Jon Stine Director, Cisco Consulting Services January 13, 2014 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 14.0 NRF Cisco Public 1 Web-based survey N = 1,174 Margin of error <3% Digital Shopping Behavior Survey Conducted Nov. 2013 Representative of the U.S. broadband population by age, income, region Source: Cisco Consulting Services, 2013 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 2 1 2 3 RETAIL AND PERSONAL DATA DIGITAL SHOPPER BEHAVIOR IN-STORE DIGITAL CONCEPTS Consumer trust stands between retailers and new value 1 in 5 is now an Über-Digital At risk: ~$100B per annum in incremental industry value And mobile is the norm Say hello to the future Which brands will mash-up the net and the store? They’re waiting Still asking if you need guest Wi-Fi? In front of us: an “s-curve” leap in behavior and expectations Source: Cisco Consulting Services, 2013 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 3 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 4 INNOVATION INVESTMENT LEADERS INNOVATION INVESTMENT Business and Societal Impact MOST Retail Information Technology Networked Retailing Immersive Retailing Digitized Interactions Omnichannel Internet of Everything Retailing Sense Know Act Digitize business processes Standards Systems E-BUSINESS DATA FUSION RIGHT TIME HYPER-LOCALIZED Intelligent Connections Source: Cisco Consulting Services primary research, 2013; Forrester, 2012; National Retail Federation, 2012 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 5 Sources: New York Times, 2013; Retail Technology, 2013; IT News Daily, 2013 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 6 DIGITAL MASS ÜBER DIGITALS 80% 18% Digital Research Browse Purchase Median Age 40-44 Last Year 11% Smartphone Research Browse Purchase Median Age 30-34 Source: Cisco Consulting Services Primary Research, 2013 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 7 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 8 The Vast Value of the Internet of Everything Internet of Everything Retailing Sense Know Act North America Retail Unrealized Value at Stake in 2013 DATA FUSION RIGHT TIME HYPER-LOCALIZED Source: Cisco Consulting Services, 2014; n = 1,174 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 9 Select up to three DIGITAL MASS ÜBER DIGITALS 80% 18% 46% 38% 30% 30% Personalized promotions via touch-screen or smartphone Personalized products specifically for me Personalized shopping lists Personalized service 53% 47% 38% 34% Source: Cisco Consulting Services Primary Research, 2014 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 10 What if retailers could… DIGITAL MASS CAPTURE DATA ÜBER DIGITALS TO CREATE Transactions; On-hand inventory on order Improved in-stock 69% 27% 42% 44% 82% 35% Past buys; Store location; On-hand inventory Personalized digital offers 77% 38% 39% 37% 37% 74% Store traffic; Orderqueue No checkout lines 67% 26% 41% 43% 37% 80% Smartphone in store; Location In-store way-finding 57% 20% 37% 33% 38% 71% APPEALING VERY APPEALING Source: Cisco Consulting Services, 2013 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 11 Financial Hospitals, physicians Institutions, banks However: 56% 54% Credit card companies 47% Government agencies 37% How much would you trust these companies/institutions to protect your personal data and use it to provide something you value? National retail brands 31% Internet companies 18% Source: Cisco Consulting Services, 2014; n = 1,174, Percentage answering 7 and above on a 10-point scale 1=not trust at all 10=trust completely © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 12 DIGITAL MASS ÜBER DIGITALS Past purchasing history with this brand 57% 59% Basic information about me (name, age, etc.) 52% 56% Likes and dislikes (opt-in) 48% 49% Information from products I am using 27% TRUST CLIFF 30% Past purchasing history from other brands 24% 29% TRUST CLIFF My location 20% 29% Source: Cisco Consulting Services, 2013 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 13 DIGITAL MASS ÜBER DIGITALS Time spent in the store 34% 47% Location in the store 35% 44% Products you try, but don’t buy 36% 43% QR codes or barcodes you scan 27% TRUST CLIFF 32% Your walking path in the store 26% 30% TRUST CLIFF None of the above 25% 13% Source: Cisco Consulting Services, 2013 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 14 Select