CIS SEPTEMBER 2010 Exam Diet Examination Paper 1.3: Derivatives Valuation Analysis Portfolio Management Commodity Trading and Futures Level 1 SECTION A Derivatives Valuation and Analysis 1. Which of the following is a criticism of the derivatives markets? A. B. C. D. 2. Cash Difference in cash Payment of margin Delivery of the asset On expiration, the settlement price of a stock option contract is the: A. B. C. D. 7. Floating; fixed Interest; interest Fixed; floating Option; future Forward contracts on expiration have to be settled by ______________ A. B. C. D. 6. N3 N2 N1 N1.50 A payer swaption is an option to pay________ rate and receive __________ rate. A. B. C. D. 5. Options Forward contract Futures None of the above A stock is currently selling at N165. The put option at N163 strike price, costs N3. What is the time value of the option? A. B. C. D. 4. They allow arbitrageurs to exploit price differences to make profits They introduce risk into the underlying spot market due to the profit-seeking action of hedging They create complex products that end users may not adequately understand They exclude small investors from active participation Which of the following is a type of contingent claim? A. B. C. D. 3. (Questions 1 to 18) Closing futures price Closing stock price Closing options price None of the above An index put option at a strike price on N4,200 is selling at a premium of N30. At what index level will it break even for the buyer of the option? A. B. C. D. N4,175 N4,176 N4,170 N4,162 8. The only way an investor can manage risks in the underlying cash market is by: A. B. C. D. 9. You have bought a stock on the exchange. To eliminate the risk arising out of the stock price, you should: A. B. C. D. 10. 3 0.25 9 90 The spot price of ABC Limited is N2,000, and the cost of financing is 10% (with continuous compounding). What is the fair price of a one-month futures contract on ABC Ltd? A. B. C. D. 12. Buy index futures Buy stock futures Sell the stock futures None of the above On 1st January, a three month call option with a strike of 4,280 is available for trading. The ‘T’ that is used in the Black Scholes formula should be: A. B. C. D. 11. Hedging in the futures market Speculating in the futures market Speculating in the option market All of the above N2,015.00 N2,016.75 N2,018.75 N2,019.00 Hedging with stock futures means: A. Shorting stocks B. Shorting index futures C. Shorting stock futures D. Going long on index futures 13. 14. A stock is currently selling at N50. The call option to buy the stock at N45 costs N9. What is the time value of the option? A. N9 B. N7 C. N4 D. N2 An option contract which will not be exercised on the expiry date is: A. B. C. D. An in-the-money option A deep in-the–money An out-of-the-money option None of the above 15. The theoretical future price is based on the: A. B. C. D. 16. Which of the following is most appropriate for stock call options? A. B. C. D. 17. An American option is always worth more than an European option A European option is always worth more than an American option An American option may be worth more than an European option A European option always has the same worth as an American option Which of the following statements least accurately describes the characteristics of option contracts? A. B. C. D. 18. Strike price Underlying spot price The price at which a future contract trades in the market The price set by the exchange Only the long side to an over-the-counter option is exposed to counterparty risk A short put is a right to deliver the underlying asset and receive a predetermined price for it A long put position implies a bearish outlook for the price of the underlying asset A long call is a right to but the underlying asset at a predetermined price Which of the following statements is (are) true with respect to the mechanics involved in options trading? I. II. III. IV. A. B. C. D. The existence of a clearing house ensures that options sellers do not face any credit risk To close out an existing long position in a particular put, an investor must buy that exact same put Options buyers will never have to post any margins Upon the exercise of a call option on a futures contract, the buyer will receive the underlying futures contract plus a cash amount equal to the difference between the higher current settlement price of the futures and the lower exercise price of the call I, III and IV only I only III and IV only I and II only Portfolio Management (Questions 19 to 42) 19. You purchased a share of stock for N20. One year later you received a N1 dividend and sold the share for N24. What is your holding period return? A. B. C. D. 20.8% 30.0% 33.6% 25.0% 20. The efficient frontier is the set of possible investment portfolios that: A. B. C. D. 21. 24. Beta Beta Beta Beta both measures both systematic and unsystematic risks measures systematic risk while standard deviation measures total risk measures total risk while standard deviation measures systematic risk measures only unsystematic risk while standard deviation measures systematic risk and unsystematic risk Which of the following represents the correct ordering of steps in the portfolio management process? I. II. III. IV. Forecast market conditions Construct portfolio Create investment policy statement Measure performance A. B. C. D. I, III, II, IV I, II, III, IV II, III, IV, I III, I, II, IV Stock A has a beta of 2.0 and expected return of 2.1%, while Stock B has beta of 0.5 and an expected return of 13%. If the risk-free rate were 5%, which statement would best describe the given situation? A. B. C. D. 25. Negative betas Positive alphas Zero betas Zero alphas Standard deviation and beta both measure risk, but they are different in that: A. B. C. D. 23. the minimum variance of all possible combinations the maximum return of all possible combinations equal weights in every risky security the maximum