CHAPTER 17 Glaciers and perennial snowfields of the U.S. Cordillera Andrew G. Fountain, Hassan J. Basagic IV, Charles Cannon, Mark Devisser, Matthew J. Hoffman, Jeffrey S. Kargel, Gregory J. Leonard, Kristina Thorneykroft, and Steve Wilson ABSTRACT 17.1 INTRODUCTION Of more than 8,000 glaciers and perennial snowfields on 21 mountain ranges in the western U.S. (excluding Alaska), only 120 are larger than 1 km 2 , and just one exceeds 10 km 2 . Where changes in size are known, the overwhelming majority of glaciers are shrinking. There are a few that are growing. These changes, with a few exceptions that relate mainly to rock debris abundances on the glaciers, are due overwhelmingly to climate change, though it is a complex relationship. Analysis of ASTER (Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer) imagery has been used in special case studies, along with published field data, to track changes in debris loads of glaciers on Mt. Rainier, show the effects of a lahar from Mt. Rainier, and track the continued shrinkage of Grinnell Glacier in Glacier National Park. The response time of glaciers in the region varies from under a decade to over a century. Blue Glacier (Olympic Mountains) is a fast responder; its length, area, and volume fluctuation history indicates that it is responding to decadal climate fluctuations as well as local long-term warming in the 20th and 21st centuries, which is probably related to greenhouse gas–driven global warming. The American Cordillera of the contiguous U.S. is divided into four major geologic provinces—the Pacific Province, the Basin and Range Province, the Rocky Mountains, and the Columbia Plateau— encompassed by nine states, Washington, Oregon, California, Nevada, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, and Utah. Glaciers populate about 21 mountain ranges within the Cordillera (Fig. 17.1). Although over 8,000 glaciers and perennial snowfields are documented, very few are larger than 1 km 2 and many are just 1–5 ha and are best assessed systematically by aerial photography or satellite imagery with resolution of 1 m or better. Most of the glacierized mountain ranges contain remnants of glaciers, which are stabilized or retreating slowly in shadowed and protected niches, where windblown snow, snow avalanches, and rock falls help nourish and sustain the ice. The study of glaciers in this region is mainly one of small glaciers <1 km 2 in the 21 mountain ranges. Only about 120 glaciers are >1 km 2 , and the largest, Emmons Glacier, is only a bit bigger than 10 km 2 . All glaciers, with the exception of those on the stratovolcanoes of the northwest, favor north-facing and east-facing aspects typical of alpine glaciers in the Northern Hemi- 386 Glaciers and perennial snowfields of the U.S. Cordillera Figure 17.1. Locations of glacier and perennial snowfields in the American Cordillera. Figure can also be viewed as Online Supplement 17.1. sphere (Nylen 2004, Granshaw and Fountain 2006, Sitts et al. 2010, Basagic and Fountain 2011). Because of the small sizes of most of the glaciers in the region, aerial photography has been the primary data source used for the analysis. Following Section 17.2 (‘‘Regional context’’) and a summary/ overview of the distribution and recent changes in area of glaciers throughout the region (based mainly on aerial imaging), we present three ASTER-based case studies, one for a single small shrinking glacier in Glacier National Park, another for some larger glaciers of Mt. Rainier, and a third study for Blue Glacier in the Olympic Mountains. Although image analysis at ASTER’s spatial resolution is challenged by the small sizes of the glaciers, a rich variety of glacier features and phenomena are documented here that have not been reported using satellite remotely sensed data. 17.2 REGIONAL CONTEXT 17.2.1 Geologic context Here we offer geologic details of some of the glacierized ranges to help explain some contrasting characteristics of this region’s glaciers and associated valleys. The geologic context can help explain the spatial pattern of debris-covered glaciers versus glaciers without significant debris. 17.2.1.1. The Cascade Range The Pacific Province parallels the Pacific Coast and is the youngest and most tectonically active in North America due to its location near active plate boundaries. The largest Pacific ranges in the U.S. outside Alaska are the Cascade (northern California, Washington, and Oregon) and Sierra Regional context 387 Nevada (California) with elevations from about 1,000 m to over 4,300 m. The Cascade Range of Washington and Oregon south to the Lassen volcanic complex in northern California hosts numerous volcanoes, most active in the Holocene, resulting from subduction of the Juan de Fuca Plate under the North American Plate along the Cascadia subduction zone (Brandon and Calderwood 1990). The basic plate geometry has developed toward the present configuration over the past 36 million years (Wood and Kienle 1990). The magmatic arc of the Cascades is mainly andesite and dacite and plutonic equivalents. The glacierized volcanoes are primarily classic stratovolcanoes, and as such are composed of interlayered lava flows, welded and unwelded ash and other pyroclastic rocks. Because time elapsed between many eruptions, soil horizons are interspersed with the volcanic layers; consequently, the volcano flanks are relatively weak. Erosion rates on the most heavily glacierized volcanoes are among the highest documented in the world. Mt. Rainier’s denudation rate, according to sediment loads analyzed from modern rivers draining the mountain, is 3–8 mm yr 1 (Mills 1976). Though comparable to denudation rates in Alaska’s Chugach Range, it vastly exceeds the 0.18–0.32 mm yr 1 erosion rates across the Olympic Peninsula obtained by similar methodology; long-term erosion rates determined by fission track analysis reach 1.1 mm yr 1 on Mt. Olympus (Brandon et al. 1998), where the precipitation regime is probably higher than on Mt. Rainier. The difference in denudation rates of the two mountains probably relate to higher glacierization of Mt. Rainier and possibly differences in lithology between the two settings. 17.2.1.2 Olympic Mountains The Olympic Mountains were tectonically uplifted by convergent plate tectonics. The mountains largely consist of uplifted metamorphosed sedimentary rocks of the ocean floor and continental margin (Brandon and Calderwood 1990). As such, there is substantial mechanical layering of rocks of contrasting strength. 17.2.1.3 Sierra Nevada The Sierra Nevada, arranged south of the Cascadia subduction zone, originated with the Mesozoic intrusion of a massive granitoid batholith into Paleozoic sedimentary strata and andesitic volcan- ics. The batholith—mainly granite, granodiorite, quartz diorite, and similar rocks—is one of the largest on Earth (Bateman and Eaton 1967, Hirt 2007). Individual glacial valleys cut through and across plutonic lithologies (Hirt 2007). However, the petrologic structure is on an immense scale, and many valleys approach a monolithic petrologic character. 17.2.1.4 Rocky Mountains The Rocky Mountains province includes all the glacierized regions of western Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, and Utah. Some of the major and most glaciologically relevant mountain ranges within the Rocky Mountains are the Front and Gore (Colorado), Wind River and Tetons (Wyoming), Absoraka/Beartooth and Lewis (Montana), and the Sawtooth (Idaho). The Rocky Mountains of Colorado include remnants of layered sedimentary, metasedimentary, and volcanic rocks; the highest areas in those ranges where glaciers occur today are granitoid plutonic rocks. The Wind River Range, to the north in Wyoming, is granitic resulting from a large batholith uplifted most recently by the Laramide Orogeny (Frost et al. 1998). The northern Rockies of the Lewis Range (Glacier National Park) are mainly sedimentary rocks, especially carbonates. 