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 1 stratum omitted because it contains no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackgroundU . local a=meanageU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for recjfratinvite Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once_or_|x): Pr(y=3+_times|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 0 0.1273 0.2498 0.6228 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1000, 0.1546] [ 0.2135, 0.2862] [ 0.5820, 0.6637] age 21.947208 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for recjfratinvite Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once_or_|x): Pr(y=3+_times|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 1 0.1375 0.3174 0.5451 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1152, 0.1597] [ 0.2875, 0.3474] [ 0.5129, 0.5773] age 21.947208 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Being invited to other Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 31 7270 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 6, 7234) Prob > F = 7270 = 124439.49 = 1652 = 27783.21 = 7239 = 5.91 = 0.0000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized recothgrpin~e | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------0 | (base outcome) --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once_or_twice | participant | .3593546 .2734285 1.31 0.189 -.176645 .8953542 jbackground | .0420417 .0388899 1.08 0.280 -.0341939 .1182773 age | .0058276 .0718241 0.08 0.935 -.1349686 .1466237 _cons | -3.25203 1.577606 -2.06 0.039 -6.344599 -.1594616 --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------3__times | participant | .5358522 .1554388 3.45 0.001 .2311467 .8405576 jbackground | .0535454 .0194473 2.75 0.006 .015423 .0916678 age | -.2485805 .0612171 -4.06 0.000 -.3685839 -.1285771 _cons | 3.426306 1.316477 2.60 0.009 .845627 6.006984 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 1 stratum omitted because it contains no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackgroundU . local a=meanageU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for recothgrpinvite Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once_or_|x): Pr(y=3+_times|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 0 0.0382 0.1149 0.8469 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0221, 0.0543] [ 0.0881, 0.1417] [ 0.8167, 0.8772] age 21.947208 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for recothgrpinvite Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once_or_|x): Pr(y=3+_times|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 1 0.0498 0.1788 0.7713 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0356, 0.0641] [ 0.1541, 0.2036] [ 0.7442, 0.7985] age 21.947208 57 58 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Figure 9 : Participating in activities sponsored by campus-based Jewish organizations by Taglit participation Engaged Hillel Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 31 7276 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 6, 7240) Prob > F = 7276 = 124455.51 = 1658 = 27799.229 = 7245 = 24.62 = 0.0000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized rechillelen~e | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------0 | (base outcome) --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once_or_twice | participant | .2712783 .1374167 1.97 0.048 .0019016 .540655 jbackground | .0044655 .0231894 0.19 0.847 -.0409926 .0499236 age | -.2803584 .0431056 -6.50 0.000 -.364858 -.1958587 _cons | 5.247171 .9437638 5.56 0.000 3.397119 7.097223 --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------3__times | participant | 1.124382 .1362233 8.25 0.000 .8573441 1.391419 jbackground | .0630491 .0212259 2.97 0.003 .0214402 .104658 age | -.442881 .0534131 -8.29 0.000 -.5475862 -.3381758 _cons | 8.500233 1.146622 7.41 0.000 6.252521 10.74795 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 1 stratum omitted because it contains no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackgroundU . local a=meanageU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for rechillelengage Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once_or_|x): Pr(y=3+_times|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 0 0.2367 0.1791 0.5842 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.2012, 0.2723] [ 0.1471, 0.2111] [ 0.5422, 0.6261] age 21.947208 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for rechillelengage Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once_or_|x): Pr(y=3+_times|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 1 0.2147 0.3813 0.4040 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1877, 0.2418] [ 0.3491, 0.4135] [ 0.3714, 0.4366] age 21.947208 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Engaged Chabad Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 31 7262 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 6, 7226) Prob > F = 7262 = 124236.55 = 1644 = 27580.268 = 7231 = 17.01 = 0.0000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized recchabaden~e | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------0 | (base outcome) --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once_or_twice | participant | .1996125 .1634109 1.22 0.222 -.1207206 .5199456 jbackground | .1704479 .0247243 6.89 0.000 .1219811 .2189147 age | -.0625576 .0474242 -1.32 0.187 -.1555229 .0304078 _cons | -.4879479 1.028409 -0.47 0.635 -2.50393 1.528034 --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------3__times | participant | .3897449 .1588977 2.45 0.014 .0782589 .7012309 jbackground | .2283389 .0247203 9.24 0.000 .1798798 .276798 age | -.1515095 .0549356 -2.76 0.006 -.2591993 -.0438196 _cons | 1.437759 1.181709 1.22 0.224 -.8787366 3.754254 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 1 stratum omitted because it contains no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackgroundU . local a=meanageU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for recchabadengage Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once_or_|x): Pr(y=3+_times|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 0 0.1279 0.1289 0.7431 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0994, 0.1564] [ 0.1001, 0.1578] [ 0.7050, 0.7813] age 21.947208 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for recchabadengage Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once_or_|x): Pr(y=3+_times|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 1 0.1433 0.1747 0.6820 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1207, 0.1659] [ 0.1499, 0.1996] [ 0.6513, 0.7126] age 21.947208 59 60 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Engaged Jewish fraternity Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 31 7269 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 6, 7233) Prob > F = 7269 = 124350 = 1651 = 27693.719 = 7238 = 9.16 = 0.0000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized recjfrateng~e | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------0 | (base outcome) --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once_or_twice | participant | .3420663 .1580722 2.16 0.030 .0321987 .651934 jbackground | .0104575 .0232689 0.45 0.653 -.0351564 .0560713 age | -.235585 .0710944 -3.31 0.001 -.3749507 -.0962193 _cons | 3.289087 1.5468 2.13 0.034 .2569077 6.321266 --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------3__times | participant | .3969875 .150718 2.63 0.008 .1015363 .6924387 jbackground | .0100597 .0198293 0.51 0.612 -.0288115 .0489308 age | -.3311063 .0532796 -6.21 0.000 -.4355499 -.2266627 _cons | 5.459319 1.144362 4.77 0.000 3.216035 7.702603 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 1 stratum omitted because it contains no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackgroundU . local a=meanageU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for recjfratengage Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once_or_|x): Pr(y=3+_times|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 0 0.1163 0.1252 0.7585 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0903, 0.1423] [ 0.0981, 0.1523] [ 0.7233, 0.7937] age 21.947208 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for recjfratengage Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once_or_|x): Pr(y=3+_times|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 1 0.1477 0.1680 0.6843 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1246, 0.1708] [ 0.1442, 0.1917] [ 0.6543, 0.7143] age 21.947208 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Engaged other Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 31 7249 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 6, 7213) Prob > F = 7249 = 124056.38 = 1631 = 27400.096 = 7218 = 7.78 = 0.0000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized recothgrpen~e | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------0 | (base outcome) --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once_or_twice | participant | .5912407 .2803663 2.11 0.035 .0416407 1.140841 jbackground | -.0036656 .0383258 -0.10 0.924 -.0787953 .0714642 age | -.1552674 .0888145 -1.75 0.080 -.3293698 .0188351 _cons | .0339555 1.934509 0.02 0.986 -3.758248 3.826159 --------------+---------------------------------------------------------------3__times | participant | .8370428 .2461898 3.40 0.001 .3544388 1.319647 jbackground | .1010684 .0256657 3.94 0.000 .0507561 .1513808 age | -.3088655 .0926279 -3.33 0.001 -.4904432 -.1272877 _cons | 3.434243 1.997591 1.72 0.086 -.4816204 7.350107 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 1 stratum omitted because it contains no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackgroundU . local a=meanageU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for recothgrpengage Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once_or_|x): Pr(y=3+_times|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 0 0.0319 0.0350 0.9331 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0173, 0.0465] [ 0.0204, 0.0495] [ 0.9128, 0.9534] age 21.947208 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for recothgrpengage Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once_or_|x): Pr(y=3+_times|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 1 0.0538 0.0754 0.8709 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0391, 0.0684] [ 0.0573, 0.0935] [ 0.8484, 0.8933] age 21.947208 61 62 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Figure 10 : Attending