return for any given level of risk According to Capital Asset Pricing Model, fairly priced securities have: A. B. C. D. 22. Have Have Have Have An investor may profit by selling Stock A and using the proceeds to invest in Stock B An investor may profit by selling Stock B and using the proceeds to invest in Stock A There are no profit opportunities since both stocks are fairly priced The principles of diversification dictates that both securities be held in a portfolio Which statement best captures the relationship between risk and its corresponding required rate of return? A. B. C. D. The amount of risk for a given unit of return determines the slope of the SML The slope of the SML is really flat for a risk-adverse investor Stocks that are more risky than the market can cause the SML slope to become steeper As security risk changes, there will be a corresponding movement along the SML 26. To achieve maximum diversification, what should the correlation coefficient be between two stocks that are being considered for inclusion in a portfolio? A. B. C. D. 27. Which of the following statements is (are) true with respect to diversification? I. II. III. IV. 28. C. D. The SML plots all securities efficiently priced Due to its efficiency, all investors will ultimately end up investing in the market portfolio situated on the SML The SML can serve as a benchmark for all stock portfolios, regardless of their risk The SML is a straight line that captures the relationship between risk and return Which of the following features is not characteristic of an individual in the consolidation phase? A. B. C. D. 30. Diversification is only possible if the correlation coefficient between the securities is negative To reduce the systematic risk of a portfolio, more securities should be added to a portfolio In a very well-deserved portfolio, beta will be very low The elimination of unsystematic risk should have no impact on portfolio return A. II, III and IV only B. I and III only C. II and III only D. IV only Which of these statements is misleading with respect to the security market line? A. B. 29. +1.0 - 0.5 0 -1.0 Asset management becomes a high priority Debt management becomes a low priority Fixed-income investments would be the best choice at this phase Income levels are the highest, relative to the other phases Your research department has constructed the following table for stock A: Probability .10 .25 .40 .25 Corresponding Return 12% 15% 8% -9% What is the expected return for this stock? A. B. C. D. 31. 8.40% 6.72% 5.90% 6.50% Which of the following items would not generally be addressed when constructing an investment policy? A. B. C. D. Eligible asset categories that may be included in the portfolio The required rate of return expected for the risk that is being taken Credit rating above which securities may be considered Allowable margins within which the manager may deviate away from the original asset mix 32. Which of the following statements is least accurate with respect to the factors that contribute to portfolio risk? A. B. C. D. 33. In a “fully” diversified portfolio, all of the following would be true except: A. B. C. D. 34. Liquidity risk Trade failure risk Exchange rate risk Financial risk The reward-to-variability ratio is given by: A. B. C. D. 38. Firm-specific risk Beta risk Market risk Systematic risk The inability to sell an asset quickly at a fair price is associated with: A. B. C. D. 37. A cyclical stock Having a low beta Having high unsystematic risk Having no unsystematic risk In a well-diversified portfolio, what type of risk is negligible? A. B. C. D. 36. Portfolio standard deviation would be lower than the weighted average of the standard deviations of the individual securities Expected portfolio return would simply be the weighted average of the expected returns of all individual securities The expected return of the portfolio will equate that of the expected market return There would be no unsystematic risk A stock that is relatively unaffected by the general fluctuations in the economy can be characterized as: A. B. C. D. 35. The weights of each of the securities in the portfolio must be computed The expected return of all securities in the portfolio must be examined The correlation among all pair-wise combinations of securities must be examined The standard deviation of all individual securities must be examined The slope of the capital allocation line The second derivative of the capital allocation line The excess return on a security divided by the security’s beta None of the above Which of the following actions is MOST accurately associated with tactical asset allocation? A. B. C. D. Investment Investment Investment Investment decisions decisions decisions decisions with a long term perspective that do not emphasize current market conditions with a primary goal of maximizing return that do not depend on ability to diversity 39. The Sharpe ratio for Company A is 0.34, while the Sharpe ratio for Company B is 0.39. What can be said about Company B? A. B. C. D. 40. by the Sharpe ratio, Company B’s excess return is higher Tax concerns Expected cash flow patterns Risk tolerance Liquidity needs If you were confident that the price of stock X would drop dramatically within two months, which of the following investment transactions would yield the highest return on your investment? A. B. C. D. 42. by the Sharpe ratio, Company B’s risk adjusted return is superior by the Sharpe ratio, Company B’s mean return is higher by the Sharpe ratio, Company B’s standard deviation of returns is Which of the following is NOT a typical investor constraint in the investment policy statement? A. B. C. D. 41. As measured As measured As measured higher As measured Purchase stock X Sell stock X short Purchase a call on stock X Purchase a put on stock X A liquid asset may A. B. C. D. be converted into cash be converted into cash