17.2.2 Climatic context Most of the ranges in the American Cordillera were glaciated during the Pleistocene including many that no longer have glaciers present today. Most of the glaciation, however, was from local ice caps or individual valley glaciers (Denton and Hughes 1981). Continental glaciation of the Late Pleistocene was limited to the northern states of Washington, Idaho, and Montana with lobes of the Cordilleran and Laurentide Ice Sheets following the lowlands and merging with local ice caps and glaciers from adjacent mountain ranges (Waitt and Thorson 1983). Therefore, the topographic alteration from glacial erosion and deposition are common to most of the ranges in the Cordillera. The climate of the region is extremely diverse, from coastal temperate rainforests to deserts, relatively mild marine climates to continental extremes of cold winters and hot summers. This brief climate summary is organized in terms of winter snow that nourishes the glaciers and the summer air temperatures that melt the glaciers. The winter precipitation 388 Glaciers and perennial snowfields of the U.S. Cordillera climate of the American Cordillera is dominated by the polar vortex, which moves south in winter also pushing the Polar Front jet southward advecting moisture from the Pacific Ocean into the Cordillera (Davis and Walker 1992). Invasions of cold dry air from polar continental air masses southward from Canada into the north central U.S. cool the eastern side of the Cordillera in winter, extending towards the west (Mitchell 1976). Interior winter high-pressure systems also form in the Basin and Range Province cooling the center of the Cordillera (Mitchell et al. 1976, Davis and Walker 1982). The summer pattern of air temperatures shows the influence of cool winds off the Pacific Ocean along the coastal ranges and into northwestern Montana (Mitchell et al. 1976), whereas a regional low-pressure system over the Basin and Range Province, caused by warm surface temperatures, affects the interior through Idaho, southern Montana, and Wyoming (Mitchell et al. 1976, Davis and Walker 1992). Thus, from northwestern Washington State, climate generally becomes drier to the south and east and warmer during the summer ablation season. Taken together, this produces a distribution of glaciers that reach relatively low elevations and are large in the northwest (Washington) and increase in elevations and become smaller to the south and east (Fountain et al. 2008). Temporal variation in the climate of the American Cordillera, besides including the general global warming trend of the past century, is influenced by several modes of atmospheric circulation characterized by numerous climate indices. The El Niño– Southern Oscillation Index (ENSO–SOI) acts on an interannual temporal scale and a large spatial scale. During a warm phase (El Niño) the sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are warmer than average over the central and east Pacific Ocean, with the opposite during the cool phase (La Niña). For the American Cordillera, El Niño phases tend to generally cause drier-than-average winters except for the Sierra where it is wetter; wetter-than-average winters occur except for the Sierra which has normal winters during La Niña years (Cayan et al. 1999). Acting on an interdecadal scale, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) produces similar climate variations as the ENSO, although not as extreme (Mantua et al. 1997). Warm PDO phases are associated with cool SSTs over the central North Pacific and warmer SSTs along the west coast, and vice versa (Mantua 2002). A warm PDO phase produces an El Niño–like temperature/precipitation pattern such that drier-than- average winters occur in the northern tier of the American Cordillera and wetter than average in the Sierra (Bitz and Battisti 1999, Mote et al. 2005). In this book’s Chapter 33 (‘‘Summary and climatic context’’) Kargel et al. provide further insights on the subdecadal to multidecadal climate oscillations and teleconnections of the eastern Pacific Basin. 17.3 METHODS The inventory of glaciers and perennial snowfields in the American Cordillera is based on U.S. Geological Survey 1:24,000-scale topographic maps which are derived from aerial photography ranging from 1943 to 1998 with most imagery (86%) from 1955 to 1990 (Fountain et al. 2007a). Because of problems with seasonal snow being mistaken by cartographers as permanent snow the true number of features, particularly small glaciers and snowfields, is probably smaller. The methods and data are summarized in Fountain et al. (2007a). Because we cannot field-check many of the features, we cannot distinguish between the three categories of features; therefore we lump them into a single category of ‘‘glaciers and perennial snowfields’’. We choose not to use an arbitrary size criterion to classify active glaciers because we know of small features (10 4 m 2 ) containing glacial ice and exhibiting movement. Furthermore, small features are important to the local hydrological cycle. Changes in glacier area are derived from groundbased and aerial imagery. Glacier extent from the ground-based photographs was inferred from matching landmarks with those found in digital orthophotographs. Most of the aerial imagery were vertical aerial photos (1 m ground resolution), and if they were not georectified we rectified them by matching ground features from digital orthophotos. Details of the methods are summarized in the literature cited at the end of this chapter. In three case studies, below, we utilize satellite remote sensing as well as published data obtained by airborne and ground-based studies. 17.4 RESULTS The American Cordillera contains 8,303 glaciers and perennial snowfields that cover a total of 688 km 2 . These features range in size from 387 m 2 to 10.6 km 2 with a median of 0.014 km 2 ; 928 are larger Results than 0.1 km 2 . The largest glacier is the Emmons Glacier, located on the slopes of Mt. Rainier, a stratovolcano in Washington. Glacier aspect in the American Cordillera is typically north to east, as one would expect in the Northern Hemisphere. The exceptions to this trend are the glaciers on the tall stratovolcanoes in the Pacific Northwest, but also in these cases the glaciers are generally larger on the north to east–facing sides. Although we do not address rock glaciers or debris-covered glaciers in this summary, extensive buried ice exists in the Cordillera and many of the smaller ice snow features appear to be accumulation zones for subsurface ice. 17.4.1 California The three main mountain ranges that host glaciers are the Sierra Nevada, the southern end of the Cascades represented by the stratovolcanoes Mt. Shasta and Mt. Lassen, and the Trinity Alps. The Sierra Nevada extends about 600 km from north to south along the eastern border of California and continuously reaches above 3,000 m, with peaks up to 4,421 m. The Cascade volcanoes abruptly rise 2,300 m to over 4,300 m in the northern part of the state, while the nearby Trinity Alps are a compact range with elevations under 2,800 m. The climate of these mountain regions is characterized by cold wet winters and hot dry summers. Total water equivalent (w.e.) winter accumulation for alpine regions ranges from about 330 mm w.e. in the southern Sierra Nevada increasing northward to >1,350 mm at Mt. Shasta (CDEC 2009). In the Sierra Nevada, summer temperatures range from 3 to 9 C (PRISM Group 2006). Seasonal precipitation changes are controlled by migration of the Pacific High pressure system from the north, which directs moisture from the Pacific Ocean (Bair 1985). The inventory shows that 1,788 glaciers and perennial snowfields, covering 46 km 2 , populate these mountainous regions. The Sierra Nevada contains 85% of the ice cover in California, with 1,719 glaciers and perennial snowfields totaling 39 km 2 located in the central and southern portions of the range. These features