Research on Effect of Customer Perceived Value on Quality Information Dissemination Peng Sun , Shu-lin Tang , Qiang Liu, Jing-ting Yuan School of Economics and Management, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin 150001 (tangshulin00.student@sina.com) Abstract - From the angle of customers on quality of product's perceived value, the paper indicates that quality information dissemination is a noisy and stochastic process, which could lead to customer perceived value fluctuation, and usually customer perceived value fluctuation is regarded as the key indicator of product crisis. Take the randomness of quality information appearance into account, the uncertainty of information dissemination and perceived quality fluctuation, the paper describes the changeable disciplines of customer perceived value of different customers at the same time and the same customers of different times by adopting random walk theory in order to recover customers perceived value fluctuation. Keywords - Quality information, information dissemination, customer perceived value, random walk model I. INTRODUCTION With the development of economy and social progress, enterprises must transcend the traditional philosophy of “profit as the only goal”, concentrate on customer perceived value. The philosophy indicates that quality information generated during the production process no longer remains within the enterprise, which will deliver to customs, finally achieve purchase behaviors of customers, whose essence is a process that enterprises transmit product quality value to customers in value style. 1 There are some researches on how to construct the model of disseminating quality information. Previous researches proved that quality information was a description of continuous random signal and quality information dissemination is a noisy, non-linear stochastic process from the perspective of information theory[1]. Some researches presented the continuous tracking of information model based on Bayes’ theorem which could describe the effect of customer perceived value on quality information dissemination in different areas. These models could help enterprises make the best plan to sale their products[2]. Several recent researches had recovered that the dissemination model should contain three roles of information sources, gatekeepers and receivers. However, previous researches argued that there were four roles in This research was supported by Technology Foundation of National Defence(Grant No. GZ2011010) and by The National Soft Science Research Program (Grant No. 2008GXQ6D152) and by soft science research project of industrial and information technology Committee of Heilongjiang Province of China(Grant No. GXW2010150). quality information dissemination. Recently, some researches indicated that the dissemination model consisted of information source, information dissemination space and perceived space[3]. Zhu et al.(2010) indicated that negative quality information dissemination could arise from the credit risk and reduce customer perceived value, which was the important factor in quality management. Due to the continuous effect of negative quality information on product utility, customer perceived value showed the nonlinear change[4]. It suggested that information releasing system, recognition mechanisms of publisher identity and reputation were able to effectively control the situation of expanding production risk caused by quality information dissemination[5-6]. The paper suggests that quality information dissemination model should be able to describe the features of stochastic process. The random walk theory can meet the requirements and have a visual function. II. METHODOLOGY A. Problem description Quality information dissemination can be expressed as variable multiply forms. Variables include: quality information value V generated by point ( x0 , y0 ) , the probability of customer on ( x, y) accepting the quality information P(V , D( x, y),( x, y)) . The expression is: (1) V ( x, y) V P(V , D( x, y),( x, y)) B. Basic assumptions The paper concentrates on the description of determining space discrepancy of information flow value dissemination and dissemination rules, thus the paper has the following assumptions: Assumption1. Information is disseminated in a specific space and can not disseminate out of the space. Individual information is regarded as a collection of infinite number of discrete mediums, whose total volume is 1. It can be expressed as: l0 0 (l ) l 0 P (l , 0) (l ) (2) (l )dl 1 Assumption2. Customer is a strictly rational person. If customer perceived value is higher than product’s price, customer will buy it. Otherwise, customer will refuse to buy. If customers have the same perception of quality information, they will adopt the same purchase decision-making behaviors. The more the perception of quality information they have, the greater the probability of decision-making to accept quality information will happen. The functions can be expressed as: P( D D,V ) P( D,V ) . Assumption3. There are two kinds of rules in quality information dissemination. One is incremental dissemination, the other is attenuation dissemination. Assumption4. The probability of the source of quality information disseminates itself is 1. C. Random walk model of quality information dissemination Assume that l is the distance from point ( x, y) to P 2P P (5) (V ) 2 (V ) V l l (V ) , (V ) are the reciprocals of customer’s perception of quality information in Equation (5). System of differential equations including Equation (2) and Equation (5) are processed by a Fourier transform. The dynamic solutions are: D( x, y ) l 4D (6) e 4 From Assumption 4, the boundary conditions is P(V , D,0) 1 , then solve the equation. The answer is 2 P(V , D, l ) C the probability of customer on ( x, y) accepting the quality information can be P(V , D( x, y),( x, y)) simplified as random walk process based on a two-dimensional coordinate system ( L, D) to calculate, which is shown in Figure 1. In the model, assume that quality information whose value is V existing in the market disseminating to point C is a full probability event. The probabilities are p and q respectively p q 1 . The paper adopts the symbol of P(l , D) to represent the probability of the event that quality information disseminates to point (l , D) . the relationship function can be expressed as follows: P(l , D D) pP(l l , D) qP(l l , D) (3) D V D D C D A B L O l l l l l Fig.1 The dissemination model of quality information based on Random Walk theory The equation (2) was developed by the formula of Tailor. The result is: P (l , D) D D (4) P (l , D) (l ) 2 2 