Empirical Analysis on Influencing Factors to the Capital Structure of GEM Board Listed Companies in China Shi-chang Lu , Xue Luo 1 College of Business Administration, Liaoning Technical University, Huludao, China (lorna881123@126.com) Abstract- Taking the GEM (Growth Enterprises Market) Board listed company in China as research subjects, using factor analysis and regression analysis methods, this article analyzes influencing factors of the capital structures. The result shows that: there is negative relationship between the operation situation, operation security, operation efficiency and capital structure, that is, the profitability, cash flow, debt-paying ability and operating ability of the company are negatively related to capital structure; while there is positive relationship between operating prospect, operating ability and capital structure, that is, the scale, growth potential and mortgage assets are positively related to capital structure. Keywords- Capital structure, factor analysis, GEM Board, influencing factors, regression analysis I. INTRODUCTION The purpose of establishing GEM Board in China is to promote the development of enterprises which have potentials and are technically innovative. As one layer of China’s stock market, it has common features and functions [1]. Meanwhile, as a relatively independent market, it plays a special role. Therefore, choosing GEM Board listed companies as research subjects and analyzing the influencing factors of capital structure have realistic meaning and research value. II. LITERATURE REVIEW The factors which influence the capital structure are as follows: the scale, profitability, growth potential, asset structure and internal resources of the company. There are three points of view on the relationship between company scale and capital structure: Zuo-ping Xiao (2004) holds the idea that they are positively related [2], Zheng-fei Lu and Yu Xin (1998) think the relationship is not obvious [3], JuanWang and Feng-lin Yang (2002) think they are negatively related [4]. As to the relationship between profitability and capital structure, Xi-xi Hong, Yi-fen Shen (2000) and Nian-cheng Tong (2010) agree they are positively related [5] while Zheng-fei Lu and Yu Xin (1998), Min-jian Hu and Qing-zhen Zhu (2011) think they are negatively related [6]. To the relationship between growth potential and capital structure, Zhe-bin Zhang, Shao-xing Zhu [7], Jian-zhong Wu (2000) and Wei Wang (2011) think they are positively related [8], Xi-xi Hong, Yi-feng Shen (2000) and Shao-biao Yuan (2011) [9] agree the relationship is not obvious, Gen-xiang Shen and Ping-fang Zhu (1999) [10], Zuo-ping Xiao and Shi-nong Wu (2002) [11] think they are negatively related. To the relationship between asset structure and capital structure, Zheng-fei Lu and Yu Xin (1998), Rui-yu Liu and Fei Ye (2011) think they are positively related [12]. To the relationship between internal resources and capital structure, Jing-jing Zhang (2004) and Nian-cheng Tong (2011) think they are negatively related [13]. The above results indicate that scholars’ opinions vary. Therefore, this article aims to find out the factors which influence the capital structure of China’s GEM Board listed companies so as to promote their development. III. ANALYSIS ON INFLUENCING FACTORS A. Sample Choice and Data Source On October 30, 2009, China’s first group companies in GEM went on the market in Shenzhen Stock Exchange. By February 24, 2012, 291 companies have been listed in GEM.We choose 100 companies at random as our research subjects, among which one company has been ruled out because of illegal operation and eight companies are eliminated because of losing parts of the data. Therefore, 91 companies are left to be research subjects. B. Variable Illustration Based on the scholars’ researches, combined with features of these companies and their capital structures, we analyze the influencing factors according to the following financial index [14]. TABLE I VARIABLE DESIGH Variable Dependent Variable Independent Variable Definition Method Capital Assets-liabilities Structure Ratio Natural Logarithm of Total Assets Company Natural Scale Logarithm of Main Business Revenue Main Business Profit Margins Total Assets Profitability Profit Margins Net Assets Profit Margins Total Assets Growth Rate Growth Main Business Potential Revenue Growth Rate Debt-paying Liquidity Ratio Y Calculation Formula Annual Total Debts in the end/Annual Total Assets in the end X1 Ln(Total Assets) X2 Ln(Main Business Revenue) X3 Main Business Profit / Main Business Revenue X4 Net Profit/Total Assets X5 Net Profit/Net Assets X6 X7 X8 Annual Asset Growth/Last Year’s Total Assets in the end (Annual Main Business Revenue-Last Year’s Main Business Revenue)Main Business Revenue in the end Current Asset in the end / Current Liability in the end Ability Quick Ratio Return Rate of Operating Cash Net Operating Cash Flow for Per-share Inventory Turnover Ratio Total Assets Turnover Ratio Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio Fixed Assets Ratio Cash Flow Operation Ability Asset Structure Mortgage Assets Ratio X9 (Current Asset-Stock in the end)/ Current Liability in the end X10 Net Flow of Operating Cash /Total Assets X11 Net Operating Cash Flow /Number of Common Stock X12 Annual Main Business Cost/ X13 Annual Main Business Revenue /Annual Average Total Assets X14 Annual Main Business Revenue /Annual Accounts Receivable Balance X15 Fixed Assets in the end/Total Assets in the end X16 (Fixed Assets in the end +Inventory)/ Total Assets in the end C. Empirical Research a. Factor Analysis (a) Determine if the variables are suitable for factor analysis 12 0.085 0.532 99.253 13 0.065 0.406 99.659 14 0.043 0.266 99.925 15 0.011 0.071 99.996 16 0.001 0.004 100.000 From the table, we can see eigenvalues of 5 factors are bigger than one and their cumulative contribution rates of variance are bigger than 80%. So we can explain it using 5 factors instead of 16. (c) Factor Variable Naming Explained TABLE IV ROTATED COPONENT MATRIX TABLE II KMO AND BARTLETT’S TEST Variable Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin Test 0.539 Approximate Chi Square 1766.962 df 120 Sig. 0.000 Bartlett Sphericity Test From the above table, based on Kaiser’s test, it seems that it isn’t suitable for factor analysis because its KMO is 0.539. But its obvious probability of BST is 0.000, which is 0.05 lower than obvious level. It is suitable for this analysis. Therefore, we think the 16 indicators are suitable for factor analysis. (b) Establish Factor Variable TABLE III TOTAL VARIANCE EXPLAINED Initial Eigenvalues Extraction of Square and Loading Component Total Variance Contribution Rate% Cumulative Contribution Rate% Variance Contribution Rate % Cumulative Contribution Rate% 1 3.755 23.470 23.470 3.451 21.567 21.567 2 3.464 21.653 45.123 2.781 17.378 38.945 3 2.669 16.682 61.805 2.644 16.524 55.469 4 1.459 9.119 70.924 2.409 15.058 70.527 5 1.306 8.164 79.088 1.370 8.562 79.088 6 0.907 5.668 84.756 7 0.756 4.725 89.481 8 0.621 3.884 93.365 9 0.422 2.638 96.003 10 0.311 1.946 97.949 11 0.123 0.772 98.720 Total Factor 1 2 3 4 5 Ln Total Assets 0.122 0.813 0.074 -0.489 -0.060 Ln Main Business Revenue 0.048 0.858 -0.283 -0.139 -0.030 Main Business Profit Margins 0.716 -0.168 0.461 -0.092 -0.180 Total Assets Profit Margins 0.911 0.125 -0.055 0.013 -0.165 Net Assets Profit Margins 0.812 0.311 -0.230 0.023 -0.186 Total Assets Growth Rate -0.033 0.778 0.189 -0.173 0.036 Main Business Revenue Growth Rate 0.270 0.795 0.022 0.075 0.004 Liquidity Ratio 0.068 -0.285 0.884 -0.034 -0.004 Quick Ratio 0.076 -0.286 0.887 -0.038 0.000 Return Rate of Operating Cash 0.809 -0.070 0.056 0.077 0.441 Net Operating Cash Flow for Per-share 0.737 -0.114 0.213 0.013 0.387 Inventory Turnover Ratio -0.128 -0.139 2.533E-5 -0.039 0.649 Total Assets Turnover Ratio -0.301 0.528 -0.173 0.019 0.683 Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio 0.187 0.299 -0.019 0.073 0.704 Fixed Assets Ratio 0.092 0.017 -0.078 0.964 0.030 Mortgage Assets Ratio 0.009 0.101 -0.114 0.962 -0.035 From the table, we can draw the following conclusions and name each factor as follows: Factor 1 offers information about main business profit margins, total assets profit margins, net assets profit margins, return rate of operating cash, net operating cash flow for per-share, namely, the operating situation of a company. Factor 2 offers information about ln total assets, ln main business revenue growth rate, total assets growth rate, namely, the operating prospect of a company. Factor 3 offers information about liquidity ratio and quick ratio which reflect the debt-paying ability and liquidity of the company, namely, the operating security of a company. Factor 4 offers information about fixed assets ratio and mortgage assets ratio, namely, the operating power of a company [15]. Factor 5 offers information about inventory turnover ratio, accounts receivable turnover ratio, total assets turnover ratio, namely the operating efficiency of a company. b. Establishment of the Regression Model TABLE V COEFFICIENTS Nonstandardized coefficients Model 1 [1] Standardized coefficients t Sig. 15.948 0.000 -0.251 -3.170 0.002 0.380 4.795 0.000 0.009 -0.500 -6.313 0.000 0.003 0.009 0.027 0.345 0.731 -0.011 0.009 -0.096 -1.210 0.229 B Standard Error (Constant) 0.142 0.009 F1 -0.028 0.009 F2 0.043 0.009 F3 -0.057 F4 F5 Beta The above table indicates that the P value of T test for constancy, factor 1, factor 2 and factor 3 are lower than 0.05, which means their coefficients are bigger or smaller than 0. Factor 1, factor 2 and factor 5 have negative relationship with debt ratio. While factor 2 and factor 4 have positive relationship with debt ratio. But their P value of T test is higher than 0.05, which means their coefficients are near 0. So we can get the regression equation as follows: [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] Y 0.142 0.028F1 0.043F2 0.057 F3 0.003F4 0.011F5 [7] IV. CONCLUSION Conclusion 1: Compared to traditional companies, 90% of the companies in GEM have great growth potential and high profitability and are technologically innovative, so they can satisfy their capital needs and lower the chances of running into debt by reserving surplus, hence affecting the capital structures of these companies. Conclusion 2: Most of the companies in GEM are technologically innovative companies; they have more floating assets but less fixed assets or real estate, so their liquidity ratio and quick ratio are high. Therefore, when they are in great need of fund, they can change assets into cash and lower the chances of running into debt. Conclusion 3: The negative relationship between operating ability and debt ratio is not obvious because the 100 companies we choose as research subjects are not classified. This results in the obscure regression results. Conclusion 4: The GEM provides good financing ways for small and medium-sized enterprises. 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