range in elevation from 2,739 to 4,263 m with a mean of 3,491 m. However, as reported by Basagic and Fountain (2011), the number of true glaciers in the Sierra Nevada, versus non-moving ice (e.g., perennial snowfields), is estimated to be 122, covering a total of just 14.89 0.08 km 2 . About 60 of these features are larger than 0.1 km 2 (Basagic and 389 Fountain 2011), and the largest is Palisade Glacier, 0.8 km 2 . Only 13 glaciers have official names. Based on these glacier areas and area changes between 1903 and 2004, Basagic and Fountain (2011) estimated ice volume decreasing from 1.09 km 3 in 1903 to 0.43 km 3 in 2004, approximately a 60% volume loss in one century. We examined glacier area change with time for 14 glaciers in the Sierra Nevada for the period 1900 and 2004 and found that their area decreased by 31% to 78%, averaging 55% (Basagic and Fountain 2011). Rapid retreat occurred over the first half of the 20th century beginning in the 1920s in response to warm/dry conditions and continued through the mid-1970s. Recession ceased during the early 1980s. Since the 1980s glaciers resumed retreat. The approximate synchroneity of area changes in the 14 study glaciers shows that they exhibit a response to regional climate; however, the magnitude of changes is influenced by local topography. In the Cascades, Mt. Shasta, 4,317 m, is mantled with seven named glaciers for a total area of 4.9 km 2 . The two largest glaciers in California are Whitney and Hotlum Glaciers on Mt. Shasta, each with an area of 1.3 km 2 . Whitney is the longest glacier in the state (3.2 km). On Mt. Shasta, Howat et al. (2007) determined that several glaciers advanced over the second half of the century. Only a few perennial snowfields are found on Mt. Lassen. The Trinity Alps contain 35 glaciers and perennial snowfields totaling 1.9 km 2 . While the majority of these features are snowfields, several small (0.01 km 2 ) glaciers are located in cirques on the north sides of Thompson Peak (2,742 m) and Caesar Peak (2,720 m). In the Trinity Alps, two glaciers examined lost 77–84% of their area between 1900 and 1993, but only 10–20% of the loss occurred over the latter half of the 20th century (Heermance and Briggs 2005). 17.4.2 Colorado The Southern Rocky Mountains cross the state of Colorado, covering an area about 450 km from north to south and 300 km from east to west. The mountains are composed of over a dozen ranges, and rise from base heights of about 1,500 to 2,300 m to numerous peaks over 4,300 m. The climate of Colorado is continental, and mean annual temperature ranges from greater than 12 C to the east and west of the mountains down to below 3 C at the higher peaks (PRISM Group 2006). The high mountains receive between 200 and 390 Glaciers and perennial snowfields of the U.S. Cordillera 900 mm w.e. precipitation during winter (November to March), with greater values to the north and west (PRISM Group 2006). Mean summer (June to September) temperatures in the high mountains are about 4 to 10 C (PRISM Group 2006). The Pacific Ocean is the prevailing moisture source for Colorado’s mountains, but in the spring storms can move north from the Gulf of Mexico bringing greater amounts of moisture (Bair 1985). In the mountains, the greatest monthly precipitation occurs during winter, but thunderstorms are frequent during summer (Bair 1985). A total of 141 glaciers and perennial snowfields are found in Colorado, totaling 4.8 km 2 . The largest is Arapaho Glacier, 0.24 km 2 , and only six others are larger than 0.1 km 2 . All 14 named glaciers are in the Front Range. About 44% of the ice-covered area in Colorado (48 features) occur in the Front Range, followed by the Gore Range, 35%; Sawatch Range, 25%; Park Range, 18%; Medicine Bow Mountains, 10%; San Miguel Mountains, 4%; and Tenmile Range, 1%. These glaciers and perennial snowfields vary in elevation from 3,248 to 4,287 m, with a mean elevation of 3,678 m. Local topography that favors snow accumulation from avalanches and windblown snow and shades the snow and ice from summer Sun is important for maintaining these features (Outcalt and MacPhail 1965). The glaciers in Rocky Mountain National Park in the northern Front Range decreased in area by about 40% during the first half of the 20th century, grew slightly from the mid-1940s to the end of the century, and have retreated more rapidly since (Hoffman et al. 2007). Summer temperature alone is a good predictor of mass balance but the glaciers are insensitive to variations in winter snowfall due to augmentation, up to 12 times, by avalanching and wind deposition (Outcalt and MacPhail 1965; Hoffman et al. 2007). The Arapaho and Arikaree Glaciers, both in the Front Range, rapidly lost mass in the early 1960s, slightly gained mass from the late 1960s to mid-1970s, and have lost mass since, with the rate increasing since 2000 (Dyurgerov 2002), consistent with glacier area change in Rocky Mountain National Park. There is little systematic information on glacier change elsewhere in Colorado, but comparison of topographic maps from the mid-20th century and aerial photos from the 1990s indicates little change in glacier area throughout the state during that time period, comparable with what has been documented in the Front Range. 17.4.3 Idaho Of the many mountain ranges in Idaho, three host glaciers and perennial snowfields, the Sawtooth Range, Seven Devils Mountains, and the Lost River Range. The Sawtooth Range is located in central Idaho and spans 60 km with numerous peaks higher than 3,000 m elevation. The Seven Devils Mountains are a compact range near the Oregon border reaching about 2,800 m. The Lost River Range in east-central Idaho is a fault block stretching for about 80 km containing several peaks over 3,600 m. Mean annual precipitation in the Sawtooths and Seven Devils Ranges varies from 500 to 1,250 mm, the majority of which falls in the winter and spring (Thackray et al. 2004). The Lost River Range is more arid, and generally receives less than 1,000 mm of precipitation per year. Idaho has 208 glaciers and perennial snowfields covering a total area of about 2.6 km 2 . Thus, the average size is just 1.3 ha. Only three features exceed 0.1 km 2 . Most of these features appear to be perennial snowfields. The Sawtooth Range contains 202 features covering about 2.5 km 2 , or 96% of the ice-covered area in the state. Aerial imagery from 2004 indicates that these features have decreased considerably in size since the middle of the century. The glacier population in the Sawtooth may result from this range being the first high orographic barrier encountered by moist Pacific air masses east of the Cascade Range in Washington. Six perennial snowfields are found in the Seven Devils Mountains and cover an area less than 0.1 km 2 . In addition to the inventoried glaciers in the Sawtooth Range and Seven Devils Mountains, there is documentation of an active glacier on Borah Peak in the Lost River Range during the 1970s (Otto 1975, 1977). 