P(l , D) l (q p ) l 2 l 2 Assume that lim(( l ) / 2D) 2 l 0 D0 lim [l ( p q) / D] l 0 D0 p q Because customers in different locations have different perceptions of quality information, so Equation (4) can be expressed as: 4 D( x0 , y0 ) C the source of quality information’s location ( x0 , y0 ) . So Put the answer into Equation (6), the probability of customer on ( x, y) accepting the quality information can be represented as: P(V , D, l ) l D ( x, y ) e D( x0 , y0 ) 2 D ( x, y ) 4 (7) Take the time factor t into account, put Equation (7) into Equation (1), then get the function of quality information dissemination, it can be shown as: Vt ( x, y ) Vt l Dt ( x, y ) e Dt ( x0 , y0 ) 2 Dt ( x , y ) 4 (8) Vt is the value of quality information created at time t and Dt ( x, y) is the customer’s perception in ( x, y) of quality information at time t and Dt ( x0 , y0 ) is the customer’s perception in the source of quality information whose coordinate is the ( x0 , y0 ) of quality information at time t and l is the distance from point ( x, y) to the source of quality information’s location ( x0 , y0 ) , it can be shown as: l x x0 2 y y0 . 2 For quality information dissemination in multiple source condition, the influence of a potential customer is equal to the sum effect of each source disseminating its quality information. Because V (A) , V (B) , … , V (N ) are regarded as independent events, so the dissemination function of quality information in multiple source condition can be expressed as: V N V (i) (9) i A D. Index settings In order to achieve the calculation approaches of the above model, the paper constructs the index system which consists of quality information source, quality information dissemination space and customer perception of quality information[7]. The summary of variables in the dissemination model of quality information can be seen in Table 1. III. EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS A. Data collection The paper collects the panel date, quality and price data of sea cucumber, related-region statistical yearbook and customer survey from Zhangzidao Fishery Group Co., Ltd after two weeks when oil spill happen and research on the changes in the sales market caused by the oil spill combining with the quality information dissemination model. (1) Quality information source In order to avoid the stochastic volatility of stock price, the paper uses the data of 7 days moving average of stock price(MA7) as the indicator to measure quality information value[8]. Vt is regard as the indicator of quality information value and whose sign represents the impact of quality information on products is good or bad, which can be shown in Table 2. (2) Dissemination space standardization The range of the dissemination space, the location of quality information source and sales store are given in Fig.2. (3) Initial value of customer perceived value Fu et al.(1999) thought price was a convex function of quality, defines it as P aV 2 [9]. Types of Variables Quality information source Quality information dissemination space Customer perception of quality information date Fig.2 Quality information’s diffusion space coordinate system B. Simulation Based on the above-mentioned statistics, the paper adopts random walk model to simulate quality information dissemination of products of Zhangzidao Fishery Group Co., Ltd. The simulation results of quality information dissemination are shown from Fig.3 to 5. TABLE I Variables in the dissemination model of quality information Variable Level Date Level Value The value of quality information about product creation in the market Property The impact of quality information on products is good or bad? X of dissemination space Coordinate system Y of dissemination space The source’s coordinate The location where quality information is created Sales store’s coordinate The location of sales store Customer’s coordinate The location of customer who want to buy the product Certified quality standards Mass inertia Sampling percent of pass Invest in advertising The accuracy of quality The times of report about quality information information obtained by customer The objectivity of report about quality information The ratio of Price and industry average price consumption level on (x,y) Customer preferences The frequency of consumption behavior on (x,y) The ratio of good review and bad review TABLE 2 The data of quality information source 2011/9/14 2011/9/28 MA7 27.56 27 Vt 0 -0.56 item (4) Customer perception of quality information distribution After handing out the questionnaire to customers who live in the place as shown in Fig.2, the paper gets customer perception of quality information distribution through the analysis and fitting of the statistic data. IV. DISCUSSION The result shows that quality information dissemination obeys a gaussian distribution, which will generate a black hole of customer perceived value in order to make customers refuse to buy when the quality information is bad enough. The distance from customer to the source of quality information plays a leading role in the effect of the black hole on customer perceived value, followed by customer perception of quality information. In Fig.3, customer perceived value drops quickly and generates a black hole of value in Dalian region. But in the farther region like Beijing-Tianjin region, although customer perception of quality information is higher than that in Dalian region, the maximum of the black hole of value in Beijing-Tianjin region is lower than that in Dalian region along with the increase of the distance. In the same distance region, customer perception of quality information is the crucial factor in customer perceived value. For example, in Fig.4, the distance from Taiyuan to the source is the same as Harbin to the source and the customer perception in Taiyuan is higher than that in Harbin, but the maximum of the black hole of value and the scope of influence is lager than that in Harbin. Fig.5 illustrates customer perceived value drops slowly and customers still have a higher willingness to purchase because of their curiosity, expense inertia and the accuracy of quality information in the region farther from the source or the junction among several sales stores. V. CONCLUSIONS The model can describe customer perceived value in different locations and the results are consistent with real data. It is quite effective in simulating quality information dissemination using random walk model. The model can partly explain the complex fluctuations of the customer perceived value caused by quality information dissemination. 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