events sponsored by a Jewish organization (undergraduates) Parties Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 30 7145 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 6, 7110) Prob > F = 7145 = 123326.06 = 1671 = 28057.698 = 7115 = 13.08 = 0.0000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized acttypeparty | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Never | (base outcome) ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once | participant | .1388439 .1443742 0.96 0.336 -.1441725 .4218603 jbackground | .0462707 .0272347 1.70 0.089 -.0071174 .0996587 age | -.0638728 .0446501 -1.43 0.153 -.1514003 .0236547 _cons | .4833559 .9799774 0.49 0.622 -1.437691 2.404403 ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------More_than_once | participant | .6242336 .1236066 5.05 0.000 .3819279 .8665392 jbackground | .139448 .0219724 6.35 0.000 .0963755 .1825205 age | -.19371 .0425905 -4.55 0.000 -.2772 -.11022 _cons | 3.593675 .9199281 3.91 0.000 1.790342 5.397008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 2 strata omitted because they contain no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackgroundU . local a=meanageU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for acttypeparty Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 0 0.2079 0.2853 0.5068 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1739, 0.2420] [ 0.2478, 0.3227] [ 0.4649, 0.5487] age 21.947208 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for acttypeparty Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 1 0.1869 0.4166 0.3965 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1618, 0.2120] [ 0.3844, 0.4488] [ 0.3645, 0.4285] age 21.947208 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Lectures Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 31 7284 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 6, 7248) Prob > F = 7284 = 124607.62 = 1666 = 27951.337 = 7253 = 18.68 = 0.0000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized acttypelecture | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Never | (base outcome) ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once | participant | .4122115 .1460165 2.82 0.005 .1259766 .6984464 jbackground | .0890181 .0267939 3.32 0.001 .0364943 .141542 age | -.0742488 .0462871 -1.60 0.109 -.164985 .0164874 _cons | .3112562 1.014808 0.31 0.759 -1.678062 2.300575 ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------More_than_once | participant | .6782869 .1300481 5.22 0.000 .4233547 .9332191 jbackground | .1989864 .0222125 8.96 0.000 .1554433 .2425294 age | -.1434456 .0469692 -3.05 0.002 -.235519 -.0513723 _cons | 2.022099 1.01895 1.98 0.047 .0246603 4.019537 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 1 stratum omitted because it contains no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackgroundU . local a=meanageU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for acttypelecture Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 0 0.1713 0.2216 0.6071 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1397, 0.2028] [ 0.1871, 0.2562] [ 0.5660, 0.6482] age 21.947208 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for acttypelecture Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 1 0.1986 0.3353 0.4661 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1730, 0.2242] [ 0.3040, 0.3665] [ 0.4331, 0.4991] age 21.947208 63 64 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Cultural events Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 30 7130 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 6, 7095) Prob > F = 7130 = 123093.26 = 1656 = 27824.891 = 7100 = 15.18 = 0.0000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized acttypecult | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Never | (base outcome) ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once | participant | .3628591 .1394548 2.60 0.009 .0894862 .636232 jbackground | .0431879 .022644 1.91 0.057 -.001201 .0875768 age | -.1416405 .0458061 -3.09 0.002 -.2314342 -.0518468 _cons | 1.804828 .9952196 1.81 0.070 -.146099 3.755755 ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------More_than_once | participant | .9767898 .1458046 6.70 0.000 .6909692 1.26261 jbackground | .1117346 .0211722 5.28 0.000 .0702309 .1532384 age | -.2546416 .0588054 -4.33 0.000 -.3699177 -.1393655 _cons | 3.919122 1.269488 3.09 0.002 1.430547 6.407697 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 2 strata omitted because they contain no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackgroundU . local a=meanageU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for acttypecult Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 0 0.1882 0.1360 0.6757 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1557, 0.2208] [ 0.1078, 0.1642] [ 0.6367, 0.7148] age 21.947208 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for acttypecult Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 1 0.2069 0.2763 0.5168 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1812, 0.2327] [ 0.2471, 0.3054] [ 0.4842, 0.5494] age 21.947208 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Activism Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 30 7139 