17.4.4 Montana The glaciers of Montana are found in the northwestern part of the state in the Cabinet Mountains, Flathead–Mission–Swan, Lewis–Livingston, and Madison Ranges, and in the southern part of the state in the Absaroka–Beartooth and Crazy Mountains. The climate on the western side of the continental divide, which includes all of the ranges in the northwestern part of the state is controlled by Pacific marine air masses that create heavy winter snowfall. East of the divide, which includes the Absaroka–Beartooth and Crazy Mountains the winters are much drier (Bair 1985). At high eleva- Results tions in the Lewis Range, average water equivalent snowfall exceeds 1,400 mm, whereas in the high elevations of the Beartooth Mountains average snowfall (w.e.q.) is about 360 mm (PRISM Group 2006). A total of 1,158 glaciers and perennial snowfields are found in Montana covering a total area of 68.6 km 2 . About 13% (153) of these features are larger than 0.1 km 2 and the largest glacier is the Blackfoot Glacier (1.8 km 2 ). Elevations of the features range from 1,656 to 3,715 m with a mean of 2,649 m. The Cabinet Range has three features, all greater than 0.1 km 2 , with a total area of 0.7 km 2 and the Flathead–Mission–Swan Ranges contain 85 features with a total area of 3.6 km 2 and elevations from 2,201 to 2,663 m and a mean of 2,444 m. The Lewis–Livingston Ranges host 603 features totaling 9 km 2 , 86 of which are greater than 0.1 km 2 ranging in elevation from 1,656 to 3,109 m with a mean of 2,264 m. The Madison Range contains nine features with a total area of 0.06 km 2 . The Absaroka–Beartooth Mountains contain 400 features with a total area of 21.8 km 2 , of which 52 features are greater than 0.1 km 2 , and elevation ranges from 2,641 to 3,715 m with a mean of 3,237 m. Finally, the Crazy Mountains contain 57 features with a total area of 1.9 km 2 , four features greater than 0.1 km 2 , and the elevation ranges from 2,680 to 3,146 m with a mean of 2,862 m. Four glaciers in the Lewis Range in Glacier National Park have retreated about 67% since 1900. They underwent rapid retreat in the 1930s and 1940s and a slowing and perhaps slight advance in the 1960s and 1970s, followed by retreat. One of the park’s largest glaciers, Grinnell Glacier, is featured in a case study below as an example of these glacier remnants. Much of the work in the Beartooth Mountains has focused on the Grasshopper Glacier due to its unusual contents of grasshoppers frozen in the ice (e.g., Kimball 1899). This glacier and an adjacent one have lost about 70% of their area since 1898 (Ferrigno 1986, Chatelain 2005) 17.4.5 Nevada The only glacier/perennial snowfield in Nevada is on Mt. Wheeler, part of the South Snake Range and the highest peak in the state, 3,982 m. The feature is 0.9 km 2 and has an average elevation of about 3,350 m. 391 17.4.6 Oregon The Cascade Range crosses the state of Oregon, covering an area about 400 km from north to south and 100 km from east to west. Most of Oregon’s glaciers are found on the stratovolcanoes that rise from the surrounding mountains at about 1,200 m to summits above 3,000 m. Small glaciers are also found in the Wallowa Mountains that extend about 100 km across northeastern Oregon, rising from high desert at 1,200 m to peaks at nearly 3,000 m. The Cascades have a maritime climate, receiving 1,500 to 3,000 mm of precipitation per year, primarily in winter; the inland Wallowa Mountains are drier, and receive less than 2,000 mm of precipitation per year (PRISM Group 2006). There are 463 glaciers and perennial snowfields in Oregon, 29 of which are named, covering 42.5 km 2 . Most of these features are small, and only 60 are larger than 0.1 km 2 . The largest glacier in Oregon is Whitewater Glacier (3.0 km 2 ) on Mt. Jefferson, a conglomeration of five glacial lobes feeding separate streams, and the longest is Eliot Glacier (3.6 km) on Mt. Hood. In the Cascades the ice-covered area on the stratovolcanoes decreases from north to south with elevations ranging from 1,332 to 3,415 m, with a mean elevation of 2,191 m. Mt. Hood contains the greatest number of features, 148 (12 named), and largest ice-covered area at 22.7 km 2 . The glaciers of the northern side are mantled with rock debris near their termini as a result of frequent rock avalanches from Hood’s geothermally altered north face (Jackson and Fountain, 2007). Mt. Jefferson has 35 features covering 5.5 km 2 . The volcanic complex of North and Middle Sister contains 78 features covering 5.4 km 2 . South Sister has 51 features covering 4.4 km 2 , many of which are debris mantled, and Broken Top has 33 features covering 3.3 km 2 . The tiny (3,000 m 2 ) Lathrop Glacier on Mount Thielsen is the southernmost glacier in Oregon and is the smallest named glacier in the U.S.A. The glaciers of Mt. Hood have a volume of about 0.34 km 3 , and those of the Three Sisters about 0.16 km 3 (Driedger and Kennard, 1986). The Wallowa Mountains host 131 glaciers and perennial snowfields covering 1.5 km 2 , which vary in elevation from 2,280 to 2,881 m with a mean of 2,625 m. The largest and only named feature is the Benson Glacier, most likely the only actual glacier in the range. Between 1907 and 2004 the seven largest glaciers on Mt. Hood lost 34% of their area on average, retreating through the first half of the 20th century, 392 Glaciers and perennial snowfields of the U.S. Cordillera advancing or at least slowing their retreat dramatically in the 1960s and 1970s, and then retreating again, in some cases rapidly (Lillquist and Walker 2006, Jackson and Fountain 2007). The glaciers with significant debris cover in the ablation zone retreated more slowly than the other glaciers, with the debris cover presumably buffering the glacier from increasing temperatures by thickening when the mass balance is negative (Jackson and Fountain 2007). Collier Glacier on North and Middle Sisters has lost over 50% of its area since 1900, but its retreat may have been exacerbated due to topographic factors (McDonald 1995). Therefore, change in the glaciers of Mt. Hood is presumably more representative of the rest of the Cascades. There is little documentation of glacier change in the Wallowa Mountains, but Benson Glacier lost over half of its area between 1920 and 1992 (Skovlin et al. 2001). 17.4.7 Washington Both major mountain ranges in Washington are populated with glaciers, the Cascade Range and the Olympic Mountains. The Cascade Range is characterized by large stratovolcanoes, Mt. Rainier being the tallest at 4,392 m, and in the north, by rugged mountains with high relief. The Olympic Mountains occupy an area about 80 km on a side on the Olympic Peninsula in western Washington. Washington’s climate, like Oregon’s, is characterized by wet winters and dry summers. The Cascade Range and the Olympic Mountains receive extensive winter snowfall, commonly 2 m w.e. or more (LaChapelle 1965; Meier and Tangborn 1965). The western Olympic Mountains are the wettest place in the contiguous U.S. Winter air temperatures are commonly near freezing such that a small change in air temperature can cause precipitation to occur as rain instead of snow, thus making snowpacks and glaciers vulnerable to climatic warming (Mote et al. 2005). Washington is the second most glaciated state in the U.S.A. (after Alaska) with 3,079 glaciers and perennial snowfields covering 449 km 2 , six times that of the third most ice-covered state of Wyoming. The Cascade Range contains 2,693 features covering 412 km 2 . Mt. Rainier, one of the major Cascade volcanoes and featured in a case study below, concentrates the largest ice-covered area, 88 km 2 . The largest glacier in the state is Emmons Glacier (10.5 km 2 ) on Mt. Rainier. The Olympic Mountains are closest to the coast and host 386 features covering 37 km 2 . In the North Cascades, glacier area decreased by 7% from 1958 to 1998 (Granshaw and Fountain 2006). Percentage-wise, smaller glaciers lost significantly more area than larger glaciers. The wellstudied South Cascade Glacier shrank by 22% during the same time period (e.g., Bidlake et al., 2007) while the Blue Glacier in Olympic National Park saw a terminus retreat of 2% between 1957 and 1997 (Conway et al. 1999). During the period 1940–1990 six glaciers on Mt. Baker fluctuated between the following three phases: (1) rapid retreat in the 1940s through 1950s; (2) a period of stable or advancing glaciers until about 1980; (3) retreat through 1990 (Harper 1993; Fountain et al. 2007a, b). The glaciers on Mount Rainier decreased in area by 21% between 1913 and 1994 (Nylen 2004). Southern Washington’s Mt. Adams is another large glacier-clad stratovolcano. Sitts et al. (2010) examined the area change of Adams 12 glaciers during the 20th century using historical topographic maps and aerial photos. Total glacier area decreased 49% (31.5 to 16.2 km 2 ) from 1904 to 2006. The glaciers retreated