CHARTERED INSTITUTE OF STOCKBROKERS ANSWERS Examination Paper 2.1 Financial Accounting and Financial Statement Analysis Economics and Financial Markets Quantitative Analysis and Statistics Professional Examination March 2013 Level 2 1 SECTION A: MULTI CHOICE QUESTIONS 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 B D B C C B B C C B A D D D A 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 C C C B D A C C A D C B D B A 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 B A C C B C D C C C (40 marks) SECTION B: SHORT ANSWER QUESTIONS Question 2 - Financial Accounting and Financial Statement Analysis Both the proportionate and equity method of consolidation pertain to Joint Venture. Proportionate consolidation is an approach for in which items of income, expense, assets and liabilities are included in a firm’s accounts in proportion to the firm's percentage of participation in the venture. (1 ½ marks) On the other hand, the equity method calculates net income from a joint venture partnership, proportional to the size of its investment. That is, in the equity method, the investment is recorded at cost at first, and is then adjusted up or down, depending on the current value and expenses. Should the company no longer have a "significant influence" in control over the investment, then the equity method treatment must stop and the new value is recorded at the current cost basis. (1 ½ marks) Total = 3 marks 2 Question 3 - Economics and Financial Markets 3(a) A nation’s real GDP in any depends on the input of labour multiplied by labour productivity. GDP (Total Output) = input of labour x labour productivity. (2 marks) 3(b) Discretionary fiscal policy is the deliberate manipulation of taxes and government spending by government to alter real GDP and employment control inflation, and stimulate economic growth. (1 mark) Total = 3 marks Question 4 - Quantitative Analysis and Statistics 4(a) i. Index numbers are used to measure changes in the general price level of capital market instruments such as shares, bonds and mutual fund. For example, market capitalization of shares on the NSE and the All-share index ii. They are also used to measure changes in value of instruments in a particular sector of the market e,g NSE 30 Index, NSE Oil and Gas 5 Index; NSE Insurance ; NSE Banking Index (1 mark each) = 2 marks 4(b) This is a method of selecting sample members from a larger population, according to a random starting point and a fixed, periodic interval. Typically, every "nth" member is selected from the total population for inclusion in the sample population. For example, if you wanted to select a random group of 1,000 people from a population of 50,000 using systematic sampling, you would simply select every 50th person, since 50,000/1,000 = 50. Systematic sampling is still considered to be random, as long as the periodic interval is determined beforehand and the starting point is random. (2 marks) Total = 4 marks 3 SECTION C: COMPULSORY QUESTIONS Question 5 - Financial Accounting and Financial Statement Analysis 5(a) Assets Cash Accounts receivable Inventories Fixed Assets Total Assets Amount (in N) A = 128,000 B = 160,000 C = 192,000 Liabilities & Equity Accounts payable Long term debt Equity Amount (in N) E = 300,000 F= 200,000 G= 500,000 D = 520,000 1,000,000 Total Liabilities & Equity 1,000,000 (7 marks) Workings Capital structure ratio = Total debts / Total assets = 0.5 Hence, Total debts = 1,000,000 · 0.5 = 500,000 ¾ Equity = Total assets – Total debts = 1,000,000 – 500,000 Long-term debt / Equity = 40 % ¾ Long-term debt = 500,000 · 0.4 ¾ = 500,000 = 200,000 Accounts payable = Total debts – Long-term debt = 500,000 – 200,000= 300,000 Asset turnover = Sales / Total assets = 1.6 Sales = 1,000,000 x 1.6 = 1,600,000 Gross margin = (Sales – Cost of goods sold) / Sales = 0.4 Sales – CGS = 0.4 x Sales CGS = 0.6 x Sales = 1,600,000 x 0.6 = 960,000 Inventory outstanding period = Inventories · 365 / CGS = 73 ¾ Inventories = (960,000 · 73) / 365 = 192,000 Collection period = Accounts receivable · 365 / Sales = 36.5 ¾ Accounts receivable = 1,600,000 · 36.5 / 365 = 160,000 Current ratio = Current assets / Current liabilities = 1.6 Current assets = 300,000 · 1.6 = 480,000 ¾ Fixed assets = Total assets – Current assets = 1,000,000 – 480,000 = 520,000 ¾ Cash = Current assets – (Accounts receivable + Inventories) = 