BIOS 3010: ECOLOGY Laboratory 10: Dispersion Analysis Dr. Stephen Malcolm Introduction: Spatial and temporal patterns of distribution and abundance of individuals within populations or metapopulations is an important consequence of their responses to the distributions of resources and conditions as well as to different ecological processes such as competition and predation. Description of these patterns is necessarily the first step to the determination of how the processes that underlie such patterns actually work. Organisms often show characteristic distributions in time or space that may be random, regular or aggregated and we can measure these distributions and analyze them statistically. Distributions can be analyzed either as numbers per unit area using plots or quadrats, or with the use of plotless techniques that analyze distances among individuals. Begon, Harper and Townsend (1996) In this laboratory exercise we would like you to use both quadrat and plotless techniques to examine the distribution of tree species in the typically mixed forests of south west Michigan. BIOS 3010: Ecology Laboratory 10: Dispersion Page - 1 Tree species likely to be encountered: (bold = most common) Broadleaf trees: Red maple Sugar maple Box elder Dogwood Black locust Red oak White oak American beech Hickory Butternut Black walnut Sassafras Tulip tree Red mulberry Osage orange White ash Sycamore Black cherry Choke cherry Quaking aspen Eastern cottonwood American basswood American elm Hackberry Acer rubrum Acer saccharum Acer negundo Cornus florida Robinia pseudoacacia Quercus rubra Quercus alba Fagus grandifolia Carya spp. Juglans cinerea Juglans nigra Sassafras albidum Liriodendron tulipifera Morus rubra Maclura pomifera Fraxinus americana Platanus occidentalis Prunus serotina Prunus virginiana Populus tremuloides Populus deltoides Tilia americana Ulmus americana Celtis occidentalis Aceraceae Aceraceae Aceraceae Cornaceae Fabaceae Fagaceae Fagaceae Fagaceae Juglandaceae Juglandaceae Juglandaceae Lauraceae Magnoliaceae Moraceae Moraceae Oleaceae Platanaceae Rosaceae Rosaceae Salicaceae Salicaceae Tiliaceae Ulmaceae Ulmaceae Conifers: White pine Red pine Eastern hemlock White spruce Northern white cedar Pinus strobus Pinus resinosa Tsuga canadensis Picea glauca Thuja occidentalis Pinaceae Pinaceae Pinaceae Pinaceae Cyperaceae BIOS 3010: Ecology Laboratory 10: Dispersion Page - 2 Hypotheses to be investigated: Ho: Trees are randomly distributed in space. H1: Trees are evenly distributed. H2: Trees are aggregated in space: H21: Aggregated by tree species (possible competitive effects) H22: Aggregated by location (possible effect of exposure to abiotic conditions) The logic behind these hypotheses is based on the simplest (most parsimonious) explanations for observed patterns. For example, random distributions are likely if biological interactions are not important. Even distributions may be the product of strong intraspecific competition for resources and aggregated distributions may be a product of strong interspecific competition or the impact of natural enemies such as herbivores or pathogens. While you are considering this problem it would be valuable to think about these ecological processes, especially while you are in the field. Methods: Organize yourselves into working groups of 3 or 4 and measure the distribution of trees in two ways: (1) Quadrat samples: Used with predictions of the Poisson distribution to measure the fit of the observed pattern to a random pattern. This is especially appropriate for relatively low density distributions. You should investigate the hypotheses listed above at different spatial scales. To do this you should count the numbers of trees in replicated quadrats of different sizes. Mark out five quadrats of 25 m2 (5 x 5 m) that are randomly selected (stand in the forest and throw a marker over your shoulder and set that as the NW corner of your quadrat) and count all trees within the quadrat. Then do the same for 5 replicated quadrats of 100 m2 (10 x 10 m) each, and again for 5 replicated quadrats of 2,500 m2 (50 x 50 m) each. In your lab notebook, tabulate your data by quadrat area and replicate, as follows: (a) (b) Sum of all data By tree species (2) Plotless samples: In order to avoid problems associated with the choice of appropriate quadrat size it is often easier to analyze dispersion with plotless techniques that BIOS 3010: Ecology Laboratory 10: Dispersion Page - 3 measure either the distance from a random point to all individuals, or the distance to the nearest neighbor of an individual. Each group should choose 50 single trees throughout an area of forest and measure the distance to the nearest neighbor as follows: (a) (b) Nearest neighbor of same species Nearest neighbor of a different tree species (record details). Data Analysis: There are two statistical techniques to determine the type of distribution a population shows. First, one can calculate the variance/mean ratio and plot a frequency histogram of the distribution. Second, one can use statistical software to compare the fit of the data to a distribution. Each of these is explained below. 