up to three DIGITAL MASS ÜBER DIGITALS Guaranteed percentage savings on next purchase 52% 51% Specific dollar savings on my next purchase 52% 53% World-class privacy policy 39% 31% Ability to use loyalty points at more than one retailer TRUST CLIFF 24% 27% TRUST CLIFF Admission into a club that receives priority service 11% 18% Admission into a club that receives priority offers 22% 27% Source: Cisco Consulting Services, 2013 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 15 Here’s what I think every business should tell consumers about their data collection programs Michael Nadeau, publisher, September, 2013 1 Exactly what data is being collected Clearly communicate and explain exactly the type of data being collected 5 How the data is being analyzed and reported If it’s being analyzed in the aggregate, say so and explain what that means 2 How the data collection technology works Boil the complex tech terms down into clear lay terms. Once you know, is there a reason to fear “metadata?” 6 Who is seeing the data People might assume that you share their data with other businesses. Be clear about your policies. 3 How the data is being secured Show the steps you’re taking to prevent data from being hacked or misused 7 4 Why the data is being collected Show them the problems being solved, the value being created 8 The consumer benefits of data collection Most important, shoppers will provide personal information if they feel they’re getting equal value in return. It’s opt-in Give your shoppers a choice Source: Data Informed, September 2013; Cisco Consulting Services, 2013 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 16 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 17 Percentage of respondents doing now or interested in doing DIGITAL MASS 81% 18% Last Year 54% 57% ÜBER DIGITALS 97% 60% 66% 62% 62% 65% PC at home Phone in store Tablet at home Phone on the go Phone at home Touch-screen in store Last Year 11% 99% 100% 95% 90% 91% 82% Source: Cisco Consulting Services, 2013, percentage of respondents doing now or interested in doing © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 18 DECISION JOURNEY RESEARCH PC In store DO IT NOW U.S. 2013 BUY 60% In store 39% Online PC Mobile In store 33% Mobile Online PC 32% 26% 86% 27% 23% 22% Über Digital 2013 INTERESTED 72% 66% 59% 56% 25% 84% 70% 54% 20% 92% 62% 20% 90% 24% 86% Click ’n Collect Kiosk In store 12% 35% 47% 28% 40% 68% Source: Cisco Consulting Services, 2013 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 19 What are the three most important sources of information you use to help make buying decisions? Online reviews retailer website Friends and family Online reviews expert sources 60% 44% 58% 52% Friends, family Online reviews Store employees Online reviews Online Friends, 42% reviews family Online experts 29% Online experts 49% 46% 43% Friends, family Online experts 21% Store Assoc. 15% 12% Store Assoc. Store assoc. 2010 2012 2013 Source: Cisco Consulting Services, 2010-11-12-13, 2010: n = 1004; 2012: n = 1007; 2013: n = 1,174 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 20 Roughly 50% will research a $100 product; more than 75% will research when more than $250 DIGITAL MASS ÜBER DIGITALS 80% 18% 87% 85% 76% 47% 25% 14% >$500 <$500 <$250 <$100 <$50 <$10 86% 84% 80% 54% 28% 17% Source: Cisco Consulting Services Primary Research, 2013, percentage responding “very likely” to research a product online © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 21 DIGITAL MASS ÜBER-DIGITALS 81% 18% 32% 24% 51% 49% I prefer to use my own device I prefer to use store devices I prefer to use a store app I prefer to use a browser 51% 18% 64% 58% Source: Cisco Consulting Services Primary Research, 2013 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 22 Digital Shoppers Want “Safe” Self-Service DIGITAL MASS ÜBER-DIGITALS 81% 18% 64% 22% 11% I prefer to shop on my own, but with help when I need it I prefer to shop on my own I prefer help from store employees all the time 64% 19% 14% Source: Cisco Consulting Services Primary Research, 2013 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 23 How have your expectations for shopping changed over the past two years? DIGITAL MASS ÜBER DIGITALS 80% 18% 71% 61% 58% 58% 50% Better values Price visibility Wider range Information access Faster 79% 72% 72% 75% 64% Source: Cisco