480,000 – (160,000 + 192,000) = 128,000 4 5(b) Frontline Breweries Overall, the performance of Frontline Breweries deteriorated significantly in 2011 from 60% in 2009 and 2010, to 49% in 2011. This suggests that the company was less efficient at generating profits from invested capital in 2011. However, for a comprehensive analysis of the factors that accounted for the observed trend in ROE of Frontline Breweries, a three-stage DuPont analysis would be useful. The three components of ROE and their contributions to Frontline Breweries ROE for the three years under consideration are discussed below. ROE = Net Margin x Asset Turnover x Leverage Factor Net Margin The level of performance of Frontline Breweries in terms of profit margin over the threeyear period was about the same. This means that despite the increasing competition in the industry, the company was resilient and maintained its level of profitability. The two factors that accounted for the differences in ROE are asset turnover and the leverage factor. Asset Turnover Asset turnover deteriorated in 2011 to 1.15, from 1.53 and 1.62 recorded in 2009 and 2010 respectively. This apparently implies that the company did not generate enough sales from its assets. However from the case study, a plausible explanation for this is the huge investment of N65 billion in 2011 to acquire two breweries as part of its expansion plans. This long term investment is not expected to yield immediate sales that would match the level of investment; rather it would likely impact future sales over a relatively long period, and after a considerable time lag. Leverage Factor Leverage factor is a measure of the gearing of a firm. It is the equity multiplier of the firm. Although we were not given the equity multiplier directly in the scenario, we could deduce from the total gearing ratio (which rose to 28% in 2011 from 0% in 2009 and 2010) that the leverage factor increased appreciably in 2011. 5 The implication is that Frontline Breweries injected more debt capital in its capital structure. This increase in leverage factor, due to the increasing use of debt to finance operations, helped Frontline Breweries to moderate the negative impact of lower asset turnover on ROE. Without this, the ROE in 2011 would have been even lower than the 49% recorded in 2011. (11 marks) 5(c) Item I. II. III. IV. Comment Increasing estimated useful lives of noncurrent asset. Reducing provision for environmental damages. Reducing the write-down for obsolete and damaged stocks. Paying a dividend to shareholders. Impact : profit only Effect: Increase in profit as a result of reduction in annual depreciation charge. Impact : profit only Effect: Increase in next year’s profit as a result of a reduction provisioning. Impact : profit only Effect: Increase in next year’s profit. Impact : cash flow only Effect: Increase in next year’s cash outflow and a reduction cash balances. (4 marks) 6(a) The intent of a contractionary monetary policy would be shown as a leftward shift of the aggregate demand (AD) curve. (3 marks) Price (P) P* AS P*1 AD'AD y*1 y* Real output (3 marks) A leftward shift at AD curve, with As remaining unchanged, would result in a decline in the price level (or a reduction in the rate of inflation). (3 marks) (9 marks) 6 6(b) In an open economy, the interest rate hike resulting from the contractionary monetary would entice people abroad to buy securities in Nigeria. Because they would need Nigeria Naira to buy these securities, the international demand for Naira would rise, causing the Naira to appreciate. Net exports would fall, pushing the aggregate demand curve farther leftward than in the closed economy. (6 marks) Price AD P* P2 Y1 y* AD AD2 AD1 (3 marks) Real output Total (8 marks) (Total = 17 marks) Question 7 - Quantitative Analysis and Statistics 7(a) Let number of Road constructed and rehabilitated = X; and amount spent = Y EX = 3,719 EY = 500 EXY = 155,207 EX2 = 3,632,217 EY2 = 31,750 (6 marks) Product moment correlation coefficient nExy – (Ex) (Ey) (nEX2 – (Ex)2). (nEY2 – (EY)2) 10 (155207) –(3719) (500) (10(3,632,217) – (3,719)2) (10(31,750) – (500)2) = - 307,430 1,232,134.98 = -0.2495 (3 marks) 7(b) Since there is a negative correlation between X and Y, the amount of money spent does not justify the number of roads constructed and rehabilitated. (2 marks) TOTAL = 11 marks 7