1) When describing the distribution characteristics of a population, there are two important statistics: the center (“average,” “mean” or “median”) and the spread (“variance” or “standard deviation”). These characteristics can be graphically seen by plotting a frequency histogram, where the distance to nearest neighbor is the x-axis and the frequency is the y axis (see below). A: Random Distribution B: Aggregated Distribution C: Regular Distribution Note that these distributions can be described by their centers (means) and spread (variances). The random distribution (A) has a mean frequency of about 3.7 and a variance of about 3.9 (its Variance to mean ratio, or VMR, is thus about 1 corresponding to a random or Poisson distribution). The aggregated distribution (B) has a mean frequency of about 3.4 and a variance of about 8.2 (VMR is significantly greater than 1, corresponds to an aggregated or negative binomial distribution). The regular distribution (C) has a mean frequency of about 3.5 and a variance of about 0.58 (VMR is significantly less than 1, corresponds to an even distribution). BIOS 3010: Ecology Laboratory 10: Dispersion Page - 4 2) The data you collect in lab can also be compared directly to a theoretical distribution using statistical software. The programs “negbinom.exe” and “poisson.exe” from Krebs (1989; see references below) can be used to compare the fit of the data to the Negative Binomial and Poisson distributions, respectively. In this case you can compare the fit of your data to both the Poisson and Negative Binomial distributions using the programs “negbinom.exe” and “poisson.exe” in the Ecology folder, or the programs in ECOSTAT. “Negbinom.exe” and “poisson.exe” are programs from: Krebs, C.J. 1989. Ecological methodology. Harper & Row, New York ECOSTAT is from: Young, L.J., & J.H. Young. 1998. Statistical Ecology. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston. BIOS 3010: Ecology Laboratory 10: Dispersion Page - 5 Trees commonly found in Kalamazoo county (courtesy of Dr. David Karowe) Black Oak This oak grows on upland sites with well-drained soils. It generally becomes established in open fields and is intolerant of shade. Seedlings cannot survive in the shade cast by mature black oaks. They are susceptible to fire, but the root system will send up new shoots when the tops are killed. This may result in dense brushy thickets. Their maximum height is about 23 m. White Oak White oaks grow on a wide variety of soils. Seeds will germinate and survive in open fields but they are more shade tolerant than black oaks, and will grow under and displace black oaks. They are susceptible to fire and do not sprout back very well. White oaks grow to a height of 26-33 m. Sugar Maple Maple seedlings do not germinate and survive well in open areas with full sun and competing weeds and grasses. They do germinate and grow (or at least hang on) in the dense shade of other trees. Adult trees have such dense foliage that no direct sunlight reaches the ground. Trees of all ages are very susceptible to fire. Sugar maples grow to a height of 33 m. Red Maple Red maples are generally considered trees of lowland forests. Like those of sugar maples, their seeds do not germinate and grow in open habitats, but they do well in the damp cool partial shade of other trees. Mature red maples cast a shade that is too dense for their own seedlings to survive. They are very fire susceptible. Full grown trees reach a height of 26 m. Black Cherry Black cherry seedlings are fairly shade tolerant, but older trees are not. Consequently, in forests they seldom reach the canopy. Occasionally a seedling will establish and reach the canopy if a larger tree dies. Most often this tree starts to grow in open areas and is one of the first tree species to colonize old fields. Black cherry seldom grows to heights greater than 20 m. Pin Cherry The pin cherry life history is similar to black cherry, but pin cherry is a smaller tree and often colonizes after fires. Pignut Hickory This tree prefers well-drained sites and generally becomes established in areas where there is plenty of sunlight. Mature trees reach a height of 23 m. BIOS 3010: Ecology Laboratory 10: Dispersion Page - 6 Flowering Dogwood This is a true understory tree. Dogwoods can grow in the open, but most often they become established in forests where mature oaks form a canopy at about 26 m. The mature flowering dogwoods reach a height of 3 to 13 m. Sassafras Sassafras is a weedy tree. Seeds only germinate in sunny locations and they grow quickly into a scraggly or brushy tree 7 to 10 m in height. The shade of sassafras is sparse and many forest trees can displace them. American Beech Like the sugar maple, young beeches are extremely shade tolerant and are often a codominant canopy tree with sugar maples to form a beech-maple climax forest. Unlike maples, beeches often send up shoots from roots, and in some cases most of the new trees develop from root sprouts instead of seeds. Beeches make large trees up to 33 m tall with a trunk more than 1 m in diameter. BIOS 3010: Ecology Laboratory 10: Dispersion Page - 7 Photographic guide to commonly found trees at Asylum Lake Preserve. Black oak (Quercus velutina) White oak (Quercus alba) Sassafras (Sassafras albidum) BIOS 3010: Ecology American beech (Fagus grandifolia) Pignut hickory (Carya glabra) Flowering dogwood (Cornus florida) Laboratory 10: Dispersion Page - 8