Glossary – Chapter 8 Distribution – Statistical distribution best fitting a given set of data Expected duration – duration calculated with the assumption that it is the weighted average of the minimum, most likely, and maximum estimates Monet carlo simulation – Analytic technique that assumes the values of probabilistic events by generating a random number and converting this value to the input distribution Program evaluation and review technique (PERT) – Probabilistic version of CPM. Random number – Computer generated number that reflects the input distribution and parameters specified Simulation – Method of analyzing models that is useful when high levels of complexity or uncertainty are present.