Consulting Services Primary Research, 2013, percentage responding “very likely” to research a product online © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 24 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 25 Most important reasons to shop in a physical store DIGITAL MASS ÜBER DIGITALS 80% 18% 2013 ~90% of all non-grocery transactions occur in the store 67% 52% 51% 9% Look at, touch, compare products Use purchases immediately Avoid shipping charges Get advice from store staff 67% 49% 42% 12% 2015 ~85% of all non-grocery transactions will occur in the store Sources: Forrester, 2013 (not including cars, trucks, gasoline, grocery, food service); Cisco Consulting Services 2013 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 26 Percentage responding frequently or always 1 2 3 4 BEST PERSONAL PRICE MOBILE CONCIERGE BEAT THE BUZZER CONNECT THE DOTS 63% 42% 35% 34% Opt-In. Smartphone. Scan. Opt-In. Smartphone. Gamification. Gamification. Calculates all your relevant offers, coupons, loyalty points. Greets, guides, provides. At home or in store. In-store. Smartphone. Interest- and location-based information, offers. PC or smartphone. Collect tokens or QR codes throughout the store. Your personal price. Now. Your retail remote control. Special promotion now in limited time. Act now and win!. Act now and win! Source: Cisco Consulting Services, 2013 (U.S. data, n= 1,174), percentage responding frequently or always © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 27 Percentage responding frequently or always 1 2 3 4 BEST PERSONAL PRICE MOBILE CONCIERGE BEAT THE BUZZER CONNECT THE DOTS 63% 42% 35% 34% CONSUMER ELECTRONICS 71% CONSUMER ELECTRONICS 47% GROCERY 37% CONSUMER ELECTRONICS 37% ÜBER DIGITALS 82% 66% 56% 55% Source: Cisco Consulting Services, 2013 (U.S. data, n= 1,174), percentage responding frequently or always © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 28 Percentage responding frequently or always 5 6 7 8 REMOTE CONSULTATION ENDLESS AISLE SOLUTION BUILDER SOCIAL SHOPPING 31% 29% 29% 21% Mobile or fixed screen. Online or in-store. Online or in-store. Smartphone. Social. One-click connect. Fixed screen and smartphone. Fixed screen or smartphone. Post photos. Pin ideas. No appointment. See brand’s entire inventory on desired SKUs. Suggested project shopping lists. Send to professionals, friends. Recipes. Outfits. Whaddaya think? Talk to the brand’s best. What, why, and how. Nearby stores. Dotcom. Vendor. Source: Cisco Consulting Services, 2013, percentage responding frequently or always © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 29 Percentage responding frequently or always 5 6 7 8 REMOTE CONSULTATION ENDLESS AISLE SOLUTION BUILDER SOCIAL SHOPPING 31% 29% 29% 21% HOME IMPROVEMENT 39% 32% APPAREL HOME IMPROVEMENT 33% HOME IMPROVEMENT 24% ÜBER DIGITALS 50% 50% 50% 43% Source: Cisco Consulting Services, 2013, percentage responding frequently or always © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 30 © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 31 1 2 3 RETAIL AND PERSONAL DATA THE ÜBER DIGITALS DIGITAL SHOPPER BEHAVIOR Deliver a world-class data policy. Make the benefits clear. 1 in 5 is too big to ignore. Shoppers will choose digital experiences. What is your IoE strategic plan? Winning Über Digitals: It’s a step change. Do you have the infrastructure to deliver it? Will you win your slice of the ~$100B per year? Will you climb the digital cliff or run into it? Are you ready now? © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 32 EXECUTIVE EXCHANGE 1 VALUE ASSESSMENT STRATEGY & PLAN BUILD & MANAGE 2 3 4 5 6 Start Current State Desired Future State Gap Analysis, Roadmap, Test Plan Test Run Align Understand Envision Plan Pilot Scale Success metrics Current state Commitments Compelling events Stakeholders Market transitions Root cause Sustainable brand differentiation Sustainable value creation Use cases What’s missing When/how to reach goals Architecture/ infrastructure Concept UE/UI/ lab testing Professional services Implement pilots Technical services Launch plan Managed/ operating services Quantified value creation © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 33 Let’s Talk. Cisco Consulting Services – Retail © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 34 Thank you. © 2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 35