during the first half of the 20th century, then either slowed their retreat or advanced from the 1960s to the 1990s. Subsequently, the glaciers resumed their rapid retreat. Glaciers on Mt. Adams show similar trends to those on Mt. Hood and Mt. Rainier. Sitts et al. (2010) discerned a correlation between area change and trends in winter precipitation and summer temperature, but they concluded that century-scale shrinkage trends since the end of the Little Ice Age (late 19th century) have been driven mainly by rising summer temperatures. Decadal-scale oscillations in winter precipitation appear to modulate (enhance or diminish) the effects of temperature on glacier change, according to the authors. Three local temperature records that they examined showed substantially increased warming rates begin around the 1980s; that climatic shift is thought responsible for the rapid retreat of Mt. Adams’ glaciers starting during the late 20th century. Sitts et al. (2010) noted similar trends in Colorado (Hoffman et al. 2007) and Montana (Key et al. 2002). The eruption of Mt. St. Helens on May 18, 1980, removed the Loowit and Leschi Glaciers, and beheaded the other glaciers on the mountain (Brugman and Post 1981) such that these glaciers have disappeared in the years since (Schilling et al. 2004). The resulting north-facing crater has accumulated Results snow and protective layers of rock debris over the years such that brand-new Crater Glacier is now the largest on Mt. St. Helens at 1 km 2 (Schilling et al. 2004) and the newest in the American Cordillera, if not North America. Crater Glacier, despite the fact that it continues to grow, occurs entirely below its climatic equilibrium line altitude, a feat made possible by the abundant windblown and avalanched snow and rock debris contributed by the unstable crater walls. 17.4.8 Wyoming Wyoming hosts four distinct glacierized mountain ranges, the Wind River, the Absaroka, the Teton, and the Bighorn Mountains, all of which are part of the Central Rocky Mountains. The Wind River Range spans roughly 200 km along the continental divide in west-central Wyoming, and covers about 9,800 km 2 . The range forms a major orographic barrier, rising roughly 2,000 m from base to crest (e.g., Gannett Peak 4,209 m) creating a deep precipitation shadow to the east. The Absaroka Range in northwestern Wyoming runs about 150 km south from the Montana border, and is roughly 100 km wide. The range rises about 2,000 m from its base to a height of 4,000 m at Francs Peak. The Teton Range is a small range about 100 km from north to south situated just east of the Wyoming–Idaho border. The Tetons rise nearly 2,200 m from Jackson Hole to elevations near 4,200 m. The Bighorn Mountains are located in north-central Wyoming, covering about 150 km from north to south and reaching 4,000 m in elevation. The climate in Wyoming is continental with cold winters, warm summers, and low precipitation from Pacific maritime air masses (Bair 1985). In the Wind River Range, winter air temperatures average about 9 C and summers about 8 C. Annual w.e. precipitation ranges from 200 mm at lower elevations to almost 1,000 mm at higher elevations, with the majority occurring in winter as snowfall (Wolken 2000). Wyoming’s mountains contain 1,477 glaciers and perennial snowfields totaling 72.1 km 2 , of which 114 are larger than 0.1 km 2 . The mean elevation of these features ranges from 2,693 m to 4,205 m, with an overall mean elevation of 3,368 m. The Wind River Range holds 76% of the ice-covered area (679 features), the Absaroka Range has 13% (506 features), the Teton Range contains 10% (276 features), and the Bighorn Mountains account for 1% (16 features). The largest glaciers are found in 393 the Wind River Range, including 82 features larger than 0.1 km 2 , 25 of Wyoming’s 38 named glaciers, and the largest glacier in the continental U.S. outside Washington State, Gannett Glacier (3.3 km 2 ) (Pochop et al., 1990). Since the end of the Little Ice Age the glaciers of the Wind River Range have generally retreated (e.g., Wentworth and Delo 1931, Meier 1951, Marston et al. 1991, Pochop et al. 1989, Wolken 2000). The trend of retreat is similar to trends observed in Montana and Colorado. A subset of 22 Wind River Range glaciers lost 42% of their area over the 20th century (Devisser and Fountain, submitted). 17.4.9 Advancing glaciers The vast majority of glaciers in the contiguous U.S.A. are retreating, as has been shown here. Certainly all glaciers first documented around 1900 are smaller now. Over the last 20 years or so some glaciers have either maintained a quasi-steady position while a few others have advanced. These cases reflect local circumstances rather than regional/global climate conditions. An extreme case is Crater Glacier in the crater of Mt. St. Helens, Washington. After the volcano erupted in the spring of 1980, a large, north-facing crater was formed. Snow and rockfall collected at the crater bottom and its north-facing orientation shaded this accumulation such that it formed a glacier. The glacier has been thickening and advancing towards the crater opening (Schilling et al. 2004). A less clear situation is represented by the northeast-facing glaciers of Mt. Shasta in northern California. Two glaciers, Hotlum and Whitney, have been advancing since the 1940s after a rapid retreat in the prior two decades (Howat et al., 2007). Since the 1970s the advance has slowed greatly. Howat et al (2007) showed that glacier advance is due to anomalously high winter snowfall that more than compensated for the increased summer melt due to climate warming. They predict, however, that continued warming will reverse the glacier behavior in the coming decades. We note that the glaciers on the stratovolcanoes of the Cascade Range (California north through Washington), particularly those on north and east-facing glaciers, have remained relatively steady or have retreated little in the past few decades (Nylen 2004, Jackson and Fountain 2007, Sitts et al. 2010). This finding corresponds to the findings of Howat et al. (2007) on Mt. Shasta. In contrast, as 394 Glaciers and perennial snowfields of the U.S. Cordillera this chapter shows, glaciers elsewhere have retreated extensively. The stratovolcanoes reach elevations much higher than that of the surrounding mountain range. Enhanced snowfall in winter and year-round cool temperatures buffer against increased summer melt such that the glaciers have not receded as much as glaciers elsewhere in the surrounding mountain range. 17.5 CASE STUDIES USING ASTER 17.5.1 Grinnell Glacier, Glacier National Park, Montana Key et al. (2002) presented a detailed overview and specific case studies of the status and recent changes of glaciers in Glacier National Park, Montana, U.S.A., including a 143-year-long time series for Grinnell Glacier. The fifth largest glacier in the park, with an area of 0.88 km 2 as of 1993, it is just a remnant of what it was in 1850. Hall and Fagre (2003) found that, from 1850 to 1979, glaciers in the Blackfoot–Jackson Glacier Basin in the park decreased from 21.6 to 7.4 km 2 , a two thirds decrease, which is about the same change as for Grinnell Glacier. The extent of Grinnell Glacier was updated using ASTER for 2003. We interpolated their 143-year time series every 40 years for 1850, 1890, 1930, and 1970, and superposed those outlines on an ASTER image from July 29, 2003 (Fig. 17.2). About one century ago, Grinnell Glacier separated into two distinct ice bodies, leaving the small, perched ice apron known as the Salamander Glacier (Fig. 17.3A, D). In front of the Grinnell, as shown well in spectacular photos by John Scurlock and Karen Holzer (Fig. 17.3 and Online Supplements 17.3A, 17.3B, and 17.3C), a lake has formed. The combined area of Grinnell Glacier and the Salamander now is about 1.1 km 2 , roughly a 62% loss since 1850. Of the two remnant pieces, the Salamander has been relatively stable since the