with little chance of loss not be converted into cash not be converted without loss Commodity Trading and Futures (Questions 19 to 36) 43. Traditionally __________ has been the largest producers of gold in the world. A. B. C. D. 44. By using the currency forward market to sell dollars forward, a(n) ________ can lock on to a rate to hedge and reduce his uncertainty. A. B. C. D. 45. Arbitrageur Speculator Importer Exporter OTC derivatives are considered risky because: A. B. C. D. 46. Europe South America South Asia South Africa They are not settled on a clearing house They do not follow any formal rules or mechanisms There is no formal margining system All of the above The option to give delivery is given during a period identified as: A. B. C. D. Delivery notice period Settlement period Delivery period Option notice period 47. The first use of derivatives contract was: A. B. C. D. 48. To manage price uncertainty For speculation For arbitrage None of the above The margin is charged so as to cover _________ that can be encountered on the position of the days. A. B. C. D. 49. One One One One day loss week loss month loss trading period loss _________ give the buyer the right but not the obligation to buy a given quantity of the underlying asset, at a given price on or before a given future date. A. B. C. D. 50. Futures Forwards Call options Put options Due to the _________ nature of the underlying assets, physical settlement in commodity derivatives creates the need for warehousing. A. B. C. D. 51. Who identifies the buyer to whom the delivery notice is assigned? A. B. C. D. 52. The The The The clearing corporation buyer exchange warehouse Members can opt to meet the security deposit requirement by way of: A. B. C. D. 53. Volatility Valuable Bulky Varying Bank guarantee Cash Fixed deposit receipts All of the above An option gives the __________ the right to do something. A. B. C. D. Seller Exchange Clearing house Buyer 54. __________ is the closing price of the underlying commodity on the last trading day of the futures contract. A. B. C. D. 55. The seller intending to make delivery takes the commodities to: A. B. C. D. 56. The The The The clearing house buyer exchange seller Clearing house Exchange Approved banks Depository clearing system Which of the following features differentiates a commodity futures contract from a financial futures contract? A. B. C. D. 60. Sunflower seeds Soybean CPO Soy Delivery in respect of all deals for the clearing in commodities happens through the: A. B. C. D. 59. designated warehouse clearing house buyer exchange Whenever delivery notices are given by the seller, the __________ identifies the buyer to whom the notice may be assigned. A. B. C. D. 58. The The The The Soy oil is the derivative of: A. B. C. D. 57. Market price Final settlement price Auction price Daily settlement price Standardised contract size Margin requirements Varying quality of underlying asset Exchange traded product A trader has purchased crude oil futures at N750 per barrel. He wishes to limit his loss to 20%. He did so by placing a stop order to sell an offsetting contract if the price falls to or below: A. B. C. D. N600 N650 N800 N825 SECTION B Question 2 - Derivatives Valuation and Analysis 2(a) Derivatives are a ‘zero-sum game’. Explain, using a simple example. 2(b) State the put-call parity relationship for a non-dividend paying stock. (2 marks) (1 mark) Question 3 - Portfolio Management 3(a) List four active equity portfolio management strategies. 3(b) What is the difference between a load fund and a no-load fund? (2 marks) (2 marks) Question 4 - Commodity Trading and Futures 4(a) List four key differences between forward and futures contracts. (2 marks) 4(b) Distinguish between Contango and Backwardation in the commodity market. (1 mark) SECTION C Question 5 - Derivatives Valuation and Analysis 5(a) A stock price is currently N40. It is known that at the end of one month it will be either N42 or N38. The risk-free interest rate is 8% per annum with continuous compounding. What is the value of a 1 month European call option with a strike price of N39? (4 marks) 5(b) List the factors that affect call option premium, and give a brief summary of the impact of a change in those factors on call option premium. (5 marks) Question 6 - Portfolio Management A financial analyst is analysing investments in the stocks of two companies, Apple Limited and Grape Limited, to guide his investment decision. The estimated rates of return and their chances of occurrence for the next year are given in the table below: Probability of occurrence Rate of return Apple limited Rate of return Grape limited 0.20 0.60 0.20 22% 14% - 4% 5% 15% 25% Required 6(a) Determine for each stock the expected rate of return, variance and standard deviation. (4 marks) 6(b) Which of the two investment alternatives is comparatively less risky and why? (2 marks) 6(c) The financial analyst wishes to invest half of the available funds in Apple Limited and the other half in Grape Limited. Would you advise him to go ahead taking cognisance of the implication for risk? Justify your position. (5 marks) Question 7 - Commodity Trading and Futures Consider a hypothetical futures contract in which the current price is N212. The initial margin requirement is N10, and the maintenance margin requirement is N8. You go long 20 contracts and meet all margin calls but do not withdraw any excess margin. 7(a) When could there be a margin call? (2 marks) 7(b) Complete the table below and explain any funds deposited. Assume that the contract is purchased at the settlement price of that day so there is no mark-to-market profit or loss on the day of purchase. Day Beginning Balance Funds Deposited 0 Futures Price 212 1 211 2 214 3 209 4 210 5 204 6 202 Price Change Gain/ Loss Ending Balance (5 marks) 7(c) How much are your total gains or losses by the end of day 6? (2 marks)