CHARTERED INSTITUTE OF STOCKBROKERS ANSWERS Examination Paper 2.1 Financial Accounting and Financial Statement Analysis Economics and Financial Markets Quantitative Analysis and Statistics Professional Examination March 2012 Level 2 1 SECTION A: MULTI CHOICE QUESTIONS 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 D D C B D C A C D C B A B B A 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 A D D D A D B A A C A D B C D 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 D B A A A A D A C D (40 marks) SECTION B: SHORT ANSWER QUESTIONS Question 2 - Financial Accounting and Financial Statement Analysis Item The impairment of an intangible asset. A new issue of bonus shares to shareholders. Impact When an intangible asset is impaired, its carrying amount is reduced, and the impaired amount is written off to the operating statement. This reduces the amount of earnings, and hence the EPS, all else being equal. (1 mark) A new issue of bonus shares results in an increase in total number of shares outstanding. All else being equal, this results in a reduction in published EPS. (1 mark) Profit on the sale of a property. Profit on the disposal of property results in increase in total earnings, which in turn results in an increase in EPS, all other things being equal. (1 mark) 2 Question 3 - Economics and Financial Markets 3(a) Economic profit is the revenue a firm receives in excess of all its explicit cost and implicit cost (opportunity cost). The Accounting profit of a firm is its revenue less only its explicit costs (i.e out-ofpocket expenses). (1 mark) 3(b) GDP = C + I + G + (X - M) Where X – M = Net Exports = GDP – (C + I + G) = N3,452b – N(2,343 + 865 + 379)b Net Export = -N135 billion (2 marks) Total = 3 marks Question 4 - Quantitative Analysis and Statistics Data-mining bias refers to the errors that result from relying too heavily on data-mining practices. In other words, while some patterns discovered in data mining are potentially useful, many others might just be coincidental and are not likely to be repeated in the future - particularly in an "efficient" market. (2 marks) Survivorship bias is the tendency to exclude failed companies or managers from performance evaluations or studies simply because they do not exist. This situation can result in skewed findings in a study, and lead a casual reader to believe that a study shows a rosier picture than it really does. (2 marks) Total = 4 marks 3 SECTION C: COMPULSORY QUESTIONS Question 5 - Financial Accounting and Financial Statement Analysis 5(a) The balance sheet as at 31/12/2011 US Dollars Rate Naira Assets Property, plant and equipment 300 160?? 48,000?? Inventories 80 160?? 12,800?? Net monetary current assets 60 160?? 9,600 ?? Total assets 70,400?? 440 40 160 ?? 6,400 ?? Share capital 300 155 ?? 46,500?? Retained profit 100 ?? 15,000?? Long term loans Equity ?? Exchange difference 2,500 ?? 70,400?? 440 Income statement for the year ended 31/12/ 2011 600 150 ?? 90,000?? Cost of sales -400 150 ?? -60,000?? Gross profit 200 Depreciation -50 150 ?? -7,500 ?? Other expenses -50 150 ?? -7,500 ?? Sales 100 30,000?? 15,000?? (12 marks) 4 5(bi) Computation of receivables collection period Receivables collection period = Trade receivables X 365 days Sales 2010 N5,000,000 X 365 days N50,000,000 = 36.5 days = 54.75 days 2011 N9,000,000 X 365 days N60,000,000 (2 marks) 5(bii) Apparently, the policy appears to have benefited the company. Sales grew by 20% from N50m in 2010 to N60m in 2011, while profit equally grew by 40% from N4m to N5.6m. A possible explanation for this is that by relaxing credit policy, customers had an incentive to buy from Zimbre Limited rather than from its competitors. The company may have gained a higher market share in the process, especially if the company’s competitors did not follow suit by relaxing their own credit policy. (4 marks) 5(biii) With an increase in receivables collection period from 37 days in 2010 to 55 days in 2011, the company would likely be facing a tighter liquidity position, which would likely