detachment occurred, whereas Grinnell Glacier continues to retreat. The color-saturated version of John Scurlock’s photo (Fig. 17.3B) shows patches of vegetation developing on the glacial moraines. By comparing his photo with the ASTER image (Fig. 17.2) and the interpolated time series of Key et al. (2002), it can be seen that thin and discontinuous vegetation has developed on moraine surfaces and bedrock that became ice free around 1930 and before. Denser and more continuous vegetation occurs on surfaces whose ice-free conditions predate the 1850 moraine. Karen Holzer’s photo (Online Supplement 17.3C) shows a different perspective of Grinnell Glacier and reveals the glacier-sculpted mountains nearby, Figure 17.2. Time series of Grinnell Glacier’s shrinking extent from 1850 to 2003 (data to 1970, Key et al. 2002). Time series data have been interpolated every 40 years and warped to fit an ASTER VNIR RGB321 false-color image acquired in 2003. Figure can also be viewed as Online Supplement 17.2. Case studies using ASTER 395 Figure 17.3. Photo of Grinnell Glacier and the Salamander, Glacier National Park, taken in 2009 by John Scurlock (A), then color-saturated to highlight vegetation patterns (B), and cropped to show glacier details (C, D). See Online Supplement 17.3A for a high-resolution version of this figure, Online Supplement 17.3B for Scurlock’s original image, and Online Supplement 17.3C for one acquired by Karen Holzer (USGS) in 2006. Grinnell Glacier 1,600 m left to right. shaped by far more extensive and peak-capping Pleistocene glaciers. Glaciers in Glacier National Park are small and receive snow from wind transport, avalanches off steep headwalls, and from direct snowfall. As the glaciers retreat deeper into the cirque basins and small, heavily shadowed niches along the headwall, the indirect sources of snow become increasingly important relative to direct snowfall (Basagic and Fountain 2011). 17.5.2 Glacier changes on Mt. Rainier, Washington, assessed using ASTER and MASTER multispectral and thermal imagery 17.5.2.1 Background Glaciers on Mt. Rainier (4,392 m), a dormant volcano in the Cascade Range of Washington, exhibit a stellar array of glaciers as shown in an International Space Station image (Fig. 17.4). These 396 Glaciers and perennial snowfields of the U.S. Cordillera Figure 17.4. (A) Mt. Rainier glaciers, International Space Station image ISS017E010110 (not orthorectified). (B) Outlines for north-facing glaciers on orthorectified ASTER 321RGB false-color composite (image acquired August 20, 2010). Outlines for Carbon and Winthrop Glaciers obtained from other recent ASTER images; Emmons outline extracted from this image. Note the relative rotation of the images (north arrow). Figure can also be viewed as Online Supplement 17.4. glaciers are important for their role as signposts of climate change (Burbank 1982, Nylen 2004, Oerlemans 2005), freshwater resources (Fountain and Tangborn 1985, Jansson et al. 2003), and hazards due to glacier outburst floods (Fountain and Walder 1998, Walder and Driedger 1993). Pyroclastic volcanism and hydrothermal alteration has produced weak, fractured rocks, glacial erosion has incised rugged valleys, and glacier thinning and retreat has debuttressed lateral moraines and spine-like arêtes. With so much poorly consolidated rock arranged with precarious support, landslides, rockfalls, and debris flows generate enormous amounts of supraglacial debris. The hazard regime is similar in some respects to that posed by Mt. Ruapehu, New Zealand, another stratovolcano (Chapter 29 of this book by Chinn et al.). Though the hazardous processes are mainly different from those of the Cordillera Blanca, Peru and the Himalaya, some of the advanced methodologies outlined Case studies using ASTER 397 by Kargel et al. (2011) potentially could be developed for monitoring of Mt. Rainier, and lessons learned from Mt. Rainier could be applied to other ice-capped volcanoes near population centers. Mount Rainier is recognized as the Cascades’ most dangerous volcano (Walder and Driedger 1993, Hoblitt et al. 1998, Vallance et al. 2003) due to the proximity of a large human population vulnerable to eruptive activities. Several population centers are built directly on debris flow deposits dating from the last five millennia. Although a minor eruption occurred in the mid 19th century (Crandell 1971, Scott et al. 1995) most of the dangerous mass flows appear linked to collapses of glacial moraines and hydrothermally altered rock associated with and mobilized by glacier outburst floods or rainfall/snowmelt events. Given the extreme and long-term hazards posed by Mount Rainier, a sustained monitoring program has been established. Glacier outburst and rainfall-induced floods from Little Tahoma Glacier, and other outburst floods have frequently modified many drainages, most notably Kautz Creek and Nisqually River, during historical time (Driedger and Fountain 1989, Walder and Driedger 1993). During November 4–6, 2006, a rainfall-induced flood produced numerous debris flows around the mountain (Copeland 2009). Flow initiations were close to glacier termini suggesting that rapid runoff from the glaciers in combination with the unstable and steep moraine embankments were the triggers. We might expect that, as Rainier’s glaciers further recede, future debris flows will be initiated at higher elevations and on possibly steeper gradients. Clearly, monitoring of Mount Rainier’s glaciers and documentation of their recent fluctuations in the contexts of climate change, volcanic eruptions, outburst floods, and mass movements is important. Here we offer a remote-sensing case study of three glaciers on Mt. Rainier (Carbon, Winthrop, and Emmons), and document their length and debriscover variation, and associated wastage and mass movements. 17.5.2.2 Methods Imagery used for this study includes ASTER orthorectified scaled radiance data (data product: AST14DMO), which is a NASA Earth Observing System (EOS) Level 3 data product that incorporates calibrated radiometric and geometric coefficient corrections (Kargel et al. 2005). Addition- ally, the imagery is terrain-corrected using an ASTER-derived digital elevation model, and is mapped onto the UTM coordinate system. The final product includes 15 orthorectified ASTER calibrated scaled radiance images, one per band, having 8-bit DN units (King et al. 2003). Most images selected were cloud free and acquired during the mid to late ablation season, thereby minimizing the occurrence of snowfields and snow patches. ASTER VNIR bands 3, 2, and 1 were stacked into standard false-color composite (FCC) image cubes (using ERDAS IMAGINE 9.3) and projected into band 321 RGB color space for evaluation and analysis. The spatial resolution of VNIR bands is 15 m. Glacier extents for 21st century ASTER images were determined by manual digitizing on FCC imagery; 20th century extents were extracted by Nylen (2004), and all glacier extents subsequently compiled and draped onto ASTER image bases (Fig. 17.5). Temporal and spatial changes in glacier termini position were then determined following Giffen et al. (see Chapter 11 of this book). Briefly, a downglacier flow vector is defined and a parallel line is drawn, perpendicular to the flow vector, at the farthest downvalley extent of the terminus for each temporal position of the terminus (Fig. 17.5A). The distance between these lines defines change in terminus position. All glacier extent measurements and metric baselines were generated within a geographic information system (GIS) (ArcGIS 9.3). Land cover classifications for Carbon, Winthrop, and Emmons Glaciers quantified total glacier area and fraction of debris cover. Glacier extent was determined by manual digitizing on a single 2008 ASTER FCC image (VNIR bands 321RGB), creating polygons for each glacier (Fig. 17.5A). Glacier polygons were then used to clip a subset image from the ASTER FCC. Initially, a simple