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 6, 7104) Prob > F = 7139 = 123224.77 = 1665 = 27956.405 = 7109 = 13.85 = 0.0000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized acttypecomm | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Never | (base outcome) ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once | participant | .5768973 .1705737 3.38 0.001 .2425221 .9112724 jbackground | .0796417 .0243575 3.27 0.001 .0318938 .1273896 age | -.195302 .0619167 -3.15 0.002 -.3166772 -.0739268 _cons | 2.132551 1.331237 1.60 0.109 -.4770698 4.742171 ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------More_than_once | participant | .8903433 .1616975 5.51 0.000 .5733681 1.207318 jbackground | .1326439 .0210926 6.29 0.000 .0912962 .1739916 age | -.1771288 .0664051 -2.67 0.008 -.3073027 -.046955 _cons | 1.713041 1.442583 1.19 0.235 -1.11485 4.540933 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 2 strata omitted because they contain no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackgroundU . local a=meanageU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for acttypecomm Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 0 0.0978 0.0988 0.8034 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0728, 0.1227] [ 0.0745, 0.1231] [ 0.7702, 0.8366] age 21.947208 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for acttypecomm Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 1 0.1429 0.1976 0.6595 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1208, 0.1649] [ 0.1718, 0.2234] [ 0.6289, 0.6901] age 21.947208 65 66 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Other Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 31 7270 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 6, 7234) Prob > F = 7270 = 124404.87 = 1652 = 27748.593 = 7239 = 3.47 = 0.0020 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized acttypeoth | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Never | (base outcome) ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once | participant | .3666045 .3144066 1.17 0.244 -.2497242 .9829332 jbackground | .0018869 .037685 0.05 0.960 -.0719867 .0757606 age | -.0677431 .0791143 -0.86 0.392 -.2228302 .0873439 _cons | -2.051158 1.723949 -1.19 0.234 -5.430601 1.328285 ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------More_than_once | participant | .4980825 .1827827 2.72 0.006 .139775 .8563899 jbackground | .0649512 .0222543 2.92 0.004 .0213262 .1085761 age | -.1197302 .0583131 -2.05 0.040 -.2340409 -.0054195 _cons | .0996043 1.253688 0.08 0.937 -2.357991 2.557199 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------Note: 1 stratum omitted because it contains no subpopulation members. . local j=meanjbackgroundU . local a=meanageU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for acttypeoth Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 0 0.0262 0.0746 0.8992 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0130, 0.0393] [ 0.0537, 0.0955] [ 0.8750, 0.9235] age 21.947208 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a') mlogit: Predictions for acttypeoth Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 1 0.0356 0.1158 0.8485 jbackground .59508695 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0240, 0.0472] [ 0.0958, 0.1359] [ 0.8261, 0.8710] age 21.947208 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Figure 11: Attending events sponsored by a Jewish organization (post-college) Parties Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 6769 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 8, 6730) Prob > F = 6769 = 115846.97 = 4940 = 85003.75 = 6737 = 36.51 = 0.0000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized acttypeparty | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Never | (base outcome) ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once | participant | .2552055 .0936444 2.73 0.006 .0716329 .438778 jbackground | .0549723 .0167071 3.29 0.001 .022221 .0877235 age | -.0212984 .0181322 -1.17 0.240 -.0568433 .0142464 campus | .8360304 .1090162 7.67 0.000 .6223241 1.049737 _cons | -1.552917 .4819093 -3.22 0.001 -2.497611 -.6082222 ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------More_than_once | participant | .4828433 .0884956 5.46 0.000 .3093639 .6563226 jbackground | .1328484 .0155386 8.55 0.000 .1023877 .163309 age | -.0575083 .0173273 -3.32 0.001 -.0914754 -.0235412 campus | 1.187273 .1104889 10.75 0.000 .9706795 1.403866 _cons | -.8215684 .4664416 -1.76 0.078 -1.735941 .0928046 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackgroundNU . local a=meanageNU . local c=meancampusNU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a' campus=`c') mlogit: Predictions for acttypeparty Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 0 0.1574 0.1699 0.6727 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1370, 0.1778] [ 0.1488, 0.1909] [ 0.6461, 0.6994] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a' campus=`c') mlogit: Predictions for acttypeparty Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 1 0.1765 0.2391 0.5844 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1631, 0.1899] [ 0.2239, 0.2544] [ 0.5668, 0.6019] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 67 68 