impact negatively on cash flow. This may make it more difficult for Zimbre limited to meet its ongoing financial obligations in the nearest future. Although the total amount of earnings have risen considerably (by 40%) between 2010 and 2011, there is the possibility that the quality of earnings will deteriorate. With a significant increase in the total amount of closing trade receivables, coupled with an increase in receivables collection period, it is likely that the proportion of bad debt to total sales would rise, unless the company puts in place an effective process for credit monitoring, follow-up and collection. 5 Question 6 - Economics and Financial Markets 6(a) i. Credit Squeeze: this is a policy phase of credit restrictions, a situation that will ultimately result in the reduction of money supply. (1 mark) ii. Deficit Budget: this is when current expenditures are in excess of current income. It is a situation where government income, tax receipts, fails to cover government expenditure. (1 mark) iii. Closed Economy: this is a concept used mainly in theoretical models to describe an economy with no external trade, which will be completely self-sufficient and insulated from external forces. (1 mark) 6(b) The two problems confronting the nation are rising inflation and unemployment both of which are captured in the economic term referred to as stagflation, a problem that often comes along with economic recession. (3 marks) 6(c) i. By deciding on credit squeeze, the central bank attempts to curb the rising inflation. The credit restrictions limit money supply in the economy, raise interest rate and curtail aggregate demand. By this development, inflationary gap is gradually eliminated and thus, curbs rising prices. (2 marks) ii. The decision of the Central Government to embark on budget deficit, is a fiscal policy response meant to address the rising unemployment problem. It is expected that the excess current expenditures will in this case boost aggregate demand. Increased aggregate demand with the attendant multiplier effect will translate into greater employment opportunities. (2 marks) iii. However, the two policy responses of the two authorities could undermine the effectiveness of the policy target of each of the authority when implemented simultaneously. Some trade-off in policy packaging in this kind of situation is inevitable and hence makes policy coordination imperative. (2 marks) 6 6(d) The IS-LM Model. (i) As indicated earlier, the decision on credit squeeze is tantamount to decrease in money supply. This is depicted in the IS-LM Model as a leftward shift in the LM curve. (1 mark) LM’ Interest rate LM (1 mark) IS Y1 s Y0 Ys s (Income Output) As shown in the diagram, the shift from LM to LM’ will result in Increase in interest rates from r0 to r1 • Decrease output from to • (2 marks) (ii) The decision to implement budget deficit will invariably increase aggregate demand. This is depicted in the IS-LM Model as a rightward shift in the IS curve. LM (1 mark) r 1 IS` IS (output) Ys As indicated in the diagram, the shift from IS to IS’ will result in to • Increase in interest rates from • increase in output rates from to 7 (2 marks) Question 7 - Quantitative Analysis and Statistics 7(a) Mutual Fund 1 RG = {(1.162)(1.203)(1.093)(0.889)(0.830)}1/5 - 1 = 2.43% (2 marks) Mutual Fund 2 RG = {(1.092)(1.038)(1.131)(1.016)(0.870)}1/5 – 1 = 2.53% (2 marks) 7(b) Mutual Fund 1 20.3% - (- 17%) = 20.3% + 17% = 37.3% (1 mark) Mutual Fund 2 13.1% - (- 13%) = 13.1% + 13% = 26.1% (1 mark) Based on the computed ranges, mutual fund 1 is riskier, as its returns are more dispersed than the returns of mutual fund 2. (1 mark) 7(c) Let proportion of funds invested in mutual fund 1 be y. Therefore proportion of fund invested in mutual fund 2 will be (1-y). It follows that: 2y + 8(1-y) = 6.5 (1 mark) 2y + 8- 8y =6.5 6y = 1.5 Hence, y= 1.5/6 = 0.25 = 25% 1-y = 1- 0.25 = 0.75 75% = (1.5 marks) (1.5 marks) Therefore, invest 25% and 75% of funds in Mutual Fund 1 and Mutual Fund 2 respectively. Total = 11 marks 8