DN threshold of single-band clipped images was applied, although it does not accurately discriminate between dirty ice and debris-free ice, particularly where small clean ice zones were embedded within heavily debriscovered ice. An unsupervised ISODATA classification (Jensen 2005) using the multispectral (bands 321) FCC yielded a faster and more robust approach; defining, more accurately, the rich spectrum of ice and debris facies occurring on the glaciers. ISODATA clustering algorithms typically require pre-classification inputs including (1) the maximum number of clusters to be identified, (2) threshold value specifying minimum percentage of unchanged pixel classification assignments between iterations before a forced termination, and (3) the 398 Glaciers and perennial snowfields of the U.S. Cordillera Figure 17.5. Glacier extent time series for Mt. Rainier’s north and northeast-facing glaciers on ASTER 321RGB false-color composites. Glacier extents for the 20th century are from Nylen (2004); 21st century extents are from this work using ASTER imagery. (A) Carbon Glacier showing termini extent measurement method. Note slight advance 1994 to 2002 (ASTER images: September 24, 2002 and September 30, 2010). (B) Winthrop Glacier showing 1913 to 1971/1994 advance, followed by recession into this century (ASTER images: July 27, 2004 and August 23, 2008). (C) Emmons Glacier indicating large 1913 to 1971 recession and formation of vegetated detached ice-cored lobe, followed by advance and minor retreat to the present day. The detached lobe of Emmons Glacier remained ice-cored in places as of 2005 (ASTER images: July 27, 2004 and August 20, 2010). maximum number of iterations before the algorithm is forced to terminate (Jensen 2005). For Mt. Rainier, 10 classes were identified, with a 95% unchanged pixel threshold, and a maximum of 6 iterations. The algorithm typically terminated after three to four iterations because it met the unchanged pixel threshold. Post-classification assignments of land cover class were determined by the user and grouped into four general classes: ice, ice–debris, debris–ice, debris (Fig. 17.6B), representing glacier facies spanning pure ice and pure debris cover, with variable mixtures in between. The two ‘‘debris’’ classes were merged to establish total debris cover for each glacier (Fig. 17.6C), and the area and percent debris cover were calculated within the GIS (note that total debris cover of Carbon Glacier includes the two debris classes plus the darkest debris–ice class in the classification scale). A simple analysis of change was conducted across Rainier’s north-facing glaciers. The image pair was selected for quality (i.e., cloud-free, low-band saturation) and as close as possible to the same calendar date to minimize the effects of variable diurnal, seasonal, and phenological influences. In this case images were acquired on July 27, 2004 and August 23, 2008, representing a difference of about 4 years. A few notable change features identified within the difference image indicate the utility of this technique (Fig. 17.7). Co-registration of pre-subtraction image pairs was accomplished by automated generation of numerous (>100) ground control points (GCPs) between images (ENVI software). GCPs that contributed the highest RMS errors to the image warp were sequentially deleted; and co-registration of the image pair was acceptable when RMSEs of <0.5 pixel were generated for a first-order polynomial transformation fit between images (see Chapter 4 for further details of this method). The images were differenced (the latest minus the earliest) using the ERDAS IMAGINE modeler. Changing terminus positions since 1913 for Mt. Rainier’s north to northeast-facing glaciers are shown in Fig. 17.8 and Table 17.1. Burbank (1982) presented a much longer set of time series of moraine positions for some other glaciers. The changing area of debris cover for Mt. Rainier’s Case studies using ASTER 399 Figure 17.6. (A). Mt. Rainier north and northeast-facing glaciers on ASTER 321RGB false-color composite (image acquired August 20, 2010). (B) Unsupervised (ISODATA) classification, and post-classification assignment of glacial land cover classes. Classes indicate glacier facies grading from near pure ice to complete debris cover (debris thicknesses are unknown). (C) Grouped debris cover classes for Winthrop and Emmons Glaciers; and grouped debris classes plus one debris–ice class for Carbon Glacier (panel B legend). Figure can also be viewed as Online Supplement 17.5. Figure 17.7. Winthrop Glacier, Mt. Rainier. (A) Pre-debris flow ASTER 321RGB false-color composite (July 27, 2004). (B) Post-debris flow ASTER 321RGB FCC (August 23, 2008). Note the significant widening of the west fork of the White River where material from the November 4–6 debris flow denuded vegetation adjacent to the stream channel. (C) Differenced image (2008 minus 2004) highlights stream widening. Note further the dark-black patches (bottom and center right of image) where 2004 snow patches are subtracted from areas with no snow in 2008; white patches (bottom center) where 2004 debris areas are subtracted from 2008 snow patches. Yellow circle represents he presumed proglacial pond initiation site of the 2006 debris flow (Copeland 2009). Figure can also be viewed as Online Supplement 17.6. 400 Glaciers and perennial snowfields of the U.S. Cordillera Figure 17.8. Mt. Rainier’s north-facing glacier terminus extents since 1913. Table 17.1. Mt. Rainier’s north-facing glacier termini extents since 1913 a. Year a Carbon Winthrop Emmons Absolute (m) Cumulative (m) Absolute (m) Cumulative (m) Absolute (m) Cumulative (m) 1913 0 0 0 0 0 0 1971 73 73 150 150 1,668 1,668 1994 189 116 136 14 1,066 602 2002 152 37 — — — — 2004 — — 158 294 973 93 2008 — — 136 22 — — 2010 205 — — 1011 53 38 20th century measurements (Nylen 2004), 21st century measurements (this work—ASTER based). north-facing glaciers is given in Table 17.2 and illustrated in Fig. 17.9. Several MODIS/ASTER Airborne Simulator (MASTER) images were acquired with an oblique perspective over Mt. Rainier in 2001. MASTER imagery includes 50 spectral channels ranging from the visible through the thermal infrared (Hook et al. 2001). Since the MASTER sensor platform is airborne and has oblique look geometry, spatial resolution is variable ranging from 12 to 50 m; radiometric resolution is 16-bit. One mid-ablation season VNIR/SWIR/TIR image, acquired on August 26, 2001, was processed and analyzed for surface temperatures and detection of temperature below, at, and above the ice-melting point (Fig. 17.10). We have not georegistered or orthorectified the MASTER image data, but we use the imagery simply to show buffering of the surface temperature at the melting point across the glacier and snow covered areas, except for a small area near the summit (which is colder than the melting point) and the most heavily debris-covered areas, which are warmer. Nonglacier areas of exposed rock and vegetation are much warmer than the melting point. Thus, almost all of the glacier areas were melting, almost to the summit, at the time the image was acquired. Continuously but thinly debris-covered areas of the glacier are buffered near the melting Case studies using ASTER 401 Table 17.2. Mt. Rainier’s north-facing glacier debris cover since 1913 a. Year a Carbon Winthrop Emmons km 2 Fractional area (%) km 2 Fractional area (%) km 2 Fractional area (%) 1913 5.6 66 2.1 14 1.3 10 1971 3.4 42 2.3 24 3.1 28 1994 3.6 45 2.85 31 3.4 30 2010 3.6 50 3.4 38 3.5 32 20th century measurements (Nylen 2004), 21st century measurements (this work—ASTER based). Figure 17.9. Mt. Rainier’s north-facing glacier debris cover since 1913 (see Fig. 17.2). point, suggesting the potential utility of thermal imaging to assist glacier mapping (Taschner and Ranzi 2002, Ranzi et al. 2004); however, thermalmapping approaches to date have not fully adequately accounted for the heat capacity of debris layers thicker than one or two centimeters, and so further development of these approaches is needed. Excellent AVIRIS image cubes are also available for Mt. Rainier; the latest scene was acquired July 19, 1996. Crowley and Zimbelman (1997) used an AVIRIS cube to investigate the mineralogy of Mt. Rainier, though they did not examine glaciers. 