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Lectures Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 6754 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 8, 6715) Prob > F = 6754 = 115594.95 = 4925 = 84751.731 = 6722 = 27.66 = 0.0000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized acttypelecture | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Never | (base outcome) ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once | participant | .2793499 .1041748 2.68 0.007 .0751342 .4835656 jbackground | .0508742 .0183225 2.78 0.006 .0149563 .0867921 age | -.0540889 .0205818 -2.63 0.009 -.0944358 -.0137421 campus | .7885382 .1245917 6.33 0.000 .5442989 1.032777 _cons | -1.162668 .5464121 -2.13 0.033 -2.233809 -.0915273 ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------More_than_once | participant | .4067507 .10064 4.04 0.000 .2094643 .604037 jbackground | .1408904 .0168925 8.34 0.000 .1077757 .174005 age | -.0993407 .0204831 -4.85 0.000 -.139494 -.0591873 campus | .8209172 .1213204 6.77 0.000 .5830907 1.058744 _cons | .0571509 .5398854 0.11 0.916 -1.001196 1.115497 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackgroundNU . local a=meanageNU . local c=meancampusNU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a' campus=`c') mlogit: Predictions for acttypelecture Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 0 0.1106 0.1207 0.7687 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0933, 0.1279] [ 0.1023, 0.1391] [ 0.7450, 0.7924] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a' campus=`c') mlogit: Predictions for acttypelecture Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 1 0.1334 0.1654 0.7012 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1217, 0.1452] [ 0.1521, 0.1786] [ 0.6851, 0.7173] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Cultural events Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 6744 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 8, 6705) Prob > F = 6744 = 115394.55 = 4915 = 84551.33 = 6712 = 23.14 = 0.0000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized acttypecult | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Never | (base outcome) ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once | participant | .1232238 .097196 1.27 0.205 -.0673112 .3137588 jbackground | .0506169 .0179034 2.83 0.005 .0155205 .0857133 age | -.007545 .019471 -0.39 0.698 -.0457143 .0306243 campus | .781517 .1179043 6.63 0.000 .5503871 1.012647 _cons | -2.119684 .5181854 -4.09 0.000 -3.135492 -1.103876 ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------More_than_once | participant | .5063881 .1124187 4.50 0.000 .2860119 .7267644 jbackground | .1020411 .017271 5.91 0.000 .0681844 .1358977 age | -.0788855 .0217401 -3.63 0.000 -.121503 -.036268 campus | 1.143854 .1442159 7.93 0.000 .8611454 1.426563 _cons | -1.061427 .5686599 -1.87 0.062 -2.176181 .053327 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackgroundNU . local a=meanageNU . local c=meancampusNU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a' campus=`c') mlogit: Predictions for acttypecult Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 0 0.1401 0.0860 0.7739 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1206, 0.1595] [ 0.0706, 0.1014] [ 0.7504, 0.7974] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a' campus=`c') mlogit: Predictions for acttypecult Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 1 0.1474 0.1327 0.7199 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1350, 0.1598] [ 0.1205, 0.1449] [ 0.7040, 0.7358] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 69 70 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Activism Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 6747 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 8, 6708) Prob > F = 6747 = 115451.16 = 4918 = 84607.936 = 6715 = 19.33 = 0.0000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized acttypecomm | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Never | (base outcome) ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once | participant | -.0188917 .1203611 -0.16 0.875 -.2548377 .2170543 jbackground | .0645103 .0208076 3.10 0.002 .0237208 .1052998 age | -.0468281 .0257554 -1.82 0.069 -.0973169 .0036608 campus | .6925523 .1555322 4.45 0.000 .3876599 .9974448 _cons | -1.651462 .6726906 -2.46 0.014 -2.970149 -.332775 ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------More_than_once | participant | .7593433 .1525219 4.98 0.000 .4603519 1.058335 jbackground | .102359 .0210386 4.87 0.000 .0611167 .1436014 age | -.1543251 .0286225 -5.39 0.000 -.2104343 -.0982159 campus | 1.183764 .2070548 5.72 0.000 .7778708 1.589657 _cons | -.1229379 .7602102 -0.16 0.872 -1.613191 1.367315 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackgroundNU . local a=meanageNU . local c=meancampusNU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a' campus=`c') mlogit: Predictions for acttypecomm Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 0 0.0865 0.0372 0.8763 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0707, 0.1024] [ 0.0273, 0.0471] [ 0.8580, 0.8946] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a' campus=`c') mlogit: Predictions for acttypecomm Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 