17.5.2.3 Historic changes of Mt. Rainier’s glaciers From the 1850s through the 1970s Mt. Rainier’s glaciers lost mass with average thinning of 43 m w.e. (Burbank 1982). Little mass change occurred from 1892 to 1910, but from 1910 to 1979 the mass balance averaged 0.47 m yr 1 w.e. Ice volume shrank by 25% between 1913 and 1994, averaging 0.09 km 3 lost per glacier (Nylen 2004). Sisson et al. (2011) determined a 14% ice volume loss on Mt. Rainier between elevation surveys in 1970 and 2007/2008. From 1913 to 2008 the average terminus position of 10 glaciers (Fig. 17.4A) retreated by 14.7 m yr 1 (Nylen 2004, Copeland 2009). The two most heavily debris-covered north-facing glaciers, Carbon and Winthrop, retreated little, 1.8 m yr 1 during 1913 to 2010 (Figs. 17.5 and 17.8; Table 17.1); the remaining eight glaciers, those having southerly or less northerly aspects and generally less debris coverage, retreated an average of 17.9 m yr 1 . Nylen et al. (2004) shows a strong inverse correlation between debris cover and retreat rate, 402 Glaciers and perennial snowfields of the U.S. Cordillera Figure 17.10. MASTER image acquired August 26, 2001 (oblique view, not georegistered or orthorectified) of Mt. Rainier. (A) Band 753RGB false-color composite (equivalent to ASTER 321RGB). (B) MASTER band 47-7-1 (equivalent to ASTER 14-3-1 RGB). (C) MASTER band 48 (equivalent to ASTER TIR band 14), showing nearfreezing areas as moderate gray, colder areas as dark, and warmer as white. Figure can also be viewed as Online Supplement 17.7. with the less debris-covered glaciers retreating far more rapidly than the heavily debris-covered ones; clearly, debris cover provides a net protective role against ablation. Emmons Glacier has advanced in recent decades (Figs. 17.5C and 17.8) since a large rockfall event in 1963 that deposited debris onto the glacier (Driedger, 1986) this probably acts to reduce ablation. Wastage of Mt. Rainier’s glaciers is a response to climate warming that increases melt in summer and increases the probability of precipitation falling as rain rather than snow (Nylen 2004, Mote et al. Summary and conclusions 403 Figure 17.11. Record of surface area for Blue Glacier excluding Snow Dome, a region of ice connected to Blue Glacier, over the past 94 years. The period of advance between 1960 and 1980 is clearly evident, as is the return to the previous rate of retreat. ASTER imagery indicates that the retreat shown in Fig. 17.12 after 1990 continued from 2002 to 2010 at about the same rate. 2005). Geothermal heat is not considered an important factor affecting glacier size. The most geothermally active parts of the volcano are in the caldera and perhaps along the caldera rim. In some spots melting due to geothermal input approaches or exceeds local snowfall. An elaborate system of ice caves containing fumaroles has been mapped (Zimbelman et al. 2000). Geothermal heat along the flanks of the volcano are low, probably inconsequential. 17.5.3 ASTER and field studies of Blue Glacier, Olympic Mountains, Washington Blue Glacier has been monitored since 1939 (Armstrong 1989, Conway et al. 1999) and field monitoring and frequent airborne surveys have been conducted by the University of Washington, the U.S. Geological Survey, National Park Service, and more recently by Portland State University. Blue Glacier has retreated for most of the past 94 years, except for a small readvance from 1960 to 1980 and a brief period of terminus stability from 1980 to 1985 (Fig. 17.11; Spicer et al. 1986, Conway et al. 1999). Retreat resumed after 1985 and has continued through the ASTER era to the present (2012). From 2002 to 2010 images (Fig. 17.12), the retreat of Blue Glacier’s terminus was 93 20 m (about 11 m yr 1 ), almost the same average rate as Conway et al. (1999) indicate—14 m yr 1 —for the period 1985–1997. The fluctuations in retreat history—including the advance from 1960 to 1980, indicate that this glacier is not now responding to the end of the Little Ice Age; rather, retreat is a response to more recent climatic fluctuations, including an overall pattern of nearly a century of retreat that is consistent with the effects of a general warming climate (Fig. 17.12). Recent studies of the change in glacier surface areas for all perennial snow and ice masses in the Olympic Mountains suggests that this rate of retreat is continuing. 17.6 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS Glaciers in the western U.S.A. are in a state of overwhelming dominant retreat and thinning. Retreat in some regions is faster than others, probably due to the interaction of several issues in- 404 Glaciers and perennial snowfields of the U.S. Cordillera Figure 17.12. ASTER VNIR band 321 false-color composite image of glaciers in the Olympic Mountains, Washington, U.S.A., including Blue Glacier, northwards (up) from the center of the top image. Snow in these images is white; exposures of recrystallized glacier ice are bluish; exposed rock and soil (including debris-mantled ice) is dark (almost black as processed here); and vegetation is red. The bottom set of three images, acquired in different years but within the summer season, highlights the difficulty of acquiring images at minimum snow cover. In the July 11, 2002 scene (lower left), the previous winter’s snow still mantles almost the whole glacier area, and snowfields exist well beyond the glacier limits. In the middle panel, acquired July 30, 2009, snow is at about the minimum extent; and in the panel at lower right (September 3, 2010), snow again covers much of the glacier’s surfaces, but snowfields external to the glacier are few. Despite transient snowfields persisting into the summer, changes in the terminus position have been assessed. Figure can also be viewed in higher resolution as Online Supplement 17.8. cluding altitude, debris cover, and glacier size. The response time of glaciers in the region varies from under a decade to over a century. Blue Glacier (Olympic Mountains) is a fast responder due to its high mass throughput and steep slope; its length, area, and volume fluctuation history indicates that it is responding to decadal climate fluctuations as well as local long-term warming in the 20th–21st centuries, which is probably related to greenhouse gas–driven global warming. Heavily debris-covered glaciers (such as those of Mt. Rainier) retreat less rapidly than debris-free glaciers due to the insulating effects of the debris. Smaller cirque-type glaciers can be relatively climate insensitive due to local effects of solar shadowing and additional snow accumulation via avalanches. A few glaciers are not retreating, such as Whitney Glacier on Mt. Shasta and the brand new Crater Glacier in Mt. St. Helens. These two exceptions to the overall trend are certainly unusual. For Whitney Glacier the advance is ascribed to locally enhanced snow accumulation, and for Crater Glacier it occupies a newly formed north-facing crater due to the eruption of Mt. St. Helens. Conventional application of ASTER imagery to the glaciers in Glacier National Park and Mt. Rainier has proven useful. Of particular interest is the application of MASTER airborne imagery in the References 405 near infrared to thermal infrared wavelengths to distinguish thinly debris-covered ice from ice-free debris and thick debris cover over ice. 17.7 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ASTER data courtesy of NASA/GSFC/METI/ Japan Space Systems, the U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team, and the GLIMS project. 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