1 0.0816 0.0764 0.8420 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0721, 0.0911] [ 0.0664, 0.0863] [ 0.8289, 0.8552] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Other Survey: Multinomial logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 6712 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 8, 6673) Prob > F = 6712 = 114896.44 = 4883 = 84053.218 = 6680 = 7.32 = 0.0000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized acttypeoth | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Never | (base outcome) ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------Once | participant | -.1183431 .170653 -0.69 0.488 -.4528773 .2161912 jbackground | .0784454 .0273936 2.86 0.004 .0247452 .1321456 age | .0276127 .0338303 0.82 0.414 -.0387055 .0939309 campus | .4710713 .2236866 2.11 0.035 .0325741 .9095685 _cons | -4.190976 .9462103 -4.43 0.000 -6.04585 -2.336101 ---------------+---------------------------------------------------------------More_than_once | participant | .2981011 .1473291 2.02 0.043 .009289 .5869132 jbackground | .0738468 .0232836 3.17 0.002 .0282035 .1194901 age | -.0728668 .0295385 -2.47 0.014 -.1307717 -.0149619 campus | .6629808 .1893574 3.50 0.000 .2917798 1.034182 _cons | -1.604183 .7910634 -2.03 0.043 -3.15492 -.0534465 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackgroundNU . local a=meanageNU . local c=meancampusNU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a' campus=`c') mlogit: Predictions for acttypeoth Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 0 0.0403 0.0474 0.9123 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0294, 0.0512] [ 0.0358, 0.0590] [ 0.8967, 0.9279] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a' campus=`c') mlogit: Predictions for acttypeoth Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Once|x): Pr(y=More_tha|x): Pr(y=Never|x): x= participant 1 0.0354 0.0631 0.9015 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.0290, 0.0417] [ 0.0547, 0.0715] [ 0.8912, 0.9118] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 71 72 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Figure 12: Donating to Jewish causes and volunteering under Jewish sponsorship by Taglit participation (post-college) Donating Survey: Logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 6755 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 4, 6720) Prob > F = 6755 = 115645.21 = 4926 = 84801.991 = 6723 = 62.62 = 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized bindonatejew | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 1.391811 .1139442 4.04 0.000 1.185447 1.6341 jbackground | 1.206858 .0173401 13.09 0.000 1.17334 1.241333 age | 1.083022 .0171361 5.04 0.000 1.049945 1.11714 campus | 1.970793 .1826976 7.32 0.000 1.643305 2.363545 _cons | .0207669 .0089786 -8.96 0.000 .0088979 .0484682 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackgroundNU . local a=meanageNU . local c=meancampusNU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a' campus=`c') logit: Predictions for bindonatejew Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=1|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 0 0.2130 0.7870 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1894, 0.2367] [ 0.7633, 0.8106] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a' campus=`c') logit: Predictions for bindonatejew Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=1|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 1 0.2736 0.7264 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.2579, 0.2894] [ 0.7106, 0.7421] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Volunteering Survey: Logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 6767 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 4, 6732) Prob > F = 6767 = 115763.15 = 4938 = 84919.928 = 6735 = 46.97 = 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized binvoljew | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 1.530529 .1424667 4.57 0.000 1.275248 1.836913 jbackground | 1.155565 .0173116 9.65 0.000 1.122122 1.190004 age | .9170856 .0168073 -4.72 0.000 .8847227 .9506323 campus | 1.808647 .1974024 5.43 0.000 1.460272 2.240133 _cons | .9334862 .4583499 -0.14 0.889 .3565212 2.444165 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------. local j=meanjbackgroundNU . local a=meanageNU . local c=meancampusNU . prvalue, x(participant=0 jbackground=`j' age=`a' campus=`c') logit: Predictions for binvoljew Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=1|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 0 0.1387 0.8613 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1194, 0.1580] [ 0.8420, 0.8806] jbackground .0106291 age 25.603656 campus .77171792 . prvalue, x(participant=1 jbackground=`j' age=`a' campus=`c') logit: Predictions for binvoljew Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=1|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 1 0.1977 0.8023 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1838, 0.2117] [ 0.7883, 0.8162] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 73 74 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Figure 13: Engagement in Jewish religious life by Taglit participation (post-college) Shabbat Meal Survey: Logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 6765 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 4, 6730) Prob > F = 6765 = 115813.22 = 4936 = 84969.997 = 6733 = 75.05 = 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized lstfri | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 1.326177 .1249248 3.00 0.003 1.102566 1.595138 jbackground | 1.304483 .021238 16.33 0.000 1.263507 1.346787 age | .9722277 .018329 -1.49 0.135 .936953 1.008831 campus | 1.321602 .1377741 2.67 0.007 1.07733 1.621259 _cons | .26918 .1348281 -2.62 0.009 .1008352 .7185767 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------logit: Predictions for lstfri Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=1|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 0 0.1400 0.8600 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1205, 0.1595] [ 0.8405, 0.8795] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 logit: Predictions for lstfri Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=1|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 1 0.1775 0.8225 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1637, 0.1913] [ 0.8087, 0.8363] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Synagogue membership (running logit on estimation sample) Survey: Logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 6768 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 4, 6733) Prob > F = 6768 = 115808.6 = 4939 = 84965.377 = 6736 = 79.54 = 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized syn | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 1.333091 .1102283 3.48 0.001 1.133612 1.567672 jbackground | 1.250031 .0182057 15.32 0.000 1.214847 1.286234 age | .9087649 .0148749 -5.84 0.000 .8800682 .9383972 campus | 1.41008 .1304908 3.71 0.000 1.176138 1.690555 _cons | 2.472209 1.073786 2.08 0.037 1.055129 5.792483 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------logit: Predictions for syn Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Yes|x): Pr(y=No|x): x= participant 0 0.2181 0.7819 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.1940, 0.2422] [ 0.7578, 0.8060] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 logit: Predictions for syn Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=Yes|x): Pr(y=No|x): x= participant 1 0.2711 0.7289 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.2553, 0.2868] [ 0.7132, 0.7447] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 75 76 Young Adults and Jewish Engagement Religious service attendance (running logit on estimation sample) Survey: Logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 6767 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 4, 6732) Prob > F = 6767 = 115807.08 = 4938 = 84963.859 = 6735 = 64.97 = 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized relservbin | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------participant | 1.421419 .1104413 4.53 0.000 1.220601 1.655277 jbackground | 1.197317 .0164086 13.14 0.000 1.165579 1.229919 age | .9700594 .0148551 -1.99 0.047 .9413714 .9996215 campus | 1.80569 .1580633 6.75 0.000 1.520964 2.143718 _cons | .4491598 .1827607 -1.97 0.049 .202297 .9972692 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------logit: Predictions for relservbin Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=1|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 0 0.2459 0.7541 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.2214, 0.2704] [ 0.7296, 0.7786] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 logit: Predictions for relservbin Confidence intervals by delta method Pr(y=1|x): Pr(y=0|x): x= participant 1 0.3167 0.6833 jbackground .0106291 95% Conf. Interval [ 0.3002, 0.3332] [ 0.6668, 0.6998] age 25.603656 campus .77171792 NEXT participation (p. 23) Survey: Logistic regression Number of strata Number of PSUs = = 32 7188 Number of obs Population size Subpop. no. of obs Subpop. size Design df F( 10, 7147) Prob > F = 7188 = 123415.08 = 4924 = 81290.654 = 7156 = 9.42 = 0.0000 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------| Linearized binnext | Odds Ratio Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------reground | 16 | .8122669 .1788505 -0.94 0.345 .5275258 1.250702 17 | .9160307 .1991661 -0.40 0.687 .5981471 1.402853 18 | 1.052469 .216835 0.25 0.804 .7027661 1.576187 19 | 1.962399 .3908677 3.38 0.001 1.328059 2.899726 20 | 1.821594 .4054166 2.69 0.007 1.177538 2.817918 21 | 2.775199 .5642128 5.02 0.000 1.862992 4.134064 22 | 1.836211 .3768572 2.96 0.003 1.227992 2.745678 | age | 1.059914 .0173505 3.55 0.000 1.026442 1.094478 female | 1.194027 .1050828 2.01 0.044 1.004823 1.418857 jbackground | 1.027851 .0166343 1.70 0.090 .9957546 1.060982 _cons | .0241719 .0116248 -7.74 0.000 .0094163 .0620502 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ The Maurice and Marilyn Cohen Center for Modern Jewish Studies at Brandeis University is a multi-disciplinary research institute dedicated to the study of American Jewry and religious and cultural identity. The Steinhardt Social Research Institute, hosted at CMJS, is committed to the development and application of innovative approaches to socio-demographic research for the study of Jewish, religious, and cultural identity. Brandeis University